- BIG NEWS:
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A new weapon has been brought to bear in the war on coal, and it's aimed right at the corpulent industry's soft underbelly: risk.
New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo just sent out a round of subpoenas to energy companies. He wants to see internal documents demonstrating that the companies -- AES Corporation, Dominion, Dynegy, Peabody Energy and Xcel Energy -- fully disclosed the financial risks of planned coal-fired power plants to investors.
(This is Cuomo's twist on a once-obscure statute -- the Martin Act, a 1921 state securities law -- that his predecessor Eliot Spitzer revived and used to investigate Wall Street corruption.)
About what risks do you suppose the energy companies might have been less-than-forthcoming?
"Any one of the several new or likely regulatory initiatives for CO2 emissions from power plants -- including state carbon controls, E.P.A.'s regulations under the Clean Air Act, or the enactment of federal global warming legislation -- would add a significant cost to carbon-intensive coal generation," the letters [accompanying the subpoenas] said.
They added, "Selective disclosure of favorable information or omission of unfavorable information concerning climate change is misleading."
This is a BFD. Cuomo's saying to Big Coal: You can bullshit the public, you can bullshit legislators, but it's against the law to bullshit your investors.
What would it mean for coal to fully disclose the environmental risks?
First, "omission of unfavorable information concerning climate change" is a no-no. Seems to me at a minimum that means acknowledging the risks outlined by IPCC WG2, and they are considerable. Big Coal has to tell its investors that climate change is going to be extremely unpleasant, and that coal is the world's foremost contributor to it.
Second, complying with the Clean Air Act is expensive, and puts a serious dent in coal's market position, even absent greenhouse gas regulations.
Third and most significantly, regulations on GHG emissions are popping up all over the place, from cities, states, and I'd say by 2010 at the latest, the federal government. Maybe it's a federal carbon cap; maybe states implement even tougher carbon caps. Maybe Dingell gets a carbon tax through. Maybe Chris Dodd is elected and bans new coal plants that don't have working sequestration. Maybe the feds don't guarantee a market for CTL. Maybe they don't subsidize the development of sequestration. Maybe sequestration costs far more than anyone estimates.
Point is, any new coal plant faces risks that are a) extremely difficult to quantify or predict, and b) potentially fatal. The coal industry has helped keep the public passive by highlighting uncertainty around climate change, but that won't work with investors -- investors hate uncertainty above all else.
Big Coal has convinced lots of people that the use of coal for the foreseeable future is unavoidable and inevitable, but I suspect that energy executives know better. I suspect they're in something of a panic. They know that in a fair, carbon-constrained market, coal is a dead man walking. It can survive only through preferential government treatment.
That's why coal execs are trying to shape federal regulations while they still can. That's why they're trying to artificially create a market for liquid coal. That's why they fight so hard for research and loan guarantees behind IGCC. That's why they're lobbying like hell for massive subsidies for carbon sequestration.
They know they can't fool investors or the public forever, so they're fighting for coal's survival with the strategy that's always paid off before: political access.
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May be premature to write-off coal as we have a lot of it and it"s cheap. More importantly, I would not underestimate the ability of technology to drastically and safely reduce CO2 emissions and do so while avoiding bankrupting the consumer. However, this will take some time to pull off " 5 years or so. In the interim, suggest massive effort to conserve energy and deploy renewable sources where it makes economic sense. Ultimately, we have got to stop being held hostage by foreign oil and gas because it will drain all the money out of the country and we will be unable to improve the lot of the needy (or the average American, for that matter).
Gee - why doesnt he just do the easy thing and let the old demonstrators against nuclear power see the amounts of radioactivity released by coal fired plants - they can get all the plants shut down within days
hm. Now that the loophole's been found, look for them to change the law regarding disclosure to investors.
If we're going to hold coal mining to a higher standard lets go all the way and hold gold, iron ore, copper, and all other forms of mining to that higher standard too.
I'm assuming any plants built that will burn iron ore, copper and other mining products for energy will be held to the same higher standards that we want COAL BURNING POWERPLANTS held to.
Powerplants and not mines, of course, being the subject of this entry and AG Cuomo's actions.
Don't get me wrong, I'm all for holding mining of all flavors to higher standards...
...but the point here goes beyond mining, to burning. Of the coal. For electricity production. Holding gold mining to a higher standard doesn't push us further down the road to renewables; holding energy companies to a higher standard does.
Yep! There's very little coal burning where I'm at. The huge electrical power plants burn natural gas and clean, pure water is the byproduct, so I'm inclined to say let 'em pollute their air and lungs, it don't bother me. However, green energy has the potential to make regular people realize a return on their investments. Instead of paying a monthly bill, green energy investors can realize a monthly check! I'm building a subdivsion right now, and I just got an idea. Build a subdivision with a section of it reserved for green energy with the utilities pre-built to each lot and with restrictions for the subdivision wherein every lot has to connect to the green energy source. Why wait for the gummint, ha!
I'll second that. And subsidize insulation and efficient furnaces and appliances.
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Posted September 17, 2007 | 01:03 PM (EST)