iPhone app iPad app Android phone app Android tablet app More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
C. Christine Fair

GET UPDATES FROM C. Christine Fair
 

The Road From Abbottabad Leads to Lame Analysis

Posted: 06/21/11 06:30 PM ET

Enough fresh ink has been spilled about the harrowing straits through which the U.S.-Pakistan relationship is passing. While cooler heads such as Pakistan's Ambassador to the United States Husain Haqqani and U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates are seeking to explain to audiences at home and abroad the importance of the relationship, the genuine challenges that inhere in the bilateral partnership, and imagine a workable path forward; many other commentators have taken the recent events in Pakistan as an opportunity to stoke further anger and mistrust between the wary governments and their peoples.

While the Pakistani press is rife with caricatures of U.S. policy, distorted versions of history, and outright falsehoods, American journalists are capable of equal chicanery. Mr. Christopher Hitchens' latest offering in Vanity Fair, "From Abbottabad to Worse," is an appalling example of American commentary that undermines the efforts of saner voices in this critical debate.

His piece commences with a dramatic reference to rape -- not as a crime but as a punishment -- and honor killing. The former refers to the rare, horrific instances where women and girls are subject to sexual assault by, in the words of the author, "tribal and religious kangaroo courts." The latter refers to killing women (and sometimes men) in the name of honor. In this paragraph a complex polity of 180 million -- most of whom condemn both practices -- are essentialized as a barbarous people who embrace the notion that "moral courage consists of the willingness to butcher your own daughter." This literary amuse bouche foretells the absurdities, fallacies and dubious assertions in the rest of his troubling account of Pakistan's malaise.

He next characterizes President Asif Zardari as a man who "cringes daily in front of the forces who[sic] openly murdered his wife... A man so lacking in pride -- indeed lacking in manliness -- will seek desperately to compensate in other ways. Swelling his puny chest even more, he promises to resist the mighty United States, and to defend Pakistan's holy "sovereignty." This offensive passage reveals more about the psychology of the author than it does about that of President Zardari.

What are these "forces" that killed Benazir Bhutto? Mr. Hitchens wants the bravado of casting aspersions upon the Pakistani government. After all, only the government would have the authority to "contemptuously" order the crime scene to be "cleansed with fire hoses, as if to spit even on the pretense of an investigation." (Regrettably, all crime scenes -- big and small --are handled in this way in Pakistan.) However, there is no evidence that the government of Pakistan -- then under President Musharraf -- ordered her death. However, Mr. Hitchens here and throughout takes refuge in the pusillanimity of the passive tense by which he can intimate all the outlandish claims he wants without the responsibility of employing the active tense which requires him to name the agent of the action suggested. In fact, the U.S. government has consistently claimed that elements of the Pakistan Taliban ordered her death.

President Musharraf suffered considerably from her murder. Those with even a 4-year recollection of politics in Pakistan would remember that the United States had brokered a bizarre condominium by which Pervez Musharraf would remain president while Ms. Bhutto would become the Prime Minister following elections which were scheduled for late 2007. Musharraf had become politically isolated following a series of horrendous missteps and abuses of power. However, Washington was unwilling to let Musharraf slink into oblivion. So it devised a compact by which Mr. Musharraf could be laundered through the electoral legitimacy of Ms. Bhutto. With her demise -- and even public suspicion that he or his government had her killed -- Mr. Musharraf's political life in Pakistan was finished. He now lives in London with various legal woes awaiting him in Pakistan.

Mr. Hitchens' answer to "Why do they hate us" is no less preposterous and misleading. He contends that Pakistanis dislike the United States because they "owe us, and are dependent upon us." This is simply a mathematical canard. According to the USAID Green Book, in 2009, total economic assistance to Pakistan came to $1.35 billion and military assistance totaled $0.429 (for a grand sum of $1.78 billion). In 2009, Pakistan's gross domestic product was $162 billion. Calling this is a dependency is an obvious stretch. (In fairness, I too have been guilty of lapsing into this idiom until I crunched the numbers.)

By way of contrast, the United States gave Israel $2.43 billion in total economic and military assistance in 2009. Israel's GDP was $204 billion. As a percentage of GDP, U.S. total assistance to both countries are nearly the same (around 1 percent). Between 1962 and 2009, total economic and military assistance to Israel totaled $178 billion in constant 2009 U.S. dollars. In the same period, U.S. military and economic aid to Pakistan comes to $37 billion in constant 2009 U.S. dollars. But would Mr. Hitchens describe Israel as being dependent upon Washington? By his own argumentation, he would have to answer in the affirmative.

However, from the optic of the American legislator and citizen alike, U.S. assistance to Pakistan appears to be a relatively large sum that should prompt positive feelings for America, or at least dampen raging anti-U.S. sentiment, among Pakistanis. And Americans do expect their funds will be used to a good end rather than be gobbled up by corruption in the host nation and by their own national contractors who are often first-tier executors of U.S. projects. Americans also expect their economic assistance to buy them some sway with Pakistan due to other larger economic factors such as the U.S. role in the International Monetary Fund and other multi-lateral actors which has helped Pakistan considerably. Other forms of assistance such as debt relief are also important beyond the sum it totals. And the United States has been the biggest investor in Pakistan's human development, trumping Saudi Arabia and China long embraced as Pakistan's enduring friends. Mr. Hitchens characterization of Pakistan as "our goddam [sic] lapdog" is out of line.

However, the circus of inaccuracy is far from over. Mr. Hitchens then proceeds to announce that "Everybody knew that al-Qaeda forces were being sheltered in the Pakistani frontier town of Quetta..." Mr. Hitchens of course takes refuge again in the passive voice to avoid saying precisely who sheltered al Qaeda. It would appear that the author has confused al Qaeda (an international terrorist organization) and the Afghan Taliban (a regressive Pashtun-dominated Deobandi insurgent organization presently focused upon the international occupation of Afghanistan). The former has not been harbored by the Pakistani state while the latter has been a long-standing client.

He continues to distort the entire record of Pakistan when it comes to al Qaeda. Pakistan has been a critical partner in capturing al Qaeda leadership in Pakistan. In fact, had it not been for this baseline cooperation, the United States would not have even been a position to kill bin Laden in the first instance.

There is at least one practical reason for Pakistan's cooperation: al Qaeda has targeted Pakistan's military and civilian leadership for years. In 2009, al Zawahiri denounced Pakistan's constitution as un-Islamic. Al Qaeda's sectarian allies such as Lashkar-e-Jhangvi and Sipha-e-Sahaba-e-Pakistan has killed or maimed tens of thousands of Pakistanis since 2004. Al Qaeda is not an asset for Pakistan as the author suggests.

Pakistan's record on al Qaeda has been evident and positive even while Pakistan sustains ties with the Afghan Taliban and groups like Lashkar-e-Taiba. While these groups are foes of the United States, neither the Afghan Taliban nor Lashkar-e-Taiba has targeted Pakistan nor have they embraced the Pakistani Taliban. This has been an invariant truth since the onset of the Global War on Terror in 2001. The United States and Pakistan have an ever-more restricted overlap of foes which makes future cooperation seem increasingly unproductive if not counterproductive to both nations' aims.

Hitchens next describes his own shock that "Osama bin Laden himself would be given a villa in a Pakistani garrison town on Islamabad's periphery." Dodging again behind the passive tense, he offers no evidence for this reckless and dangerous assertion. In contrast to Mr. Hitchens, U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates has said that he had seen evidence that suggested Pakistan's senior officials were unaware of bin Laden's whereabouts. Hitchens' claim that the state sheltered Pakistan is feckless journalism that encourages further ignorant speculation among publics who have no real understanding of the other and their governments.

And, for the record, Abbottabad is not on the periphery of Islamabad unless one redefines the word periphery. The word is defined as "the edge or outskirts, as of a city or urban area." While the distance between the two cities, as a crow would fly, is about 67 miles, because Abbottabad is "hill station" resort town, the road is windy, indirect and covers an altitude climb of about 2,500 feet. Periphery implies a jaunt to the suburbs. But the drive is about 2.5 hours depending upon conditions and the quality of your car. Describing Abbottabad as in the periphery of Islamabad is either geographically obtuse or a deliberate attempt to make it sound as if bin Laden was pacing back and forth in a suburb of the nation's capital. Someone should introduce Mr. Hitchens to Google Earth and if not him, then Vanity Fair's fact checker --should there be one.

Hitchens is correct in noting that Pakistanis of all strata are deeply outraged that U.S. Navy SEALS came into Abbottabad -- a garrison-town -- to catch bin Laden without hindrance and with impunity. However, his outrage at Pakistani outrage is misplaced. Of course, Pakistanis should feel so violated because they were. As an American, I support the raid that eliminated this terrorist. However, from the optic of many Pakistanis, they first had to contend with the notion that bin Laden was in their country and second that the United States stormed their airspace, conducted a firefight for 40 minutes in a garrison town and then escaped with its dead quarry all before the Pakistanis could even scramble their F-16s.

Pakistanis themselves began wondering whether their military could protect them from India and whether the United States could act with equal ease to eliminate their nuclear program. Needless to say, all of this came on the back of years of drone attacks against terrorists in Pakistan's tribal areas. While the facts about the drone program in Pakistan are grotesquely distorted and obscured by Pakistani and American officials, ultimately perception matters more than reality. Pakistanis, especially beyond FATA, loathe them as weekly assaults upon their nation's sovereignty. The bin Laden raid was just the latest and most brazen of assaults on the country and demonstrated the incapacity or will of the military or intelligence agencies to stop the United States. Who would not be demoralized and outraged by these events?

Pakistanis -- more than Mr. Hitchens -- understand the limits of their country's ability to extend rule of law throughout the land, to protect them from the ravages of terrorists and proxies gone wild alike, to grow the economy fast enough to accommodate Pakistan's burgeoning population, among other challenges.

Similarly the American hysteria over Pakistan's capture and detention of Pakistanis who collaborated on the raid -- while understandable -- is unfair. Pakistan's intelligence agency, the ISI, knows full well that the CIA is operating against the organization perhaps as much if not more than it cooperates with it. The Pakistanis who assisted the raid were traitors to Pakistan by law because they aided and abetted a foreign intelligence agency. This is what domestic law enforcement and intelligence agencies do: ferret out and capture traitors. The United States does the same thing when their citizens help foreign spy organizations. Americans and Pakistanis alike hope that Pakistan will show equal diligence to determining who knew about bin Laden and who was involved in giving the mass murderer succor. Time will tell if this is the case.

Navigating this strained relationship under the pressures of reality is hard enough. However, accounts like that of Hitchens and others here and in Pakistan, dims the prospects for salvaging a relationship that is extremely important for the United States if not for Pakistan. And one has to wonder if that's not the very goal of such fact-free musings.

C. Christine Fair is an assistant professor at Georgetown University, Center for Peace and Security Studies and the author of the political cookbook, Cuisines of the Axis of Evil and Other Irritating States and Pakistan's Madrassah Challenge: Militancy and Religious Education in Pakistan. She can be followed on Twitter cchristinefair.

 

Follow C. Christine Fair on Twitter: www.twitter.com/cchristinefair

Enough fresh ink has been spilled about the harrowing straits through which the U.S.-Pakistan relationship is passing. While cooler heads such as Pakistan's Ambassador to the United States Husain Haqq...
Enough fresh ink has been spilled about the harrowing straits through which the U.S.-Pakistan relationship is passing. While cooler heads such as Pakistan's Ambassador to the United States Husain Haqq...
 
 
  • Comments
  • 27
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
11:54 AM on 07/02/2011
"Similarly the American hysteria over Pakistan's capture and detention of Pakistanis who collaborated on the raid -- while understandable -- is unfair. "

So the Pakistanis claim they knew nothing about Bin ladens hideout for so many years, but arrest a few good Pakistanis who collaborated with the CIA within weeks of the raid! Hmm. Curious. Conclusion. The Pakistanis are playing the Americans for suckers!
05:39 PM on 06/28/2011
"President Musharraf suffered considerably from her murder... He now lives in London with various legal woes awaiting him in Pakistan."

Poor Pervez. Suffering in obscure London, collecting $200,000 speaking fees. As if he was audited rather than charged with treason and murder, and didn't stand to benefit from her demise. There are so many holes in the assertions and pseudo-intellectual writing style; one could spend hours deconstructing it. I haven't read the Hitchens article and likewise won't defend it, although it's apparent that Fair's attack is childish and obsessive.

To the bigger picture: Considering the author's experience in Pakistan, one must assume that she's omitting and obfuscating with the direct purpose of propagandizing. From a Professor, this frightens me. Ward Churchill was run from a (perceived) hyper-liberal town/school on a rail over incendiary commentary. Yet blatantly pro-government, pro-military, pro-corporate, RAND brainwashing is accepted and celebrated at a public University? 'Liberal bias' is destroying America's public schools? Oh, were it so...

Then again, this may be the only source stateside to even begin the real conversation of Pakistani / US relations. Cheers to that I suppose. I can't locate a US news agency covering the Musharraf arrest warrants, or the recent death of his aid, for instance. In the wake of Abbottabad and ramped up drone attacks, the media isn't even curious. How many journalists must have been through a 'securities studies' course like Fair's teaching them how to tow government lines?
12:23 AM on 06/25/2011
To all the students of Christiane Fair. Please look into your souls and reckon if you want to be her students.

There is an inflection point in all our lives that calls for us to decide which side of the fork we take in the road,

Decide wisely!
03:25 AM on 06/25/2011
How Hitchen-esque of you...
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
den1953
The National Inquire of Politics the GOP!
10:32 AM on 06/24/2011
The whole truth of the matter is Afghanistan can't defend it's own country they couldn't for many many years,and there is no real solution to having there population defend it other than tribal war not national, so as soon as the US military leaves the Afghan people will allow the Taliban back in with open arms. Whether the Taliban will allow al-Qaida type extremism that is another question. Karzai will basically be the mayor of Kabul while the rest of Afghanistan will be the wild west!
10:04 AM on 06/24/2011
A full take-down of this commentary by Prof Fair would take more time than I care to invest. I will note the following:
- The Professor spends more time critiquing Hitchens and his arguments, than bringing clarity or explaining the nature of Pakistan's policy - which are clearly troubling
-A layman would describe her entire piece as missing the forest for the trees
-The casual dismissal of the arrest of Pakistani assets who risked so much to assist the U.S. int he capture of bin Laden is shocking. One might ask where Prof. Fair's allegiances lie?

A description was once used to describe the likes of Prof Fair: useful idiots.

As a graduate of the SFS at Georgetown, I am ashamed the University has her on payroll and helps subsidize these second-rate intellectual arguments.

The reality is that the U.S. desperately requires a sobering account of our relationship with Pakistan, and a new path forward. Prof Fair, it can be said, will not be helpful in providing the roaadmap.
09:46 AM on 06/24/2011
Osama Bin Laden Courier's Cellphone Provides New Leads To Pakistani Links

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/06/23/bin-laden-pakistan-cellphone_n_883636.html?ir=Canada#comments
05:23 AM on 06/24/2011
I think Ms. Fair's arguments are extremely weak, and has a history of pumping Pakistan (see "foreignpolicy.com: Is Pakistan a failed state? No"). She previously provides a list of reasons why Pakistan is not a failed state, despite Foreign Policy's Failed States Index classifying it as a de-facto failed state:

(Quoted from article:)
1. "The Pakistan Army and the Frontier Corps face a formidable foe." Non-sequitur.
2. "Pakistan has made enormous investments in its internal security apparatus." Contradictory: Pakistan is spends way too much on its military, more than 5% of its GDP, and it's directed toward India.
3. "Pakistan continues to make strides with decreasing fertility and expanding educational opportunities" False: according to Unicef, Pakistan's literacy rate is 49%, and TFR is 3.17, and getting worse.
4. Fourth, Pakistan continues to build its infrastructure. Pakistan is increasingly connected with improved roads. False - Pakistan doesn't continue to build infrastructure because it spends > 5% of its GDP on the military (see Point 2).
5. "While Pakistan has long conducted asymmetric warfare under its nuclear umbrella, Pakistan has made significant strides in securing its nuclear arsenal" - Unprovable.
6. "The election of 2008, despite a difficult start with voter registration and manipulation of electoral rules, was reasonably fair and peaceful." False. Voting irregularities were wide spread, and according to the Economist's Democracy Index, Pakistan ranks 104, just ahead of Sierra Leone.

I think this puts Ms. Fair's arguments in context.
09:48 AM on 06/24/2011
Fair is a liar!
09:49 AM on 06/24/2011
Pakistan conducts "asymmetric warfare" on India like AQ did asymmetric warfare on 911
02:23 AM on 06/24/2011
Facts:

US assistance given to Pakistan since 2001: ~$6-10 billion.
Losses incurred by Pakistan due to the war on terror: ~$65-70 billion

US troops and civilians killed in the War on terror (including those who were killed on 9/11): ~13-15,000

Pakistani troops and civilians killed in the War on Terror: ~35-38,000

Who needs to do more again?
12:27 PM on 06/23/2011
Hey Christiane, how come you have not mentioned the LeT and how that is a para military terr0r group trained and kept by the Pakistan Army and ISI.

What happened to Pakistani Army/ISI master minding the Mumbai Massacre?

How come you conveniently let that out?
11:50 PM on 06/22/2011
The learned Professor should acknowledge that the truth, on occasion, might be offensive.

1. Explain the non-reaction to the non-conviction of Mukhtar Mai's rapists and the reaction to the conviction of Aafia Siddiqui.

2. Explain why then-President Musharraf said, in the context of Mukhtar Mai, "A lot of people say if you want to go abroad and get a visa for Canada or citizenship and be a millionaire, get yourself raped".

3. Describe any stand which Zardari took which can be termed courageous.

4. Explain why the allegation that all crime scenes in Pakistan are treated like Bhutto's is non-offensive truth, while the truths that Hitchens writes are offensive.

5. Explain why Benazir Bhutto herself blamed Musharraf for not providing adequate security.

6. Explain why the Congressional Research Service cites "Direct Overt US Aid" as $3.039 billion ($1.674 billion for security and $1.365 billion for economic aid) while Prof. Fair cites only $1.78 billion. Then add in US covert aid, and US-influenced IMF and World Bank aid.

7. Explain why Prof Fair neglects to say that without US aid, Israel would not go bankrupt, but Pakistan would almost certainly default on its national debt

8. Explain the public outrage in Pakistan over the Kerry-Lugar Bill?

9. Why insist that Pakistan did not harbor al Qaeda? Who was Osama bin Laden?

10. Which jihadi outfit sponsored by the Pakistan army is not a liability for them?
09:09 AM on 06/23/2011
I'll take the challenge;

1.Afia is a tool for the Religous parties to beat the US and Pak govts. They are organized and well funded (Especially from Saudi & UAE). They can afford to pay and bus "supporters" for their rallies. There is political mileage in supporting Afia and none for Mai.

2. Musharraf was a dictator and long ally of the US and single minded in showing how great he ran Pakistan. He never had or has any support in the population.

3. Zardari is the lowest polled politicians in Pakistan. Most Pakistanis would like to know when Mr.10% has stood for anything other than his "share" of the proceeds.

4. Pakistani police/civil law systems are a joke. Anyone with experience of Pakistani crime investigation can tell you please don't look much further than plain bloody stupidity and ignorance when it comes to Pak Police capabilities.

5. This might be more from crimes of ommission vs. commission.
6 & 7. Fair pushback from your end.

8. Very good point - Most people in Pakistan also don't fully understand this. If you followed the news there you'd see that its the civil aid that caused the most ruckus and this seemed manufactured. If you think the Civilian govt holds ANY hold on the Military then theres a bridge I want to sell you.
9. I don't get this.
10. Very true. Case in point the arrests of a Brigadier and 4 majors. The rot runs deep and maybe out of
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
messy
artist, writer, adventurer
09:30 AM on 06/23/2011
y'all forgot that the US stopped a nuclear war with India in 1998 and 2002.
06:06 AM on 06/24/2011
Today's New York Times explicitly answers a lot of questions.

Re: Bhutto

"Another Pakistani militant leader closely connected to Bin Laden is Qari Saifullah Akhtar, the leader of Harakat-ul-Jihad-al-Islami. Mr. Akhtar stopped in South Waziristan on the way to Afghanistan just months ago, a militant interviewed by phone said.

The presence in Waziristan of Mr. Akhtar — who is wanted in connection with the attack that killed Benazir Bhutto, a former prime minister, in 2007 — demonstrated that he could still move freely without ISI interference."

Re: Al Qaeda:

"The discovery indicates that Bin Laden used the group, Harakat-ul-Mujahedeen, as part of his support network inside the country"....."Under strong American pressure, Harakat and similar groups were officially banned and driven underground by the government of President Pervez Musharraf in 2002. Harakat just renamed itself and continued to run camps unencumbered by Pakistani authorities and to train militants, some of whom have been caught while fighting American and NATO forces in Afghanistan, the commanders said."
.
DoesItMatter
empty micro bio
10:14 PM on 06/22/2011
Pakistan would be proud of the professor. I bet if she applied for citizenship, they would grant it.
09:27 AM on 06/22/2011
"But would Mr. Hitchens describe Israel as being dependent upon Washington? By his own argumentation, he would have to answer in the affirmative." ...He most certainly would answer in the affirmative and never said anything in the article at hand or any previous that should make you question otherwise.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
MohammedAbbasi
Co-Director, Association of British Muslims
08:26 PM on 06/21/2011
You should run for Pakistan president Dr Fair :)
11:00 AM on 06/23/2011
I bet you were serious..right? I don't believe there is a sense of irony in your statement? Am I right or Am I right?
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
MohammedAbbasi
Co-Director, Association of British Muslims
11:54 AM on 06/23/2011
No she should run for President!
11:05 AM on 06/23/2011
I would nominate her to be liaison between the ISI and the LeT!
07:24 PM on 06/21/2011
The reality of the complexity of relations between nations is looking to be quite challenged in the modern information age that rewards black and white and abhors nuance and shades of gray.

Thank you for a good piece with lots of actual information.
06:17 PM on 06/21/2011
Gee, to whom are you writing? It seems here that you might actually adore Hitchens and simply want an acknowledgement of your existence before his demise. Never in recent memory have I seen such heavy use of $2 words and hyper-correct quoting. This certainly was not penned for me...