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Chris Weigant

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Obama's Gay Marriage Rollout

Posted: 05/09/2012 7:35 pm

The media -- pretty much all of them -- just got "played," by the Obama campaign. And they don't even realize it yet. What we just witnessed, for roughly the past four days, was not a "breaking story" or even an "evolution" of any sort. What we just witnessed, capped this morning by President Barack Obama's statement of support for gay marriage, was nothing more than the introduction of a new (political) product. It was a "new and improved" product rollout -- nothing more, nothing less.

Before I begin to back that statement up, a personal note. This column is an odd one for me to write, for several reasons. The first is I don't usually like to jump into the fray of "snap judgments" on breaking news stories, preferring to let the dust settle a bit before commenting. The second is (believe it or not) I was already going to write about this today -- although the conclusions I would have drawn would have been far different (and mostly wrong), if, say, Obama had released his gay marriage support an hour after I had published what I was going to write. Third, I'm not really going to address the core issue itself -- gay marriage support -- because I'm totally focused on the political/media nexus instead. Lastly, I'm about to use an argument that I never really bought into back when it was a popular argument to make (circa 2008-2009).

During Obama's last campaign, and during about his first year in office, there were those on the Left who would tell you (whenever there was news about Obama doing something inexplicable) not to worry, because he was playing "multi-dimensional chess" while his lesser opponents were desperately trying to play checkers. Obama was the mastermind, the master game-player, in this construct. I never fully bought into this argument, although it was a common one heard back then.

But this time, it's hard to see it any other way. The Obama campaign team just brilliantly snookered the entire media universe -- right, left, and center -- into generating a news frenzy days before a major campaign announcement was rolled out. Imagine, if you will, that none of the past week had happened, and Obama said the same thing today. Well, it would have been a story, but it wouldn't have been a week-long story, perhaps. That's the difference, and that's why Obama's team scored a big coup in the media world.

Their timing, I have to admit, was as close to perfect as can be imagined. Last week, there was a story making the rounds about a Romney national security advisor who had quit/been booted from the Romney team. The reason? He was gay. The hardline social conservatives had forced Mitt to kick him out -- that's the way the story played in the media (admittedly, this was a wonky and small-bore story that few who don't obsess over politics even noticed). The issue had just about died down at the end of last week, though.

Then Joe Biden goes on Meet The Press. On it, he comes out in support of gay marriage. The media world started buzzing: Biden! Gay marriage! Veep pushes boss! Retraction! Confusion in White House! Everyone, pay attention!

Arne Duncan, secretary of the Department of Education, then goes on another television news show and says the same thing Biden said. Stop the presses! Cabinet member pushes president! Gay marriage turmoil at White House! Film at eleven!

Next, North Carolina votes (as expected) in a big way, to ban gay marriage once again (they had previously banned it, they just wanted to really, really ban it this time). What would Obama say and do? White House in disarray! Conflict! Drama!

Which leaves us with today's statement -- getting exponentially more media coverage than it normally would have, because of the "dramatic" buildup. At the present moment, the media has bought into their own storyline so completely that they haven't realized what just happened. But within a day or so (possibly sooner) the media is going to realize that all of these "coincidences" are a little much.

In the advertising world, there is a technique that uses some variation of the following: rent a billboard, paint it white, and put simple letters on it: "Watch This Space." Leave it up for a few weeks. Then change it to: "Watch This Space, One Week To Go." Then start a countdown: "Watch This Space In Three Days!" By the time you put up the actual billboard (for some new product), you have generated more interest in it through sheer curiosity than you would have normally gotten. I don't know if there's a college course on "Advertising 101" but if there were, this would be one of the examples taught.

Barack Obama didn't just wake up this morning and decide to support gay marriage. That is the line the media is currently running with, which they have swallowed -- hook, line, and sinker. Call it "Obama's Gay Marriage Evolution Completed Today!" perhaps. I, for one, don't buy it. I think this was engineered as a week-long story to insure that the Obama team would absolutely own the airwaves this week, to the detriment and frustration of the Romney team. I further think the Obama team had this figured out a while ago, and were just waiting for Romney to enter into the gay rights debate in some fashion. When the aide was let go, the opportunity presented itself. Perhaps they would have rolled it out anyway, timed to coincide with the North Carolina vote, or perhaps not.

Anyone doubting this has only to watch Biden's performance on Meet The Press. Biden could -- very easily -- have just dodged the question, with a simple "the president sets such policy, and his views have been evolving" which has been the standard administration talking point for quite some time now. Not only did Biden fail to dodge, he spent quite a bit of time explaining his position, and he actually had -- ready to go -- a heartwarming story to tell, to help him emotionally make his point. Here is Biden, from the show's official transcript:

Look -- I just think -- that -- the good news is that as more and more Americans become to understand what this is all about is a simple proposition. Who do you love? Who do you love? And will you be loyal to the person you love? And that's what people are finding out is what -- what all marriages, at their root, are about. Whether they're -- marriages of lesbians or gay men or heterosexuals.

...

I -- I -- look, I am vice president of the United States of America. The president sets the policy. I am absolutely comfortable with the fact that men marrying men, women marrying women, and heterosexual men and women marrying another are entitled to the same exact rights, all the civil rights, all the civil liberties. And quite frankly, I don't see much of a distinction -- beyond that.

...

Well, the president continues to fight, whether it's Don't Ask, Don't Tell or whether it is making sure, across the board, that you cannot discriminate. Look -- look at the executive orders he's put in place. Any hospital that gets federal funding, which is almost all of them, they can't deny a partner from being able to have access to their -- their -- their partner who's ill or making the call on whether or not they -- you know -- it's just -- this is evolving.

And by the way, my measure, David, and I take a look at when things really begin to change, is when the social culture changes. I think Will and Grace probably did more to educate the American public than almost anything anybody's ever done so far. And I think -- people fear that which is different. Now they're beginning to understand. They're beginning to understand that this as a base --

I -- I was with -- speaking to a group of gay leaders in -- in Los Angeles -- LA -- two, two weeks ago. And one gentleman looked at me in the question period and said, "Let me ask you, how do you feel about us?" And I had just walked into the back door of this gay couple and they're with their two adopted children. And I turned to the man who owned the house. I said, "What did I do when I walked in?" He said, "You walked right to my children. They were seven and five, giving you flowers." And I said, "I wish every American could see the look of love those kids had in their eyes for you guys. And they wouldn't have any doubt about what this is about."

Now, you can argue that this was nothing more than "good ol' Joe" being spontaneous. I don't buy it, however. I think Joe was the advance scout doing what, in politics, is called "running it up the flagpole to see who salutes." I could be wrong, but I became more convinced of this when the education secretary also chimed in the next morning.

Before today's announcement, the most intelligent thing I read on the issue was written by Wayne Besen on the Huffington Post. Besen accurately takes into account the whole of the political risk Obama would take by actively supporting gay marriage. Since the announcement, the most intelligent thing I've read is a post today at "The Fix" blog on WashingtonPost.com. Both point out that this is not a "slam dunk" for the president, politically. There are risks. Two of those risks are known as "North Carolina" and "Virginia."

Sure, there are plenty of possible benefits to such a bold stance for Obama. Young people and gay people and other significant portions of Obama's base will be wildly enthusiastic about this news. I, personally, am enthusiastic about this news (just in case this article reads too much like a conspiracy theory to anyone). I think the actions taken by the Obama campaign were, indeed, brilliant. They positioned their "new product" in the political world about as masterfully as I've ever seen a campaign do so. This bodes well for the fall.

Beyond Obama's base, this puts Mitt Romney on the defensive, once again. It paints him back into the far right corner. On an issue he really would rather not be discussing right now, Romney is solidly on the wrong side of history -- and Obama's stance painfully points that out to everyone. The more Republicans rant and rave on the issue of gay folks, the more young voters they lose -- it's a simple equation. And, because the actual interview with Obama isn't going to air until Thursday morning, the story will continue to dominate the week's news cycle.

I was never a big fan of the 2008-2009 argument, I have to admit. Machiavellian tactics don't usually work out so well in the political arena. The media is so cynical it's hard to get one by them in such a fashion. But this time, I have to admit, President Obama certainly does resemble Spock playing multi-dimensional chess while his opponents are staring at a checker board.

To put this another way: Bravo, Obama re-election team. Well done.

 

Chris Weigant blogs at:
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The media -- pretty much all of them -- just got "played," by the Obama campaign. And they don't even realize it yet. What we just witnessed, for roughly the past four days, was not a "breaking stor...
The media -- pretty much all of them -- just got "played," by the Obama campaign. And they don't even realize it yet. What we just witnessed, for roughly the past four days, was not a "breaking stor...
 
 
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Mildmannered
"Be excellent to each other"
12:22 PM on 05/11/2012
Mitt Romney --- "Building a Bridge Back to the 1950's"
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LizM
My micro-bio is too long for this space.
08:09 PM on 05/11/2012
Too many people want to cross that bridge.
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Guardian Weasel
News Media: We don't need balance. We need truth.
06:09 PM on 05/10/2012
Your analysis is appreciated, but I'm not entirely convinced that President Obama planned for this to happen. He's been so cautious about this issue that one could easily imagine him attempting to remain impartial through the entire election cycle. And it's not entirely out of character for Biden to speak off the cuff and occasionally veer off message.

I believe the President said the right thing, but would not deny that it is politically risky. And how often has Obama done anything "risky" in his campaign? (Did anyone think he needed to pull a risky move to stay in this race?)
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LizM
My micro-bio is too long for this space.
08:10 PM on 05/11/2012
I guess if the president had planned for this to happen he wouldn't be going around publically accepting the vice president's apology. Whatever.
GraceNotes
We live for books.
05:55 PM on 05/10/2012
Somehow I think the people who supported gay marriage in North Carolina think that his timing could have been a little better.
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NWBrunette
Blessed Girl
10:37 AM on 05/10/2012
Spot on analysis, Mr. Weigant. My thoughts exactly. This was briliantly done, and it has totally gone over the heads of most folks. Congrats to the Prez and his staff.
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DoubleYellowLines
Left of the Right, and Right of the Left
09:49 AM on 05/10/2012
The one argument I've been hearing about Obama that doesn't defer to ground-game hate (misinformation on economy, on jobs, on national defense) is that he's not projected much leadership.

Obama's been opposed so unilaterally by the GOP that he hasn't been able to project that kind of 'national father figure' too well.

Here, he's finally taking a stand. I happen to agree with his position, and I agree with your political assessment on the timing. But him coming out strongly on the position, telling the Country that THIS IS THE RIGHT THING TO DO, promotes that 'national father figure' image. The GOP will still squall like recalcitrant teenagers, but as long as Obama sticks to the ethical point, he'll win support from the wavering middle, because all of those 'misinformation' items noted above will fall out in the campaign process.
01:04 PM on 05/10/2012
Obama buckled under pressure for the homosexual money and vote. Plain and simple. He has numerous homosexual fundraising events coming up and he was simply too scared to meet thim in light of what has developed.

We'll see if he actually puts his hypocrisy to action and pursues legislation. I doubt that he will do nothing until after the election, if anything at all.
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gleitz05
Old people are allowed to be cranky.
01:47 PM on 05/10/2012
Yeah, right. Or maybe he just went ahead and did the right thing, allowing people to have the same rights as everyone else. Unlike the gotp who are intent on taking away the rights of everyone they feel are inferior to them.
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ChaCubed
Fabulously Liberal
09:25 AM on 05/10/2012
This article is one long whine - and an insulting whine at that - and a ridiculous whine at that!

1) Politics make people's lives worse, or change their lives for the better: this will change people's lives for the better, and it is another step in bringing the country closer to living our ideals of freedom and equality.

2) Criticizing a politician for doing the right thing which may get him re-elected, is like critizing a surgeon for saving lives because more people will use him.
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LizM
My micro-bio is too long for this space.
11:29 AM on 05/10/2012
One long insulting and ridiculous whine? And, your points don't mesh with the article. Did you actually read it? You seem lost ...
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tinsldr2
Retired Army Officer
12:37 PM on 05/11/2012
This will not change peoples lives at all.

What did the President say? Did he say he will fight to over turn DOMA? Did he say he will challenge state laws that deny same sex couples their right to get married?

No! He never said getting married was a right. He said he would leave it up to the states, which is the way it is now.

Chris's article does not criticize Obama (he leaves that to me LOL) . Chris's article is complementing Obama for the masterful way Obama is keeping the failed economy out of the news.
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rbenjamin
Rule 5 rules
09:15 AM on 05/10/2012
Another useful presidential chess analogy is the master playing a dozen simultaneous games out in the park. Obama has to shift his focus between a bunch of basically disconnected political games. The master faces intense scrutiny, when an opponent gives him an opening for a brilliant move, the crowd gasps and the master's reputation goes up another notch.

Another way to look at Obama's gay marriage product rollout (gotta love that term) is as a "reverse Antietam." Lincoln had to wait for a battlefield success to introduce the Emancipation Proclamation, so he wouldn't look desperate. Obama is using the battlefield loss in NC to make his rollout appear more important than it really is. By the magic of Political Quantum Mechanics, appearing important actually makes something important.
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Chris Weigant
www.ChrisWeigant.com
05:07 PM on 05/10/2012
rbenjamin -

That is a very cogent analysis, although I respect Marylanders enough to shy away from any catchphrase with "Antietam" in it, because it was so devastating.

Are you sure you don't mean Media Quantum Mechanics there at the end? "This is news because we're reporting on it... if we don't report on it, then by definition it's not news."

-CW
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rbenjamin
Rule 5 rules
08:18 PM on 05/10/2012
Politics and the media are sort of like electricity and magnetism; different manifestations of the same thing.  Like Fox News.
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09:08 AM on 05/10/2012
Chris, I'd love to believe your theory that this was a planned, intentional roll-out -- and perhaps it was. And if it was, it was brilliant as you describe.

Or perhaps the detailed timing was more accidental or opportunistic, like catching a wave. The wave being the change in viewpoint. Sometimes events happen with synchronicity.
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Chris Weigant
www.ChrisWeigant.com
05:04 PM on 05/10/2012
Just one viewpoint -

OK, I have to admit, your "catching a wave" metaphor was an excellent one, and could indeed be closer to the truth than mine. We'll probably find out a few years after Obama leaves office, when the tell-all books come out...

-CW
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09:58 PM on 05/10/2012
Thanks, Chris, for listening. But for now, let's go with your theory.

What's Obama's next brilliant political policy rollout going to be?

How about billions in borrowing at near record-low interest rates to rebuild our infrastructure, energy-retrofit buildings, and fund states to re-hire laid off teachers and public safety workers?

That just might end the Great Recession.
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irishinohio
recovering alcocatholic
08:39 AM on 05/10/2012
"The media is so cynical it's hard to get one by them in such a fashion"

Quite the opposite...the Media is in a constant state of frenzy, and will "buy" anything that is thrown to them that will make a headline....

The Republicans have owned the message for years, and have been much more successful at playing the media than Democrats.

The Obama Re-Election team has shown that Democrats have finally woken up to the power of the press, and have figured out how to harness that power to their own advantage.

The Republican nominee is so weak that there is nothing much they can do in the Media except play defense, and avoid questions.
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aspertame2
Micro-bio redacted, for your protection
08:26 AM on 05/10/2012
You know, if the President were to weigh in - candidly - on this debate over whether his "evolution" on gay marriage has been a matter of great moral consideration or of political expediency/gamesmanship, I think he might say, "So who says it can't be BOTH?"

All politics is theater and gamesmanship and deal-making. Anyone too outraged by those realities to go with the program doesn't tend to get to a position of political authority.

In this case, I suspect Obama was always "comfortable" with the idea of gay marriage, and made some show of his opinion "evolving" as support of gay marriage was borne out among his constituency as an increasingly safe "bet".

Want to talk social issues, GOP and tea partiers? Let's do. If your deep and abiding convictions put you on the wrong side of history, that's a blow to be endured not just for today, but for generations to come. I guess it's a cheap shot to say "You'd think the south would LEARN", but seriously, a culture of judgement and damnation for those Not Like Us has persisted in my part of the country over *centuries* now. It's been a useful enough tool for regressive-platform politicians, but it's been a unmitigated social, educational, and economic disaster for southern and the Bible Belt.
08:03 AM on 05/10/2012
I am as cynical as most when it comes to politicians, but saying that Obama's new stand favoring same sex marriage is merely a "political product" belies an unreasonable expectation of elected officials . Even Abraham Lincoln's emancipation proclamation (and, no, I'm not making an equivalency between the two presidents) was calculated for political effect; politicians do things because they think folks will like them. In this case, fairness and ethics happily coincide with political expediency.
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Chris Weigant
www.ChrisWeigant.com
05:02 PM on 05/10/2012
Land of Unlikeness -

I'm not using "political product" as a slur, merely a descriptor. I meant nothing bad by saying that, to put it another way.

-CW
05:33 PM on 05/10/2012
Thanks, Chris! Love your pieces, by the way.
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bbarnezz
Round up the usual suspects
07:44 AM on 05/10/2012
A large part of being a good politician is having a sense of timing. It makes no sense to be too far ahead of the country on an issue if it leaves the candidate out on a limb. But in this case, as in many social equality issues, the country is ahead of the majority of the politicians, and the POTUS has correctly judged that is time to both lead and follow. And as Chris says, they masterfully used the rollout to make the point emphatically.

It's also clearly the right thing to do. It's too bad that in politics that simple fact often takes a back seat to what is expedient and politically useful. Next issue...drug policy reform.
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Strings55
A scoundrel still loved by Jesus
07:36 AM on 05/10/2012
You're making a huge assumption that Mr. Biden can play to script.

It was political gamesmanship, I'll grant you, but you're assigning brilliant multi-level chess playing to a case of quick thinking in the midst of yet another Biden-ism blow up.

It doesn't explain away how Mr. Obama could be in favor, then not, then back in favor of the idea other than pandering in an election year.
07:55 AM on 05/10/2012
If it was just a quick comment that Biden had made, maybe. But he talked about it at great length, which makes me think Chris may be right.
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DoubleYellowLines
Left of the Right, and Right of the Left
09:50 AM on 05/10/2012
If it were Biden alone, I'd agree with you. But Arne Duncan, taking the same stance on the same day, puts more clarity on the move. I think that Chris is correct in his assessment here.
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RagMag
still living a Ragtime Life
07:03 AM on 05/10/2012
Political product? We tend to forget that "political" is not just getting elected, but also using laws to advance social agendas.

At one time when the USA was just an emerging "political product", "political" replaced "monarchical".
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Chris Weigant
www.ChrisWeigant.com
05:00 PM on 05/10/2012
RagMag -

Yeah, but even back then, it needed a sales job. The American Revolution might not have happened without the existence of the Boston Gazette and other pro-Whig papers. Product rollouts are older even than our country...

-CW
06:38 AM on 05/10/2012
I'm sure all of the Gays in NC greatly appreciate that they were sacrificed.
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07:51 AM on 05/10/2012
They sacrificed themselves by living in a backward state.
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aspertame2
Micro-bio redacted, for your protection
08:14 AM on 05/10/2012
Sing it! Shame on them for being born there!

(Or for wanting to stay there because they have family there or because they have some silly emotional attachment to their homes. All non-coastal, non-urban gays deserve what they get, yes?)
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White Raven
Eyeballs are tasty
11:48 AM on 05/10/2012
The proper thing to do when one finds oneself in a place where the law is unjust is to oppose it. If we'd all just move out of America to some other country because the problems here offend us we would not be doing anyone any favors. I say the same goes for a state.

It's easy to call some place you don't live or understand "backward", and you may even be right about that assessment. I certainly think some places are backward too. But I don't blame the minorities who live there and have a hard time for their condition. That's classic blame-the-victim.