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Cenk Uygur

Cenk Uygur

Posted: January 27, 2010 03:25 PM

Bernanke Is A Political Time Bomb; Stiglitz Says He Would Take Fed Position

What's Your Reaction:

Republicans appear to have documents linking Ben Bernanke to a decision to give the backdoor bailouts at AIG despite staff recommendations. They are very specific about which documents show this and they want them made public. If they are made public before the confirmation vote, Bernanke is obviously in a lot of trouble. But there's a much worse scenario.

If the Democrat leadership and the White House strong arm the Democratic senators into confirming Bernanke with most Republicans voting no - and then the documents are revealed, you have a political disaster on your hands. Then the Democrats will appear to have been on the side of funneling taxpayer money to the banks in a way that was unconscionable and inexplicable (given that some of them didn't even ask for the money and everyone agrees that they didn't need and couldn't get a hundred cents on the dollar anywhere else).

You know why they will appear to be on the side of protecting the bankers and screwing over the taxpayers? Because they will be on that side. Bernanke is not the only sign of that, but he will be the perfect symbol of it. The Democrats would have to be nuts to walk into this trap. Unless of course they are so thoroughly bought by the banks that they will do anything they ask of them, no matter what the political consequences are.

And this is only the latest possible scandal involving Bernanke. Some of the politicians (ironically, mostly Republicans) have belatedly woken up to what I (and many other people) said two months ago (and long before that as well):

Why are we rehiring the guy who steered the Titanic into the iceberg in the first place? ... His knowledge in handling depressions might not be so handy if he hadn't gotten us into one ... Picking the same guy as Bush, and the same exact guy who was at the helm when the economy crashed, is definitely not change we can believe in. Ben Bernanke is the definition of the status quo. He is part and parcel of the Washington and Wall Street establishment that caused our economic problems in the first place. Why the hell would we put this guy back in charge?

If the Democrats make this mistake, there's no helping them and there is no hope in them. But if they realize soon that this is a political time bomb in the making, then they need to pick a new person for the position that we know is undeniably on the side of the people and also has undeniable expertise.

Some great names are possible candidates that fit that description. Simon Johnson, Elizabeth Warren and Bill Black come to mind. They all have the credentials and they all understand the very serious need for regulation to make sure another economic collapse doesn't happen again. That's of course precisely why the banks are deathly afraid of someone like them running the Fed and actually providing a check on their out of control risk taking (which leads to out of control paychecks in the short run for them). And precisely why they love Bernanke and desperately want him re-confirmed. No one lets the banks run rougshod better than Bernanke.

But there is one name that still stands above the rest as clearly the best candidate for the Fed opening - Joseph Stiglitz. Nobel prize winner, former Chief Economist for the World Bank, former Chair of the Council of Economic Advisors and perhaps the most respected economist in the world.

He saw this financial collapse coming, he explained why it would happen and what should be done to prevent it. We didn't listen the first time around. Doesn't it make sense to listen the second time? Who would know better than him? Who has better credentials? Who understands better the needs for checks ans balances on the largest financial institutions?

If Obama wants to burnish his image as standing with the common man and not the bankers, once again, there is one clear choice - Joseph Stiglitz. As anyone who has been following his writing clearly knows, he is no patsy for the banks. He is a scholar and will be judicious in approaching regulation, but he will also indisputably bring the hammer when necessary.

Oh yeah, there is one more upside. We know he would take the position. How do we know? I just asked him. Here's what he said (in an interview where he also clearly explains what needs to be done to fix the financial system):

"Obviously I think that if the president asks one to take a job of that importance in the context particularly of an economy in the current fragile state, I think I'd have to, I'd have to accept it. And particularly, you know, I've been very critical of what the Fed has done, and in my book, "Freefall", I do point out all these mistakes that they've made, and I would actually welcome an opportunity to try to rectify some of those mistakes."

If Obama is playing yet another political game, he will either push Bernanke through and have it blow up in his face (and have the Republicans steal the mantle of populism) or he will pick another Wall Street stooge in his place (the excuse will be that they don't want to spook the markets and that person has the "confidence" of the business community).

But if he wants to get serious about fixing the mess we're in and picking the most qualified and most trusted person to do it, he would obviously pick Stiglitz. So, as usual, we wait with bated breath to see if Obama is for real or just another politician. It's surprising we still have this much hope left.

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10:23 PM on 03/03/2010
These are excerpts from a letter I sent all of US Bank executive officers and board of directors and Barack Obama. This is because I don’t think corporate people really understand the ramifications of their poor decisions.

I recently attended an auction of three of US Bank’s foreclosed properties. Each of these properties sold at auction for at least 1/3 less than they would have on the open market – through a realtor and under normal multiple listing situations. This means that each house went for $35-75K less than they should have.

US Bank gets rid of their REO stock very fast – and in so doing, devalues every house in the neighborhood of each of the houses. That means this morning US Bank devalued the assets of every person who lives in three different neighborhoods.

Now you may not think this is a big deal, but how many other houses does US Bank have loans on in these same neighborhoods? When property values go down, foreclosures go up, US Bank get more houses back and the cycle returns.

And who do these ridiculous auctions benefit? People who already have money. Regular people can’t take time off to attend these auctions with money in hand.

It is my opinion, based on situations I’ve viewed first hand, that the REO departments of big banks (of which you are one) are almost single handedly causing the demise of the middle class and the values they have in their homes.
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Kassandra
Idiot savant artistic genius
11:28 AM on 01/28/2010
Great post Cenk. I was just coming over here to leave a link to it on FDL but you beat me to it and posted the whole thing.
Excellent research and analysis. We can HOPE it may have some effect.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
lightningbolt
11:27 AM on 01/28/2010
If Obama wants to have any credibility on economic policy he must stop supporting Bernanke. Anyone who supports Bernanke looks like they are bought by the banks.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
lightningbolt
11:26 AM on 01/28/2010
The banks rule by fear. They tell our elected officials that if they don't do what the banks want, the economy will collapse. That is the excuse they use EVERY TIME!!! That is the excuse Geithner gave to Congress when they asked him about the bailout. This is precisely why the control of our currency must return to the government. The Federal Reserve is a public-private partnership which is designed to do one thing: privatize profits and socialize losses, just like every other public-private partnership.
Democrat in the South
Empathy, the most important word
09:59 AM on 01/28/2010
Cenk, are you sure your pick for Fed Chair isn't a wolf in disguise. What were his accomplishments when he was associated with World Bank? Sounds like a trick to me.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
jmpurser
See My micro-bio
09:35 AM on 01/28/2010
"If the Democrats make this mistake, there's no helping them and there is no hope in them."

I think that's the key to this situation. The Democrats are absolutely determined not to be the solution. The Republicans may be the problem, and a very angry face of the problem at that, but lots of people are FOR the problem. And the Democrats are countering by being....well... "not them".

Who cares about "not them"?

The DLC Democrats like Clinton and Obama have been fighting to be "GOP-Lite" for so long they've dropped the "Lite". There's no hope for them because there's no point to them.
scipio2009
Alan Wolfe's "The Future of Liberalism"
09:23 AM on 01/28/2010
If Joseph Stiglitz is the nominee, commentators, like you, may wet themselves over such a move, but it still wouldn't matter, and until you realize that fact, you will continue to look foolish.

Bernanke goes up for confirmation on Thursday, the Senate goes with your clown argument and drops his nomination, and the stock market falls 500-1000 points, being conservative, over the following week. Bravo for "winning" a 'people's fight' (sarcasm).

Obama follows your clown advice, and even goes ahead and nominates the person that you want to see take the job, that person being Stiglitz. And, again, like a clown, you jump for joy, with the "left" finally 'sticking it' to the bankers.

And still, in that same breath, you continue to fail to acknowledge that Republicans are going to, as they have all year, put filibustering the bill before the Senate, requiring 60 votes cloture, as has been the case with everything else this year.

You now have an environment where you not only have a 59 seat Democratic Senate caucus, who can't even completely agree on what financial reform should look like, but you also have a 41 seat Republican Senate caucus who now have no incentive or reason to even consider the selection of a candidate that they have no allegiances to.

As has become typical on this website, "liberals" have again gone out of their way to screw themselves over. Have fun with that, Cenk.
09:59 AM on 01/28/2010
You're worried about a 500-1000 point drop? Bernake & Co. caused a 4000 point drop, remember? It was so much fun last time, let's give him a license to run up another bubble and do it again.
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Kassandra
Idiot savant artistic genius
11:19 AM on 01/28/2010
He's just worried about his pennies when he should be worried about the rest of his life and his country's life.....but that's all some people can think about "what's in it for ME?"
scipio2009
Alan Wolfe's "The Future of Liberalism"
03:30 PM on 01/28/2010
And, to correct you, Bernanke didn't cause the 4000 point drop.

In actuality, the bankruptcy of Bear Sterns, the failure of Lehman Brothers, and the near collapse of AIG, the securities company that ended up being the linchpin that was providing the insurance for the asset-backed securities and credit swap for nearly the entire financial system, and the fear that the whole system was imploding that those three actions told to investors across the world, in addition to the complete collapse of the housing sector was what caused the 4000 point drop.

Get your facts straight.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
1murillo
Can't be neutral on a moving train - Zinn
02:27 AM on 01/28/2010
Bernanke will be nominated and confirmed again. Democrats don't want to add any more difficulty to their political lives.
If the Republicans had the documents you suggest, they would already have produced them. The GOP is the bull-in-the-china-shop party, it's neither articulate nor is it intriguing enough to try a timed released.
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Kassandra
Idiot savant artistic genius
11:25 AM on 01/28/2010
I think they'd like nothing more than to add further embarrassment to Obama's presidency.
After Karl Rove , Dick Cheney, the lying US into war and the power and money grab done right in front of our faces, you think these folks can't be cagey? Please!
It's so sad.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Wonderwheel
02:01 AM on 01/28/2010
100% right, 0% wrong!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
aaronwysocki
07:59 PM on 01/27/2010
If the Dems keep moving in this direction, defending the banks not the people, I fear they will damn themselves into a minority status for years to come.
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Kassandra
Idiot savant artistic genius
11:19 AM on 01/28/2010
That may well be the plan too.
05:06 PM on 01/27/2010
I'd name Stiglitz as one of my ten favorite people on the planet. (And most all the others would be musicians.)

Stiglitz is not afraid to address the disparities regular citizens see, feel, live, but can't articulate. And he has the economics chops (to make a massive understatement) to call BS on the blather other economists spout for personal gain.
05:01 PM on 01/27/2010
I am tired of seing the best qualified people turned down for a job for which they are eminently qualified, all because they dared speak plainly in public. Obama needs to make bold moves, and he needs bold, outspoken men to help him.
scipio2009
Alan Wolfe's "The Future of Liberalism"
09:25 AM on 01/28/2010
60 votes in the Senate, which, from what I can tell, is the only body that the confirmation process goes through.

Clearing that hurdle is all that matters.
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Kassandra
Idiot savant artistic genius
11:21 AM on 01/28/2010
Yeah, but, strangely, they're using reconciliation for this guy. Couldn't for a public option, oh no, never, but Mr. Titanic? Let's go!
04:52 PM on 01/27/2010
Done!
04:44 PM on 01/27/2010
Sorry, Stiglitz may have the greatest understanding of the economy but the fact remains that after his comment about big insurance (about a year ago) not being able to deliver their services in a cost-effective way there would be so much lobbyist resistance to him that he couldn't get the job.

Quoted here last March, in an article about single-payer: http://wp.me/pbSfp-7f

You'll need somebody who's politically savvy (or cautious) enough not to have made such provocative, anti-big-business utterances. Maybe Anson, if Nuveen would let him loose. He'd certainly be more palatable to the GOP.
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KarenM
Former Air Force Brat.... I've lived all over the
04:31 PM on 01/27/2010
"The Democrats would have to be nuts to walk into this trap. "

...and when has that ever stopped any of the current incumbents from walking right into any political bear trap?