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Climate Dawn

Posted: 01/01/12 08:51 PM ET

And not by eastern windows only,
When daylight comes, comes in the light,
In front the sun climbs slow, how slowly,
But westward, look, the land is bright.

          --Arthur Hugh Clough

You might be surprised to learn that I think climate protection may have posted its best quarterly results ever in the last three months of 2011. After all, the year as a whole saw the world move ever deeper into Al Gore's "Era of Consequences", with an unprecedented concentration of extreme weather events. And didn't we learn at the end of the year that in 2010 industrial civilization had unleashed record amounts of greenhouse pollutants into the atmosphere?


So what was so great about Q4 of 2011?

Quite simply, the world proved that, if we stick at it, we can do it. After 40 years of U.S. government inaction, the Obama administration completed setting a comprehensive set of carbon emission standards for cars and trucks, standards that, overall, will reduce the carbon footprint of a mile of driving by more than 50 percent by 2025. It took three rounds of reform -- one by Congress before Obama took office, one in his first year that dealt with the years leading up to 2017, and the final round just promulgated. But combined with investment incentives for vehicle electrification, ongoing innovation on the fuels side, a struggle that the Sierra Club launched back in the 1980s has finally come to fruition -- absurdly inefficient American vehicles will no longer be a big part of the climate problem. (Not everyone was thrilled of course -- The Wall Street Journal was its usual hectoring self.)

Nor, it turns out, will vampire power plants be with us forever. It took 20 years for the EPA to finally confront the truth that the utility lobby had snookered Congress back in the 1970s into allowing the indefinite operation of filthy coal-fired power plants belching not only carbon but also mercury, soot, sulfur, and other toxins into the atmosphere. The pretext? Any day now they were going to be retired and thus did not warrant cleaning up! On December 21 President Obama finally signed EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson's silver stake: a firm standard requiring that mercury and other toxic pollutants finally be cleaned up -- or shut down as originally proclaimed. How much of America's carbon belching coal fleet will go down because of the mercury rule is not clear -- some estimates were 50 GW, a sixth of the total fleet. But the mercury rule doesn't stand alone -- a whole series of other federal and state and local actions are making clear to utilities that if they can't burn coal clean then they can't burn it at all -- and the result is going to be a huge step-down in CO2 and other pollution from America's power plants.

The president, confronted with a bought-and-sold big-carbon majority in the House of Representatives, finally called one his opponents' repeated bluffs. When the House insisted that the price of extending unemployment insurance and social security tax moratoria was a rapid decision on the Keystone Tar Sands Export Pipeline, the president took the challenge, and then made it clear that a rushed, rapid decision would have to be -- "No."

As a result of these three victories, the U.S. is poised not only to meet the 17 percent pollution curbs that President Obama promised in Copenhagen by 2020, but to go beyond them -- because these regulations and limits set the stage for further reforms, and show that we can really change the long-term emissions trajectory of an economy in ways that are good for both health and prosperity.

Meanwhile, in Durban, an absence of U.S. leadership, plus ambiguous signals from China combined with resistance from Canada, Japan, and India, might easily have derailed climate diplomacy altogether. Instead, while the Durban UN Climate Conference made no fundamental breakthroughs, the world stuck at it. And back in Brussels, the European Union stuck to their guns by insisting on their admittedly inadequate proposals requiring airline passengers, the world's richest, to take responsibility for their climate emissions even when they were over the ocean. Thus far the courts have supported this modest, but symbolically critical signal -- climate pollution is going to have a price.

What these five successes have in common is their connection to a quality that doesn't often get discussed when we worry about global warming -- tenacity.

The auto carbon standards and the mercury rules were the fruit of 60 combined years of tenacity -- largely led by the Sierra Club. Ongoing UN Climate diplomacy and the EU's aviation rule symbolize the tenacity of the world community --disorganized though it is. And the rejection of the Keystone Pipeline must summons our movement's future tenacity -- for as long as global demand for oil is out of control, the motivation to find some way to get Canada's tar sands to world markets at whatever ecological price will be overwhelming. The tar sands battle is not over.

Tenacity is the Rodney Dangerfield of virtues -- we underestimate it. It maintains a peculiar relationship to time. Unlike bravery or generosity, fed by crisis or sudden opportunity, tenacity must hang on during long fallow seasons and droughts, when it almost seems pointless. Tenacity is the ultimate expression of hope and faith. And just as the scientists warn us that reversing climate disruption will take a long time, and that the price for the pollution we have already unleashed will be with us for many lifetimes, so too the path for reversing our climate folly has a long arc, something we often lose track of.

In the last quarter of 2011 that arc of common sense broke through to the surface -- because important chunks of the human community have been sticking at the task of climate rescue.

So here's to tenacity -- the virtue we need more of. May the year 2012 be filled with it.

And lest you think that the opening quatrain of this blog -- which I have used before in this blog and elsewhere, ever since it sat on my college dorm wall -- is from a soppy Victorian sentimentalist, let me give you another, highly apropos quote from Arthur Hugh Clough:

"Thou shalt not steal; an empty feat, When it's so lucrative to cheat."

Occupy couldn't have said it better.

 
 
 

Follow Carl Pope on Twitter: www.twitter.com/CarlPope

And not by eastern windows only, When daylight comes, comes in the light, In front the sun climbs slow, how slowly, But westward, look, the land is bright.        &n...
And not by eastern windows only, When daylight comes, comes in the light, In front the sun climbs slow, how slowly, But westward, look, the land is bright.        &n...
 
 
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Publicola
Facts are stubborn things
02:27 AM on 01/03/2012
Reality has a well-known scientific bias.

U.S. National Academy of Sciences, 2010:
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Human activities are influencing climate. As discussed in the following chapters, scientific evidence that the Earth is warming is now overwhelming. There is also a multitude of evidence that this warming results primarily from human activities, especially burning fossil fuels and other activities that release heat-trapping greenhouse gases (GHGs) into the atmosphere. Projections of future climate change indicate that Earth will continue to warm unless significant and sustained actions are taken to limit emissions of GHGs.

http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=12782
10:29 PM on 01/02/2012
Stop worrying - the trend now is for a global cooling the likes we have never seen.
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Publicola
Facts are stubborn things
02:25 AM on 01/03/2012
Gotta love relentless climate science denier disinformation.

Or not.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
06:46 PM on 01/02/2012
Greenpeace admits they exagerate and lie:

"“We as a pressure group have to emotionalize issues and we’re not ashamed of emotionalizing issues.”
~ Gerd Leipold, Executive Director of Greenpeace"

http://www.examiner.com/weather-in-denver/greenpeace-leader-forced-to-admit-climate-change-exaggerations
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ILoveFiction
That's unbelievable!
08:15 AM on 01/03/2012
You're emotionalizing a tad.

Why don't you go do a photo shoot for them?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Jim Milks
Ecologist
03:01 PM on 01/03/2012
How is that relevant to the discussion? It says nothing about the data, theory, and methods of the science.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
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eaarth2
“An era ends when its illusions are exhausted
03:53 PM on 01/02/2012
The Republican party has become the antithesis of what JFK and his generation aspired to be in the early 1960s. The idea that Science would pave the way to a better future for Americans and Humankind.

Republicans in 2012 believe the way to a brighter future is roasting the planets environment and climate while creating human/ecological catastrophe.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
06:48 PM on 01/02/2012
Science?
Yippee!!!

Please explain in a scientific fashion how the Kyoto treaty would reduce C02 emissions.

Seems to me that giving the higher polluting industry in China an even larger competitive advantage would simply result in more C02 emissions and more real pollution.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
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eaarth2
“An era ends when its illusions are exhausted
07:07 PM on 01/02/2012
The Kyoto Accord did not lower emissions- there will be no reduction in emissions until it is mandated and strictly monitored. That will not be the case until after 2020 or 2030, when the effects of climate change become more destructive and disruptive- and that day will come.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
chrisd3
Inconceivable!
10:42 AM on 01/04/2012
"Science? Yippee!!! Please explain in a scientific fashion how the Kyoto treaty would reduce C02 emissions."

For the 800,000th time, international politics and the Kyoto treaty have NOTHING to do with climate science.

Your comments are distraction and deflection writ large.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Robert Lee Harrington
There's still time to change the road you're on...
01:06 PM on 01/02/2012
20 October, 2011

COOLING THE WARMING DEBATE
Berkeley Earth Releases Global Land Warming Analysis

"Global warming is real..."

http://berkeleyearth.org/pdf/berkeley-earth-summary-20-october-2011.pdf

http://www.berkeleyearth.org
12:51 PM on 01/02/2012
Yawn. The best obvious way to improve "climate protection" would be to extend the current Obamanomics recession.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
lbsaltzman
Permaculture and Sustainability
03:56 PM on 01/02/2012
Actually we are in the George Bush/Big Bank recession. But that aside tackling global warming would be the best way to improve our economy and would create many high quality jobs.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
06:50 PM on 01/02/2012
Read a book, Bush tried to rein in Barney Frank but the dems insisted that all was well in their cheap houses for everybody campaign.
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Counterintuitive
We'll steer by the beacon of our 100 year forecast
11:22 AM on 01/05/2012
Still yawning after all these years? You need to get more rest. Isn't that the real reason you slept through all those science and economics classes?
12:46 PM on 01/02/2012
3 cents per kw hour -europe .06 cents per kw hour in america NOW WHAT DO YOU WANT TO PAY AND I AM TALKING TO THE POOR IN AMERICA.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
12:23 PM on 01/02/2012
Anyone brave enough to try to explain how the Kyoto treaty would reduce emissions yet?

Surely after 15 years SOMEONE should be able to explain how the holy grail of climate treaties would help the environment.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
lbsaltzman
Permaculture and Sustainability
03:57 PM on 01/02/2012
The Kyoto accords are a start but not nearly strong enough. We should have mandatory reductions in the amount of fossil fuels burned with the amount getting smaller by the year.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
06:38 PM on 01/02/2012
How is a treaty that would increase C02 emissions and real pollution a start?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
nellre
growth is not sustainable
11:23 AM on 01/02/2012
If 2012 sees the floods, droughts, fires and food insecurity we observed globally over the last two years I think folks are going to tar and feather the likes of Rush, Hannity and the Koch bros.
Couldn't happen to a nicer bunch.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
12:15 PM on 01/02/2012
Food insecurity?
You mean like the food insecutiry caused by the green's stupid shift to using food for fuel?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
silverwolf13
I know that I do not know.
01:57 PM on 01/03/2012
Actually, most environmentalists oppose using food for fuel, especially corn ethanol and biodiesel made from palm oil.
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10:00 AM on 01/02/2012
Hhmm, I still think I'm glad I'm 56. Let the "kids" deal with all the detritus spewed into the atmosphere, the finanical system, human relationships (wanna bomb Iran, anyone?), etc by all the "adults" who seem completely incapable of saying, "enough."
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Dredd
Our government is a wartocracy.
07:51 AM on 01/02/2012
Sorry, spinning those statistics do not change the fact that over the long haul: "The study, published in the peer-reviewed journal Nature Climate Change, found that global carbon emissions were likely to carry on increasing at a rate of about 3% per year. It was accompanied by another study offering new proof that climate change is linked to human activities, in burning fossil fuel ... These two new results offer a stark message. Human carbon emissions are certainly disturbing the climate system upon which we depend, and in spite of the economic slowdown, and despite all the efforts by governments, businesses and people to reduce them, our emissions are reaching new highs. The climatic consequences, already emerging, will grow over time, and are irreversible."

I can't see positive in "irreversible" ... is being overly "optimistic" a new fad or something?

http://blogdredd.blogspot.com/2011/12/damage-has-been-done-5.html
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MissTake1989
Equal means equal, hypocrites.
07:10 AM on 01/02/2012
The biggest victory that can occur in this movement is one of mainly semantics.

STOP debating the weather.

All it takes to debunk "global warming" in the minds of most (average) people is Sean Hannity laughing about it snowing in Houston.

Yes, I know that snow in Houston is proof FOR global warming, rather than against it...but THEY DON'T.

Arguing the weather is nothing more than trading anecdotes.

Argue the CHEMISTRY of climate change.

You either understand how molecules bond and unbond to other elements...thus undertanding how carbon burned here on Earth bonds with molecules in the sky...or you don't belong in the debate.
07:34 AM on 01/02/2012
"You can take the Mule to the river but you can't make him drink."unknown source
Even with all the records and costs to rebuild "They" will not listen.Stop waisting your time!
banana republican
Provoking Progressives with unwelcome perspectives
08:45 AM on 01/02/2012
I disagree. When any natural event that has characteristics that seem contrary to the global warming script ocurrs, its crtically important to point out the difference between 'weather' and 'global warming.' Any other natural event that doesn't appear to contradict the global warming narrative, must be presented as the result of global warming. Virtually any natural event that doesn't involve cold temperatures can easily be harnessed to promote the global warming theory because its impossible to prove otherwise. It's all good.
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MissTake1989
Equal means equal, hypocrites.
11:26 AM on 01/02/2012
Do you understand how molecules bond and unbond, yes or no?
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05:40 AM on 01/02/2012
Another important event in Q4 2011 was that the Canadian Senate was able to hear honest testimony about the Climate for the first time in many years..

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMQk-q8SpBU

Truth seekers everywhere salute the courageous actions of the current Canadian Government!
08:44 AM on 01/02/2012
Are you frackin' kidding me?
The current Government of Canada was ruled in contempt of Parliament by the Supreme Court of Canada less than a year ago for the suppression of information to the Canadian people and it's appointed officials?
Who do you work for really? Harper?
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03:21 PM on 01/02/2012
I work for the truth.
05:59 PM on 01/02/2012
Cute way to avoid answering the question.
Of course, after going through some of your other comments made in the Huffington Post, it seems like you're more interested in pulling your information out of some magician's discarded hat (along with a deceased rabbit) than using real facts and real arguments to buttress your grandiose statements.
Also, please note that the Harper Government just recently pulled out of the Kyoto Agreement, on the grounds that their theoretical goals (still not in effect) were much better than the actual ones originally agreed to.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
shankapotomus
Carter and Clinton = deregulation.
10:16 AM on 01/02/2012
Yet they dropped out of the talks, they know what propaganda is going on.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Robert Lee Harrington
There's still time to change the road you're on...
05:12 AM on 01/02/2012
Editorial
Where the Real Jobs Are
Published: January 1, 2012
The New York Times

"...This country needs a comparably broad strategy that will create a pathway from the fossil fuels of today to the greener fuels of tomorrow.

We are under no illusions that such an appeal by Mr. Obama would win support among Republicans on Capitol Hill. House Republicans voted 191 times last year to undermine existing environmental protections or reject Democratic efforts to strengthen them — even killing off a modest regulation requiring more energy efficient light bulbs — and in general have vowed to resist new energy strategies or do anything at all that might disturb their patrons in the fossil fuel industries.

American voters are smart enough to see through the ridiculous pipeline gambit. And they will surely listen if Mr. Obama makes a compelling argument for both protecting the environment and investing in clean energy industries that will create lasting jobs."

THANK YOU NEW YORK TIMES!

Happy New Year...



http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/02/opinion/where-the-real-jobs-are.html?nl=todaysheadlines&emc=tha211
02:13 AM on 01/02/2012
"you might be surprised to learn".........

Well, yes .....I would always be surprised to learn of something that DIDN'T ACTUALLY HAPPEN.

If I didn't know first hand that Carl Pope's heart is in the right place....I would EXCORIATE him for joyusly trumpeting what this administration says will be in 2025.

As it is I would say only "get a grip" Carl........and remind him of the degree to which Mr. Obama's environmentalist rhetoric has turned out to be just that....TALK.

Consider how many opportunities there are between now & 2025 (2016, actually) for this or that Republican to say "BOO" and thus scare the administration so thoroughly that they run scurrying (as they ALWAYS do)....to not only "roll back" any gains made but to "hand back" advances dating back to the Nixon administration.

TM