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Daniel Cubias

Daniel Cubias

Posted: November 12, 2008 11:52 AM

What Does An Obama Administration Mean for Latinos?


The dancing in the streets has subsided since November 4. Of course, I remain stunned that we had dancing in the streets at all. Seriously, does anyone remember this kind of orgiastic response over election results? Before this, the standard imagery was supporters in ballrooms laughing and waving signs, but now we see impromptu parades and ecstatic outbursts on street corners and strangers hugging each other in every city in the world. But maybe it just overwhelms in comparison with recent history, because the last two elections provoked either muffled wailing or smug insinuations that God had spoken.

Among the election-night celebrants were Hispanics. Anyone tuning in to more than twelve minutes of television coverage on that evening heard how the Latino vote was key to Obama's win. We even got more air time and credit than the fabled youth vote.

The facts are that Hispanics favored Obama by more than two to one over McCain (67 percent to 31 percent, according to MSNBC). Looking at it another way, Latino voters accounted for 11 percent of Obama's vote and 6 percent of McCain's total. The Hispanic vote was the difference in New Mexico and Indiana. Furthermore, Obama won a majority of Latinos in Florida, which is astonishing when one considers that the large Cuban American population there has been, in the past, so hardcore Republican that they make Rupert Murdoch look like a gay vegan folksinger in comparison.

In essence, turnout like this goes beyond the fact that Hispanic voters tend to lean toward the Democrats. This is not a leaning. It is a tsunami of support and enthusiasm.

So did this salsa-flavored version of Obama-mania develop because we Latinos believe that the President-elect will be good for Hispanic interests? Well, yes, of course we do. But those interests shockingly coincide, for the most part, with the goals of the majority culture. After all, Latinos are not any more or less obsessed with jobs, health care, and education than white people are -- it's just that Hispanics have grown weary of receiving the poorest quality in all of these areas. Any Obama policies that move Latinos closer to the standards enjoyed by the general population will receive a resounding "Si, se puede!"

Already, Obama's transition team has identified hundreds of executive orders that the new president will overturn, amend, or just bury in the White House backyard. In addition, Obama's ideas on taxation -- and his drive to reform the previously mentioned problem areas of education and health care -- may have a direct impact on the Latino standard of living. Much depends on whether the minority party (an ironic moniker under the circumstances) decides to pick a fight over what constitutes "socialism."

The most pressing topic that appeals specifically to Hispanics, of course, is immigration. This tends to be true regardless of whether one is illegal or a third-generation citizen. For Obama, this issue gets dicey, because Bush and McCain were actually at odds with their own party's hard-line stance, meaning that the President-elect would have to be even more open about immigration to differentiate himself from his opponents.

So one has to ponder if guest-worker programs will move forward. Also, will there be a nationwide American Dream Act, or is this piece of equitable legislation fated to be battled over in state after state? And what will happen to those so-called amnesty provisions?

In all likelihood, the answer is that not much will come of the new president's apparently sincere desire to make this country a better place for immigrants. There simply isn't the bandwidth. Obama will be so swamped trying to dig the economy out of the toilet and dealing with two floundering wars that I doubt any serious movement on immigration will happen before, say, 2012. As pessimistic as it sounds, perhaps immigrants will have to settle for the short-term progress of being humanized, which would still be an improvement over their current status as menacing specters conjured by the hard right wing.

One final bit of intriguing news comes courtesy of the Pew Hispanic Center. They found that 8 percent of this year's voters were of the brown-skinned variety. Truthfully, this could have been better, considering that we make up about 14 percent of the population. However, the long-term implications are that as the Latino population gets bigger and younger (a rarity among ethnic groups), there will come a tipping point in American politics where this group isn't just coveted; it will become essential to victory.

As such, the most significant aspect of Obama's election, at least in a historical sense, may be what it portends. Now that we have our first ethnic-minority president, isn't it just a matter of time before someone whose last name ends in Z takes the oath of office?

It may yet be years away, but it's coming.

The dancing in the streets has subsided since November 4. Of course, I remain stunned that we had dancing in the streets at all. Seriously, does anyone remember this kind of orgiastic response over el...
The dancing in the streets has subsided since November 4. Of course, I remain stunned that we had dancing in the streets at all. Seriously, does anyone remember this kind of orgiastic response over el...
 
 
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03:17 PM on 11/12/2008
"As pessimistic as it sounds, perhaps immigrants will have to settle for the short-term progress of being humanized, which would still be an improvement over their current status as menacing specters conjured by the hard right wing..."

I think you nailed it. I hear a big difference in temperament when I hear liberals and conservatives debate immigration issues. The former is at the very least respectful, the latter is the opposite.

But I have to say that it strikes me as absurd that the GOP seems to be hateful/suspicious of all foreigners, including their own "white" European ancestors. In their zest to label "others" as dangerous, they disparage their own claims of superiority.
03:53 PM on 11/12/2008
Duh? The issue isn't immigrants, the US has a quite liberal immigration policy. The issue is illegal aliens. "ILLEGAL" as in "CRMINAL ACT". If someone you don't know sets up housekeeping in your basement, that's okay with you? Heck, just keep in mind, they need a home too.

Mexico has sent us 10% of their population; should China and India (especially in view of the global economic recession) send us 10% of their population too? That would only be 200,000,000 more people.
04:16 PM on 11/12/2008
You need to go back, read the article, then read my response which quotes the writer and speaks to a difference in "temperament".

If you're unaware that the GOP is unhappy with the browning of America, legal OR illegal immigrants, you live in a reality separate from mine.
02:10 PM on 11/12/2008
What ever happened to the talking head comments during the Primaries that Latinos would not vote for a Black? A myth that has been shattered and I hope gets trashed with the discarded Presidential Orders.

Thank you for voting Obama. Politics will be different. Now what must happen is, we must get out of this economic mess.

Si Se Puede!
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Osmona
Its GREAT to be alive and SANE.
01:38 PM on 11/12/2008
I am a 54 year old African American who is absolutely "grateful to GOD" to have lived long enough to see a African-American voted President of the United States of America. However, NOW is the time to STOP the divisive behavior and come together as ONE. It was NOT just one particular race of people who voted President Obama into office. It was ALL of us who voted our 44th President into office. As a matter of fact, more Whites voted for him than any other group. Yes, we are different in our race and backgrounds, but we ARE the people of THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. Obama is for a BETTER America and I really hope that people will not begin to think he OWES any one gruup in particular any favors. I will just be happy if he can get some of the things done that the Bush Administration destroyed.

So, let us come together and celebrate our 44th President together. GOD BLESS AMERICA!!!!!!
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01:33 PM on 11/12/2008
I think that everyone who celebrated President-elect Obama's victory saw that as a move toward inclusivity for ALL within this increasingly multicultural society. It is important to note that although he didn't get a majority of support from Whites, he got substantial support -- 43% from whites and that took him over the top.

His was a victory for everyone who believes that personal effort, ability and character should be the decisive factors in establishing individual merit. In view of this country's civil rights history and the challenges that we still face, I think that this affirmation of inclusivity is a reason to celebrate. And that should be good enough for now.

No particular group is more or less a winner in this election -- except those who believe that Democratic ideas and'or values should be advanced at this time. It's a challenging time and the focus has to be on bolstering the economy right now.

Isn't it interesting how some from the Republican right -- which includes the Christian right and "Christian" Sarah Palin -- keeps crying "socialist" and warning about "marxism" as though BO is planning something sinister or evil? I don't think that the people who use these terms even know what they mean.

I soooo wanted someone to ask Sarah Palin whether Jesus should be classified as a socialist. I certainly don't think he could be considered a free market capitalist!!! LOL!!!
jhNY
Mercy.
12:38 PM on 11/12/2008
As my grandfather came here in the early 20th century from Mexico, I have no small sympathy for immigrants from that nation or any other. And I do not propose to know any fair or reasonable solution to the problem of undocumented persons presently here. But sooner or later, especially if we as a nation mean to actually change the status quo as regards our tattered 'social safety net', the value and necessity of legal citizenship must be restored. A decent retirement, universal health care, adequate public education will, in political terms at least, require that the recipients of such state largesse be actual citizens of the US. Otherwise, the American public will not go along, as they are unwilling to see these programs expand or improve so long as non-citizens might benefit at tax-payers' expense. This will be even more important now that the economy is, at least for the time being, wrecked.

Rather than lobbying for expanded guest worker programs or relaxed border policies, etc., I believe more effort should be made by politically active Latinos to encourage the undocumented here to begin the legal path to citizenship whenever possible, and to develop a process whereby the illegal immigrant may become legal.
apoyo
Micro-bio? Sounds serious.
12:33 PM on 11/12/2008
The tipping point just occurred on Nov 4th. The right will ignore people of color at their own peril. The talking heads and their reps are out there saying they have to be more inclusive. The right has had a rude awakening and all this anti-immigrant (anti-Hispanic) rhetoric served to wake a sleeping giant.

Hispanics are no different from anyone else. We all want to give our children a better future, a good education and a few luxuries here and there.

Obama wants to improve the daily lives of all and he shouldn't have different programs for different people. Saying that, the Dream Act should be passed. Why punish innocent children. We need all the brainpower we can get to compete with the rest of the world.

Si Se Puede!!!