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Daniel Nisman
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Daniel Nisman is a geopolitical analyst specializing in Eastern Mediterranean affairs.

Entries by Daniel Nisman

Hamas Should Be Disarmed, Not Destroyed

(8) Comments | Posted July 18, 2014 | 11:08 AM

This post was co-authored with Ron Gilran.

The saying "the third time's the charm" has never been so popular among Israelis as the Jewish State fights its third major conflict with Palestinian terrorists in the Gaza Strip in five years. With rockets targeting all of Israel's major cities for the...

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Few Good Options in Gaza

(6) Comments | Posted July 4, 2014 | 8:31 AM

At the time of writing, a destabilizing conflagration in the Gaza Strip appears to have been narrowly diverted. Unless Israel is readying a surprise attack (as it has done in the past), Hamas is set to accept Jerusalem's offer to cease rocket fire within 48 hours. As P.M. Netanyahu stated...

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For Iran's Supreme Leader, No Nuclear Deal Is Better Than a Good Nuclear Deal

(1) Comments | Posted June 12, 2014 | 3:39 PM

Nearly 12 years have passed since an Iranian dissident group first exposed the construction of two secret nuclear facilities -- the Arak heavy water reactor and the Natanz uranium enrichment facility. Since then, these two sites, along with the fortified Fordow enrichment complex revealed in 2009, have nearly become household...

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To Stop ISIS, Iraq's Maliki Must Choose Between an Inclusive Alliance and Full-Scale Civil War

(0) Comments | Posted June 10, 2014 | 10:05 PM

The offensive launched five days ago by the Islamic State of Iraq and Sham (ISIS) in Iraq's Ninaveh Province has proved to be the greatest threat to post-Saddam Iraq since the 2006-07 civil war. The ultra-radical jihadist group now controls the majority of Mosul, Iraq's third largest city and major...

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Visit of Lebanese Bishop Is an Opportunity to Revive Israel's Minority Relations

(1) Comments | Posted May 22, 2014 | 4:29 PM

On May 24, Maronite Bishop Bishara al-Rahi will become the first Lebanese Christian patriarch to set foot in Israel since its establishment as he accompanies Pope Francis on a three-day Holy Land tour. Al-Rahi's decision has since set off a political firestorm in Lebanon following the announcement of his visit...

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Egypt's Three-Headed Terrorism Threat

(1) Comments | Posted May 9, 2014 | 3:10 PM

When he is (eventually) elected to Egypt's Presidency, former Field Marshal Abdel Fatah al-Sisi knows the Everest of his policy goals will be restoring the country's floundering economy. But before he can take on the monumental task of ensuring food and petrol stability to a largely impoverished country of over...

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The Palestinian Reconciliation Bluff

(25) Comments | Posted April 25, 2014 | 10:53 AM

Coauthored with Ron Gilran

They say a contract between two men is almost as binding as a handshake between them. The implied skepticism of this saying surely crossed the minds of everyone in the press-packed home of Hamas Prime Minister Ismail Haniyeh on April 13 when he inked a seemingly-landmark...

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Israel's Last Good Fence

(0) Comments | Posted January 31, 2014 | 11:32 AM

Lately, Israel has increasingly added its voice to the international chorus of concern over the Syrian al-Qaeda threat. Last week, an 'unnamed Israeli official' was quoted by various media outlets claiming that jihadis fighting in the conflict had mushroomed from 2,000 to 30,000 in just two years. Just...

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Assad's Fan Club Is Growing for All the Wrong Reasons

(5) Comments | Posted January 9, 2014 | 7:30 PM

Three weeks before his ousting in June 2013, Egyptian President Mohammed Morsi organized a major rally against the Assad regime in Cairo's International Stadium. For Egypt's secularist military, Morsi's jihadist-undertoned rhetoric supporting the Syrian rebels was a red flag and ultimately helped convince Defense Minister Sisi that the Brotherhood-backed leader...

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Will Iran's Covert War Continue?

(14) Comments | Posted December 8, 2013 | 4:30 PM

They say old habits die hard. For Iran's elite Quds Force, the secretive external branch of the Revolutionary Guard, the habits of subversion and mafia-style revenge against the Islamic Republic's adversaries may never die at all. The actions of these self-described promoters of the Islamic Revolution may just determine whether...

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Is Egypt Out to Topple Hamas?

(5) Comments | Posted November 4, 2013 | 12:57 PM

On November 11, the ninth anniversary Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat's death, an internet-mobilized protest campaign called "Tamaroud" will kick off in the Gaza Strip. The group is based off of Egypt's Tamaroud movement which enabled the ousting of President Morsi, and similarly aims to topple the...

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Learning From Mubarak's Mistakes in Algeria

(0) Comments | Posted September 27, 2013 | 11:41 AM

There are those who argue that Egypt's infamous dictator Hosni Mubarak sealed his own fate long before the first activists pitched their tents on Tahrir Square in January 2011. They say the countdown really began in 2010, when Hosni's eldest son, Gamal, pitched a bold economic reform package to weather...

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Why the Next Israel-Hezbollah War Will Be an Accident

(26) Comments | Posted August 20, 2013 | 10:51 AM

On the seven-year anniversary of the 2006 Second Lebanon War, Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah claimed responsibility for an August 7 explosion in the Israeli-Lebanese border area, near the town of Labboune. That day, at least one explosive device injured four Israeli soldiers from the Golani unit, who...

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Failure to Compromise Endangers Lebanon

(10) Comments | Posted July 18, 2013 | 10:30 AM

Coauthored with Barak Gatenyo

Lebanon's politics are becoming about as predictable as molecules in an atom smasher. After three months of fruitless negotiations, the efforts of Prime Minister-designate Tammam Salam to form a cabinet remain at square one. The parliament remains unable to fill a quorum due to a cyclical...

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The First Real Test for Moderates in the Syrian Opposition

(3) Comments | Posted June 17, 2013 | 11:20 AM

On June 14, the Obama administration announced that it would supply rebels with limited military aid, citing the confirmation of chemical weapons usage by the Assad regime in several instances over the past year. This unprecedented public acknowledgement follows the capture of the town of Qusayr by pro-Assad regime forces...

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Stop Libya's Counter Revolution

(0) Comments | Posted May 14, 2013 | 7:01 PM

Coauthored with Roshanna Lawrence

It is often said that the great questions of our time will not be settled by speeches and votes, but by iron and blood. It is a maxim that certainly rings true for the question of Libya's democratic future. With the world's attention fixated across the...

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Showdown in Egypt's Halls of Justice

(2) Comments | Posted May 8, 2013 | 2:38 PM

Coauthored with Roshanna Lawrence.

Glancing through Arab media headlines and social-media networks would leave one thinking that the idiom "Brotherhoodization" has become a dictionary term. In Egypt, the birthplace of the Muslim Brotherhood, public institutions have fallen like dominos to the group's influence. With the military largely unwilling to embroil...

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Hassan Nasrallah to the World: 'We Will Never Leave Syria'

(11) Comments | Posted May 1, 2013 | 1:17 PM

They say that in Lebanon, when Hassan Nasrallah speaks, everyone listens. On April 30, the Hezbollah chief made one of his most anticipated addresses since the start of the Arab Spring -- making it clear that despite the risks, his fighters will never abandon their support for the nearly universally-loathed...

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Have Syria's Kurds Had a Change of Heart?

(6) Comments | Posted April 8, 2013 | 10:34 AM

"Deal with your friends as if they will become your enemies tomorrow, and deal with your enemies as if they will become your friends tomorrow." It's a proverb passed along through Kurdish generations -- and a telling pretext to the Kurdish strategy in today's conflict in Syria. In recent weeks,...

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Tensions With Tunisia's Jihadists: Who Will Blink First?

(1) Comments | Posted April 2, 2013 | 11:47 AM

The month of March 2013 has witnessed an increase in tensions between local Tunisian Salafist networks, the newly formed government of P.M. Laarayedh, and the country's secular/liberal societal factions.

On March 26, Ansar al-Sharia in Tunisia (AST) issued a warning on social media towards P.M. Laarayedh, after he condemned Tunisia's...

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