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Brent Budowsky

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Hillary Wins Big in 2012

Posted: 11/03/11 07:47 PM ET

This column is dedicated to the late Dorothy Rodham, a very proud mom and grandma who did good in the world.

The true political state of the union is best revealed in a recent poll in Time magazine that found that Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton would win an epic and possibly realigning landslide in a presidential election against any Republican candidate.

First, the numbers. Then, the reasons.

In the Time poll, Clinton would defeat Mitt Romney by a whopping 55 percent to 38 percent. She would defeat Rick Perry by an even more devastating 58 percent to 32 percent.

These are realigning numbers. In this hypothetical match-up, the Clinton landslide would be so huge, and the Republican defeat so catastrophic, that Democrats would almost certainly regain control of the House and maintain control of the Senate.

In the Time poll, President Obama also defeats any candidate in the Republican field, though by far smaller margins than Clinton. Anyone who suggests that "Obama is toast" should not be taken seriously.

I believe the president, whom I support, would be a slight favorite in a close election against Romney, and could win a landslide against other Republicans, who have not come close to crossing the threshold of being serious contenders for commander in chief.

The lesson of the Time poll, which I believe would be replicated in other polls, though possibly not as dramatically, is this:

The next great realignment in American politics is very likely to be a Democratic realignment. It cannot be a Republican realignment, because the GOP has moved so far to the extreme right that it is now far outside the mainstream of American opinion.

While it is true that Hillary Clinton's huge popularity is partly due to her being removed from partisan politics as secretary of State, there are other powerful messages for both parties in her soaring popularity.

Hillary Clinton represents the brand of the Democratic Party embodied by traditional Democratic presidents in hard economic times. She is identified with the great prosperity of the Bill Clinton presidency. But there are other powerful forces at work:

Hillary Clinton is part of what I once called "The Female Century." Throughout the nation and around the world there is an epochal movement toward true equality for women.

By contrast, some Republicans slander Planned Parenthood. Many Republicans aggressively oppose pay equity for women. Congressional Republicans launch hostile attacks on countless programs that benefit women.

I have written before, and will write again, that a tidal wave of support from female voters will be a powerful factor helping the president and Democrats in 2012.

This "woman power" that benefits Hillary Clinton with women now benefits her with many men as well. In an economy where many view the 1 percent as unfairly gaining at the expense of the other 99 percent, Hillary Clinton is seen as a fighter. She never gives up. She is a voice for those who feel disempowered, including white male blue-collar workers, blacks who feel trapped in joblessness and injustice, Hispanics who are told their dreams can no longer come true and seniors who trust Hillary Clinton as their protector.

Hillary Clinton will not run for president in 2012. She will be one of the greatest assets of President Obama, who had the good judgment to name her secretary of State.

Hillary Clinton disproves the notion that America is a rightist nation. If the 2016 election were held today, America would not turn to the right, it would turn to Clinton.

In the eyes of voters, Hillary Clinton is the North Star of an America where Democrats act like Democrats and where every woman deserves equal pay, every worker deserves a job and nobody should be left behind.

The great source of Clinton's strength is that the dreams of women are the dreams for all. Dorothy Rodham was one great mom who raised one great daughter. If Democrats remember why, they will do just fine in 2012.

This column was originally published at The Hill.

 
 
 
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chuck nathaniel
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10:30 PM on 11/05/2011
Part of why Obama appealed to youth voters in 08 was precisely because he wasn't a Clinton. Most young people despise the Clintons, because they associate that name with neo/prog policies like NAFTA.
jhNY
Mercy.
12:21 PM on 11/04/2011
Hillary Clinton is not quite the paragon and repository of traditional Democratic Party values you make her out to be. After all, she's her husband's wife, and he has a bit of 'splainin' to do re the deregulation of Wall Street. His devil's compact with donors from the financial sector, though it bankrolled the party, has made the party neo-liberal at the top, attentive to the iron whims of its donor base, while remarkably deaf to the needs of its voter base-- and Hillary is very much on board with the bankrollers and the party hierarchy.

I supported Hillary Clinton in 2008-- not for the reasons outlined above, obviously, but because she has a fine sense of who her friends and her enemies are. She would never have bothered to attempt getting along with those sworn to her destruction, as President Obama fruitlessly has done. She is committed, and has been for her professional life, to social issues in a practical way that would have resonated throughout the party's elected had she won, and might have resulted in a bit more support for the downtrodden than we presently can point to. Plus she knew how DC worked already, as she is a policy wonk like her husband, and a pragmatic politician who knows where the real power lies throughout the various agencies and departments, and so could have begun to work effectively from the first day in office.
08:30 AM on 11/04/2011
It is completely ridiculous to take one poll and build an entire story promoting any candidate. Hillary Clinton has many right wing supporters who admire her neocon approach to foreign policy and her wullingness to get dirty against Obama when she ran against him and many people now realize that the wall street bubble that Bill Clinton and his cprrupt pro-wall street econimic team created by deregulation is hardly something to ne proud and in fact helped lead.to the meltdown we are still suffering from.
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05:05 AM on 11/04/2011
I disagree with Hillary on a great many things. However, I do believe that she would have done a far better job than Obama has been doing. I believe that our economy would be in better shape, and government spending would be far less.

I can disagree with her while still giving her credit where it's due, and she's a competent individual. With input from Bill (just like he probably had input from her during his tenure), she'd have run this country in a much better direction than Obama has taken it.
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alkamm
Brevity is the soul of lingerie.
11:24 AM on 11/04/2011
The Republican Party would have been just as uncooperative with Hillary, if not more so. I'm sure that she would have done about the same as Obama, without perhaps getting Osama bin Laden because it was a risky proposition and not a good one for triangulation.
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03:29 AM on 11/05/2011
I disagree with you. I believe that Hillary is a much more unifying figure with a better grasp of economics, who wouldn't have overreached on her authority so far.
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01:20 PM on 11/07/2011
I believe if Hillary Clinton had become president, we would deeper in wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and would have a new war with Iran, possibly including use of tactical nuclear weapons.

She seems to have a real pyschological need to prove she is "tough" and an appaling lack of good judgment when it comes to issues of war and peace.
11:17 PM on 11/03/2011
I hear what you say, but unfortunately the Democratic candidate running for president is Obama and not Hillary. I wonder how many people now have buyer's remorse.

A pox on the party leadership and their corrupt super delegate system for casting Hillary aside. It was clear to anyone with an ounce of common sense that she was far more experienced and prepared to be president in 2008 than Obama, who at the time that he decided to run for president had barely served 2 years in the senate.
07:32 AM on 11/04/2011
Total BS. And stop with the victim mentality. Is anything ever the Clinton's fault?
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alkamm
Brevity is the soul of lingerie.
11:25 AM on 11/04/2011
The voters and caucus goers picked the right candidate. Republican intransigence is to blame for the difficulties our country is in, and they'll pay for that, not Obama.
11:58 PM on 11/08/2011
That's your opinion, in the opinion of many other people Obama was the wrong nominee.
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themightyabealrd
screw the real world-I'm an artist!
10:01 PM on 11/03/2011
Yes, Mrs. Rodham did raise her daughter well. A few years ago, one reporter asked Clinton for her take on an Ann Coulter quote from Coulter's book 'Godless'. It was one of Ann's insanely offensive remarks that attacked the widows of 9/11 first responders. A woman of lesser quality would likely have insulted and derided Coulter with a personal smear. Ms. Clinton simply replied, "Perhaps she should have called her book 'Heartless'." Just the right tone-devastating without stooping to the other woman's level of venom.