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Daniel Wagner
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Daniel Wagner is CEO of Country Risk Solutions, a Connecticut-based cross-border risk advisory firm. CRS provides a range of services related to the management of cross-border risk.

Daniel was previously Senior Vice President of Country Risk at GE Energy Financial Services where he was part of a team investing billions of dollars annually into global energy projects. He was responsible for advising senior management on a variety of country risk-related issues, strategic planning, and portfolio management. Daniel created a Center of Excellence for country risk analysis in GE and led a team that produced a comprehensive automated country risk rating methodology.

He began his career at AIG in New York and subsequently spent five years as Guarantee Officer for the Asia Region at the World Bank Group’s Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) in Washington, D.C. During that time he was responsible for underwriting political risk insurance (PRI) for projects in a dozen Asian countries. After then serving as Regional Manager for Political Risks for Southeast Asia and Greater China for AIG in Singapore, Daniel then moved to Manila, Philippines where he was Guarantee and Risk Management Advisor, then Political Risk Guarantee Specialist, then Senior Guarantees and Syndications Specialist for the ADB’s Office of Co-financing Operations. Over the course of his career Daniel has also held senior positions in the PRI brokerage business in London, Dallas and Houston.

He has published more than 500 articles on risk management and current affairs and a regular contributor to the Huffington Post, South China Morning Post and The National Interest, among many others. His editorials have been published in such notable newspapers as the International Herald Tribune and the Wall Street Journal.

Daniel is the author of three books: "Political Risk Insurance Guide" (published by the International Risk Management Institute), "Managing Country Risk" (published by Taylor and Francis), and the forthcoming co-authored "Global Risk Agility and Decision Making" (to be published by Macmillan in Q2/2016). (For a full listing of his publications, please see www.countryrisksolutions.com/publications).

He holds master’s degrees in International Relations from the University of Chicago and in International Management from the American Graduate School of International Management (Thunderbird) in Phoenix. He received his bachelor’s degree in Political Science from Richmond College in London.

Daniel can be reached at: daniel.wagner@countyrisksolutions.com or 203-570-1005.

Entries by Daniel Wagner

Risk Agility and Decision Making in the 21st Century

(0) Comments | Posted May 24, 2016 | 5:49 PM

As risks have evolved from being phenomenological occurrences in the natural world, the twenty-first century is in many ways the era of man-made risk and man-stoked fires. From cyber risk--which is increasingly mutating to impact all facets of the modern economy--to terrorism, climate change, and reputation risk, mounting a credible...

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The Growing Threat of Cyber-Attacks on Critical Infrastructure

(0) Comments | Posted May 24, 2016 | 7:21 AM

Co-authored by Bailey Schweitzer

Despite the fact that cyber-attacks occur with greater frequency and intensity around the world, many either go unreported or are under-reported, leaving the public with a false sense of security about the threat they pose and the lives and property they impact. While governments, businesses and...

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Instinctive Decision Making in the Era of Cyber Risk, Climate Change and Terrorism

(1) Comments | Posted May 14, 2016 | 9:17 AM

Man-made risks -- such as cyber-attacks, climate change and terrorism -- have become so prevalent and severe that they now impact most everyone, as well as the ability of organizations and governments to operate with resilience and certainty. Such risks may no longer be referred to as anomalies with limited...

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Duterte and 'The System'

(9) Comments | Posted May 13, 2016 | 8:58 AM

The people of the Philippines have spoken and Rodrigo Duterte is the presumptive president-elect. Based on the size of his victory, the electorate has clearly had enough of crime-ridden streets, rampant corruption, nepotism, political circuses, and business as usual. They have elected a man who has promised to clean it...

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Russia and Israel's Middle East Dance

(20) Comments | Posted May 6, 2016 | 11:52 AM

Russia and Israel have a long history of diplomatic and military collaboration in the Middle East, dating back to the Arab-Israeli war of 1948, when Israel's triumph over its neighbors was largely attributable to Moscow's military support. Following the Arab-Israeli war of 1967, Israel established itself as a key U.S....

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A President Clinton or Trump Would Be More Alike Than Different on Foreign Policy

(52) Comments | Posted April 29, 2016 | 9:29 AM

For many decades the U.S. has vacillated between interventionism and isolationism, so the stark contrast between George W. Bush's brash 'engagement' with the world versus Barack Obama's 'withdrawal' from the world is not outside the historical norm. Given that the U.S. has now been in an isolationist mode for almost...

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Why the Philippines Should Vote for Poe

(91) Comments | Posted April 29, 2016 | 9:24 AM

Six years ago the Philippines faced a critical choice in its presidential election, and its voters ended up making the right choice. The election of President Aquino in 2010 was the smartest thing the Filipino people could have done - for their country and for themselves. The country was falling...

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The Global Risk Agility Imperative

(0) Comments | Posted April 13, 2016 | 12:41 AM

In the era of man-made risk, in which risks of our own making are having such significant negative impacts on the world, decision makers' at all organizational levels must become risk managers. Managing risk is no longer simply the job of a designated risk professional, for the implications of operating...

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The Fence Between the U.S. and Mexico Is Built. Then What?

(0) Comments | Posted April 7, 2016 | 12:00 AM

For the first time in several years I crossed to and from the border with Mexico, at Tecate, last week. Given my experience doing so, I found myself wondering whether we can even say we have a border with Mexico. Although there was an x-ray machine operating to get into...

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Why Donald Trump's China-Bashing Makes No Sense

(2) Comments | Posted March 28, 2016 | 9:54 AM

China bashing has become as much a part of the modern American political tradition as criticizing foreign producers of oil. The American electorate has regrettably become accustomed to the predictable torrent of anti-Chinese rhetoric from politicians of a variety of political persuasions - currently manifested by the incendiary rhetoric of...

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Brussels, Israel and Airport Security

(3) Comments | Posted March 28, 2016 | 9:51 AM

The terrorist attack on the Brussels airport has once again raised question about airport and airline security. In spite of the many attacks on airports and aircraft that have occurred, the airline industry remains stuck in a largely reactive modus operandi. Now that the Brussels attack has occurred, that airport...

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What Germanwings Teaches Us About Risk Agility

(0) Comments | Posted March 14, 2016 | 5:14 PM

What is unforeseen is not necessarily something that was unknown, but rather was not predicted or anticipated. By contrast, what is unknown is ambiguous and a mystery, so it cannot be predicted or anticipated. We cannot do much about what is unknown, precisely because there is no way to quantify...

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Both Parties Are to Blame for the Rise of Trump

(1) Comments | Posted March 9, 2016 | 1:35 PM

Political culture is a set of attitudes and practices held by a people that shape their political behavior, and includes moral judgments, beliefs, and ideas about what makes for a good society. It is not the political culture of a group within a national polity that defines it, but rather,...

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Much Remains to Be Done in the Philippines

(0) Comments | Posted March 8, 2016 | 11:35 PM

It is ironic that the first country to enforce the latest UN sanctions against North Korea by impounding a cargo vessel is the Philippines. That is because, until the election of President Aquino in 2010, the Philippines was not necessarily considered to be a leading example of adherence to the...

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American Voters Should Put an End to Political Dynasties

(77) Comments | Posted February 29, 2016 | 11:06 PM

Republicans have now spoken on a third Bush presidency -- they aren't interested. As Hillary now seemingly barrels toward the Democratic nomination, it is worth Democrats considering whether they wish to follow the Republicans' proven failed path. The 'dynasty trap' that has befallen many countries around the world, from Argentina...

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Low Oil Price and Its Impact on FDI in MENA

(0) Comments | Posted February 14, 2016 | 11:32 PM

There has been plenty of discussion about the impact of the persistent low oil price on economic performance, employment, and political stability. Less discussed has been its impact on foreign direct investment (FDI), particularly in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). The collapse in the price of oil has...

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Modi's Quest to Achieve India's Great Power Status

(4) Comments | Posted February 5, 2016 | 8:23 AM

Indian Prime Minister Modi invited French President Hollande to be the guest of honor at India's Republic Day Celebrations in New Delhi last month. The seat is generally reserved for, and used by the office of the Prime Minister as, a signal of close and important state ties. Last year...

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Saudi Arabia's Shrewd Gamble

(13) Comments | Posted January 14, 2016 | 12:11 PM

The government of Saudi Arabia has been roundly criticized for its brazen attempt to retain oil market share while driving the price of oil into the ground, its beheading of the Shi'ia cleric Nimr al-Nimr, and its war in Yemen. These criticisms are grounded in a Western (read non-Saudi) view...

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Israel's Diplomatic Overture to the UAE

(0) Comments | Posted January 12, 2016 | 3:35 PM

Last November Haaretz reported that Israel plans to open a rather unconventional mission in Abu Dhabi, which will mark Israel's first diplomatic presence in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The move is symbolic of the ongoing metamorphosis in the Middle East's political landscape. Israel's extended olive branch to the UAE...

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2016's Unhappy New Year of Risk

(0) Comments | Posted January 11, 2016 | 3:01 PM

Risk managers and decision makers may already have been inclined to think that 2016 will be a challenging year, but based on the degree of market turmoil, saber rattling and sensational headlines in its first week, it could prove to be calamitous. Commodity prices are maintaining their free fall, foreign...

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