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David Roher
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Blog Entries by David Roher

March Madness for (Statistically Inclined) Dummies

Posted March 17, 2010 | 11:45:23 (EST)

Note: If you'd like to follow this strategy but don't even want to fill out a bracket, CBS Sportsline has an autofill option called "Historical Random" that is essentially what I'm suggesting.

March Madness is probably the only time where a large number of people have a rooting interest in...

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COSTAS: The Weighted Olympic Medal Count

Posted March 1, 2010 | 17:17:05 (EST)

Disclaimer: This medal weighting system does not reflect the views or endorsement of any NBC broadcasters, and only reflects the view of the author.

U-S-A! U-S-A! According to the medal count that everyone's using, we're #1, unless you're going by number of gold medals, in which case...

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A Vote Against the NFL's New Overtime Proposal

Posted March 1, 2010 | 12:54:51 (EST)

According to an AP story written last night, the NFL is considering a change to its overtime system, although only for playoff games. A change from the sudden-death format is overdue. Brian Burke at Advanced NFL Stats.com has found that in recent history, the team that gets the...

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The Media, Mark McGwire, and Chew

Posted January 12, 2010 | 18:33:47 (EST)

Mark McGwire may have taken steroids, but he didn't get the mileage out of them that Mike Lupica has.

Lupica benefited from the 1998 home run chase, publishing a book about it a few months after its conclusion. Unlike McGwire and Sammy Sosa, however, Lupica isn't under any...

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How Will Tiger Do? A Statistical Look at Returns From Scandals Past

Posted December 17, 2009 | 13:50:11 (EST)

I awoke from a three-week nap a few hours ago (I wrote those other posts in my sleep) to find that Tiger Woods was embroiled in a bit of a scandal. My first reaction, besides confusion as to why I had 1200 messages, was disappointment that his personal...

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The Iverson Gap: Why Valuing Players Is Even Harder Than You Think

Posted December 14, 2009 | 11:58:40 (EST)

The value of Allen Iverson is one of the most contentious topics in the world of basketball statistics. HuffPost's own Dave Berri is well known for thinking that Iverson is heavily overrated, and is decidedly unenthusiastic about his return to the Philadelphia 76ers. Other statisticians have publicly disagreed. There's...

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A New Way to Measure Salary and Payroll Efficiency

Posted December 9, 2009 | 06:00:00 (EST)

Did the 2009 New York Yankees have the most efficient payroll in baseball?

According to some recent research we've done, they did indeed.

Just not in the conventional sense. If the above assertion struck you as ridiculous, it's because you think of payroll efficiency in the same way as...

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Belichick's Decision: Flip a Coin, or Trust the Team?

Posted November 17, 2009 | 11:52:15 (EST)

If you write, talk, or scream about football for a living, you probably had something to say about Bill Belichick's decision on Sunday night. In short, the Patriots had the ball with just over 2 minutes to go on their own 28. It was...

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