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David Sirota

David Sirota

Posted: October 22, 2009 11:01 AM

When the New York Times' John Harwood reported that a top Obama adviser told him that progressives "need to take off the pajamas, get dressed and realize that governing a closely divided country is complicated and difficult," it was a rejoinder that expressed far more than Village disdain for grassroots pressure and activism. It represented a deeper assertion, pervasive in political circles, that says we all must be patient with the Obama White House because we're only 10 months into the new administration. "Governing a closely divided country is complicated and difficult" is a euphemism for both "stop pushing so hard," "don't expect so much change so fast," "he's trying to do too much too fast" and every other similar dollop of conventional wisdom.

In one sense, there's nothing surprising about this coming from the Village. Beltway journalists, pundits and politicians are inclined to despise anything even vaguely grassroots in nature, because anything grassroots in nature fundamentally challenges their authority and power. But in another sense, it's shocking that the same Beltway culture that so consistently venerates the political vehemence, aggressiveness and legacy of Ronald Reagan would manufacture a conventional wisdom assuming that the first year of a president's first term is the time for patience.

Here's a passage from Gil Troy's Reagan biography, Morning In America that explains how most of the major legislative initiatives that have been come to be called the Reagan Revolution happened in 1981:

That summer of 1981, Reaganism peaked. The Reagan legislative steamroller continued to flatten the Democratic opposition in the Congress with the passage of Kemp-Roth tax cuts on the heels of the Stockman-Weinberger mix of social program cuts and defense increases...[Reagan] had solidified his image as a no-nonsense leader determined to repudiate his predecessors' weaknesses...


By September, however, the Democrats counterattacked...his rivals blamed him for the growing recession. Much of the next seven and a quarter years would be spent scrambling on the scrimmage line Reagan and his men had initially reached with breakneck speed. If the first half-year of the Reagan era could be considered to be a conservative blitzkreig, politically the next seven and a half years became trench warfare. Reagan failed to advance his revolution much further...From refreshing, cleansing, sometimes inspiring, sometimes terrifying promises of revolution in 1981 would emerge a frustrating, polarizing, enervating legislative gridlock.

Recall that Reagan was elected in 1980 by a smaller percentage than Barack Obama was elected in 2008, and therefore Reagan had a much smaller legislative mandate than Obama. Recall, too, that while Obama came into office with polls giving him high marks and voters giving him huge majorities in both houses of Congress, Reagan came into office with polls showing him one of the most unpopular presidents entering office, with Republicans controlling only one house of Congress (the Senate), and only by a very narrow majority (53 votes).

The dichotomy is obvious: The Reagan administration, facing huge political obstacles, powered through the bulk of the Reagan Revolution's legislative agenda in his first year in office; the Obama administration, with far fewer political obstacles, has spent the first year slow-walking things like Wall Street reform and climate change, watering down health care reform, and telling the public to be patient (this is particularly strange, considering President Obama made sure to let us all know how much he wanted to emulate the transformativeness of Reagan).

To be sure, Reagan was pushing an agenda backed by Big Money, and Obama promised to push an agenda that would challenge Big Money -- so the former's charge was easier than the latter's. Additionally, the current Obama dynamic could still change. We still have a few months to go before that first year runs out. However, that "first year" idea is no artificial construction -- as Troy notes in his book, the reason history has seen presidents from FDR to Reagan to George W. Bush pass such large portions of their agenda in the first year is because that is when presidents are most politically powerful. They have election mandates behind them and they have the chance to change the paradigms of their predecessors...and the longer they wait, the more that "Big Mo" declines, the more the opposition is emboldened and the harder it is to pass anything.

So the next time you hear a pundit or a White House aide or a run-of-the-mill Obama sycophant tell everyone to be "patient" and stop pressuring the president to move the progressive agenda forward, remember Ronald Reagan. "Patience" today ignores the fact that if history is any guide, this moment will likely be the only opportunity in the near future to create transformative change. In that sense, "patience" now is the opposite of pragmatism -- it is political suicide.

 
 
 

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06:29 PM on 10/23/2009
Comparison's to Jimmy Carter's administration rather than Ronald Reagan's would seem more to the point. I don't think rational person would argue that Carter was the most incompetent President of at least the past 75 years. If the first year of Obama's administration is an indication then Carter may be off the hook as "worst President" in recent history.
10:09 PM on 10/24/2009
Raygun was the worst president up to Bush.

Carter was treasonously sabotaged by the Ragun and the Conservatives.

Look up "October Surprise"
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bioluminescence
11:40 AM on 10/23/2009
True. Some things take time. But not undoing many of the 200 executive orders Obama the candidate said were either in defiance of constitutional authority or just plain wrong. He said he'd make a good start in the first 100 days. Now 300 days in office he appears to be coveting most of them. That's why illegal detention, warrantless wiretaps and the War Powers Act are still on the books. He even says he retains executive privilege to determine which individuals and which actions from the previous administration should be investigated.

No. Obama the constitutional law expert only needed a chair and a pen to undo executive privilege enacted by the Bush/Cheny duo. We used to wonder when he would do it. Now we wonder if he will.
03:52 AM on 10/23/2009
President Obama is being far too political and too busy planning around the big picture, which is get democrats elected in 2010 and not looking at what is lost by indecision. I think that extending olive branches to people who would just as soon spit at you is a mistake. The Republicans gave no such quarter to Democrat interests during the last administration and i think the favor should be returned. I don't wish to state the obvious, but isn't that why we elected Dem's over Repulicans?
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AlexKTahoma
01:46 AM on 10/23/2009
Going to fast? The man hasn't done anything. What can anyone say he's honestly done?

Furthermore, how can he even be considered for being compared to Ronald Reagan? Reagan served for two terms. Obama has only been in for about 10 months now. He can't be compared to Reagan as far as accomplishments goes.
12:58 AM on 10/23/2009
Winning presidential election depends on electoral votes won rather than the popular votes won. If the latter were the case, Al Gore would have won the president over Bush.

President Reagan won 489 electoral votes and President Carter won only 49. He defeated Carted with 9.7% point.

President Obama won 365 electoral votes, while Senator McCain won 173. Obama defeated McCain with 7.2% point.

Reagan carried 44 states and President Carter carried only 6 plus DC.

President Obama carried 28 states plus DC and Senator McCain carried 22 states.

To say that Reagan had a much smaller legislative mandate than Obama leave your readers scratching their heads in perplexity.

Furthermore, every President governs through tax increase or decrease, increase or cut in social programs when presenting budget proposals. Any objective observer will not consider passing such budget proposal as major legislative accomplishments. Passing healthcare, energy and financial reforms are major legislative accomplishments.
08:48 PM on 10/22/2009
From my perspective here, he's going at breakneck speed.

There seems to be a lot of furious paddling going on under the surface of the swan lake. Anyone remember the article about how much more white hairs Obama was getting?
06:35 PM on 10/22/2009
Obama is not a dictator
06:34 PM on 10/22/2009
patience is a virtue
all good things come to those who wait
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TheBaffler
a long the riverrun
10:41 PM on 10/22/2009
Empty platitudes don't lead to change.
11:13 AM on 10/23/2009
neither does politically tone-deaf, five year old whining...
04:19 PM on 10/22/2009
This is nonsense. Reagan didn't have to come in on the heels of a 700 billion dollar bailout. Nor did he have to pass a 800 billion dollar stimulus that his base still thought was too small. Followed by a bailout of the car companies, while two wars are going on, Iran wants nukes, N. Korea wants nukes, Israel is getting nervous, oh yeah let's throw a swine flu outbreak in the mix. The hand that this president has been dealt is worse than any president in history. Reagan inherited a bad economy, but at least the banks worked and credit wasn't completely frozen. Interest rates were high but you didn't have a bunch of nearly insolvent banks. People had been hurting for 4 years when FDR hit the scene. He had no where to go but up. They were willing to try anything different. We are hurting, but unemployment is barely 10%. It is just an apples and oranges comparison.
06:19 PM on 10/22/2009
Your 'this is nonsense' comment seems way off, and your comments contradict it. You agree that Reagan achieved his agenda under less severe conditions than we/Obama now face. Things were worse for FDR. Ok fine, but he made tremendous progress. Unless you assert that Obama has done everything he has intended, you didnt' disprove Sirota's point at all.

Aside from that:

I agree that viewing from today's perspective (and perhaps the bias of "we survived it, so..."), things didn't seem so bad in 1980, comparatively.

However, things were pretty bad at the time, probably the lowest point the US had reached after recovering from WWII. Tthe 70s were pretty bad economically and all the turmoil from the Vietnam War and Tricksy Dick, then the Iran Hostage crisis, Three Mile Island, Cold War still going on, the cities were a mess (NYC at least). etc. I always hated Reagan, btw.

I think that growing up in the 70s and having a parent out of work had to be a much different experience than, e.g. Gen Y growing up in the 90s with a growing economy, America as the alleged lone superpower, with no apparent end in sight (yet).
08:31 AM on 10/23/2009
The point I was attempting to make is that the President has more things to juggle with the bad hand he was dealt, so he has to prioritize and there were things like the stimulus and TARP that took time away from his agenda. It looks like he is focusing on health care, job creation, financial reform, and Afghanistan solely in his first year. Other issues that he campaigned on are going to have to wait a while. I'm not telling people to drop issues like immigration and DADT, I'm just saying that he has to prioritize. He can walk and chew gum, but he can't do everything at once.
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Unsui
You callin' my Bio micro?!
04:11 PM on 10/22/2009
Why is it I trust Obama's sense of, political, timing more than I trust this pundits?
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senorlou
07:58 AM on 10/23/2009
It could mean you are a thoughtful, sensible person.
11:13 AM on 10/23/2009
Because you are an adult...
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TRex86
Enjoying life in West Ohio
03:46 PM on 10/22/2009
Reagan symbolized the beginning of the Restoration. After 20 years of turmoil people were ready for a change. The Reformation era of the 60's and 70's was highly destabilizing to this society. Americans of all points of view were tired of the accumulated grievances and wounds. Reagan consolidated a counter-revolution, dispensing soporific fables about the "shining city on a hill." We were more than willing to buy his dreamworld of his soothing words--along with taking the solar panels off the White House roof and buying gas guzzlers.
The hypnagogic trance lasted until 2008, during which time the federal debt grew from under one trillion when Carter left office to 10.6 trillion when Georgie Boy skulked away. In short, Reagan, Bush I and Bush II borrowed nine trillion dollars and threw a party. At the end of that era American income and wealth differentials were greater than any time since the 19th century. We are only now awakening from our collective trance and have yet to see all this with clarity. It will take time to undo the damage. What Obama understands from Reagan's reign is that the style is as important as the substance.
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Unsui
You callin' my Bio micro?!
04:21 PM on 10/22/2009
Boy buddy, I couldn't agree more. More Reagan facts: federal deficit under Carter averaged $54 billion annually. Under Reagan? $210.6 billion. Overall federal spending? Doubled under Reagan from $590.9 billion in 1980 to $1.4 TRILLION in 1989. Government itself grew by 5% during the Reagan years. All the things that conservatives tout as Reagan's accomplishments were a sham. But: he did have style.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
TRex86
Enjoying life in West Ohio
07:06 PM on 10/22/2009
Reagan should have been impeached, and he knew it (for Iran-Contra). Imagine if Obama were trading weapons to the Taliban so he could fund the overthrow of the government of say Honduras. Both parties would scream for his scalp. What Reagan did that was commendable was his work towards nuclear disarmamant. HIs fading conitive function admitted to the supreme horror of nuclear war. Were he alive for that he deserved our gratitude--from his prison cell.
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TrueIndependent
No, YOUR micro-bio is empty.
10:26 AM on 10/23/2009
Sham? You're blind.

The largest peace time economic growth in history.

23 million jobs created.

BO has spent more money (that we don't have) than all other presidents combined.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
wattnot
I'm a Lumberjack and He's OK.
01:26 AM on 10/23/2009
Beautifully put. The species that takes over from us (the cockroach?) will have entire university faculties studying how it was that there was individual human intelligence that didn't add up to collective intelligence. Collective trance is the problem, and unlike hibernating bears we don't seem to come out of it together. But I guess if you have been partying for eight years you are going to have one hell of a hangover. I think Obama knows that the style must be set to underscore the substance- Reagan had it the other way round- he was an actor, after all.
03:22 PM on 10/22/2009
Obam is no Reagan and Gallups on poll shows it. BO third quarter approval decline was the most in history for a 1st term president:

http://politicalintegritynow.com/2009/10/gallup-obamas-third-quarter-approval-drop-largest-ever-measured/

Not. Good. News.

Again...THIS IS FROM GALLUP!!!! Not a right wing organization!
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Unsui
You callin' my Bio micro?!
04:23 PM on 10/22/2009
"Obama is no Reagan"
Thank goodness! i so hope you are right in this one!
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Unsui
You callin' my Bio micro?!
04:27 PM on 10/22/2009
"Obama is no Reagan"

Thank Goodness! I sure hope you are right on this one, PIN.
03:19 PM on 10/22/2009
Excellent review. I have some sympathy for those who say "It's only been six/seven/eight/nine/ten months", because they are often responding to thoughts along the lines of "If Obama doesn't magically provide my favorite result RIGHT NOW, I'll never vote for him again".

However, the "patiencers" are ignoring the political history you highlight -- the vast majority of significant Presidential agenda items are achieved in the first year, and the truly transformative ones in the first year of the first term. It all comes down to the old re-election rag. In the second and fourth years of any Presidential term, the highest priority of the entire House and one-third of the Senate is re-election, which leads legislators to avoid controversy as much as possible. By the third year of a second term, the President is politically a lame duck. So, you're left with the first year of each term, and the third year of the first term, to attempt to pass controversial legislation.

Now, it may be that President Obama's well-known desire to change the way politics is done has led him to believe that it should be possible to conduct legislative business independent of the electoral cycle; and this is the reason for the absence of a "full-court press" on any issue. If so, I wish he would clearly express that belief, because it would be taking a huge risk (failing to accomplish anything significant) in pursuit of an ideal.
02:42 PM on 10/22/2009
Oh, the delicious irony.

"Progressives" are at last waking up to the fact that they were played like a violin during the election campaign and their feelings are hurt.

Perhaps next time, they won't be so easily seduced by meaningless campaign slogans and gimmickry.
03:13 PM on 10/22/2009
We had no choice. Kucinich was the real FDR we need, but the Conservative MSM and DLC shut him out before the national debates even started.

We progressives were paying attention.

Trouble is most of the voters were fooled to accept the spoon fed candidate.

It's always been the least worst candidate.

And Obama is infinitely better than ANY GOP McCain Palin disaster.
03:22 PM on 10/22/2009
Serious progressives were not fooled by Obama. We pay attention to policy.

It's the ordinary voter, not particularly clued in as to policy, who is confused and disappointed by the egregious systemic plutocratic corruption that persists under a Democratic presidency with Democratic supermajorities in both houses of Congress.

Less clued-in voters thought that Democrats were the opposites of Republicans. The Republicans didn't work out, so they voted for Democrats. The reality is that only Progressives are the opposite of Republicans. Centrists are essentially the same as Republicans. They believe in the supremacy of the plutocrats, rule by and for the rich, undertaxation of the capitalists, fiat by stakeholders, business as usual, and the right of the industrial cartels to dominate their policy areas, game markets, engage in opaque speculation, pay illegals below the minimum wage, and suck wealth from workers and consumers through price gouging and legalized graft. Centrists are owned by the war, banking, fossil fuel, and health insurance and pharmaceuticals cartels just as much as the Republicans, and will do their best to kill any real reform.

Democrats have total control and ownership of DC and of all outcomes of this Congress. That means that Centrists are now self-evidently the problem, not the solution. Whatever that is bad survives until 2010, is on their heads. And in their muddled way, ordinary voters will realize this.

Hence the disillusion of many Obama supporters.
02:18 PM on 10/22/2009
Reagan came in very powerful. Iran hostage situation came to end the day he took office. Carter was a very weak incumbent one term prez. His own party didn't like him as Teddy ran against him in the primaries. Dems were still fractured and disillusioned. Reagan beat an incumbent. Obama did not. There's a big difference. Also, Obama has never run anything, Reagan was 2 term Gov of largest state. Obama is learning.
02:49 PM on 10/22/2009
Yeah what a coincidence, huh,the Iranians were so afraid of raygun, they gave up the hostages, right?

No, Raygun traded the hostages for missiles.

Raygun and his worshipers treasonously interfered with Carters negotiations to have the hostages released.

Oliver North was the special operation officers for the "opp,s left the sand screens off in a desert" rescue attempt fiasco, and then later in more weapons being sold to Iran.

Raygun won by helping Iran.
03:04 PM on 10/22/2009
By purposely misspelling Reagan's name you really bolster your "intellectual" argument. Nice job!!
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03:28 PM on 10/22/2009
Wrong hostages. Reagan exchanged missiles for the release of hostages held in Lebanon by Iranian ally Hezbollah.