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The myth is that the Iowa caucuses are the purest form of American participatory democracy because the process forces presidential candidates to humbly campaign among ordinary people - farmers, waitresses, factory workers, schoolteachers - and that somehow this down-home homage to small scale glad handing will bring forth a unique wisdom for the rest of the country to follow.
But it's all bunk.
The undemocratic and unrepresentative nature of the caucuses is obvious to everyone concerned, except to the presidential candidates who shamelessly pander to Iowa voters in every way possible, keeping their silence about this hypocrisy.
The first rule of a presidential campaign is never to insult the Iowa caucuses. The second rule is to support all farm subsidies, including corn ethanol, despite the fact that most subsidies benefit huge agribusinesses, and to always be against any regulations that seek to control sewerage overflow from the huge pig farms.
To succeed, candidates from both parties are required to adjust their positions to court white voters, elderly voters, conservative social concerns, and a demagogic anti-immigrant rhetoric. All this is done to garner support from Iowans who are not very representative of the country as a whole.
The first problem with the Iowa caucuses is that they are not an election in any rational definition of the term. The media and the public will never really learn who won the most votes in the Democratic caucus. What we get after the voting is done are "delegate equivalents" won by each candidate. The winner of the "popular vote" will not be the winner declared by the networks. Rural counties are wildly over represented - clearly violating the "one man, one vote" Supreme Court ruling.
It's not that the Democratic Party does not know the actual "one-man, one-vote" totals. It is just that they will keep it a secret. Republicans are more forthright; they report the actual votes.
For the most part, the Iowa caucuses are grossly undemocratic because the zany process excludes large numbers of voters. Fewer than one in twenty voters will attend the caucuses.
Among the disenfranchised are the National Guard and other members of the Armed Forces serving overseas in Iraq and Afghanistan, families with young children who can't spare several hours without a babysitter, sick people, elderly people in nursing homes, blue collar workers who have to work nights, people who want to keep their political preferences private, and scores of other groups that have a right to be heard.
Absentee ballots are not allowed. Your ballot is not secret. And if you don't get there by 7 pm, you can't vote.
The result is that the attendees are very different from the average Iowa voter and the average Iowa voter is very different from the average American voter.
Nevertheless, these Iowa voters will have up to 20 times the influence of voters in other states when it comes to picking the next president, according to a recent study of past elections by economists Brian Knight and Nathan Schiff from Brown University.
The authors speculate that if states other than Iowa and New Hampshire had voted first in 2004, the nominee (and perhaps the president) might have been John Edwards rather than John Kerry.
This year especially, the problem is exacerbated because there will be almost no time to come back from a bad showing. With the New Hampshire primary only five days away, the Iowa winner will benefit from a massive springboard effect for subsequent primaries and maybe even deliver the eventual nomination.
This is due to the fact that the Iowa result establishes "electability" and "electability" is a major factor in how up to 60% of voters choose whom to vote for. Most polls show that Democrats and Republicans would rather nominate a candidate who can win, rather than one who agrees with their positions.
Because of the bitterly polarized climate in this election cycle, Democrats are more than desperate to win and Republicans are clinging with their fingernails to a slippery slope to retain their power, perks, and policies.
Many of the major candidates have been tagged with the "unelectable" label. Establishing "electability" in this election is fundamental. A win in Iowa highlighted by the media can change this for Hillary, Obama, Rudy, Huckabee, and Romney.
These odious caucuses are democracy at its worst and it is irresponsible of the media, the political parties, and the courts to continue this anachronistic travesty.
Why are we letting this Byzantine system play such a large role in choosing our next president?
Ratings and money for the networks of course.
jfleetwood@aol.com
Follow Blake Fleetwood on Twitter: www.twitter.com/Blakefleet
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I couldn't agree more.
If the US really was a democracy Gore would have been president instead of Bush, after all he did get almost 1 million more votes.
Enthusiastic cheer.
.. I guess this what the Democrats know about "cities" since they all voted for Reagan, moved to the suburbs and started to "get tough" on ALL the kids left behind... and call it "compassion" (translation: Juvie or Jail).
But the Democratic party has proved that it's just about suburban landholders. The rest of us are just living the vote warehouse that constitute "high minority population centers," "little blue islands," and "poverty clusters".
Urban residents should have a party that actually gives a shit about urban residents. Both parties suck.
Urban areas should start initiating shut downs until we have a functioning voting system and the electoral college is removed.
Although the process may be quaint and not practical for larger states, I totally support the process. This decision should be debated in open forum. God forbid the populace has to think or support their positions.
I guess you would prefer 30 second attack ads and electronic voting machines (those can't be altered right?). Ask Greg Plast how "fair" our elections are.
Cajun, you're right about the grammar point, but the content is spot on!! If I had to spend hours listening to a bunch of idiots decry the candidate of my choice in order to make my voice heard in that fray, I probably wouldn't show up at all. And I'd likely move to a state where I would be able to choose from ALL of those running for the office, rather than those who were stupid enough to waste campaign money on a state that no one--least of all, elected presidents--pays attention to.
nservative , etc./etc. dividers might do, and better spend their time deciding who is the "real deal" instead!
Voting should be a private undertaking, not a social event. Voters should not be influenced by local social pressures, media "candidate beauty contest" pressures, or any influence other than their due diligence in investigating the candidates' backgrounds, policy positions, characters, and aspirations before casting their vote.
Furthermore, their votes should be cast on a single NATIONAL Primary day all across the country about 4 months before the general election. Thus, people could not be influenced by the additional pressures of pondering what the "big" states (which should be taken out of the equation anyway) might do, or the North/South, liberal/co
We should all be taking a hard look at the process and ways of improving it ASAP, because "Divide and conquer" is the new motto of the land, courtesty of the influence peddlers, and we need to do everything we can to countermand their power ASAP before we have none of our own.
Thank you, Blake, for a well-written, cogent, meaningful, and thoughtful post!!
I don't know if the way we do things here in Iowa is the best way or not, but I do know that the Iowan's who participate are far more informed about the candidates and issues than those who listen to a "swift boat ads" and 30 second half truths then go cas a ballot. Want proof just look at our current president and ask yourself how he got elected twice.
>Less than one in twenty voters will attend the caucuses.<
Please. 'Fewer' for number. 'Less' for amount or quantity.
Should read: 'Fewer than one in twenty...'
'A sect or party is an elegant incognito devised to save a man from the vexation of thinking.' -Ralph Waldo Emerson
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