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Charles Gasparino

Charles Gasparino

Posted: February 15, 2010 10:54 AM

Could Bankers Turn the Tables on Obama in 2012?

What's Your Reaction:
President Obama last week took a break from his phony fat-cat-calling of Wall Street executives, to say what he really means. In an interview with BusinessWeek, he referred to JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon and Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein as "savvy businessmen." He went on to defend both men's salaries, comparing them to high-paid baseball players, some of whom have lousy years but still earn millions of dollars in salary. In other words, what's the big deal about a couple of savvy fat cats getting even fatter?

Forget the absurdity of the baseball player comparison (for all their faults, professional athletes didn't destroy the financial system in 2008). The comment's real measure, I am told, is in what it reveals about the panic setting in among people at the highest levels of Obama's political apparatus about their ability to raise money from Wall Street leading up to 2012.

For all the talk about Obama's grassroots fundraising prowess, a recent New York Times article pointed out just how big of a role Wall Street money had played in the Obama presidential money machine.

It was always an odd match: The community organizer who wants to be president and the Wall Street heavy-hitters who probably never heard the word ACORN before Obama burst on the scene. But the marriage seemed to work out well. Many top Wall Street executives were impressed with Obama's poise during the financial crisis -- after all he didn't suspend his campaign as did his Republican challenger John McCain when the financial system was on the verge of collapse in the Fall of 2008.

And it paid off: Wall Street money came flooding into Obama's coffers with the blue chip investment bank Goldman Sachs (the same firm that produced President Bush's treasury secretary Hank Paulson) leading the way. Goldman executives funneled nearly $1 million during the 2008 presidential election cycle -- then candidate Obama's second largest source of campaign money at a time; ironically, that the firm, along with the rest of Wall Street, was imploding.

But there are growing signs Wall Street is now balking at helping Obama and according to both people who raise money for the president and the former Obama backers in the financial business, the situation is far worse than Wall Street throwing a few bucks to Congressional Republicans as the president approval rating starts to dip, as the raw numbers in the Times story pointed out.

Jamie Dimon apparently still likes Obama -- he's an unofficial adviser on finance related measures that has been widely reported, but associates tell me the "relationship" is wearing thin, particularly after the president -- sensing falling poll numbers and a public outraged by Wall Street bonuses just a year after being bailed out by the government -- endorsed a bank tax and then some reform measures advocated by his economic adviser, Paul Volcker, designed to prevent big banks like Dimon's from engaging in risky bond trades.

People who know Lloyd Blankfein now go to great lengths to point out that Blankfein was never really that infatuated with Obama -- he supported Hillary Clinton for president -- and that it was his No. 2, Goldman president Gary Cohn, who helped raise all that money for Obama. Yet, most telling is the story I received from a senior banking executive who was one of the first people on Wall Street to back Obama over Hillary Clinton back in 2007. He told me he's so tired of Obama's policies that demonize the rich that he even urged friends to give money to Republican Scott Brown, who won Teddy Kennedy's seat and has become the margin of victory in the Republican attempts to defeat health care legislation.

Much of this, of course, is anecdotal, though if it doesn't change soon, it could spell real trouble, according one Democratic fundraiser who said he is well aware of these problems.

"We'll always have the Hollywood Fat Cats," this person said. But he added, "the lefties aren't as enthused about the president as they once were," meaning that a good chunk of those small contributions that added up big in 2007 and 2008 from energized individuals may be lost forever.

"Combine that with the Wall Street fat cats showing reluctance and we have a big problem," he added.

Wall Street power brokers, whether they're Republicans or Democrats are of course the fairest of the fair-weather friends, and they usually shift their money to the party in power, so amid high unemployment, the president's falling approval ratings and big Democratic losses in New Jersey, Virginia and recently in Massachusetts, it's not surprising that the bankers are hedging their bets. I can remember the time that John Mack, the current Chairman of Morgan Stanley, who had been a prominent fundraiser for President Bush (he was even considered for a job inside the administration as chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission) made huge headlines when he switched sides and announced his endorsement of Hillary Clinton for president in 2007, when it became clear the Republicans were on the ropes.

Mack told me he was doing so purely on the merits -- and I believe him. Mack became a supporter of a health care reform (he and his wife run a foundation dedicate to health issues) of the sort that Clinton has long advocated. But one of Mack's closest advisers is Tom Nides, who has strong ties to the Democratic Party, and Nides no doubt advised Mack to back what he believed would be the winning team.

It didn't quite work out the way Nides or Mack envisioned as Obama stole the show, thanks in large measure to Dimon, the good people at Goldman Sachs, and assorted other top banking players from Larry Fink at Blackrock, to Greg Fleming who now works for Mack at Morgan Stanley as one of the top executives there.

And thanks to many of the president's policies, the fat cats got even fatter once he took office even as Main Street businessmen were promised sky-high tax increases to pay for all the hope and change Obama planned during the campaign, from cap-and-trade energy policies to universal health care. Despite growing bank profits, the bailout mechanisms put in place by the Bush administration remain in place to this day; indeed some of the measures have been enhanced by the president's Treasury Department, run by Tim Geithner, a long time bureaucrat who is as close with the Wall Street in-crowd as anyone in government. Goldman Sach's now infamous $20 billion bonus pool just one year after it accepted federal bailout money is the direct result of its ability to feast off these giveaways; it can borrow cheaply thanks to near zero interest rates produced by the Fed but supported by the president, and Geithner & Co's designation of Goldman as a systemically important bank that's "Too Big To Fail."

All of which makes you wonder why any politician wants to get in bed with people who after you give them so much, will screw you the minute the political wind changes direction. But maybe that's what the president meant when he called Dimon and Blankfein "savvy businessmen"?

 
 
 
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jcaunter
Profile: schizoid, INTJ, IQ145
10:18 AM on 02/16/2010
The problem is that Wall Street's interests and the voter's interests just aren't compatible. Obama can have Wall Street money or the vote of human beings, but not both. Wall Street is the enemy of working voters.

When it came time to choose which side he was on, FDR picked the right side, despite coming from an aristocratic heritage. Obama is still playing the shill though; he doesn't know who his friends are and who is enemies are. The very moment Obama's unstinting support of Wall Street appears to waver in the slightest, Wall Street will throw him under the bus.

And if Obama keeps going the way he's going, that bus is going to be full of disgruntled voters ready and willing... to do whatever.'

AKUMETSU!
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03:43 AM on 02/16/2010
I rather just not vote than be 'mugged' again. I'm done with voting. From now on I vote for 'me'. I'm taking control over MY OWN destiny and I suggest others do the same. Congress=phonies
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
realitytrumpsbull
two 'alves of coconut!
12:11 AM on 02/16/2010
Well, do we NEED a Wall St., would the United States stop functioning tomorrow, as a country, without this much-ballyhooed trading forum? Do we honestly need 'too big to fail' financial institutions, and people that apparently have the opinion, rightly or wrongly, that they essentially can lay claim and ownership to this country, and hence its' citizens, and all but start giving orders? What if people started peeling their retirement and investment monies out of Wall St, a deliberate 'run' on these bank-things, until some of them started having to shut their doors for lack of business? How many millions of people would it take, doing just that, to 'cool their jets', as it were? Frankly, I don't care what happens on Wall St., because they don't have one thin dime of my money, such as it is, which isn't much, but it's closer to hand than buried in some exotic securitized portfolio. Personally, I have no will or patience to play exotic tax games related to trading and investment, especially in light of the fact that I'm already in hot water with the IRS to the tune of over ten thousand dollars, which I don't have to pay back to them, so as far as I'm concerned, Wall St. can pretty much go to the Hot Place and take their promises of investment returns with them. But, that's just my view, your mileage may vary, and best of luck with all that.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
terramartom
People for the people. Revolution.
09:06 PM on 02/15/2010
So much for Presidential convictions.
Lean to the side with the biggest bucks to bribe you!

Change?

Where?

What happened to ethical choices, based on ethics and not money?

http://www.richmonk31.blogspot.com
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
solomon sez
06:31 PM on 02/15/2010
The Banksters will cover there behinds with both parties. The left will come back to Obama in 2012 when they have a choice between him and some Right-wing whackadoodle. Until then,they will whine incessantly and not vote in 2010 mid-terms,electing a Republican Senate. Obama will then be Mr.Sensible and veto everything they send his way.After his Landslide re-election, the Republicans will impeach him for not being a "true Citizen" or some such trumped up crap. We have seen this bad movie before. The Gridlock will continue. It goes on and on and on.
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05:12 PM on 02/15/2010
Obama's corporate take was virtually the same as Bush's.

"Obama's small donor base image is a myth, new study reveals"
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2008/11/obama-money.html
10:23 PM on 03/03/2010
Not according to my bank account.
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SolarPowerGuy
Ph.D., Immunology; Solar power @ home; Green Party
04:45 PM on 02/15/2010
I was about to suggest a two-point strategy for the Democrats to save their bacon in time for November 2010:

1) Bust the Senate filibuster rule;

2) Quickly pass a public-minded campaign finance reform law which will eliminate the role of corporate money in elections.

Then I remembered the recent Supreme Court decision which has upheld corporate political "free speech" rights -- and I realized that we now need a constitutional amendment to restore a fair election system.

That's not going to happen in eight months, is it?

Good bye, Democrats, hope you enjoyed your replay of 1993-1994.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
Jannsmoor
05:00 PM on 02/15/2010
I think there are ways around the Citizens United case.
1) Tax corporate political advertising. For every dollar they spend on advertising, tax them $1,000.
2) Require 90% shareholder approvale for corporate political advertising.
3) Give shareholders the right to determine CEO pay and bonuses.
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Mort Twain
Mort Twain writes society's wrongs.
08:01 PM on 02/15/2010
Personally, I wouldn't look to either party any longer as I think they are vanishing and good riddance. One by one, they're taking themselves out of the game. There's no more support for what they are peddling because the "unsuspecting public" has become more savvy than Obama's buddy bankers.

That's the trouble with bankrupting your customers and your constituents: "Freedom's just another word for nothing else to lose!"
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SolarPowerGuy
Ph.D., Immunology; Solar power @ home; Green Party
09:22 PM on 02/16/2010
"Personally, I wouldn't look to either party any longer..."

Oh, trust me, I haven't been. Green Party member since 1992 here. Not that I think that supporting the Green Party is the only answer to our problems, but it's one positive step I can take.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
politicky
just follow the $$$
04:40 PM on 02/15/2010
Nah, really? He was vetted? Oh my , what a surprise...

not
04:28 PM on 02/15/2010
The headline for this article should be - How many of the GOP can the banks buy to stop Obama!
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06:48 PM on 02/15/2010
that's wrong--it should be--how much of Obama should they buy to prevent any promised change
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Mort Twain
Mort Twain writes society's wrongs.
08:02 PM on 02/15/2010
Looks like you are both correct and isn't that really the problem?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
mountainweb
Conservative Commonsense
04:20 PM on 02/15/2010
Its called biting the hand that feeds you, Wall Street has been feeding him and now he "sounds" like he wants to bite them so are reacting in defense. Now, they don't trust him, much like the majority of Americans. Had he server a few terms in the Senate he could have been a very good president but he was never there long enough to understand how democratic party politics works at the national level. Pelosi, Reid and he are so out of sync they are in different parties and he is still campaigning, sad.
04:02 PM on 02/15/2010
Quit with the "Obama's done us wrong". This is your wake up call. The government has changed parties but nothing changed. It is not the candidate, it is not the party, it is the government that is bad.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
AnnfromCA
03:47 PM on 02/15/2010
He lied about his grassroots money win. It was Wall St.
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Mort Twain
Mort Twain writes society's wrongs.
04:27 PM on 02/15/2010
Appears you are correct. He just can't seem to get really annoyed at them, can he?
03:27 PM on 02/15/2010
I don't know if the banks will pay for Obama or not, but I won't give him another dollar. Too many lies, too little accomplished, too much ego, too many vactions. But most of all, no change.
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Mort Twain
Mort Twain writes society's wrongs.
04:25 PM on 02/15/2010
I can't imagine Roosevelt calling the people who got us into the Great Depression, "savvy businessmen." Instead he said, "They hate me and I welcome their hatred."
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Mort Twain
Mort Twain writes society's wrongs.
03:15 PM on 02/15/2010
You have a funny way of reporting, Charlie Gasparino. I'm never sure exactly what you're saying but I loved the switcheroo at the end which was very perceptive. When Obama called these top bankers, "savvy businessmen," he lost my support. That was the last lack of focus I could take. Of course, losing my support is meaningless as is gaining my support. I'm simply one more American who sees there is no place to turn. Obama is no Roosevelt, and he needs a better speech writer. Roosevelt mastered the zingers and the attitude while Obama plays "Accommodator-in-Chief."

I think the basic notion "that we have avoided a Great Depression" is totally uneducated. It is repeated as if it were a truth on which to build. Like the earth is flat. We haven't avoided anything. We're in a Great Global Depression which is deepening. The market crashed in 1929. Recouped in 1930. Unexpected European events finished off us and by the mid and later 1930s, we had bread lines. Can you show me how this time is different except that Lehman is gone and the shocks to the system are more severe?

At this point, I don't care what either side does. There are only two teams and they both wear the same uniforms. It's circus and the team owners are "savvy businessmen." Both fans and players lie dead in the center arena.
05:24 PM on 02/15/2010
Agreed.
garystartswithg
el sueno de la razon produce republicans
03:09 PM on 02/15/2010
heres the rub -- banksters at least have college educations and some small semblance of intelligence so sarah palin and her ilk don't stand a chance of getting their money. don't underestimate how much rove and cheney won the presidency for bush. on his own he never could have.

obama won because mccain/palin were insanely inept and banksters moved their monies to the dems.

in hindsight i think voting for mccain/palin might have been the right thing to do. we wouldn't still be baling a sinking ship. it would be at the bottom of the ocean and we could be getting on with things.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
Jannsmoor
03:16 PM on 02/15/2010
By all means, McCain/Palin. We'd be at war in Iran, oil would be $10.00 a gallon, there would be at least 10 million more out of work and another 2 million living on the streets.
Great idea you have.
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Mort Twain
Mort Twain writes society's wrongs.
04:35 PM on 02/15/2010
Ironically, you are probably 100% correct except for one event: McCain and Secetary of Defense Lieberman would have already bombed Iran and the Straights of Hormuz would have been closed sending us into the Greatest Depression; this would have been so upsetting McCain would have a stroke and President Palin would say, "Gosh, God has put me here as the protector of the Holy Land" and dropped the atom bomb on Iran then Russia and China would have dropped a few more. In other words, had we voted for McCain/Palin, we would be at the bottom of the ocean but might have trouble getting up again.