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David Fiderer

David Fiderer

Posted: July 29, 2010 09:49 AM

An S.E.C. Lawsuit Does Little to Strip Away the Secrecy Surrounding Certain AIG CDOs

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Thomas C. Priore had a very impressive resume. Harvard B.A., Columbia M.B.A., fourteen years of structured credit investment and origination experience, and a 76% ownership stake in Institutional Credit Partners LLC, better known as ICP. Priore was also the President and CEO of ICP, which arranged and structured about $11 billion worth of CDOs. A big chunk of that risk, about $4.3 billion, was insured by AIG, and later acquired by the New York Federal Reserve as part of Maiden Lane III.

Priore's accomplishments were truly extraordinary. He helped found ICP in August 2004 as an affiliate of The Bank of New York, which sold off a majority ownership stake in May 2006, when he was 37. In September 2006, Priore launched a $2.5 billion deal, CDO Triaxx Prime CDO 2006-1, which was jointly arranged with Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce. AIG insured about 2/3 of that deal, or $1.8 billion, for the benefit of UBS.

Later, ICP Securities acted as the sole arranger for a $5 billion deal called Triaxx Prime CDO 2006-2. About half of that deal, $2.5 billion, was insured by AIG for the benefit of Goldman Sachs. AIG and Goldman must have been dazzled by Priore. I can't think of any other instance when a big institution bought a billion-plus piece of a deal that wasn't structured and arranged by a large bank or brokerage firm. Other banks take comfort from knowing that the entity behind a deal has a big capital cushion and is subject to regulatory oversight. ICP was a three-year-old company owned by one guy who lived in Chappaqua.

Many CDOs are structured in ways that offer opportunities for abusive self-dealing, and the Triaxx deals were no exception. Investors in these deals did not acquire static portfolios; they were either actively managed deals, and/or deals that enabled the asset manager, ICP, to pick and choose which investments were added to the CDO portfolio during the ramp up period. The investments were subject to certain eligibility criteria, most notably that they had to be rated triple-A and they had to be residential mortgage backed securities. The senior tranches of the CDOs of were entitled to a fixed rate of return, and any excess profits, above and beyond that fixed return, went directly to ICP, which held the equity in the deals.

A month ago, the S.E.C. alleged in a complaint that Priore's firm made all sorts of fraudulent transfers for the benefit of himself and ICP, at the expense of investors in the Triaxx CDOs. The most notorious transfer, according to the S.E.C.'s complaint, was Priore's fast-and-loose acquisition of a $1.3 billion of Bear Stearns bonds initiated in late June 2007, when Bear was seeking to raise cash to bail out two failing hedge funds. Priore had agreed to purchase the bonds for the Triaxx CDOs, but later decided assign the purchased assets to a different investment account managed by ICP. Shortly thereafter, Standard & Poor's and Moody's, within a few hours of each other, announced a series of downgrades on a relative handful of subprime bond issues. Those downgrades spooked the market, and sent prices of the mortgage bonds downward. So in August 2007, Priore arranged a series of unauthorized forward sales of the Bear mortgage bonds to the Triaxx CDOs, which acquired the assets at higher-than-current-market prices.

The S.E.C.'s case does not address the more questionable attributes of the deal. What were Goldman, or UBS, or AIG thinking when they signed on for billions in credit risk on transactions sponsored by a fledgling operation? Why did AIG, the rating agencies, and the U.S. government feel the need to transfer the Triaxx deals into Maiden Lane III? At the time of the transfer, they were still rated Aaa by Moody's, which downgraded the Triaxx deals to Caa levels on January 30, 2009. Ostensibly, these CDOs did not invest in subprime mortgages. But we have no way of finding out what went on, because the government still refuses to lift the veil of secrecy surrounding all CDOs, not only those acquired by the Federal Reserve. Until the government voids the nondisclosure agreements that limit public disclosure of CDO performance reports, persons far more culpable than Thomas Priore remain insulated from accountability.

 
 
 
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StevieRae
2012 Choice-Oligarchy or a Republic
10:52 PM on 07/29/2010
The theory of insurance which was to protect many by spreading the risk has been bastardized by CDO's. AIG providing "insurance" on bets made by purchasers of CDO has forever changed insurance.

The fact that Congress continue to allow people to gamble on the success or failure of (fill in the game) and then to be protected by insurance to hedge your bet is beyond comprehension. Those who fought CDO regulation are definitely in the pockets of those that want the "game" to continue.
09:44 PM on 07/29/2010
Very informative piece. Your links to source material are so helpful and educational. Going through TRIAXX flip book and prospectuses it's nigh impossible to determine reference collateral, save handful of CUSIPs I couldn't convert, leaving me with image of sophisticated investors buying a pig in a poke. Yes, the veil of secrecy is becoming quite maddening.
05:42 PM on 07/29/2010
AIG never wrote credit default swaps on the Maiden Lane CDOs. They did write interest swaps on many - perhaps most. But there is a difference, since interest swaps don't pay off when the underlying collateral prepays or defaults.

Perhaps this helps explain the extreme secrecy around the AIG bailout; why the AIG-FP employees haven't been identified, and none successfully charged; why the SEC never even investigated AIG for accounting fraud; why AIG kept changing their story about the size and nature of their super-senior swap portfolio; why so many people have received such astronomical payoffs - I mean "bonuses" - for collapsing the financial system; why AIG never had to pay out on any of these supposed CDSs - even as hundreds of CDOs collapsed in the months leading up to their FRBNY rescue (only “collateral calls” . . . all the way up until September. . . .)
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David Fiderer
08:33 PM on 07/29/2010
I'm not quite sure what prompted your confusion.

AIG wrote credit default swaps on various CDOs. It also wrote interest rate swaps on those same CDOs. The contingent obligations related to the credit default swaps on those CDOs, the possibility that AIG might be forced to pay out more cash to cover a deterioration in the value of those CDOs, prompted Treasury and the New York Fed to create the Maiden Lane III deal. Maiden Lane III bought the insured slices for the CDOs in exchange for tearing up the credit default swap contracts that put AIG at risk. While many have challenged the wisdom of the deal, no one has ever challenged these facts.

The terms of Maiden Lane III were always publicly disclosed in full. The details about the actual CDOs within Maiden Lane III have been revealed in dribs and drabs. The financial performance of all CDOs are kept secret, including those in the Maiden Lane III deal.

AIG also wrote credit default swaps on many other CDOs that were not part of Maiden Lane III.
10:52 PM on 07/29/2010
You seem to suggest that the collateral posting requirements related to the interest swaps were irrelevant in the Treasury/Fed decision. Yet clearly AIG's interest swap portfolio dwarfed their CDS portfolio (one of the few elements of their story that can actually be traced to 10-Ks and other public records) - and the terms of those well-documented interest swaps meant that AIG would have to post a tremendous amount of collateral when their ratings were cut.

And I don't seem to be as confused as the folks at AIG, who initially claimed that their super-senior CDS swap portfolio was primarily exposed to corporate and non-US residential collateral - with only about $26 billion of US subprime exposure. (see pp 28 - 29, http://media.corporate-ir.net/media_files/irol/76/76115/REVISED_AIG_and_the_Residential_Mortgage_Market_FINAL_08-09-07.pdf)

But later, AIG's story changed, with claims of anywhere up to $1 trillion in CDSs written against US subprime.

Either they are really confused - or they're telling us a story. Perhaps I am the only one challenging it, but it's hard to imagine that AIG could have been so deeply involved in that market, and leave absolutely no trace of evidence.