Daniel Nichanian

Daniel Nichanian

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Daniel Nichanian is a senior at Yale University. Born in Paris before
he moved to New York with his parents, Daniel follows French politics
as obsessively as he does American news -- though he will attempt to
keep his disheartened rants about the state of the French Left to a
minimum in this blog. At Yale, he is the editor-in-chief of the Hippolytic magazine. He blogs
about the 2008 elections at Campaign Diaries.

Blog Entries by Daniel Nichanian

Democratic Voting Rolls Still Climbing In Pennsylvania

Posted June 30, 2008 | 08:47 AM (EST)


In the weeks leading up to the April 22nd closed primary in Pennsylvania, both Democratic campaigns undertook a massive registration campaign to get as many independents and registered Republicans to become registered Democrats in order to vote for their candidate. The numbers that came out of that effort confirmed...

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The New, More Blue, National Election Map

Posted June 25, 2008 | 12:07 PM (EST)


As both presidential campaigns have started airing their first ads and hiring staffers in various battlegrounds, the time has come for more definite decisions on what states ought to be contested and what constituencies ought to be targeted. Last week, Obama started to air his first general election...

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Obama Opting Out of Public Financing

106 Comments | Posted June 19, 2008 | 09:20 AM (EST)


In a video message released to his supporters on his website this morning, Barack Obama announced he is opting out of public financing. He will be the first candidate ever to rely on private donations to finance his general election campaign, a not unanticipated but controversial move that will...

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The New-Latest Swing-State Polls: Ohio A Toss Up; Florida To Obama

2 Comments | Posted June 19, 2008 | 09:07 AM (EST)


After weeks of not getting a single poll from OH and FL, here is the third Ohio poll in two days -- and a reminder of how much indecision we should expect in polls as long as the race remains a toss-up:

  • Unlike PPP's 11% lead...

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Polls Show Democrats Drawing Together Behind Obama

2 Comments | Posted June 18, 2008 | 01:53 PM (EST)


Quinnipiac released its eagerly anticipated set of swing state polls, and after weak showings by Obama in the waves of early April and mid-May, he has improved significantly this month in solidifying the support of registered Democrats. Though his lead in all three of these states fails...

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McCain Strategy Unveiled: Another New Map

60 Comments | Posted June 10, 2008 | 09:07 AM (EST)


Showcasing its general election strategy, the McCain campaign released data, slides and maps from a recent briefing. The strategy plan now runs basically as a PowerPoint presentation given by Campaign Manager Rick Davis at the McCain website. In addition to basically indicting the Bush Administration ("Today's political...
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TV Ads And Town Halls: McCain Campaign Revs Up

19 Comments | Posted June 9, 2008 | 09:02 AM (EST)


The primaries at last concluded, the Obama campaign is now mapping its strategy, staffing up, deciding on new hires and starting to build on the Obama organizations already in place in nearly every state-- a benefit of the prolonged contest against Hillary Clinton. Obama, of course, is also weighing whom...

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Clinton's Last Stand?

Posted June 3, 2008 | 01:17 PM (EST)


Welcome to the last presidential voting day until November 4th. The last presidential primary is upon us, and yet all eyes are fixed on New York, not on South Dakota and Montana. There have been no Zogby tracking polls, no wall-to-wall CNN coverage from Helena or Rapid City. Instead, every...

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Betting On Obama's New Map

Posted May 28, 2008 | 09:21 AM (EST)


Barack Obama is now traveling to general election battleground states with increasing frequency, and his exchanges with John McCain are starting to generate as much press as his disputes with Hillary Clinton. Today's topics included the RNC blasting Obama for falsely claiming that his uncle liberated Auschwitz and McCain's...

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Polls: Registered Dems Still Prefer Clinton

Posted May 22, 2008 | 08:47 AM (EST)


A lot of presidential polls to digest today, as SUSA, Rasmussen and two other polling groups released new match-ups for a total of 8 states with some surprises and some expected results. The most interesting come from the pair of Southern states that the Obama campaign believes it...

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Early Returns: Add A Potential Staff Crossover To Today's Votes

Posted May 20, 2008 | 08:36 AM (EST)


The Democratic Party's unification process continued today. After Senator Byrd this morning, Warren Buffet endorsed Barack Obama; he had announced for a long time that he would not endorse before the end of the primaries and had made appearances with both candidates. Meanwhile, Politico reported that Patti...
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Pledged Delegates Join Supers In Eyeing The General

Posted May 19, 2008 | 09:05 AM (EST)


The number of uncommitted superdelegates decreased significantly over the week-end, getting Democrats 8 steps closer to settling their primary. Barack Obama picked up 5 superdelegates while Hillary Clinton picked up a net 3 -- and to make matters worse for the New York Senator she lost some pledged delegates:
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Primary Night Results Thread: Childers Makes It Three In A Row For Dems

Posted May 14, 2008 | 09:32 AM (EST)


2:00am: With all precincts reporting, Clinton held on to a strong margin: 67% to 26% for Obama. John Edwards got 7% of the votes. The delegate breakdown is almost as good as Clinton could have hoped for as she gains 20 delegates to Obama's 8. This includes...

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End In Sight, Clinton And Obama Focus On Superdelegates

Posted May 9, 2008 | 08:59 AM (EST)


As the Democratic Party seeks to find a way out of its nomination imbroglio, both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama met with uncommitted superdelegates the past two days. Wednesday, Clinton held meetings at the DCCC headquarters and on Thursday it was Obama's turn. Campaigns surrogates are insisting that there are...

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Superdelegate Silence Speaks For Clinton

Posted May 1, 2008 | 12:05 PM (EST)


What a day in superdelegate endorsements. Yesterday, I reported that Obama had snatched 3 superdelegates to 1 for Clinton. Since then, the pace has only accelerated with 6 superdelegates coming forward since then (and 5 just this morning).

At this point, the conventional wisdom regarding superdelegates is that...

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Obama's Pastor Problem Moves Down South and Down Ballot

Posted April 29, 2008 | 08:44 AM (EST)


Reverend Jeremiah Wright returned to the national stage last week as the North Carolina Republican Party produced an ad hitting Barack Obama for his relationship with Wright. Also, Wright has been delivering a number of speeches and interviews in the past few days. He spoke at the Michigan NAACP...

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New Polls: Indiana Toss-Up

Posted April 25, 2008 | 09:20 AM (EST)


We have seen remarkably few polls from Indiana so far but Research 2000 sought to correct that anomaly today by releasing a survey from the Hoosier state:

  • Obama edges out Clinton 48% to 47%, a slight improvement from the previous R2000 poll that had Clinton leading by 3%.
  • In...

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ABC's Silly Moderation Hurts Obama

Posted April 16, 2008 | 11:36 PM (EST)


The last time the Democratics debated in Philadelphia, Hillary Clinton was at the height of her dominance, enjoying great coverage, strong numbers and an inevitability aura. That debate, however, was the start of her slow decline as her rivals took shot after shot against the front-runner, leaving her badly wounded...

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Bittergate-Wake Pennsylvania Polls Trickling In

Posted April 15, 2008 | 12:46 PM (EST)


With 3 new polls of the Pennsylvania primary out today, it is very difficult to conclude what effect -- if any -- Obama's "bitter" remarks have had on the race. This is especially so because the Quinnipiac poll, which will be the most cited today because it has one of...

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Brace For It: Spring May Be Attack-Ad Season

Posted April 15, 2008 | 12:28 PM (EST)


Contrary to what supporters of both candidates might think, this primary has been a relatively mild affair compared to past election cycles; there have been some very tense moments, to be sure, but both candidates have been containing themselves. In the fall, when he was trailing, many reproached Barack Obama...

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