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Brian Keane

Brian Keane

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A Two-Pronged Approach For Relief at the Pump

Posted: 04/29/11 05:37 PM ET

Whether you're left, right, Republican or Democrat, and whether you drive a car or a bicycle, the cost of gasoline in America affects you.

The cost of gasoline affects your neighbors and your community. It makes it harder for people you know and work with to pay for food and transportation. It makes anything derived from petroleum -- and that list is longer than you may realize -- more expensive. None of that is good for the economy -- and none of that is good for American families.

But let's be clear: we aren't facing a gas crunch. On the contrary, Exxon Mobil, BP and the rest of their ilk are still getting as much oil out of the ground today as they were six months ago.

What we're facing today is a "futures" problem. Instead of facing a gas shortage, the markets see Libya, and the unrest in the Middle East, and then costs escalate. Players in the gasoline market are looking at long-term signals and betting on a shortage of gasoline in the future.

With this is mind, I think President Obama should embark on a two-pronged approach. First, he must address and ease the immediate escalation of gas prices to ensure our economy doesn't slip into a double-dip recession. Second, he must craft and implement a long-term strategy that will kick our oil addition once and for all.

For the short-term fix, Obama needs to send signals that tell the market that he's moving on solutions to both our present woes and our future calamities. To send these signals -- which will put the brakes on rising prices at the pump -- the president could:

  1. Open the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. The reality is that these reserves only hold oil, which would still need to be refined. So this action would have zero impact on the availability of gas today. But availability isn't the issue. Opening up the reserves would be a major signal that could calm the jittery market. And as soon as prices start dropping, he can close up the reserve again.
  2. Win in Libya -- or at least double down. We need to resolve the situation in Libya soon, no matter what. Talking up how we're going to win this thing will send the appropriate signals to the markets.
  3. Meet with the American Petroleum Institute in a big public huddle about how we're all working on these issues -- and have the truckers' union join that meeting, too. By creating a national conversation around oil, Obama will send signals that he's engaged and fixing the problem. The market will respond accordingly.
  4. Call on OPEC to produce more oil. Again -- I know production isn't the problem. But it would send the right signals.

The assumption that pain at the gas pump will force Americans to change their behavior has some historical merit. But I can't in good conscience tell anyone that it makes sense to do nothing about rising gas prices. Indeed, I don't think anyone can credibly tell the president to simply ignore the politics of this problem. We absolutely want to mitigate climate change. But shocking our economy into a double-dip recession isn't the path any president should take.

As for a long-term strategy, President Obama already gets that. He knows this is really about a lack of choice in the marketplace. Until we do a better job of giving American consumers real choices -- real alternatives to cars that rely on gasoline -- it's not fair to saddle them with cost of this crisis.

We are a nation built upon the gas-powered automobile. When cars came in, we threw out streetcars and left most public transit options for densely populated urban centers to figure out. This has left us horribly dependent on our cars and the gasoline that powers them. Our demand for both is as inelastic as ever: as gas prices rise, we grit our teeth and pay them. Otherwise, we couldn't get to work, couldn't get our kids to school, couldn't buy groceries or visit a sick relative at the hospital. We are largely a nation of consumers with two transportation choices: to drive, or not to live.

We fix this with choice. Until we have a million electric vehicles on the road, supported by an interstate network of charging stations, or until we've scaled down the cost of hydrogen and biodiesel-fueled vehicles and connected American cities with high-speed rail, the average American's pool of transportation choices won't grow. This is why my organization is hard at work in Arizona and across the nation to promote EV technology and foster understanding of its benefits to consumers. This is also why it's so important that our leaders are thinking big and taking action on this issue. Apart from very real concerns about global warming and environmental degradation, there are very present concerns of poverty and survival, and these concerns are inseparable from how much it costs American families to get from point A to point B.

The solution for today's crisis is two-fold: send a series of signals that tell the markets that the future will be OK. And work aggressively to secure that future for all of us.

Brian Keane is the President of SmartPower, a non-profit marketing organization funded by private foundations to help build the clean energy marketplace by helping the American public become smarter about their energy use.

 
 
 

Follow Brian Keane on Twitter: www.twitter.com/SmartPower_org

Whether you're left, right, Republican or Democrat, and whether you drive a car or a bicycle, the cost of gasoline in America affects you. The cost of gasoline affects your neighbors and your commun...
Whether you're left, right, Republican or Democrat, and whether you drive a car or a bicycle, the cost of gasoline in America affects you. The cost of gasoline affects your neighbors and your commun...
 
 
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12:12 PM on 05/03/2011
Strong argument but a lot of strings to pull in the same direction.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
PAGasDriller
09:31 PM on 05/01/2011
Amazing that CNG was not mentioned in this article. We have so much of it here, it's much cleaner than oil, and it's CHEAP!
12:13 PM on 05/03/2011
Definitely a future player.
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morris111
fac fortia et patere
12:59 PM on 05/01/2011
No where does the author mention drilling for oil here in the U.S. That's also part of the solution- near and long term. The mere mention that the United States is going to open up long closed drilling areas, ANWR etc., and grant new refinery construction permits will cause the costs of oil to drop immediately.
03:24 PM on 05/01/2011
The point is not to drill for MORE oil, but to reduce our dependency on it because we are running out of available oil on the planet as a whole.
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morris111
fac fortia et patere
06:31 PM on 05/01/2011
The point IS to drill for more oil in the near term. Our economy is doing poorly. Cheap energy is one of the quickest ways to give the economy a start.

Domestic oil and gas exploration creates jobs, thousands of American jobs. Those job holders will pay LOTS of taxes, purchase goods, homes, autos (new, more efficient), etc, further stimulating the economy.

Lower energy prices will reduce transportation costs, extending the consumers buying power.

Lower energy costs will reduce food costs, extending the consumers buying power.

Increased domestic production will reduce our dependancy on foreign sources. It will keep more money here in the U.S. It will make us less vulnerable to the whims of OPEC and other oil exporters.

Continue with wind, solar, conservation, etc. They alone will not solve our energy and economic issues for years. Get to drilling. Get the economy and the country strong again.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Just4theHalibut
11:56 AM on 05/01/2011
I have been looking at two things for the last 2 months as gas prices surge upwards.
1. How many cars have more than one person in them.
2. How many people post to Craig's List for ride sharing.
Neither of first two statistics has increased significantly. (And yes, I do know something about sampling theory and running stats).
So. What is my conclusion? People in this part of Oregon do not care to change their behavior in a way that would decrease gas usage. Or at least the prices are not yet high enough for them to do so. ( I am aware many of them changed years ago, and, like me, ride a bike whenever possible; just saying the recent gas "crisis" seems to have had little effect). It would be interesting to see similar stats from other parts of the country.
I have heard (not measured directly) that ridership of my town's FREE buses has increased about 5%, a very small step in the right direction.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
lrobb
Gold Standard = four paws and a tail
11:24 AM on 05/04/2011
It is not practical for most people to share rides, use mass transit or bike where they need to go.

If you ride-share you are trapped in an unforgiving schedule which does not allow for unplanned overtime work or emergencies involving children. Unless you live in a major urban center, mass transit is almost useless because work, social and shopping centers are spread out over the entire community. Bike? Maybe, on the exceedingly few days it isn't raining, freezing, boiling and/or you don't need to look nice at the end of the ride.

Don't even get me started on why herding our citizens like cattle into small urban pens will never catch on. Let's just say I will never live anywhere there is not room for my grandchildren to play and my Goldens to run privately in my own large back yard behind a five foot fence.

We need to drill here and now--and use every other resource we have at the same time: Coal, natural gas, solar, wind, biofuel, hydrogen etc. More importantly we need to develop a cheap battery capable of storing enough electricity to power a vehicle costing around $15,000 for at least 250 miles.
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BluePhantom2
The Blacksmith & the Artist reflected in their art
09:54 AM on 05/01/2011
Wow thats a solution that solves nothing! Opening the strategic reserve solves nothing unless you want the US to get caught unprepared for a real disaster or oil shortage. OPEC is only going to do whats in OPEC's best interest and as you said there is no real oil shortage so they are not going to up there output when the issue is really about speculation. As for speculation call it what you want but they smooth out the market based on possible future issues (Thus the name speculators). If you want to ease speculation you need to demonstrate that the future is stable, something that the middle east isn't doing today thus the high prices. This is an arguement that never gets any traction here but it really is the best answer in two ways. Open up American drilling! I know it doesn't fix anything today but it dose show the speculators that America will increase the total oil production in the next few years. This will ease the market and prices will go down. It also creates jobs that can't be outsources to China or India so it's all good. I know the GIA crowd can't stand this but until there is an alternative energy source that can undersell oil, gas and natural gas this is the only way. And for the carbon crowd! Drilling elsewhere (Brazil) produces just as much carbon as drilling here but we get the jobs and the money stays in America.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Malcolm Hensley
Last of the Reagan Republicans
01:54 PM on 04/30/2011
Hey I have worked on energy projects from making uranium pellets to drilling additives to bio diesel and most in between!

Look no matter how much we drill we can not lower world wide oil prices! The large national oil companies of nations that include but not limited to Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iran along with the demand of oil from fast developing nations like China and India determine the price we pay for gasoline. This energy choice is only going to continue increasing in price. We may have some lows but the upward trend is unstoppable.

There is a way around this dilemma! Natural gas it's domestic we don't have enough ports to liquify it for export and it's cheap.

I drive a used CNG (compressed natural gas) Honda and have a fill station for my house. It cost me about $0.88/gallon of gasoline equivalent and at 35 miles per gallon that brings my price down to operate to $0.025/mile! The range is just over 200 miles.

A hybrid in CA cost $0.08/mile and even an electric car would cost $0.05/mile in California because of the high price of electricity!

My money is no longer going to support the large national oil companies of Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iran, and Venezuela.

I'm helping reduce our nation deficit, helping employ Americans here, helping to strengthen the dollar, reducing pollution, and saving money!

How many WINS is that?
10:40 PM on 04/30/2011
Not to be negative about CNG cars, I am a fan.

But Southern California EV owners can get tiered electric rates, which should bring electricity costs down around 2 to 3 cents per mile:

http://www.sce.com/PowerandEnvironment/PEV/rate-charging-options.htm

Many cities have such rates (I can get 7 cents/KWH here in MI.)
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Malcolm Hensley
Last of the Reagan Republicans
03:37 AM on 05/01/2011
I'm looking at electric cars but it's customer base due to range will be more limited than natural gas vehicles.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
aligatorhardt
Cut on the bias
04:02 PM on 05/02/2011
If we are to pay for the environmental consequences of drilling for fossil fuels, they should stay here for domestic use. Just putting the resources on the world market doesn't help us much as our resources are used up for some other countries to use and we are just left with the pollution. What about all the energy wasted to ship gas around the world?
08:19 PM on 04/29/2011
THE SOLUTION IS TO DRILL AND DRILL AND DRILL AND DRIVE THE PRICES DOWN AND THEN WHEN THE PRICES GO DOWN THEN ADD A 75 CENT TAX FOR ELECTRIC VECHICLES STARTING STATIONS.
07:08 PM on 05/11/2011
Drilling won't drive down prices. Supply-demand pricing only works in the presence of market competition, and the oil companies do not appear to be competing with each other; rather, they all take cues from what OPEC does. Indeed, if an American oil producer increased production, OPEC would decrease their own production to keep supply steady, and keep prices where they want them.

Competition needs to come from another direction that OPEC has no control over. This could be demand for EVs or CNG cars. If EVs begin to take real market share from gasoline, then - and only then - would you see pressure on the oil companies to cut into their record profits to give you lower gasoline prices, in order to hang on to market share.

This day is coming.
08:11 PM on 04/29/2011
oped wont drive down their prices? why should they?