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Dan Solin

Dan Solin

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Investing USA Style

Posted: 03/29/11 07:47 PM ET

Ninety percent of individual investors "invest" this way:

Using the Internet, discount brokers or retail brokers, you try to guess the direction of the markets. You follow the financial news. You pick stocks or mutual funds you are told will outperform. You are filled with anxiety, confused, distressed and frustrated. The returns published by top performing mutual funds far exceed your returns. You wonder who is getting those returns. How did those investors know a particular fund was going to do so well?

The predictions of the talking heads on the financial media are mesmerizing. They sound so knowledgeable and intelligent. But if they really have predictive powers, how did they miss the market crash in 2008 and the rapid recovery which continues to date? If you take the time to review the data, you are troubled to learn their track record is no better than the toss of the coin. Is this an intelligent way to plan for retirement?

You don't trust the securities industry. You can't forget it was these "investment gurus" who brought us to the brink of a worldwide depression. If they can't manage their own money, what qualifies them to manage yours? You read about the insider trading scandals and it confirms your suspicion that the playing field is not level. What chance do you have if these guys are on the other side of your trade? It's not just the crooks like Madoff who make you nervous. You have the niggling feeling the entire system is one giant Ponzi scheme, which is simply a pretense for the transfer of your money to those who manage it.

If you have a 401(k) plan, and your employer matches, you still get little comfort. The number of investment options is bewildering. You have no idea how to put together a globally diversified portfolio in an asset allocation appropriate for you. No one at your company can help you. The web site provided by the record keeper for the fund is helpful, but you don't get any advice tailored for you. You keep reading about conflicts of interest and excessive fees in these plans. You know something is wrong, but you have no idea how to fix it.

You have lost confidence in the SEC. It is under funded and under staffed. Most of its employees are just doing their time to build up their resume so they can jump to lucrative jobs with the same industry they are "regulating." You can't forget the sound byte provided by Harry Markopolos in his congressional testimony into the failure of the SEC to detect the Madoff fraud, even though he laid it out for them in agonizing detail: "If you flew the entire SEC staff to Boston, and sat them in Fenway Park, they wouldn't be able to find first base." Can you depend on these lost souls to protect you from Wall Street?

Welcome to what passes for investing in the USA.

Following these simple steps would increase your returns significantly (based on historical data), eliminate your anxiety and put you in control of your finances:

1. Formulate an investing goal. Most investors don't have one. If you don't know how much you will need to accumulate in retirement assets so you (and your surviving spouse or partner) can maintain your quality of life and not die destitute and dependent on others, this would be a worthy goal. You can generate a very helpful report here. Full disclosure: I am affiliated with Index Funds Advisors, which created and administers this report.

2. Fire your "market beating" retail broker or advisor. They have no predictive powers. They can't pick stocks or time the market. Most of them can't even calculate the risk of your portfolio. Their primary goal is to generate fees or commissions, while purporting to have an expertise that doesn't exist.

3. Determine your asset allocation. Invest in a globally diversified portfolio of low cost stock and bond index funds.

4. If you are not familiar with the research of Eugene Fama and Kenneth French, take the time to learn what the largest and most sophisticated investors in the world know about investing. You won't find this information in the financial media or at the office of your retail broker.

This is what investing should be about. It should be investor centric. At present, it's broker centric. The securities industry is fighting hard to keep it that way.

The views set forth in this blog are the opinions of the author alone and may not represent the views of any firm or entity with whom he is affiliated. The data, information, and content on this blog are for information, education, and non-commercial purposes only. Returns from index funds do not represent the performance of any investment advisory firm. The information on this blog does not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice and is limited to the dissemination of opinions on investing. No reader should construe these opinions as an offer of advisory services. Readers who require investment advice should retain the services of a competent investment professional. The information on this blog is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities or class of securities mentioned herein. Furthermore, the information on this blog should not be construed as an offer of advisory services. Please note that the author does not recommend specific securities nor is he responsible for comments made by persons posting on this blog.

 
 
 

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Ninety percent of individual investors "invest" this way: Using the Internet, discount brokers or retail brokers, you try to guess the direction of the markets. You follow the financial news. You pi...
Ninety percent of individual investors "invest" this way: Using the Internet, discount brokers or retail brokers, you try to guess the direction of the markets. You follow the financial news. You pi...
 
 
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frank day
Republican = FAIL
05:48 PM on 03/30/2011
Solid advice. This is exactly how people should handle their retirement funds.

Its not about quick wealth, Its about preserving capital and having a long term plan.
10:03 AM on 03/30/2011
Dan is right on. Dump brokers and other middle men. Go straight to a not-for-profit, like Vanguard, and invest in low-cost index funds. While you're at it, dump your large commercial bank in favor of a credit union (also not-for-profit). You'll get a much better deal, because you won't have to help pay for outrageous salaries, benefits, and and perks for executives, a/k/a pigs at the shareholders' trough.
06:35 AM on 03/30/2011
As an investor with the Vanguard Group I can tell you that Vanguard's core investment philosophy is entirely consistent with the precepts advocated by Dan Solin. Vanguard's mantra to investors is quite simple, and, despite the emotional storms sometimes provided by "the market", their plan is not hard to implement.

The plan I adopted 25+ years ago is to simply: invest a large proportion of your investment funds in a broadly diversified mix of stocks and bonds, as exemplified by Vanguards cost index funds, re-balance the portfolio approximately once per year, and to "stay-the-course", meaning do not let short-term emotional turmoil whipsaw you into taking risky impulsive actions.

This plan forces a discipline that allows the investor to participate in the overall growth and profitability of the US economy, a scenario that has provided a long-term stock markert return of about 9.8% per year. Yes, in the short-run, even over a period as long as a decade, stock returns may be zero or even slightly negative, but, unless you want to "short" the long-run US economy, and, accept the premise that the US economy will not grow over the future, these long-run returns, while they may not be matched exactly, are likely to prevail again.

So, I say to the typical small investor: create an investment plan to your suiting and stick with it. You may be pleasantly surprised by the investing outcome that you achieve.
05:01 AM on 03/30/2011
GSA and OMB Cause Private Sector Job Loss.
For more details
http://open.salon.com/blog/resipsa/2011/03/26/gsa_and_omb_cause_private_sector_job_loss
01:39 AM on 03/30/2011
Investing is fraught with peril. I agree: For individuals, investing must be investor centric.

Unfortunately, your description of the SEC is probably accurate. It certainly describes them in the past and we should assume it still holds 'til we see hard evidence to the contrary.

~ richard allbritton, Miami, http://rallbritton.blogspot.com
10:34 PM on 03/29/2011
Bravo, Mr. Solin! Please, keep delivering the many important and under-discussed topics in this column. You are doing important work here, and hopefully your message will soon be joined by others.

I only wish there was another arena in which to build savings, and be done with these thieves...