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Bart Motes

Bart Motes

Posted: October 2, 2008 06:48 AM

Georgia and Texas Senate Seats To Go Blue??


It's still a long shot, but for the first time Democratic activists are talking about the possibility of turning Senate seats in Texas and Georgia blue.

Burnt Orange Report, which consistently nailed coverage during the Democratic primary, points to a new poll showing Democrat Rick Noriega within striking distance of incumbent John Cornyn.

Cornyn leads 50-43% in the latest Rasmussen poll, but the extraordinary organizational strength of Texas Democrats demonstrated in the primary combined with enthusiasm for Noriega's historic candidacy makes it closer than the numbers.

Thanks to Talking Points Memo commentator HusseinTenaX for asking why we are ignoring Texas. (An amusing meme among Talking Points Memo commentators is to show their support for Barack Obama by taking on a Hussein honorific.)

If you have a few bucks, you might toss them Rick Noriega's way.

Meanwhile, in Georgia, Saxby Chambliss (pronounced shameless) is in a dogfight against Democrat Jim Martin. This is a 46-44 race with a little known Libertarian candidate, Allen Buckley, snagging 5 percent of the vote. But here's what's remarkable:


Among the 9% of Georgia voters who say they have already voted, Obama leads by 29 points; among those who have not yet voted, McCain leads by 12.

Veteran Atlanta Journal Constitution writer Jim Galloway highlighted this "intensity" gap, which points to the dynamic nature of the Obama campaign's efforts. Obama has pulled staff out of Georgia, but the voter registration drive and volunteer energy that he left behind may still pull an upset in Georgia's Senate race.

Lest we forget, Saxby Chambliss ran what was then one of the most deceitful and disgraceful ads in modern political history juxtaposing then incumbent Democratic Senator and war hero Max Cleland with Osama Bin Laden.

At the time, John McCain called the ad "worse than disgraceful." Curiously, the ad looks quite similar to some of the recent tacky McCain ads. Must be because McCain hired Chambliss's campaign manager Bo Harmon to be his national political director.

The Martin campaign is running a smart, aggressive operation. A recent ad featuring Max Cleland stresses Martin's national security credentials and superior understanding of the problems that the middle class face. It's a one-two punch to the gut of the Bush enabling, draft ducking Senator who had the stones to attack the patriotism of a man who lost three limbs in the service of his country. (Chambliss didn't go. Bad knee.)

Even though these campaigns are operating almost completely under the radar, they could be the sleepers of 2008. On election night, don't be surprised if your talking heads are yammering in stunned amazement about one or both of these races.

If that's not enough of an incentive to support Rick Noriega and Jim Martin, I don't know what is.

Follow Bart Motes on Twitter: www.twitter.com/bmotes

It's still a long shot, but for the first time Democratic activists are talking about the possibility of turning Senate seats in Texas and Georgia blue. Burnt Orange Report, which consistently naile...
It's still a long shot, but for the first time Democratic activists are talking about the possibility of turning Senate seats in Texas and Georgia blue. Burnt Orange Report, which consistently naile...
 
 
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03:42 PM on 10/02/2008
Boy, I hope you're right about Texas. This year, when the Repub brand is so toxic their candidates are loathe to identify themselves as such, is our best opportunity in a long time to break free of the Republican yoke that we've suffered under for too many years. If we could get rid of that embarrassment known as Sen. Cornyn it would be great, but to do so by voting into office someone like Noriega would be fantastic! I was very disappointed when Texas was immediately dropped out of Obama's 50 state strategy. Noriega needs money, his campaign needs some professional help and as far as I can tell the Democratic party doesn't have a map that shows Texas, much less any actual interest in us. So, thanks for the mention and I hope it generates some interest nationally in our state.
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LetMeUnderstandThis
02:13 PM on 10/02/2008
I think America is finally coming out of puberty into adulthood.


Obama/Biden 08
02:13 PM on 10/02/2008
I live in TX. I hope Noriega beats down that tool Cornyn, but let's be real. If that happens, I will strip nekked & do jumping jacks in front of the Alamo.
01:53 PM on 10/02/2008
Bart,

Thank You so very much for mentioning Rick Noriega. We Democratic Activists here in Texas have been waiting for the national media to get on board. I've had the pleasure of meeting Rick Noriega several times and he will be a tremendously capable US Senator. As a veteran, I have been insulted by John Cornyn's consistent record of ignoring the needs of veterans. John Cornyn has a ton of money from Big Oil, Big Insurance and Big Banks. While Rick Noriega is underfunded, we believe that he can and will mount a very credible challenge to John Cornyn.

I happen to be in what is considered a very "RED" county, our local Democratic office is being besieged on a daily basis with requests for yard signs and bumper stickers for both Barack Obama and Rick Noriega. Times they are a changing!!

If you are debating where to send your next $10, $25, $100, $250 or $500 contibution should go, PLEASE consider Rick Noriega. Turning Texas blue is necessary to obtain a 60 seat Senate majority!!
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Pigliacci
Life is a banquet...
01:41 PM on 10/02/2008
I'll go even further; I think that these two seats are, for practical purposes, in the bag. New voters and voter intensity will turn these seats blue. Even more important to our country's future, a 60-seat+ majority isn't out of the question.
01:13 PM on 10/02/2008
Finally! Someone is seeing this and writing about it. I have a unique perspective on the Georgia race. I am related to Saxby by marriage and have known he and Julianne for years. BUT I did NOT approve of his tactics against Max Cleland, nor his close alignment with Pres. Bush. I wrote to him expressing my concern about the later and received a very curt response filled with patriotic rhetoric instead of a logical and respectful reply. On a personal level Saxby and family are kind-hearted people, but when it comes to his professional life, I cannot endorse his actions. I have already voted and NOT for him and not for anyone who is a continuation of the last 8 years. The Obama/Biden ticket inspires me to HOPE for a better future! I think Georgia will surprise some folks this year and if not this year, in the coming years.
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01:52 PM on 10/02/2008
No offense, but something about Saxby makes my skin crawl...
01:05 PM on 10/02/2008
This is exciting to me! As a Texan, I've long lamented the way the Republican party just takes the votes of Texans for granted, relying on the fact that they're a name brand. But take a look at all the major newspapers in Texas.

Texas’ Seven Largest Newspapers Endorse Obama:
http://politicsoffthegrid.wordpress.com/2008/02/18/texas-seven-largest-newspapers-endorse-obama/

I doubt we'll turn TX blue in the presidential election, but I do have hope for the Senate.
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vippy
Carpe Diem!
12:52 PM on 10/02/2008
I wished we could get Hutchinson and Cornyn out. Both have done nothing for us Texans but
gave us toll roads after the tax payer already had paid for them. Now they want the super highway
and are taking land away from people to build this North American Union Highway.
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
LetMeUnderstandThis
02:11 PM on 10/02/2008
Uhh Excuse me I'm aware of the NAU plan I hope all Aamericans will see this ploy to be like EU, I have not heard about the North American Union Highway. Please give me info.?
12:43 PM on 10/02/2008
Done deal - Rick Noriega and Jim Martin, Texas and Georgia respectively, SEATS WON! Let's support their campaigns and bring them home-along with their states..YAHOO!!!

Obama/Biden 2008
11:59 AM on 10/02/2008
I'm a Georgia Resident (not for long though!) and I'm voting for Obama and Jim Martin by Absentee Ballot (as is my wife).
I actually live closer to Chattanooga, TN and have seen a decent amount of Obama Stickers driving around, but certainly don't think TN is going to Obama.
Maybe Georgia though!
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Bart Motes
12:42 PM on 10/02/2008
Good for you! You are part of that energized segment that has voted early for Obama. Great stuff. Hope the state goes blue at least for the Senate race.
03:05 PM on 10/02/2008
that'd be great if Georgia went to Obama!

Funny thing...we are moving to Colorado! Too bad I can't vote again!
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Brett Ashley McKenzie
08:33 AM on 10/02/2008
Man I hope you're right B. The blow of losing Texas and Georgia would smart all the more if Obama wins the White House. A devastating blow to the electoral map as we know it.
11:52 AM on 10/02/2008
The best part about Texas, is that while slow to come around, once we do, it's not as if the state really is going back. There has been a steady progression back towards the Democrats and whether it happens in 2008 (we're trying) or in 2010 or 2012, that makes a big difference for our congressional seats, senate, and yes, even electoral votes for Obama's re-election.
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Bart Motes
12:42 PM on 10/02/2008
I like the way you think! Keep up the good work.
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Bart Motes
12:43 PM on 10/02/2008
Yes, it would really be breathtaking.