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Summer of 2011 Rewrites Record Books

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The summer of 2011 has rewritten the record books. 

Using our record temperature tracker (see below), which draws on the National Climatic Data Center's database, we found that June, July, and August saw more warm temperature records tied or broken than any other summer in the past decade: more than 26,500 record warm temperatures were set across the nation. By comparison, fewer than 3,500 record low temperatures were set -- the fewest of any summer in the past decade. These records are daily records -- that is, each day’s high and low temperature is compared to the high and lows for that day of the year in the weather station’s history. In addition to the daily records, numerous monthly records were set. In Texas, for example, this summer will go down in history as the warmest summer on record.

Not only that, but NOAA announced today that Texas had the warmest summer for any state in the US going back to when instrument records began in 1895. Oklahoma came in second, with both states beating records set during the infamous "Dust Bowl" era in the 1930s. Perhaps unsurprisingly, placing this many records on a single Google map made the map run too slowly for most browsers. (Which is why the above is just an image.) Below is an interactive map that breaks the summer down by month. Click on "play" to watch heat waves repeatedly march across the nation. (Visit Climate Central for all the interactive features.)

As is obvious from the swaths of red, the heat was especially relentless in the southern Great Plains, particularly Texas and Oklahoma. In August, more than 4,000 record warm temperatures were set in the Lone Star State alone. (Within each state, hundreds of weather observation stations record hourly data on temperature, rainfall, and other conditions.) That’s almost as many records as are set across the entire nation in a typical month. As Jeff Masters reports for Weather Underground, “The summer of 2011 now holds every major heat record for the city of Austin, including most 100°F days (67 so far), hottest month in recorded history (August, breaking the previous record by a remarkable 2.1°F), hottest summer (by 1.1°F), and hottest day in history (112°F, tied with Sep, 5, 2000).”

Of course, as the climate continues to warm in response to increasing amounts of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, we expect more record warm temperatures than cold ones. As we reported, record high temperatures in the U.S. are outpacing record lows, which is consistent with what one would expect if temperatures are getting warmer due to global warming.

On average, though, warm temperature records have outnumbered cold records by about two to one. However, this summer the ratio was almost eight to one!

In the future, this summer could look downright cool. According to a study by Climate Central’s Claudia Tebaldi and other researchers, by 2050, record high temperatures could outpace record lows by 20 to one. By the end of the century, the ratio could jump to 100 to one, if greenhouse gas emissions continue unabated. Other research also indicates that many areas may soon shift into a new temperature regime in the next few decades, with much warmer summers featuring intense heat waves becoming the new normal.

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