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David Katz, M.D.

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Why The Rising Rate Of Youth Strokes Was Predictable

Posted: 02/15/2011 7:47 am

The American Stroke Association's International Stroke Conference 2011 was held last week in Los Angeles. Among the many important research findings reported was this bit of profoundly disquieting news: strokes are occurring with increasing frequency in people under age 35. Worse still, a marked increase in the rate of stroke was noted in children ages five to 14.

As a physician who has seen far too much bad stuff happen to far too many good people over the years, I truly can't imagine much worse than a stroke in a child. Formally a "cerebrovascular accident," induced more often by ischemia and less often by intracranial bleeding, a stroke is to the brain what a myocardial infarction (heart attack) is to the heart: part of the organ dies. A child has a stroke and part of a brain that should be thriving, burgeoning with newly acquired experience and knowledge dies. And with it dies some function, perhaps the ability to speak, or the ability to move one side of the body. With it dies childhood.

That this is a trend in modern epidemiology is both tragedy and travesty. The researchers readily acknowledge they don't know for sure why stroke rates, declining in adults over age 50, are rising in children and young adults. The study in question, by investigators at the CDC, was simply a review of hospitalization records between 1994 and 2007. The analysis was designed to show what, but not why.

But that does not preclude some educated guesses, by the researchers themselves and the rest of us. The decline in strokes in older adults is almost certainly due to better treatment of hypertension, the leading cause of stroke, and to a lesser extent the modification of other risk factors for cardiovascular disease, such as lipid-lowering with statin drugs. Such vulnerabilities are routinely being sought, found and modified in adults known to be in the at-risk group.

But of course, stroke and ischemic heart disease are not expected in the pediatric age group. Historically, there has been no cause to look systematically for risk factors of vascular disease in this population, let alone apply the use of antihypertensives and statin drugs to avert calamity.

It is nothing short of calamity that it has come to this. The researchers's best guess, and mine, is that the migration of stroke down the age curve is being propelled by epidemic obesity, diabetes and rising rates of hypertension in our children. We can choose to be shocked by the advent of stroke in children, but it was, in fact, predictable.

Predictions need not be about what comes true. Grim predictions can motivate preventive responses so the adversities they foretell never materialize. Forewarned can be forearmed.

I have, for years, been predicting heart disease as a routine, pediatric condition -- in the hopes it would never come true.

The logic behind my rather lonely rants on this topic has been quite straightforward. A group of experts in cardiovascular medicine called the Adult Treatment Panel of The National Cholesterol Education Program issues guidelines for health care providers in the identification and management of cardiac risk factors in our patients. Those guidelines tell us that we should treat our patients with diabetes as if they already were known to have coronary heart disease, because the link between the two is so strong.

When I went to medical school, I learned about two kinds of diabetes mellitus: juvenile onset and adult onset. What we now call type 2 diabetes is diagnosed more and more commonly in children under the age of 10. But less than a generation ago, this very condition was appropriately called "adult onset," because it occurred almost exclusively in overweight, middle-age adults.

If one chronic disease of midlife can migrate down the age curve to become a condition of childhood, what basis did we have to think that others wouldn't follow? What the Adult Treatment Panel says about diabetes in adults -- that it can be assumed to signal the presence of heart disease -- is true in children, too, until proved otherwise. We have little cause to think diabetes does different damage to small bodies than to larger ones.

So, when 16, 17 and 18 year-olds have had adult onset diabetes already for a decade or more, shouldn't we expect to start seeing them in emergency rooms with angina pectoris and myocardial infarction? I have long thought we should.

And regrettably, I have had incremental indications over time that my predictions were coming true.

Several years ago, I made my usual grave prediction about the advent of coronary disease in teenagers in Atlanta, Georgia, at an American College of Cardiology meeting there. One of the physicians in my audience told me she had heard that some 7,000 teenagers had heart attacks in the U.S. the year prior. I could not confirm that statistic, but there is more and more medical literature referring to this trend.

I gave a talk in Missouri a few years back, after which a dietitian in the audience told me about a 17-year-old boy whose care she was involved in, who had undergone a triple coronary bypass. To the best of her knowledge, this boy had no unusual genetic predisposition to heart disease. Just obesity, type 2 diabetes at an early age, and the obvious, predictable consequences.

When I first started making a fuss about this 10 years back or more, my audiences were dubious and uncertain of my reasoning. More recently, they have seemed less stunned, more convinced and deeply concerned. Now they are starting to provide evidence to prove me right. This is a very unhappy trend. And frankly, while I was warning against the advent of angina as an adolescent rite of passage alongside acne, even I didn't envision strokes in children under the age of 10.

Which brings us back to the new research findings. We don't know with certainty the causes of a rising rate of stroke in our children. But with the stakes this high, do we really want to wait for more data? The best way to predict the future is to create it, and I would very much like to predict a future in which the only stroke my children and grandchildren need worry about is the stroke of a dissatisfied teacher's red pen.

Modern trends in chronic disease constitute a crisis. A crisis is a dangerous opportunity, because recognition of danger inspires will for change.

We can change our ways, and protect our children and grandchildren from the heart attacks and strokes of unkind fate -- by becoming a society that honors feet and forks as master levers of medical destiny, rather than relying so heavily on stethoscopes, scalpels and statins in the aftermath of disaster. By doing all that is required to make eating well and being active lie along the path of least resistance.

The list of interventions to get us there is long, but not complicated. Every policy or practice that isn't a part of the solution is a part of the problem -- and a potential threat to a child. Vote accordingly.

In defense of our children, we should act -- even as we await data to verify likely causes. We should not attribute lamentable trends in epidemiology to unkind strokes of fate. The fate in question is almost certainly in our own hands. The bell curve of chronic disease is tolling ever more loudly for us all.

It is past time to answer the alarm with the urgency it warrants.


 

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The American Stroke Association's International Stroke Conference 2011 was held last week in Los Angeles. Among the many important research findings reported was this bit of profoundly disquieting n...
The American Stroke Association's International Stroke Conference 2011 was held last week in Los Angeles. Among the many important research findings reported was this bit of profoundly disquieting n...
 
 
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Atchka
Fierce, Freethinking Fatties
01:39 PM on 02/18/2011
Dr. Katz,
I tried to find the study that your article is based on, but found this similar study by the same authors from 2007: http://stroke.ahajournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/41/5/980

One thing that stands out (and that you made no mention of) is that the hospitalizations due to stroke are much higher for those on Medicare and Medicaid, than those on private insurance: http://stroke.ahajournals.org/cgi/content/full/41/5/980/TBL1578674

We also know that wealthy fat people are less likely to have diabetes or heart disease than poor fat people. I think that if you treat this as simply a symptom of obesity, then you are leaving out a significant portion of the reality underlying this report. Obesity plus poverty seems to be the real culprit here, not simply obesity.

Peace,
Shannon
09:34 AM on 02/17/2011
I'll give my guess. Sitting more frequently in front of computers and video games instead of exercising, high sugar and processed foods, and stress.
Instead of giving children statins (which i think are just feel good test result tests) lets look at changing lifestyle.
11:29 PM on 02/17/2011
Sounds about right to me.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
yogini4
Think deeper!
03:16 AM on 02/18/2011
And your action plan is....
11:11 PM on 02/15/2011
In 2009 6 and 1/12 million children 19 and under took antipsychotic drugs which cause obesity and diabetes---and more than 24 million 19 and under took drugs for ADHD, the widespread use of these classes of drugs could very well contribute to this horrifying statistic. If doctors and other medical personnel were required to report adverse events, we would be in a much better position to determine if this alarming rise in psychotropic drug use is a contributory factor. Sedentary lifestyle and poor food choices are obvious factors which are a given. I, for one have no doubt that the pharmaceutical industry's a pill for every ill campaign is doing much more harm than we realize yet.

http://involuntarytransformation.blogspot.com/2010/12/what-is-scientific-basis-for.html
EvolveorPerish
R E anna what have you done?
12:46 AM on 02/16/2011
I so agree!
10:15 AM on 02/17/2011
I'm not sure if these are a significant source of the problem, but I do know that stimulant medications for ADHD will raise blood pressure: I had to quit taking Concerta at 17 because my blood pressure was 160/100 or higher (without it, it dropped to around 130-40/80), and I'm not obese.
schatsie
banks are more dangerous than standing armies
10:04 PM on 02/15/2011
It is a crime that we do not know the statistics.....really what kind of healthcare system are we supposed to have....How many children died of Strokes....don't know and we just don't care.....
08:04 PM on 02/15/2011
Two words can sum up this problem in children fast food. A generation back we didn't have as many McDonald's, Burger Kings, and so on. My generation ate at places called diners that sold hamburgers made from real ground meat. We also didn't get fed quick microwave foods on a daily basis, or were handed a lunchables for lunch on a daily basis. We had mothers that cooked real meals and prepared real lunches. Our children are paying for the sin of our busy lives, and the need, or desire to have something quick.
11:43 PM on 02/17/2011
We also expected children to spend most of their waking hours either at school or outside in the sunshine, nor did we use pharmaceuticals to deal with children who have "behavioral problems", as Becky Murphy pointed out.
05:57 PM on 02/18/2011
so totally true!
07:52 PM on 02/15/2011
No doubt the rise in childhood obesity and the diseases related to it are a function of diet and lifestyle. How can we expect children - or anyone - to have live, vibrant, healthy bodies when they are eating such a preponderance of dead, over-processed food? Society is paying the price for poor lifestyle habits and it looks like the cost is rising rapidly.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
yogini4
Think deeper!
04:54 PM on 02/15/2011
But do you care about the skyrocketing rates of child abuse? I can think of something worse than a stroke happening to a child. How about rape, malnutrition, neglect and verbal abuse? Did you ever consider that these realities influence obesity and circulatory functioning?
09:04 AM on 02/16/2011
Skyrocketing rates of child abuse? Are you serious?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
yogini4
Think deeper!
10:59 AM on 02/16/2011
Yes, of course I am. I'm in the field. The statistics have been on a climb for the last 20 years - very scary and sad. When parents don't get their problems addressed and treated the next generation suffers.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Atchka
Fierce, Freethinking Fatties
02:55 PM on 02/16/2011
Yeah, why would you worry about child abuse when there's so much more to freak out about.

Peace,
Shannon
FierceFatties.com
09:49 AM on 02/17/2011
Yes, and the likes of Felliti's (hope I spelled that correctly...) ACE study show correlation between histories of abuse and all sorts of "self inflicted" ills (and their consequences, heart attacks, strokes, diabetes, et. al.), such as obesity and smoking, or, for a quicker route, suicide attempts and drug use.

That said, I'm curious if the increased statistics are as much a result of better reporting as an actual rise in relative rates of abuse. One would hope.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
yogini4
Think deeper!
03:20 AM on 02/18/2011
This is a good question that needs more research. But based on my observation of children's behavior over the past 30 years I'd say abuse is worse both in frequency and severity. Believe it or not when I worked in an inner city teen shelter in Boston in the 80's there were no gangs and no guns. Really. No guns at all. I believe we confiscated one pocketknife and one pair of scissors taken from the office used in an attempted assault.
03:53 PM on 02/15/2011
highest level of prevention is consciousness; consciousness [ simply put] is inversely proportional to stress more or less

best releif from stress and prevention of stress is tm.org

learning TM does not involve counseling about diet, habits lifestyle... BUT ayur veda does ;Maharishi ayur veda and TM are approved from CME credits

http://www.clinical-ayurveda.org/
Individual MAAA programs are approved for AMA PRA Category 1 CME credit. For a description of each program, including CME credit details, please click on the link for each:

Clinical Ayurveda for Improved Diagnosis and Treatment: A Webinar Series for Health Professionals
Training Program in Ayurvedic Medicine: Co-Sponsored by Scripps Center for Integrated Medicine - Live program
Online Distance Education Program in Ayurvedic Medicine

IIntroduction to the
Scripps Ayurveda Training Courses
A CME Webinar
Feb 16, 2011
8 pm EST, 7 pm CST. Repeated 8 pm PST
03:32 PM on 02/15/2011
Sometimes it's just one small step that will lead to bigger steps.

http://loudfartnoremorse.blogspot.com/2011/02/notes-from-food-revolution-part-one-of.html
03:12 PM on 02/15/2011
How can Katz say that childhood dies when there is a stroke that causes disabilities? What does he mean? They are no longer children? What are they? are they not fully human, fully alive even with limited movement or without speech? I'm not sure I want that attitude in the doctor..How can they not be children anymore. I don't get it.
schatsie
banks are more dangerous than standing armies
10:08 PM on 02/15/2011
children are innocent and playful and protected by their parents from too much reality....well when there is a stroke, you have to face the reality of being disabled and vulnerable for the rest of your life and haveing pre existing condition still makes insurance an issue...(we will have redlining for insurance, you betcha)....
02:42 PM on 02/15/2011
I disagree that the remedy is to treat kids (or adults, for that matter) more aggressively with drugs.
Two recent large-scale trials (NAVIGATOR and ACCORD, published in the New England Journal of Medicine, March 2010) demonstrated that drugs used to aggressively treat the risk factors glucose, lipids and blood pressure, even when “successful”, did not reduce death rates and caused considerable side effects.
Likewise, when you look at outcome studies with statin drugs for treating cholesterol, you see little to no long-term benefit. Yes, they lower cholesterol, but they don’t help people live longer.
Doctors are narrowly focused on short-term amelioration of risk factors (ie the signs and symptoms) rather than the disease process.
How do we address the disease process? The research is very clear in what helps chronic disease. It is changing lifestyle factors: Diet and exercise. A recent study, for instance, found that a high antioxidant diet performed better than diabetes drugs for normalizing blood sugar.
What are doctors doing about the epidemic of stroke, obesity, diabetes, and heart disease? They’re routinely allowing eight minute visits – just enough time to write a useless prescription. Their lifestyle advice is, at best, a perfunctory, “Watch your diet and exercise” And, at worst, a hopelessly outdated and ineffective, “Cut fats.”
Our children (and adults) will only be saved when the medical profession abandons the drug gravy train and start truly caring for patients.
http://www.youtube.com/user/tomballardnd#p/a/u/0/GqdzJLOQM2I
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mary Poe
02:16 PM on 02/15/2011
As a healthy adult with two healthy young children it is hard to go to sports activities and see these 4-6 year old children who appear to be relatively healthy with their obese parent(s) in attendance. One has to assume that they will fall into the same cycle unless there are interventions. It must be incredibly frustrating as a pediatrician to see children who are obese or near that stage and counsel the parents who may also be obese. What can the pediatrician do if the parents are the ones who ultimately provide the nutrition for their children. Should the parents be held responsible for their children's negative health? I'm waiting for the government to provide incentives for parents who feed their children healthy foods.
01:31 PM on 02/15/2011
continued...

I don't think you meant to reduce the dialogue to a "feet and forks" explanation/excuse of medical destiny, but many medical practioners have. Telling a child to just put the fork down when their disregulated hormones are screaming to their brain that they are starving or nagging them to get up off the couch when they sense that their metabolic energy capabilities or reserves are incapacitated hasn't worked to date, as well it neglects and perpetuates the underlying problem.

Environmental influences should be a big part of the dialogue of research into what's driving increased childhood chronic disease rates. Thank you for bringing attention to the seriousness and urgency of this issue.
01:29 PM on 02/15/2011
Dr. Katz,
Not knowing what research you have accessed to base your opinion(s) on, I'm curious to know more details. Is the "best guess" based on results of a data mining study that collected obesity stats from records of pediatric stroke patients or a hypothesis based on a possible association between rising rates of obesity that parallels rising rates in pediatric stroke. It would seem an obvious correlation. Are there reports based on examining medical records of pediatric stroke patients? And if so, are the stats signalling that it is overwhelmingly driven by obesity; did the stroke patients have a history of taking any prescribed medications that increased the risk of diabetes type II, obesity or stroke; was there an unexpected group of stroke patients who were underweight or had a history of taking prescribed stimulant medications? Was there any consideration to dietary practices, ie diets heavy on MSG-laden foods, popular "energy" drinks. Were there considerations for exposure to environmental toxins that increase inflammation or interfere with hormonal regulation of metabolism? to be continued
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Atchka
Fierce, Freethinking Fatties
03:16 PM on 02/16/2011
Excellent questions. Would love a follow up.

Peace,
Shannon
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Gayle Boesky
Conventional wisdom is neither
01:23 PM on 02/15/2011
It's up to us as adults to set the standard. Children mimic what they see. If their parents eat healthy, the children will do so too. And once they get in the habit of eating healthy it will continue their whole lives.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
yogini4
Think deeper!
04:55 PM on 02/15/2011
This is insufficient and does not reflect the complexities of human behavioral motivation and change.