A fog of doom and gloom has descended over the Left Coast. I was out of the country for a couple of weeks and returned to find dispirited Lefties huddled in small groups, clutching their Chai Lattes, and muttering, "Mitt Romney is coming! Mitt Romney is coming!" Many of my homies believe it is inevitable that Barack Obama will not be reelected. Fear not liberals, Obama can still win.
Here are 10 reasons why Obama can win in November. That's not to say he will win, but rather that it's possible if he, and we, get our acts together.
1. It's not over until it's over. It's slightly less than 5 months before we cast our ballots on November 6, 2012; plenty of time for conditions to change. The economy could get better. Romney could make a terrible mistake. Obama could find his mojo. And liberals could decide to work for Obama with the rationale:better a glass half full than one that is empty.
2. Obama has come from behind before. When Obama declared his candidacy on February 10, 2007, few give him any chance of securing the Democratic nomination -- the ascension of Hillary Clinton seemed inevitable. Then when he won the Iowa primary, many regarded it as a fluke and predicted his campaign would be over on Super Tuesday. Then when he took the delegate lead, there were rocky moments -- his association with Reverend Wright, the "bitter" remarks -- but Obama prevailed.
3. Romney is a terrible candidate. While Obama can be a great campaigner, Romney gives no indication that he will excite his own party, much fewer voters in general. Romney won't do well in the debates and will lose all favorability comparisons to Obama. Nonetheless, in 2008 John McCain was a terrible candidate -- certainly worse than Romney -- and he received 46 percent of the vote. Obama can win the popularity contests but still lose unless Democrats get out the vote.
4. Republican ideology has gone off the tracks. It's important for lefties to take a deep breath and consider what this election is about. It's not as simple as winning and losing. It's about the future of civilization, as we know it, because the modern Republican Party is filled with radical ideologues -- politicians who will say and do anything to win; it's Voldemort and the death eaters.
5. The Republican strategy is obvious. It's not like Republicans have a stealth 2012 presidential strategy. First, they will nominate a "sock-puppet" candidate who will smile at the camera, mouth whatever inanities GOP party bosses feed him and follow the party line. Second, they'll spend billions of dollars on attack ads to convince swing voters that Obama is responsible for all of America's problems. Third, they'll arrange to disenfranchise certain demographics that are highly likely to vote Democratic, such as poor black voters. Fourth, they'll convince liberals that things are so bad they shouldn't vote at all or if they do, write in Dennis Kucinich.
6. Money isn't everything. Obama will raise millions of dollars, but because of the Citizens United decision, Republicans will raise more. That sounds bad because that will give Republicans the opportunity to run attack ads 24/7 in the swing states that will decide the election. While Obama obviously needs money, what he needs more than anything is a coherent campaign. Remember that in the 2010 California Gubernatorial election, Republican Meg Whitman outspent Jerry Brown 5 to 1 ($177 million vs. $36 million). Whitman lost because she ran a terrible campaign.
7. Republicans don't have a positive message. Romney's campaign is based upon convincing voters that Obama caused all America's problems when the truth is that Republican policies -- starting with Ronald Reagan -- caused the economic malaise we are suffering through. Romney, a gilt-edged member of the 1 percent, has to convince voters that giving him more tax breaks will help them.
8. Obama has time to develop a winning narrative. Obama has shown remarkable resiliency and it's entirely possible that he can develop a winning narrative. Obama's on the right track when he talks about inequality, but that alone won't swing the election. Obama needs to take off the gloves and tell the truth: Republicans created the economic mess the U.S. is suffering through and the election of Mitt Romney would only make things worse.
9. Republicans are fighting for greed, we're fighting for democracy. The Occupy Wall Street movement indicates a deep level of discontent in the U.S. that could be channeled to provide the momentum for positive change in the 2012 election. The notion that the 1 percent -- corporation executives, Wall Street tycoons, and fat cats in general -- are living in a different reality than the 99 percent has traction. Obama has to harness this. This election is about whether the U.S. will cease being a democracy and instead become a plutocracy; whether unfettered capitalism will be allowed to run over the rights and dignity of ordinary people.
10. Democracy is worth fighting for. If Obama will lead the charge, he can win.
Bob Burnett: Obama vs. Romney: The Economy
Clarence B. Jones: The Politically Treacherous Landscape Confronting President Obama's Re-Election
Lincoln Mitchell: Why Is the Republican Party Still Trying to Define President Obama?
 |
 |
|
| Obama | Romney | |
|---|---|---|
| Electoral Votes (270 to win) |
332 | 206 |
| Obama | Romney | |
|---|---|---|
| Total | 65,899,660 | 60,932,152 |
| Percent | 51.1% | 47.2% |
| Democrats* | Republicans | |
|---|---|---|
| Current Senate | 53 | 47 |
| Seats gained or lost | +2 | -2 |
| New Total | 55 | 45 |
| Democrats | Republicans | |
|---|---|---|
| Seats won | 201 | 234 |
And this should be repeated as often as we can get it said.
His own party consists of "anybody-but-Obama" voters, so I don't think Romney is gonna have much trouble there.
How the current state of things like unemployment rate being oh so much better is not a talking point is it?
The WH needs to leak top secret classified information to make itself look better and tougher on Terrorism. A word that it can't even bother to use when describing some of the troubles in the world.
Fast and Furious, when will Obama do something about this? What admit someone very near him did something wrong? Never!
National debt, Obama makes Bush look like a fiscally conscious tightwad!
Passed an unconstitutional healthcare law. Well very likely we will find out in a couple of weeks at the latest!
http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/magazine/march_april_2012/features/obamas_top_50_accomplishments035755.php
In fact their stealth agendas would be far more exposed with one central figurehead in the public eye having to justify them at every turn.
Chickens roosting at Colonel Sanders will remain more obliviously content if they don't see the cooks and frying pans in the kitchen.
Currently the Forces of the Right are working on all cylinders through the Supreme Court, the Media, control of the Congress and many extra legislative and extra legal means.
A Romney Presidency would be so divisive and radical that the Republican juggernaut/train would go right off the tracks slowly but surely.
Is the GOP evil? I don't know but it's certainly misguided and certainly needs to throw away the toxic mix.
Having said that I'm a firm believer that the R's have put us on the road to ruin. As the country has drifted ever more rightward since reagan (de-reg of wall st, wealth concentrated upward for example) the middle class shrinks. The income gains or not, over that period can not be denied.
The RW policy makers don't dispute this direction, the applaud and brazenly implement it.
If this weren't on Huffington Post I would be thinking....this is the mainstream media ginning up a horse race when the race isn't very close.
President Obama is at least tied and in many cases leading Gov.Romney by a couple of points.
But, then again, at this time in 1980 President Carter was 14 points up.
11. Large lead among women voters.
12. Large lead among voters 18-29
13. Even larger lead among Latinos
14. Even bigger lead among African Americans
15. Significant lead in projected electoral votes (which are all that really count at the end of the day)