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Daniel Wagner
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Daniel Wagner is CEO of Country Risk Solutions, a Connecticut-based cross-border risk advisory firm and author of Managing Country Risk (March 2012). CRS provides a range of services related to the management of cross-border risk.

Daniel was previously Senior Vice President of Country Risk at GE Energy Financial Services where he was part of a team investing billions of dollars annually into global energy projects. Daniel was responsible for advising senior management on a variety of country risk-related issues, strategic planning, and portfolio management. He created a Center of Excellence for country risk analysis in GE and led a team that produced a comprehensive automated country risk rating methodology.

He began his career at AIG in New York and subsequently spent five years as Guarantee Officer for the Asia Region at the World Bank Group’s Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) in Washington, D.C. During that time he was responsible for underwriting PRI for projects in a dozen Asian countries. After then serving as Regional Manager for Political Risks for Southeast Asia and Greater China for AIG in Singapore, Daniel then moved to Manila, Philippines where he was Guarantee and Risk Management Advisor, then Political Risk Guarantee Specialist, then Senior Guarantees and Syndications Specialist for the ADB’s Office of Cofinancing Operations. Over the course of his career Daniel has also held senior positions in the political risk insurance (PRI) brokerage business in London, Dallas and Houston.

Daniel has published hundreds of articles on current affairs, risk management, PRI, terrorism, and related subjects. His editorials have been published in such notable newspapers as the International Herald Tribune and the Wall Street Journal. His first book - Political Risk Insurance Guide - was published by the International Risk Management Institute.

He holds master’s degrees in International Relations from the University of Chicago and in International Management from the American Graduate School of International Management (Thunderbird) in Phoenix. He received his bachelor’s degree in Political Science from Richmond College in London.

Daniel can be reached at: daniel.wagner@countyrisksolutions.com or 203-570-1005.

Blog Entries by Daniel Wagner

Is the Trans-Pacific Partnership the Solution to Latin America's Fractured Trade Regime?

(2) Comments | Posted May 16, 2013 | 9:32 AM

Latin America is poised to assume a starring role in the governance of international trade, with a Brazilian having been selected to lead the World Trade Organization and the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) set to enter its 17th round of talks in Peru later this month. Many hope an agreement on...

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Does The Philippines Deserve Its Investment Grade?

(1) Comments | Posted May 7, 2013 | 5:42 PM

Over the past decade the Philippines' sovereign credit rating oscillated between "negative" and "stable", reflecting concern about the ability of the government to collect sufficient tax revenue, manage its budget, and sustain a high rate of GDP growth. Three years ago, President Aquino embarked on a long overdue path to...

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Does The Philippines Deserve Its Investment Grade?

(2) Comments | Posted May 7, 2013 | 3:00 PM

Over the past decade the Philippines' sovereign credit rating oscillated between "negative" and "stable," reflecting concern about the ability of the government to collect sufficient tax revenue, manage its budget, and sustain a high rate of GDP growth. Three years ago, President Aquino embarked on a long overdue path to...

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Will Najib Razak Remove Malaysia's System of Racial Preferences?

(4) Comments | Posted May 6, 2013 | 8:10 AM

For the first time since 1957, the outcome of the national elections was not a foregone conclusion in Malaysia. Yesterday's electoral win for Prime Minister Najib Razak and his ruling coalition (Barisan Nasional, or National Front) was confirmation that the majority of Malaysians fear change and prefer the devil that...

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Unlucky Number 13: Is Slovenia Next in Line for a Bailout?

(4) Comments | Posted May 2, 2013 | 2:36 PM

Cyprus was all the indication the markets needed that 'bailout frenzy' is far from over in Europe. Slovenia appears to be next. The country has long been hailed as a success story of the EU enlargement process, entering the Union in 2004 in robust fiscal health. Rising productivity and industrial...

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Can President Nieto Deliver the Goods?

(7) Comments | Posted April 26, 2013 | 3:12 PM

Mexico's President Nieto was handed a poor set of cards when he assumed power last December. His predecessor, Felipe Calderon, was brought down by a bloody war against the drug cartels that led to more civilian deaths than the total number of U.S. troops killed in the wars in Afghanistan...

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Why Moscow Is Important to Pyongyang

(0) Comments | Posted April 16, 2013 | 3:48 PM

The Kremlin has certainly not been subtle in opining on what is at stake on the Korean Peninsula, stating earlier this month that a military conflict there could make Chernobyl "seem like a child's fairy tale." The characterization serves to highlight what is at stake for Pyongyang and Seoul, but...

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The Central African Republic: Implications of Africa's "Phantom State"

(0) Comments | Posted April 12, 2013 | 3:18 PM

As a failed state, the Central African Republic (CAR) is today more a plot of territory than a functional nation. Last month's coup served to reemphasize its history of instability and political violence, and has ushered in a new era of uncertainty. The country's impoverished people are victims of geography,...

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Can Erdogan Now Deliver His End of the Bargain With Israel?

(48) Comments | Posted April 3, 2013 | 12:47 PM

Although the restoration of ties between Israel and Turkey is welcome news for both countries, it is premature to gauge how close Jerusalem and Ankara will become given their continued conflicts of interest. The 'thaw' in bilateral relations is likely to be slow, with the two countries' divergent objectives in...

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The Brave New World of 'Syrianization'

(7) Comments | Posted April 1, 2013 | 9:14 AM

Co-written by Sam Lucas

It has become common to refer to the fragmentation and destruction of a state into smaller, often hostile regions, as "Balkanization," having occurred with enough frequency in recent history in countries such as Afghanistan and Iraq that the term has become localized. Indeed, "Afghanistanization" and "Iraqization"...

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Iran's Long Leash

(0) Comments | Posted March 27, 2013 | 7:08 PM

Although all of Syria's neighbors have been negatively impacted by the country's crisis, Iraq's sectarian tensions and the religious, historical and cultural bonds between Syrians and Iraqis connect the two states' political fates. While many of Iraq's Sunnis support the Syrian opposition, Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki continues to lend considerable...

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The Cyprus Deal Signals a Rise in the Far Right in Europe

(7) Comments | Posted March 25, 2013 | 11:51 AM

News of the 10-billion-euro bailout for Cyprus should not be cause for celebration. An ambiguous plan has been put forward to restructure the country's banking system and the effective expropriation of depositor funds will continue. Yet global stock markets have, as usual, risen on the news that the ECB has...

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Kenya's Message to the West

(13) Comments | Posted March 22, 2013 | 4:17 PM

Uhuru Kenyatta's disputed election to the presidency of Kenya earlier this month raises a host of questions regarding its legality, Kenyatta's indictment at the International Criminal Court (ICC), and whether Kenya will become isolated as a result. As Kenya becomes increasingly important in the regional fight against militant groups such...

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Implications of Europe's Stumble in Cyprus

(13) Comments | Posted March 19, 2013 | 12:57 PM

Forget everything you've ever heard from the European Union policy elite about the sanctity of the Euro and forget ECB President Mario Draghi's statement last July about doing "whatever it takes" to save the Euro. This week's actions by the "Euro Elite" have clearly demonstrated that neither is true. The...

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What the North Korean Missile Interceptors Are Really All About

(0) Comments | Posted March 18, 2013 | 8:29 AM

The announcement last week by Defense Secretary Hagel that the U.S. will, over the coming months, deploy additional anti-ballistic missile interceptors in Alaska and on America's west coast is not really what it is being portrayed as -- to counter the perceived missile threat from North Korea. North Korea has...

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The Road Ahead for Bulgaria

(8) Comments | Posted March 15, 2013 | 9:13 AM

Tens of thousands of Bulgarians have held protests across their country over the past month. Their grievances range from a poverty rate above 22 percent, skyrocketing utility costs and rising unemployment, to cronyism and corruption. The self-immolation of four demonstrators and violent clashes between protestors and police underscore the rising...

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Hamid Karzai: Champion of Alienation

(0) Comments | Posted March 14, 2013 | 1:50 PM

Although Afghanistan's president would like the world to perceive him otherwise, Hamid Karzai finds himself in an untenable position. As the U.S. prepares to withdraw the majority of its remaining troops, the country's security forces remain woefully unprepared to assume responsibility for the country's security, corruption remains endemic, and many...

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Europe's Rising Social and Political Risks

(1) Comments | Posted March 11, 2013 | 12:13 PM

While income inequality has been falling globally since the 1980s, it has been rising in most of Europe. The Gini Coefficient, a widely used measure of income inequality, has risen since that time not only in Eastern Europe, but among Europe's wealthiest societies. Austria, Finland, Germany, Luxembourg, Norway and Sweden...

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Change the Focus of the Syria Debate

(0) Comments | Posted March 6, 2013 | 3:31 PM

For more than a year now the focus of U.S. foreign policy toward Syria has been on how to arm the Syrian rebel movement, with an orientation on the short term. This has contributed to a stalemate in the conflict, with neither side having sufficient power to overwhelm the other....

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Will Correa Assume Chavez's Role Leading Latin American Socialism?

(34) Comments | Posted March 5, 2013 | 6:14 PM

With Hugo Chavez having now passed, the question of who will inherit his legacy as the vanguard of 21st century socialism in Latin America is foremost in the minds of many. With Chavez now out of the picture, and the Castro brothers in Cuba not far behind him, Ecuador's Rafael...

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