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Daphne Wysham

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Averting The Next Mortgage Meltdown While Cooling The Planet

Posted: 09/02/2010 2:12 pm

The economy is in the tank, and, unless we do something about it, it's about to get worse. It turns out the mortgage meltdown we've been suffering through is only the first wave. Wave No. 2 may be more like a tsunami: Between now and 2014, $1.4 trillion in commercial real estate loans are coming due. Most of these loans are for small and medium-sized commercial buildings and businesses that are either "underwater" -- worth less than their mortgages -- or close to it. Without swift intervention, the commercial real estate (CRE) crisis will cripple the still sputtering economy, throwing more people out of work, and precipitating more business bankruptcies and community bank failures.

Yet crisis breeds opportunity. And in this case there could be a double opportunity. It turns out that buildings are responsible for about half of America's emissions of greenhouse gases that are heating our planet. And we're heating, lighting and air-conditioning these buildings like there's no tomorrow. And by "no tomorrow," I mean: no polar icecaps, more droughts, more pestilence, more crop failure, and more climate refugees. We're also throwing good money down the drain.

Here's the crazy truth: With a national effort to boost energy efficiency, we could actually meet the the building sector's greenhouse gas emissions targets set by the Obama Administration for the next few years, put 1.3 million workers -- 600,000 of them construction workers, 20 percent of whom are unemployed -- back to work, and dodge the next wave of mortgage meltdowns. Instead of monkeying around with complicated bills like the cap-and-trade nonsense that didn't make it through Congress, we could make a painless down payment on our emissions reductions goals, while giving some of our beleaguered businesses a tax break and saving money we're now squandering on wasted energy.

Here's how: Architects and researchers from Architecture 2030 have developed something called the "CRE Solution," which would let small business and building owners about to default on their mortgages get a multi-year tax deduction if they retrofit their buildings to make them more energy efficient. The more energy efficient the building becomes, the greater the tax break. Commercial building owners could trade or sell these tax deductions to investors, who would provide the infusion of capital over a three-year time span. The capital would be invested in putting our highly skilled construction workers back on the job, retrofitting these properties. Property values would rise while energy bills decline. With good-paying jobs, construction workers would once again pay taxes, providing a much-needed revenue stream to state and local governments. For the $6 billion in tax breaks the federal government would provide for this purpose, Uncle Sam would receive $10 billion back in net federal tax revenue, while state and local governments netted $5.25 billion.

It's a solution that should warm the hearts of both Democrats and Republicans while cooling our sweltering planet. Saving our small businesses and our local banks from going under while avoiding deficit spending ought to be hard to resist. Restoring the tax base in our shuttered downtowns, putting money back in the coffers of our local schools, and jumpstarting the economy across this country ain't so bad either.

Do we still need fees on carbon emissions? Of course. And once we've achieved these and other similar common sense energy efficiency goals and stopped hemorrhaging energy, money and jobs, we should take up solutions like fee-and-dividend, in which polluters pay a carbon fee and the public gets a green check. But for starters, the CRE solution is where our focus should be.

This op-ed was originally published by "Other Words."

 

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
USNDC
Smartest President ever ? ... not even close.
11:58 AM on 09/07/2010
I have never understood why Obama refuses to support any efforts to reduce mortgage balances ... until I read this:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/john-conyers/my-letter-to-secretary-ge_b_701997.html

Obama is preparing to spend billions of dollars to sue foreclosed families.

Read it for yourself.

This "finally" explains why Obama refused to support the Democrat's Bankruptcy Cramdown Bill.

He wouldn't be able to sue the foreclosed families if a bankruptcy judge had been allowed to discharge a portion of their mortgage loan balance !

This is just another exercise in spreading false hope to struggling homeowners ... while Obama prepares to sue foreclosed homeowners.

Wow !
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
24fans
11:06 PM on 09/03/2010
I can only assume by the silence of commentators that they are stunned by the sheer logic and simplicity of this great infrastructural moment that could quit literary save this nation from a mediocre future of crappy buildings and high energy costs. Oh-- and the economy and environment get a big relief as well.

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08:58 PM on 09/02/2010
Great!

While you are lobbying, can you please go ahead and lobby for PACE loans to get reinstated and for German-style feed in tariffs so that ALL of us, defaulting or not, can participate in the Renewable Revolution as producers instead of just ripped off ratepayers?

WE want to own solar panels, efficient homes and businesses and get paid fairly for doing the right thing (producing more clean power than we consume), but Big Enviros keep greenwashing Chevron Solar and BP Wind's devastation of our open spaces!

Please, include PACE loans and Feed in Tariffs in your messaging if you want serious civic engagement, property value improvements, jobs, clean energy, conservation and/or local economic benefits. They are the only sane solution!
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Daphne Wysham
Fellow, IPS
01:26 PM on 09/03/2010
Thanks for making this point. I agree that feed-in tariffs (FITs) are a great way of supporting renewables, and many countries have had success with them. UNEP is proposing a global FIT to get the entire planet to 100% renewables in 10 years. See Tariq Banuri's plan here: http://www.un.org/esa/dsd/resources/res_pdfs/publications/sdt_cc/cc_global_green_new_deal.pdf
Amazing to think, for about what we've spent on the war in Iraq, the U.S. could have helped the world get to 100% renewables globally--and over the same 10-year time-span.
08:38 PM on 09/02/2010
Amazing! This tax deduction is fully transferable to someone else OR tradeable for cash. That would be a huge shot in the arm for business owners right when they need it the most and I love that Architecture 2030 has revealed that most commercial properties actually don't have huge square footage like I thought they did. This is all about saving energy and the planet and boosting businesses who make their buildings energy efficient with a big tax deduction reward...it really is an awesome plan!
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Daphne Wysham
Fellow, IPS
09:04 AM on 09/04/2010
Most of these CREs are owned by mom and pop operations. And most of these loans are held by small community banks - to date 250 banks have failed, 750 are on the FDIC watch list. There are billions of dollars waiting on the sidelines to buy up this distressed CRE.
Big box stores like WalMart won't lose their buildings or businesses --but small operations, Jane Doe Apparel and John Smith Printing, whose net worth is tied up in their buildings, will.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Patrick McCully
03:35 PM on 09/02/2010
Sounds like a great idea!! Nice piece, Daphne.