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David Woolner

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FDR's New Deal Shattered the Austerity Myth

Posted: 05/07/2012 5:51 pm

To balance our budget in 1933 or 1934 or 1935 would have been a crime against the American people. To do so we should either have had to make a capital levy that would have been confiscatory, or we should have had to set our face against human suffering with callous indifference. When Americans suffered, we refused to pass by on the other side. Humanity came first.

... This debt is not going to be paid by oppressive taxation on future generations. It is not going to be paid by taking away the hard-won savings of the present generation. It is going to be paid out of an increased national income and increased individual incomes produced by increasing national prosperity. -- Franklin Roosevelt, 1936

The recent news that the U.K. and other major European economies have officially entered a double dip recession has led many observers to argue, as the New York Times did last week, that the economic policies followed by the Obama administration have been better than the austerity measures pursued by his European counterparts. Indeed, most mainstream economists now agree with the voters in France, who, in electing François Hollande as their next president, have endorsed the idea that "austerity need not be Europe's fate."

There is a growing recognition on both sides of the Atlantic that President Obama's approach, which has combined stimulus spending, capital injections, and quantitative easing, is largely responsible for the fragile yet steady recovery the United States has been experiencing since 2010. Granted, the U.S. economy remains weak, and as such there is real concern that the downturn in Europe might drag the U.S. back into recession. But there is another, perhaps greater risk to the U.S. recovery that emanates from our own shores: the incessant demand for European-style federal budget cuts from American austerity hawks.

As evidenced by last summer's debt ceiling debacle or the draconian budget proposed this spring by Rep. Paul Ryan, the right wing of the Republican party will seemingly stop at nothing to achieve its goal of cutting the size of government. Moreover, its unremitting sky-is-falling rhetoric -- which is based largely on fear -- has become so pervasive in our political discourse that the question of cutting the federal deficit receives nearly equal footing with the issue of job creation in the media and on the campaign trail. We are told again and again that the way to create jobs is to reduce spending and cut the size of government. Never mind that these policies have failed in Europe over the past two years, while President Obama's rejection of austerity has resulted in sustained economic growth over exactly the same period.

Roughly three-quarters of a century ago, a similar argument raged between Franklin Roosevelt, who firmly believed that it was right and proper for the government to intervene in the economy during a time of crisis, and those on the extreme right who insisted the way to end the Great Depression was to reduce the federal deficit and balance the budget, no matter what the short-term costs.

FDR had little time for such arguments, which he viewed as not only selfish, but un-American. In his view, most Americans, "if they know both sides of a question and are asked to support the public good, will step forward and lay aside selfishness." But, he went on:

... we must admit that there are some people who honestly believe in a wholly different theory of government than the one our Constitution provides.

You know their reasoning. They say that in the competition of life for the good things of life "some people are successful because they have better brains or are more efficient; the wise, the swift and the strong are able to outstrip their fellowmen." And they say that that is nature itself and you cannot do anything about it and it is just too bad if some, the minority of people, get left behind.

For Roosevelt, however -- and the vast majority of Americans who voted for him over the course of four terms in office -- such an attitude was unacceptable. They understood that there were times in the life of a nation when government had a duty to intervene in the economy, even if it meant going into debt. Thanks to their efforts, and to their faith in government, we continue to enjoy Social Security, unemployment insurance, Federal Deposit Insurance, and a host of other beneficial programs that came from the New Deal.

Conservative commentators today are fond of arguing that the New Deal did not work, that it was the war, rather than New Deal spending, which finally got the United States out of the Great Depression. What they fail to mention, of course, is that New Deal spending did work, just not enough to pull us out of the deep trough we were in. For that we needed much more spending, the kind of spending -- and borrowing -- that occurred in World War II. According to the logic of today's budget hawks, such a massive level of deficit and debt should have brought the U.S. economy to a screeching halt once the war was over. But that did not happen. On the contrary, the period of economic growth that occurred in the United States after the war was the largest and longest the world had ever seen.

Much like the 1930s, our slow climb out of the Great Recession has been made all the more difficult and painful thanks in large part to the unwillingness of austerity hawks in Congress to pass the president's ill-fated jobs bill and other pieces of stimulus legislation. Sadly, they seem far more interested in promoting the myth of austerity and the evils of short-term deficit spending than they do in confronting the overwhelming evidence from Europe and our own history that now is the time not to cut the federal budget, but to expand it.

Cross-posted from Next New Deal.

 
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To balance our budget in 1933 or 1934 or 1935 would have been a crime against the American people. To do so we should either have had to make a capital levy that would have been confiscatory, or we sh...
To balance our budget in 1933 or 1934 or 1935 would have been a crime against the American people. To do so we should either have had to make a capital levy that would have been confiscatory, or we sh...
 
 
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07:55 AM on 05/08/2012
"Roughly three-quarters of a century ago, a similar argument raged between Franklin Roosevelt, who firmly believed that it was right and proper for the government to intervene in the economy during a time of crisis, and those on the extreme right who insisted the way to end the Great Depression was to reduce the federal deficit and balance the budget, no matter what the short-term costs."

FDR first campaigned on the traditional Democrat small government platform, arguing against Hoover, federal intervention, and everything he later did.

"Conservative commentators today are fond of arguing that the New Deal did not work,"

It didn't. It failed disastrously, so badly that it no longer existed by the time the Supreme Court ruled it unconstitutional. So did the 2nd New Deal, and the 3rd. You are referring to the 4th New Deal which "worked" well enough to last this long, but it won't last forever.
11:53 PM on 05/07/2012
The New Deal gave us the energy capacity to win WWII quickly.
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bigtimechillerm
Why does the left despise self-governance?
11:46 PM on 05/07/2012
According to USAToday, the debt to GDP ratio today is 98%. During the Depression years it was around 40%. So any debate about austerity measures then and now are moot. Our economy is wildly more global than was FDR's.

There are some comparisons though. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates artificially low in the 20's and prior to this crisis, artificially stimulating the economy and increasing public debt. Public debt and government (public) debt is at an entirely different level now than it was during FDR's time. Between the last year of the Bush Admin and all of Obama's the Federal debt has DOUBLED to an incomprehensible level. We now owe more than we can produce in a year. Even IF we get out of this economic crisis, it is doubtful the progressives would allow austerity measures in the upturn. We will continue to spend into oblivion, until there is no more.
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fearthebetenoire
Lying's like 95% of what I do. In your job? Sure.
10:19 PM on 05/07/2012
It's about time that someone stood up for old FDR (and Keynesian economics). The political opportunism that drives government policy away from sound macroeconomic principles never fails to re-illustrate the need for stimulus spending during a contraction. What is it about those who ignore history being doomed to repeat it?
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07:56 AM on 05/08/2012
"the need for stimulus spending during a contraction."

It's like binge eating after your weight induced heart attack. Doesn't make any sense.
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fearthebetenoire
Lying's like 95% of what I do. In your job? Sure.
02:54 PM on 05/08/2012
Your analogy is flawed. The national economy is not a human body, and the mechanisms of macroeconomics function differently than physiological systems.

Stimulus spending serves as an investment that creates jobs and spurs private investment, causing the economy to expand out of the contraction quicker and without the bottoming out effect of doing nothing or cutting budgets. The time to reduce deficits is during an extended expansion.
08:21 PM on 05/07/2012
During Herbert Hoover's presidency (1929-33) we lost about 6 million jobs.
During FDR's first term (1933-37) we gained approximately 5 million jobs.
During FDR's second term (1937-41) we gained about 3 million jobs.

Republicans can spin all they want about Hoover & FDR.
Just look at the statistics!
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Josh Crawford
Just the facts, man!
07:31 PM on 05/07/2012
Recovery from the Great depression took over a decade but it could have been significantly shorter if the US government hadn't tried a form of "austerity" in 1937. In that year spending by the federal government (which was, admittedly, a fraction of what it is today) was cut by 10% and the Fed "tightened monetary policy" by doubling bank reserve requirements and significantly hiking interest rates in mid/late 1936 The economic situation in the US almost immediately cratered. In one year industrial production dropped by over 30%, consumer prices dropped by 11% and the official unemployment rate spiked from just over 14% (which had been steadily declining from it's 25% peak of 1933) to 19%. FDR responded with a $5 Billion stimulus package and the country was back on the path to recovery less than a year later (though full recovery wouldn't kick in until the number of employed people in the US increased by over 70% from 1940-43 (from 11 million "employed" to 18 M).

Austerity was a disaster in 1937 and we know it. Why would we do it in 2012??
09:26 PM on 05/07/2012
We were very lucky that we were able to use the stimulus of 1940 - 1945 to completely destroy the productive capabilities of all of our competitors. This allowed for us to utilize our control of 80% of the worlds manufacturing capacity to export our way out of the debt created. Even better, the nations who controlled the largest percentage of the remaining 20% decided unilaterally to exit the export business (Russia and China). So unless you think that we will be buying a competitive advantage with our deficit spending the end result of more debt today will be lower living standards in the future as either inflation or higher taxation decreases purchasing power in the future.

Looking at 1929 - 1960 and suggesting that 2012 is similar to 1937 is more than foolish.
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blackraisin
Life, Liberty, Property.
09:41 PM on 05/07/2012
Because it ended the recession of 1920 in about a year. Morgenthau went on record that spending wasn't working. Spending didn't end the recession, it was the pent up consumer demand that came from rationing and savings accumulation because there was nothing to buy. That and we destroyed Europe so we had plenty of demand abroad too.
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07:58 AM on 05/08/2012
"Spending didn't end the recession, it was the pent up consumer demand "

If you consider that we've had nearly continuous recession ever since - I don't think it ended.
06:14 PM on 05/07/2012
Revisionist historians on the right claim that the New Deal did not work while ignoring the fact that FDR attempted to balance the budget, in response to demands from the right, in 1936, which froze the recovery. What did work was the world's largest stimulus, otherwise known as World War Two, something those on the right would prefer to forget.
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blackraisin
Life, Liberty, Property.
09:44 PM on 05/07/2012
If you eliminate most goods from the market through rationing, then employed people accumulate savings because there is nothing to buy. It would stand to reason then that pent up consumer demand would lead to economic growth. Does that mean we should go to war and halt industrial production for a few years to end the recession?