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Bill Schneider

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The Times They Are A-Changin'

Posted: 03/13/2012 1:05 pm

"Come senators, congressmen
Please heed the call
Don't stand in the doorway
Don't block up the hall
For he that gets hurt
Will be he who has stalled
There's a battle outside
And it is ragin'
It'll soon shake your windows
And rattle your walls
For the times they are a-changin'..."

-Bob Dylan

The battles of the sixties may finally be over. How do we know? Because 2012 looks like the first election in nearly 50 years in which social issues are working to the advantage of Democrats.

Chinese President Hu Jintao's visit to the United States in 2011 provoked a thought. In the 1960s, China experienced the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution. They got over it. In the 1960s, the United States experienced the Great American Cultural Revolution. We never got over it.

Until now.

Eight years ago, Bill Clinton offered this defining explanation of American politics:

If you look back on the sixties and, on balance, you think there was more good than harm in it, you're probably a Democrat. And if you think there's more harm than good, you're probably a Republican.

The sixties opened up the great divide between left and right in American politics. It was a divide over values. Educated upper-middle class liberals embraced the great social causes of the sixties -- civil rights, anti-war, women's rights, gay rights. Republicans profited from the backlash against those causes. Richard Nixon used his "southern strategy" to fold racial backlash voters, North and South, into the GOP. Ronald Reagan added the religious right -- Americans who see abortion rights and gay rights as an assault on their religious freedom.

Since 1968, social issues have paid off for Republicans. In 1968, Democrats lost votes on the Vietnam war and the law-and-order issue. In 1972, it was "acid, amnesty and abortion." In 1980 and 1984, the religious right rallied voters for Reagan. In 1988, it was criminal furloughs, the death penalty and the pledge of allegiance. In 1994, it was the gun issue. In 2004, it was same-sex marriage.

The Republican Party acquired a new populist base. They call themselves "values voters." That populist base is now in revolt. Their message? We won't have Mitt Romney shoved down our throats. Their champion? The improbable Rick Santorum.

Santorum said JFK's speech calling for the strict separation of church and state made him want to "throw up." He called President Obama "a snob" for wanting every American to go to college. Santorum is no Ronald Reagan. He has very little plausibility as a serious contender for President, even among Republicans. In the Ohio exit poll, only 24 percent Republican voters thought Santorum was the most likely to defeat President Obama. Santorum's statements about religion and sex have made him a figure of mockery outside the hard-core right.

This year, every time a social issue comes up, it explodes in the Republican Party's face. When conservatives tried to define access to contraception as an affront to religious liberty, it made them look out of touch with reality. Rush Limbaugh's outrageous personal attack on a female law student was deeply offensive to women. Even same-sex marriage may not be the wedge issue it was in 2004, as public attitudes toward gay Americans have been shifting rapidly.

Democrats learned through bitter experience that Americans do not want to glorify single mothers, homosexuals, illegal immigrants and other unconventional groups. But they don't want to stigmatize them either. Conservative rhetoric on social issues has become harshly stigmatizing. It has acquired a tone of meanness -- too much harsh denunciation, too much smug self-righteousness, too many issues posed as "us" versus "them."

Ronald Reagan was not a hater. He shared none of the malice that we see in this year's campaign. Reagan never veered from his conservative faith, but he never stigmatized those who disagreed with him. He made it clear that they were welcome in the party.

The last four Presidents have gotten elected on a pledge to end the bitter divisions in American politics. The first President Bush offered "a kinder, gentler" politics. He lasted one term. Bill Clinton called himself "a New Democrat" and an advocate of the Third Way. He got impeached. The second President Bush said he would be "a uniter, not a divider." He took a divided country and divided it even more. Barack Obama created a sensation when he said in 2004, "There's not a liberal America and a conservative America -- there's the United States of America." He got a Tea Party revolt.

What will it take to end the division? A great national trauma? We had one, on September 11, 2001. For one year after that terrible event, the country came together. Until September 2002, when the Bush administration began "the Iraq war roll-out" and all the old divisions resurfaced.

President Obama was not a child of the sixties like Bill Clinton. He was too young. In his book The Audacity of Hope, Obama wrote that as he reflected on the 2000 and 2004 elections, "I sometimes felt as if I were watching the psychodrama of the baby boom generation -- a tale rooted in old grudges and revenge plots hatched on a handful of college campuses long ago."

In 2008, Republicans tried to make an issue out of Obama's association with former sixties radical Bill Ayers and with inflammatory preacher Jeremiah Wright. It didn't work. Still, President Obama remains the symbol of the transformation wrought by the sixties. He is the nation's first African-American President. He came into prominence as an antiwar Democrat. His enemies brand him a socialist and an illegitimate president because he embodies cultural changes they have never accepted. The culture war is over. This may be the year conservatives finally realize it.

 

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08:41 AM on 03/14/2012
Not a fan of Schneider but a good article.
05:57 AM on 03/14/2012
Hunter Thompson's Fear and Loathing is finally blowing up in the Republicans' faces.
11:44 PM on 03/13/2012
Great article!
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NeoLiberal
Conservatism is obsolete.
10:38 PM on 03/13/2012
The only way culture war will continue is if its weapons are bequeathed and taught to our children.

That's the only way it will be perpetuated.

Stop the spread of weapons of hate, weapons of intolerance, weapons of division.

How can the GOP assert itself as a party for all of the country, when it continues to divide it into "us" versus "them."

This strategy is unsustainable.
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lafrance
07:18 PM on 03/13/2012
basically, the republicans won battles in the culture war and as a result dominated elections over the last 40 years. And were able to divide america in an era of resentment and anger and hate.
But, in the end the democrats won the war. Middle america not only came to accept civil rights, equal rights but, now even gay americans are able to marry their loves and be a family.
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JacksonJones
Absit iniuria verbis!
07:08 PM on 03/13/2012
Well said, Judge. I hope your last sentence is true, but I ain't holding my breath.
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gevan
big dubya
07:07 PM on 03/13/2012
They are not dead yet, so reportage of their demise is grossly exaggerated.
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demisfine
Often correct, NEVER right.
06:20 PM on 03/13/2012
Schneider is always balanced and reasoned. This article is no exception.
I hope that we, as democrats, can motivate enough qualified voters to satisfy Rove's new regulations and put an end to the TP Obstruction.
We need some of the energy and enthusiasm of the 60s in the electorate again.
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lafrance
07:18 PM on 03/13/2012
you said it so well. much agreed.
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VISO
05:32 PM on 03/13/2012
Excellent essay, and let's hope the majority of Americans have moved forward as well.
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The Dogginator
Got my dillies on the peppatain
05:24 PM on 03/13/2012
The culture wars are winding down and the republicans lost. The times and social mores are "progressing" quickly towards a more liberal viewpoint.
Jay Haney
My nuclear family imploded when I was 18. I've bee
05:18 PM on 03/13/2012
As far as I'm concerned, the battles of the sixties finally ended in the aftermath of the 2004 election, when we realized that W was going to leave us dangling over a pit for as long as it profited him and his backers. I had too many vivid flashes of my history classes concerning the Roaring Twenties to think that the end result would be anything other than a disaster. But the economic crashout was beyond my worst nightmares. Add soldiers stuck in a pair of wars coming back to find nothing for them and you've got a whole new set of battles for the next half century.
05:05 PM on 03/13/2012
Lots of luck even trying to get the GOP to change with the times.
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NeoLiberal
Conservatism is obsolete.
10:40 PM on 03/13/2012
Species that don't evolve, go extinct, right?

So much for cultural evolution.
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03:27 PM on 03/14/2012
Conservatives, white knuckled, trying to hold on to the past powers and mindsets like a frightened toddler hiding under a moth eaten old security blanket. The conservative view, one of immovability, is doomed to be on the losing side of every humanist issue in history.
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frizzy140
moderate in an extreme world
04:19 PM on 03/13/2012
i sincerely hope you are correct, thank you for the article.
04:01 PM on 03/13/2012
I don't see the GOP much differently than the Democrats, but I think your point is largely in the noise with the mainstream. I'm reminded very much lately of Carville's "it's the economy, stupid" strategy.

It's not difficult to believe that you see conservative rhetoric as stigmatizing, while completely leaving out the stigmatization of conservatives by liberals even at prominent elected levels. Obama's clinging to guns and religion remarks, Pelosi's rhetoric of fear of violence and comparisons to a certain German regime. Others saying conservatives want old people to die, children to starve, and illegal immagrant families carved up. Still others saying they want dirty air and water. Maybe it's gone on so long you simply no longer notice. Except the TEA Party was the awakening of silent conservatives and that got your attention. Those people had to be stigmatized by the elected liberal elite and by the media - probably even you, so that was "good" stimatization.

Liberals won't win using their one-sided views of social issues, like the recent birth control distraction. While there is much recent bluster about the supposed "war on women," I think most see the absurdity in this, and birth control doesn't seem to appear as most women's top issue. I can certainly understand your hope that this will change, but like before everyone knows "it's the economy, stupid." And, energy prices don't lie, even if incumbents do.
CognitoErgoSum
CogitoErgoSum was taken when I signed up.
10:50 PM on 03/13/2012
The right-wing have gone so far off the deep end, their views don't deserve the dignity of the false equivalency of which you are trying to accuse Democrats. Crazy is crazy. Mean is mean.
09:43 AM on 03/14/2012
In other words, they don't agree with you.
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mkelch
Know or listen to those that know.
04:01 PM on 03/13/2012
Good call Mr. Schneider. I'm not a mental monster but it seems to me that values voter have exposed their offensive ways this past year. I thought that the budget battle last summer was the climax but after the religion/contraception hysteria it appears things can get worse.