The Conclusion to How Candidates Can Use the Internet to Win in 2010, now available for free download as a PDF at Epolitics.com
Winning in 2010
2010 will not be 2008: for one thing, we aren't likely to see the massive voter turnout that helped put Barack Obama in the White House. As in other political off-years, the 2010 results will swing on the decisions of a relatively small number of voters, an effect that will be magnified down the chain -- the smaller the race, the more effect a handful of votes can have. This kind of environment obviously encourages a focus on getting as many core supporters to the polls as possible.
As we've seen, the internet absolutely excels at maintaining connections with individual voters and at energizing them to recruit their friends, donate their money and volunteer their time. The 2010 elections won't be determined by the internet alone (candidates and ideas do matter!), but campaigns that employ online strategies intelligently and with real-world goals in mind should have a significant edge over their rivals, particularly in tight races.
This is a year in which state- and local-level politics will matter. Not only will the new Congress help determine the fate of Barack Obama's remaining political agenda, but the state legislators who take their seats in 2011 will redraw political districts across the country, a process destined to shape our political landscape for a decade to come. Now that you've read this guide, YOU have the tools to influence how those elections turn out.
A Basic Online Outreach Plan
Now that we understand the essential tools and tactics of online political organizing, let's put them together into a coherent plan to win an election.
Phase One: Getting Established
At the start, campaigns need to focus on getting the basics right, a process that may take from a few days to a few weeks. The initial steps:
Phase Two: Feeding the Beast
With an infrastructure in place, a campaign moves into the long middle period between the candidate's announcement and the actual voting. List-building and fundraising will be usually be the highest priority, supported by outreach and content creation.
Phase Three: Run-Up to Election Day
Once an election is close, an online campaign will shift into full mobilization mode.
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[Please see the version of this article on Epolitics.com for an updated list.]
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