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Bill Chameides

Bill Chameides

Posted: September 20, 2010 05:11 PM

Crossposted with www.thegrengrok.com.

The Environmental Protection Agency is on the march, while U.S. senators prepare a flanking attack.

Lots of Americans are quite happy these days. Why? Because it's football season and there's nothing like a good old-fashioned battle on the gridiron.

Tune Into Washington for the Action

the greens vs the reds in the battle of climate change regulation
It's the "reds" against the "greens" in the heated battle over climate protection.
Of course, if you like to see a good fight, Washington can be a great source of entertainment. And near the top of the action list has got to be the battle over climate change policy in the United States. For shorthand let's call it a battle between the greens (those favoring climate change policy)  and the reds (those favoring the status quo).

For years the reds have been routing the greens. But in 2009, the greens turned the tables and won big time in the House of Representatives with the passage of the American Clean Energy and Security Act (ACES), often referred to simply as Waxman-Markey.

On to the Senate!, cried the greens following their House win, in hopes of a quick and decisive victory. But it was not to be. The greens got hopelessly bogged down in the other chamber, and were never able to capture the "60-Filibuster-Proof-Votes Hill," a piece of property essential to launching a successful legislative battle in the Senate. Another red victory.

A Battle Lost but not the End of the War

As things got quiet on the congressional front, the greens turned to their reserve forces: the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, whose regulatory power over carbon dioxide is vested in the Clean Air Act. Lo and behold, marching under the EPA banner, the greens have been gobbling up new strategic territory.

It all began with a panzer attack last December when EPA finalized its endangerment finding that greenhouse gas emissions pose a health risk to the American people and, as such, must be regulated under the Clean Air Act. EPA followed up with two major strikes deep into low-carbon territory:

Together these two measures would accomplish at least some of the goals the greens envisioned in congressional legislation. Do these wins signal a green victory of sorts in the making?

Counterattack from Congress

Maybe not, because now comes the counterattack. First, with Senator Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) leading the charge, the Senate attempted a direct frontal attack with legislation aimed at stripping EPA of its authority to write climate rules. The bill failed in June (and even if it had passed, it would have probably been a Pyrrhic victory as President Obama would almost certainly have vetoed it).

Having lost a direct attack on the environmental agency's regulatory authority, the red strategy shifted to flanking tactics -- going after EPA's purse strings. One rider to EPA's spending bill, Sen. Murkowski's latest salvo, would block EPA's ability next fiscal year to spend money writing climate rules for power plants and the like. A rider in Sen. Jay Rockefeller's (D-WV) plan would up the freeze to two years.

Skirmishes Aplenty

Last week saw lots of speculation on whether the reds (e.g., Republicans and coal-state Democrats) on the Senate Appropriations Committee would get the opportunity to attach riders to the funding bills for EPA and the Interior Department. A committee vote scheduled on the appropriations bill for last Thursday is reported to have been "indefinitely postponed" to head off any such move.

Meanwhile the greens are planning their own counter-counterattack. There is speculation that EPA's funding bill may get bundled into the larger omnibus package for a vote later this year making it harder for senators to vote against any one provision.

Heat from Industry and Others

The reds have opened another flanking attack against the greens and EPA along yet another front -- the courtroom. More than 150 businesses, trade associations and others have joined in the dozens of legal challenges that have been filed against the endangerment finding. (EPA denied 10 of these in July.) Five specifically target the tailoring rule [pdf] (which limits the regulation to the largest stationary emitters of greenhouse gases) and at least one challenges EPA's vehicular greenhouse gas regulations. More keep coming (subscription required), including some from unlikely quarters.

California Reds Aim to Breach Climate Maginot Line of Landmark Global Warming Act

And in still another flank attack, reds in California have set their sights on the Global Warming Solutions Act, aka AB32, the most ambitious state-based climate change legislation in the United States. A referendum on the ballot this November, Proposition 23, would upend the law, requiring the state "to abandon implementation of comprehensive greenhouse-gas-reduction program that includes increased renewable energy and cleaner fuel requirements." While not directly related to EPA's rulemaking, canceling AB32 would be a major, major defeat for the greens on a front they thought they had secured for years: the Golden State.

What happens next? Who knows. Just get into your bunker and stayed tuned. That might be a good idea anyway. If the climate catastrophes come, you'll be right where you need to be.

Additional Reading

 

 

Follow Bill Chameides on Twitter: www.twitter.com/theGreenGrok

 
 
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11:08 PM on 09/24/2010
Nothing significant will happen until a crisis comes that no one can deny comes from climate change. The earlier this happens, the better for the planet. The later this happens, the better for me individually. Ironically, voting for the GOP will cause the crisis to come earlier, which is better for the long term health of the planet. I will continue to hold my nose and vote selfishly for democrats. Boil the frogs slowly...
01:37 PM on 09/21/2010
The deniers have a new direction of attack, thanks to unusually low sunspot activity. I blogged about it and suggest an appropriate counterpoint.

http://fredbortz.scienceblog.com/34728/will-the-sun-give-us-a-reprieve-from-global-warming/
06:55 PM on 09/20/2010
The California Jobs Initiative (CJI) is an oil corporation farce and fraud. There is no connection, whatsoever,between greenhouse gas emission reduction and the loss of jobs. This notion is an insult to the intelligence of the people of Califronia. In fact, there is job growth in the clean, renewable energy industry. Chevron employs 65,000 worldwide and CJI is not going to change this. The only jobs created by the oil industry are clean-up jobs after oil spills and deep water, blow-outs and pump-handler jobs. CJI will make fantastic profits for the oil industry, increase air pollution, especially in communities around their refineries, and their will not be lower gas prices. Koch Industries, Valero and Tesoro are super Enrons. Since when did the oil companies start to show any interest in the unemployed and their families and for small businesses?
10:16 AM on 09/21/2010
I've seen you on quite a few blogs, just wanted to add onto what you say in your comment. It is true AB32 will create jobs in the green industry sector. They will however be jobs completely reliant on taxpayer money and government subsidies. The connection between GHG reductions and loss of jobs? simple. AB32 will tax more businesses. Businesses that can't pay those taxes will either shut down, or leave California. furthermore, less business will come because they will be taxed way too heavily. WE MUST REDUCE EMISSIONS, but we can do it without the cost of our economy
04:59 PM on 09/21/2010
Jevan, California's clean energy law's attract businesses to the state -- not the reverse.

The state's clean technology sector received $9 billion cumulative venture capital investment from 2005-09, including $2.1 billion investment capital in 2009 - 60 percent of the total in North America and more than five times the investment in our nearest competitor, Massachusetts.

The laws bring investments, and the investments create the jobs independently of tax breaks or subsidies. California is a national leader in clean energy. Let's keep it that way by saying no to Prop23.
06:38 PM on 09/21/2010
"Koch Industries, Valero and Tesoro are super Enrons."

You repeat this same statement many times. Nothing was "super" to Enron and Enron would be kicking and screaming against revoking the law, against the proposition.
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05:36 PM on 09/20/2010
Time to consider a new strategy: Cheap Green Energy

The best way to attack climate change is to make green energy so inexpensive that everyone will want it.

As it happens, and perhaps to everyone's surprise, that is in the process of becoming a viable alternative.

It can occur faster than might be imagined. The reason is the thus far little recognized potential impact of rising solar flare activity, as the sunspot cycle moves towards a projected peak in 2013.

A huge solar flare missed the earth earlier this month. If one hits the geomagnetic field surrounding the earth, according to NASA, 130 million Americans live in areas that may lose power for protracted periods of time - at a cost the first year of between $1 trillion and $2 trillion.

This is similar to the total cost to date of both the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan!

See: http://www.aesopinstitute.org for additional information.

The strategy outlined there reflects the observation that we need to pursue cheap green power.

That can clearly be done and will have enormous positive economic impact.

It can also open a new door to broadly supported political action to minimize the damage from a possible solar storm. And encourage development of cheap green energy to reduce the need to import oil and burn fossil fuels.

This approach opens a positive way forward. It will neutralize political opposition since a massive longterm power outage is unacceptable. It can restore American leadership in the energy field.
03:28 PM on 09/21/2010
The problem with your suggestion is there is currently no energy source as cost efficient as fossil fuels. The person to make an efficient renewable, thats also cost appropriate will by all means become vastly wealthy and everyone will gladly switch. The closest we have is nuclear but t is not truly renewable and highly opposed (although our best bet). And no wind and solar do not count
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Bill Chameides
12:07 PM on 10/11/2010
Jevan: When you say as “cost efficient as fossil fuels,†you are reflecting on a price that leaves out the costs of government subsidies and the costs to the environment (that we all bear) for the extraction and burning of the fossil fuels. Things might be quite different if we internalized those costs into the price we pay for fossil fuel energy.
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05:30 PM on 09/20/2010
The overwhelming paleoclimate evidence from around the globe is that the Medieval Warm Period (MWP), the Roman Warm Period and the Minoan Warming were synchronous, world wide and much warmer than today.

However, the MWP deniers, such as the IPCC, US EPA and the UK’s MET Office, will never admit the existence of the MWP because it means that their religious-like belief in AGW is exposed for the steaming pile of junk science that it truly is.

In total, climate change is complex and not well understood.

But this part is simple.

Since the world was warmer when CO2 levels were lower, CO2 cannot be the earth's temperature regulator.

In the past, the Earth was warmer than it is today; before the social and industrial advances that have made modern people the healthiest and most prosperous in history. MWP deniers want us to believe that plant friendly and life giving CO2 is a bad thing to better advance their meglomanical desire to both boss around the developed world and further impoverish the poor while pocketing a lot of taxpayer money along the way.

Useless, misguided attempts to control carbon are not the answer to the ever changing climate.There is only one answer to changes in climate that has ever worked for humanity.

That is adaptation.

One of the many links to the overwhelming Paleoclimate evidence of the global nature of the MWP is below.

http://www.co2science.org/data/mwp/mwpp.php
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06:02 PM on 09/20/2010
Okay, so the science academies of the world all have this wrong, but you and the Koch brothers have this right?

Yeah, okay.
10:37 PM on 09/20/2010
more hot air try reading about the vikings and trip to greenland and their settlement try founded hundreds of years ago. greenland would have to be warm and glacier free for that to happen their isnt another way for the viking to land unless the ice had melted.
01:05 AM on 09/21/2010
So ice tea and Iceland are still avoided by the Vikings? You are still failing to crack open at least 1 historical hyperlink to - Medieval Warm Period, the Roman Warm Period, and the Minoan Warming. Your 5,000 years of rubber stamp Morano fraud has yet to predict anything but a free lunch 1 second into the future.
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Bill Chameides
12:16 PM on 10/11/2010
Ozonator: Here you go: http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/short/311/5762/841