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Bill Press

Bill Press

Posted: July 5, 2008 12:31 PM

Note to Obama... Don't Go Soft on Iraq!


On this site, Arianna Huffington was the first to warn Barack Obama that he would disappoint a lot of his enthusiastic supporters, and not necessarily gain any new ones, by moving too fast to the center. Apparently, he wasn't listening.

He started out safely enough: renouncing a pledge to take public financing. No big deal. He moved on to more serious matters: letting states decide when to apply the death penalty to child rapists and supporting an individual's right to own a handgun. Issues on which Democrats can honestly disagree. Then he reversed course on providing immunity to phone companies who joined George Bush's wiretapping blitz. Why? Especially when he publicly promised not to?

Still, those were not issues central to the campaign. Obama could shift positions on such secondary issues, most observers agreed, as long as he didn't waffle on the war. Uh-oh. Guess what? He just did.

Speaking to reporters upon arriving in Fargo, N.D., Obama said he was looking forward to meeting military commanders when he visits Baghdad later in the summer and, based on what he learned, might "refine his policies" on Iraq.

Oh, no. Say it isn't so. Obama didn't win the primaries by being fuzzy on Iraq. He generated so much excitement and support principally because he was out front, opposing the war in Iraq from the very beginning, while Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Joe Biden and others were voting for it. More than any other issue, opposition to the war in Iraq defines Obama's candidacy. He can't go soft on Iraq.

To his credit, Obama quickly moved to clarify his statement. He repeated his determination to end the war and to start bringing homes immediately at the pace of what he hopes will be one or two brigades a month - by which schedule all American troops would be out of Iraq in 16 months. There was, Obama insisted, no change in his position.

And in fact, during the primaries, Obama repeatedly expressed the caution (perhaps lost on his supporters) that how quickly we could pull troops out of Iraq would depend on conditions on the ground. As he put it so artfully: "We have to be as careful getting out, as we were careless going in."

Still, the damage is already done. Perception, too often, is reality. To hear Obama say he's open to "refining" his policies on Iraq is enough to inject joy into the McCain campaign and fear into the heart of every Democrat.

The 2008 election will be won or lost on two issues: the economy and the war.

On the war, McCain and Obama have been polar opposites. Obama wants to end it, McCain wants to carry it on. Obama wants to start bringing troops home immediately, McCain says the earliest we could bring troops home is 2013. Obama wants all troops home by 2013, McCain doesn't mind if we stay in Iraq another 100 years.

The differences are clear and must remain that way. Iraq is a winning issue for Democrats. As long as Obama doesn't muddle toward the middle.

 
 
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02:52 PM on 07/07/2008
Not Issues central to his campaign? Renouncing a pledge to take public financing; letting states decide when to apply the death penalty in non death penalty cases; turning his back and getting weak kneed on handguns; reversing course on providing immunity to phone companies who joined George Bush's wiretapping blitz.when publicly promising not to, reversing his position on women's rights .
Bill are you kidding? These are all central issues to the Democratic Party! What exactly does he stand for? Sounds like a Republican to me. Barack Obama is an unknown entitly. We have no idea what he believes. There is no history or record, just words. Why do you continue to support this candidate? He is not trustworthy. Can you trust him to make the right decisions on Iraq? On Iran? I have been a democrat for almost forty years and this guy is not a democrat! I know, you may say he is better than McCain. Well, I disagree. With divided government, the democratic congress will stop McCain from going too far right. At least we know who McCain is and what he stands for. Obama will lead the Democratic Paryt off the cliff. George Bush with a D after his name. NObama for me thank you.
11:15 AM on 07/07/2008
It's very simple Bill, Obama is not quite the leftist moron that many people think he is. He "says" he is willing to listen to the ground commanders in Iraq. I ask you brother Bill, what's wrong with that?

Now, I'd much rather have an Obama in the WH that is willing to listen to the ground commanders in Iraq rather than take his marching orders from HuffPo, DailyKos and MoveOn.

Obama may be indicating that he is not a "defeat at any cost" democrat.
11:48 AM on 07/07/2008
I agree 100%, the comment "We have to be as careful getting out, as we were careless going in." Is very true. To judge and oversimplify the situation by commiting 100% to plans and ideas before inauguration is foolish.

The real shame is the potentially misconstrued rhetoric of "redefining" his position. Thank goodness McCain is the nations most consistent "flip-flopper" ...
05:41 AM on 07/07/2008
In general I agree with the content of your article but have trouble accepting your premise since you were such a strong Clinton defender/supporter.

If the war, actually an illegal occupation, were such an important issue for the election then how could you have supported Clinton who voted for an illegal occupation and never apologized for that vote?

Would not her pro-occupation stance have been an equally, if not more, damaging position for the Democrats in the Fall?
11:43 PM on 07/06/2008
It was widely believed that Iraq was a war about oil.

Oil now costs four times what it did back in the day.

That alone should tell US that it wasn't such a good idea.

Obama has said he would get US out. That alone ought
to be good enough to get him elected. If so, he will be
expected to make good on that promise, TOTALLY.

Too bad that won't get the oil prices down, ever.

Thank you, George Boosh!
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
peacekitten
primum non nocere.
12:32 AM on 07/07/2008
iraq, and afghanistan ARE about oil, and wresting the ultimate control of it away from OPEC. it's just turning out to be much harder than they thought.
07:17 PM on 07/07/2008
One would imagine that when two Texas oil men
are running the Presidency, oil prices quadrupling
is not exactly seen as a 'problem'. More like an
'opportunity'. As for OPEC, they're still getting
what they used to get, in terms of what the dollar
was worth pre-Bush. And so is Big Oil, for profits.

Those Repos. Still fooling most of the people, all of the time.
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11:34 PM on 07/06/2008
Obama refined his position on FISA...the wrong way.
Let me give you a little tip...If he refines his position on the war, it wont be from 16 months to 12 months , it will be for more time in Iraq. Bad news.
11:11 PM on 07/06/2008
Well said Bill, you are great analyst whom i enjoy listening to time and again. Folks let's face it, Obama has been mumbling on a variety of issues adulterating his change message. If the averagely educated few like you and me have been left this discombobulated by his positions it is no surprise that the whole base is getting demoralized. If our disenchantment is just a farce (which I doubt), then we need more fire power (from him) to once again rally behind him like we did at Waterfront, Oregon. On at least four issues in a row (FISA, Death Penalty, Iraq, etc) the man has either equivocated or prevaricated or both! (i.e either avoided giving a truthful answer or avoided making explicit statements). The world is waiting for Obama's leadership in anticipation for change. Visit my blog http://nationalvision.wordpress.com)
10:33 PM on 07/06/2008
From wordnet.prnceton.edu, definitions of "refine":

polish, refine, fine-tune, down (improve or perfect by pruning or polishing) "refine one's style of writing"

complicate, refine, rarify, elaborate (make more complex, intricate, or richer) "refine a design or pattern"

refine (treat or prepare so as to put in a usable condition) "refine paper stock"; "refine pig iron"; "refine oil"

refine, rectify (reduce to a fine, unmixed, or pure state; separate from extraneous matter or cleanse from impurities) "refine sugar"

refine (attenuate or reduce in vigor, strength, or validity by polishing or purifying) "many valuable nutrients are refined out of the foods in our modern diet"

refine (make more precise or increase the discriminatory powers of) "refine a method of analysis"; "refine the constant in the equation"

How on earth are people equating "refine" with "going soft", or changing position? You must all be swallowing whole the Republicans' prepared talking points for when Sen. Obama visits Iraq. I bet it will not matter in the slightest what Sen. Obama says, the Republicans will still put an Alice in Wonderland spin on it. His supporters ought not do the same.
10:33 PM on 07/06/2008
Wow, you've bought into the right-wing lies so easily here, its just sad.

what part of the word 'refine' do you not understand the dictionary definition of? to 'refine' something means, by definition, to improve it. NOTHING Obama said indicates any sort of change of position. why are even Democrats so ready to believe Karl Rove's false narratives? boggles the mind.
12:03 AM on 07/06/2008
"Iraq is a winning issue for Democrats."

Or so they thought, anyway!
How dare he mess with the plan.
They've been funding this thing for a year and a half so that they could run against it.
11:05 PM on 07/05/2008
Thank you for an excellent and well-written article. I agree with you - which can get one into hot water in some places nowadays. Please keep on saying what you mean. You do speak for many of us.
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egal
Reality disagrees with Conservative assessments
10:53 PM on 07/05/2008
Don't forget to add that, unlike McCain, Obama intends to take responsible action that is best for America, Iraq, and our soldiers even if it means he must go slower or more piece by piece than he and our people would prefer. We got into the war irresponsibly and illegally, we Surged too late, pointlessly, and unproductively, and we'd be fools to pull out with the same disregard for law, conscience, and the people of our nation.
10:34 PM on 07/06/2008
exactly correct. enough of this silly concern-trolling, as is in evidence in this post. Obama has not changed positions on this issue in the least, he's always said he'd listen to military commanders, he's always said it would take time and occur more slowly in areas which were less stable. always, in every one of his measured statements on the issue, this has been his position. this 'soft on Iraq' crap is all the Repugs have to fling, and unfortunately, some of it is sticking to the wall. real Dems should know better.
09:47 PM on 07/05/2008
Bill,

I really enjoy your show.

On this topic you are worrying about nothing. Barack Obama came out again on July 3 and reiterated his postion. He was crystal clear. It was wonderful to a leader talk so clearly about what he was going to do. He was the one that will make the mission decision to end the war.

This focus should be why does Bush/McCain/McBush want to stay indefinitely. It is imperialism or empire building. They want a permanent presence in Iraq. Barack Obama clearly said we are getting our troups out. He gave a time table with common sense adjustments as required, but his intent to get the troops out within 16 months.

He is quite comfortable with his position and that he will have the authority to do it as President.

Barack Obama is an adult who treats us like adults. Maybe we will get an adult in the White House this time.
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09:33 PM on 07/05/2008
It's clear, Bill Press, that Obama and his brain trust are uncertain of how far they must move to the center so as not to antagonize the non-idealogists who make up much of the middle class on such phony issues of patriotism and faith while appealing to all segments of society on economic issues which are painfully very real. This strategy is particularly important in the traditionally red state push now being tried.

They're pretty sure the left will not abandon them even as their stances on Iraq and FISA soften, just as they're pretty sure that Hillary's supporters, still smarting from their recent defeat, will eventually come home.

Time will tell if their fine tuning will work.
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LizM
My micro-bio is too long for this space.
09:22 PM on 07/05/2008
I'm not sure what the thinking was behind the vote on the October 2002 Iraq resolution of Hillary Clinton or John Edwards...or John McCain, for that matter. Who knows what motivates these people to do what they do or even if either of them understood what the AUMF was all about.

But, I can damn sure guarantee you that Senator Biden DID NOT VOTE FOR WAR! And, anyone who still believes that a vote for the AUMF was anywhere near the equivalent of a vote for what the Bush-CHENEY regime did in Iraq needs to seriously revisit the entire matter.

I might also add that if Senator Obama wants to get elected, end the civil war in Iraq and withdraw US forces without leaving a failed state behind, then he better soon realize that he needs Joe Biden at his side as Vice President With Special Portfolio on Iraq.
10:37 PM on 07/06/2008
"Senator Biden DID NOT VOTE FOR WAR!" - um, Biden totally voted for the war. Obama was not in the Senate when the vote was cast, but at the time it was cast he said specifically that he would not have voted for it, citing Dick Durbin's speech against the bill as being reflective of his reasoning, aside from his previous statements against the idea of initiating war with Iraq.
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LizM
My micro-bio is too long for this space.
12:13 AM on 07/07/2008
To argue that a vote for this resolution was the equivalent of a "vote for war" betrays a fundamental misunderstanding of the resolution and of the context within which that vote took place. In fact, a vote in favor of the resolution can more accurately be described as a concerted effort to avoid war.

Unfortunately, there has been such a tremendous amount of misinformation and spin disseminated over this resolution that it is difficult to recognize the truth of the matter. If you want a better understanding of what the AUMF and a vote in favor of it was all about, then you really need to take a good look at the debate in the US Senate which preceded the vote. You will also need to focus on the senators who actually knew what the heck they were talking about - personally, I would suggest you pay particular attention to all of Senator Biden's statements on the subject.

Senator Obama has been disingenuous or not sufficiently informed in his statements about what this resolution was all about and in suggesting that a vote in favor of it was a de facto vote for war. Frankly, I don't think he actually believes his own rhetoric. I believe he has used this issue - with great success - to portray himself as someone with superior judgement on the war in an effort to compensate for his paucity of foreign policy prowess.
09:05 PM on 07/05/2008
Note to all who think that Obama is not going to continue going softer on Iraq. THINK AGAIN!
02:33 AM on 07/06/2008
mergina:

What exactly do you mean by "going soft on Iraq?" You have to articulate the basis of your accusation rather appealing to our emotions and biases. May be you can also tell us what is the opposite of "going softer on Iraq." Is that the Bush/McCain way?