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David Katz, M.D.

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Aspirin for Cancer Prevention: Should You Start Taking It?

Posted: 12/10/10 08:14 AM ET

You may have heard about a meta-analysis, just published in the Lancet, showing that daily aspirin use is associated with a reduction of cancer risk of about 20 percent over a 20 year period. This sounds exciting, and it is.

Aspirin -- which deactivates an enzyme associated with inflammation -- offers a plausible means of reducing the inflammation that is part of cancer progression. Effects of aspirin were strongest for cancers of the gastrointestinal tract, where aspirin exerts its most direct effects. This study reaffirms a potential role for aspirin in both cancer prevention and treatment, and suggests new directions for anti-cancer drug development.

But I do not think the study is necessarily cause for you to start taking aspirin. Here are some of the reasons:

First, as noted, this was a meta-analysis -- a study that pools data from other trials. As such, it can only look at readily available data, the study is not generating any. This study looked at cancer reduction, but did not specifically explore adverse effects of aspirin -- related to gastrointestinal bleeding in particular. Other studies have done so, and generated estimates of risk increase considerably larger than the cancer risk decrease shown in the current study. Before signing up for any medical intervention, we need to know not just potential benefit, but potential risk -- and the risk/benefit ratio.

Second, when you hear "20 percent risk reduction" you should always be inclined to ask: 20 percent less than what? The cancers that were impacted by aspirin use are not rare by any means, but they are also not very common. Over roughly 20 years, colorectal cancer -- the variety most affected by aspirin use -- developed in 2.8 percent of the study participants. So a 20 percent reduction in risk means 20 percent less than 2.8 percent. In other words, the use of aspirin daily for years reduces your risk of cancer from somewhere around 3 percent on average to somewhere around 2 percent on average. This conversion from relative risk -- the big number -- to absolute risk -- the more relevant number -- is a necessary step in interpreting most medical reports. And we can personalize this further: if you take aspirin daily for the next 20 years or so, starting today, and don't develop colorectal cancer -- the probability that would be the case without daily aspirin is around 97/98, or 99 percent.

Some details in the new study are associated with larger risk reductions than the above, but the basic interpretation is the same in every case: there is some potential benefit of aspirin use, but it is measured as a reduction in a risk that is already rather modest in most people. Many more people taking aspirin for 20 years to prevent cancer will not experience that benefit, than those who will.

And, finally, there are other ways to reduce cancer risk that are known to have even greater benefits, along with less risk. Physical activity, tobacco avoidance, eating well and controlling weight are collectively associated with as much as a 60 percent reduction in overall cancer risk, and the side effects are ... better overall health! Of course, this list is harder to 'take' than an aspirin (or two), but it is clearly the better medicine!

The bottom line is this: The study is by no means a blanket recommendation for aspirin use to prevent cancer. If, however, you have risk factors for, or a family history of, gastrointestinal cancers, the likely benefits of aspirin for this purpose might well outweigh the risks. You should discuss this with your doctor. Aspirin to reduce cancer risk seems to me a very reasonable option for some people, but the risk/benefit calculation needs to be personalized to you.

For the rest of us (I will not be taking daily aspirin), this is a more general advance -- shining a new light on cancer, what promotes it and what fights it. That kind of insight leads to more insights, and in the end, will help us master cancer entirely.

Regardless of the role of aspirin in your personal efforts to avoid cancer, you should put the power of lifestyle to good use. Sometimes hard to swallow, I know -- but it remains the best medicine we've got.

That's my take on taking aspirin. Instead of calling me in the morning, just go ahead and post your comments.

www.davidkatzmd.com

www.turnthetidefoundation.org

 

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You may have heard about a meta-analysis, just published in the Lancet, showing that daily aspirin use is associated with a reduction of cancer risk of about 20 percent over a 20 year period. This sou...
You may have heard about a meta-analysis, just published in the Lancet, showing that daily aspirin use is associated with a reduction of cancer risk of about 20 percent over a 20 year period. This sou...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
healthy blogging
04:57 PM on 12/13/2010
I found the conclusions of the study to be quite remarkable because of its implications for cancer treatment. Researchers found that aspirin may reduce the risk of a variety of cancers, however it must be taken daily if it is to be effective. People may not be aware of the fact that among the side effects associated with aspirin use is a risk of developing ulcers and GI bleeding and this should be pause for concern if the only reason for taking the drug is cancer prevention. But when you consider that maintaining a healthy lifestyle - which includes physical activity and proper nutrition - is key to cancer prevention, if there's evidence that even a small dose of aspirin every day could reduce one's risk of developing cancer, there indeed shall be people who will do it. And in the end if it can improve the health of some folks, that becomes the important thing.

- healthy_blogging

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Kringle
Resurrection of the Gifting Spirit
12:41 PM on 12/12/2010
Haven't numerous studies demonstrated that cannabis has a very positive impact for curing cancers? Why does the media skirt the valid health value of cannabis for a mis-informed public's "comfort" with the subject.

Isn't it time we blow through the decades of false rhetoric?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Vajara
vajara
10:18 AM on 12/12/2010
Excellent article and discussion of what the research shows as possible evidence for preventing certain cancers. I especially appreciate your recommendation of life style changes. I think that so many articles are promoted by waving the Red Flag and using fear tactics by throwing out CANCER and a pill to promote BigPharmas wealth. Thank you.
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Nalini Chilkov
09:58 PM on 12/11/2010
Great Post! It is great to bring the issue of inflammation and cancer to the foreground. Yes, inflammation is part of cancer physiology and therefore lowering inflammation lowers cancer risk and slows down the spread of cancer. You do mention that not everyone can take aspirin safely. Why not use safe anti inflammatory foods and spices from nature that don't cause gastrointestinal bleeding? Many research papers have come out of MD Anderson Cancer Center and the Center for the Study of Human Nutrition at UCLA on the anti inflammatory activity of ginger root, tumeric and fish oils to name a few. I have a post dedicated to discussing this very subject on Five Steps to Reducing Inflammation Naturally at http://doctornalini.com/a-proven-cancer-fighting-strategy-stop-inflammation/.
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Alison Rose Levy
Connect the Dots www.healthjournalist.com
09:01 AM on 12/11/2010
Thanks, Dr Katz for the analysis of what the statistics on risk actually mean. This is what is overlooked in brief headlines about health findings, and contributes to a simplistic pro vs. con mentality on health decisions.

Alison
www.healthjournalist.com
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farmilyman
everything is illusion
04:27 AM on 12/11/2010
The ensuing blindness isn't worth it.
04:56 PM on 12/10/2010
My dad died from esophageal cancer and my mom is battling (currently in remission) with colon cancer....GI cancers run high in my family, I take a daily aspirin.
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drvittoriarepetto
04:08 PM on 12/10/2010
Better ways to prevent cancer, you bet!! tks for the article!
12:56 PM on 12/10/2010
should you take white willow inner bark tablets , yes

DR katz probably knows Dr Bayer synthesized salicylic acid in white willow bark [an american indian remedy and settler remedy] into acetylsalicylic acid, Bayer aspirin

white willow bark isn tpatentable although a very best way of putting it into a bioavailable tablet form maybe so

to reduce cancer risk include th eone thing which many 1000s of Mds are doing according to Dr John Hagelin 8 000 MDs have learned TM andmany are presrcibing it for thier patients NHS in england pays the TM instruction fee when prescribed

it is not best practice to ignore best remedy or prevention best remedy is TM and it is not exclusiv e of other remedies ; it is simply an adjunct 20 minutes 2x daily

TM is mor ein the nature of sleep and more neccessary than sleep but not a substitute for sleep and drugs are not a substitute for herbal medicines

tm.org
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11:35 AM on 12/10/2010
For the record: the debilitating effects of aspirin are on a par with low-grade cannabis, or a small amount of high-THC cannabis. There is so much false jargon thrown around about cannabis & how it impairs, but it's no more debilitating than aspirin when taken responsibly; actually aspirin could negatively affect driving skills in some people more than cannabis, when both are used responsibly.
03:20 PM on 12/10/2010
Do you have a citation for that? I have not heard of any significant association of aspirin with psychotropic effects. I see agitation, confusion, and dizziness listed somewhere but to consider the psychological effects of aspirin as comparable to THC seems like a stretch.
10:30 AM on 12/10/2010
I'm gonna wash my baby aspirin own with a 4Loco.
09:11 AM on 12/10/2010
Ditto-excellent article.