iPhone app iPad app Android phone app Android tablet app More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Dean Baker

GET UPDATES FROM Dean Baker
 

Alan Simpson: The Washington Elite's Attack Dog

Posted: 06/04/2012 7:16 pm

Alan Simpson, the foul-mouthed former senator, is back in the news. He once again launched an obscenity-laden diatribe against those who oppose his plans to cut Social Security and Medicare. Unfortunately, the focus of the media attention has been on the senator's use of obscenities, which is really beside the point. After all, a single, well-placed expletive can often do the work of a hundred G-rated words. The real issue is the senator's open contempt for the portion of the population that is either dependent on Social Security or Medicare now or will be in the future. Given that that group comprises almost everyone except the rich, Senator Simpson's diatribes are expressing contempt for just about the whole population -- in other words the 99 percent.

The contempt the senator holds for the 99 percent is probably common among those like him, the son of a senator, who grew up with great privilege and never had to fear financial insecurity. However, Sen. Simpson is unusual in showing this contempt so openly. Usually, members of the elite who enter politics are at least able to conceal the negative views they have of the less privileged.

Sen. Simpson plays the role of trying to divert the public's attention from the 1 percent's assault on the rest of us to generational issues, hence his continual push for cuts to Social Security and Medicare. He has been quite explicit in this effort, on at least one occasion urging his audience to "leave the rich alone." Of course, his generational story doesn't make much sense from the word "go." In the plan he devised with former Morgan Stanley director Erskine Bowles (as co-chairs of President Obama's deficit commission), young people would see the biggest cuts in their Social Security and Medicare benefits. This plan is not about transferring from the old to the young; it is about cutting back benefits on which the middle class and poor of all generations depend.

Sen. Simpson is fond of rattling off "facts" and then challenging his listeners to tell him where he is wrong. This can be a fun game. Let's try a few for the senator.

In its baseline scenario the Congressional Budget Office projects that Social Security will face a deficit of 1.6 percent of payroll over the next 75 years. If the Social Security tax were raised enough to fill this gap, it would be equal to just 2.9 percent of projected wage growth over the next 30 years. Even the shortfall of 2.0 percent of payroll projected in the more pessimistic alternative fiscal scenario is only 3.6 percent of projected wage growth over the next 30 years. Given these projections, what is the problem?

While workers may not be too concerned about losing 2.9 percent of their wage growth, or even 3.6 percent of their wage growth, to higher Social Security taxes, most workers are probably dubious about seeing any wage growth at all given the history of the last three decades. (These numbers fall to 2.3 percent and 2.8 percent if Simpson is right in his claim that consumer price index overstates the true rate of inflation.) Most of the gains from growth have gone to those at the top, like Sen. Simpson. If the future is like the recent past, then workers will not be seeing real wage growth, so any increase in taxes will be a burden.

This is a classic case of diverting people's attention from the real issue. The problem is not that they may at some point have to pay modestly higher taxes to support a longer retirement. The problem is that the game has been rigged so that most workers see little benefit from growth at all. In fact, most of the projected shortfall in Social Security would not even exist if there had not been such a large upward redistribution of income over the last three decades. Rather than focus on the 2.9 percent of projected wage growth that may be needed to sustain full scheduled benefits, workers might more productively focus on the 97.1 percent of their projected wage growth that is being redistributed to those at the top. But this is exactly what Sen. Simpson does not want people to see.

The same story applies to Medicare and Medicaid. The story that Simpson and others circulate regarding these programs breaking the budget is entirely a story of the broken U.S. health-care system. If per-person health-care costs in the United States were anywhere close to those in other countries, then the United States would be looking at huge budget surpluses in the long term, not deficits. In this situation we might try asking why U.S. health-care costs are so high, but this would involve challenging the money paid out to drug companies, medical supply companies, highly paid medical specialists, and insurance companies. Again, these are the rich whom Sen. Simpson wants us to leave alone.

It's also worth remembering that the large current deficits that provide the atmosphere of crisis in which attacks on Social Security and Medicare gain credence is largely the result of the deficit mongers diverting attention from those of us who were trying to warn of the housing bubble that eventually sank the economy. Back in the years before the housing bubble burst, the deficit was relatively small and projected to remain so for the foreseeable future. Then the economy collapsed, and the deficit exploded. Remarkably, instead of discrediting perpetual deficit hawks like Simpson, in the wacky world of Washington, this collapse actually increased their credibility.

But there is no point in arguing with the attack dog. The real argument is with the people who hold up Sen. Simpson as a serious apostle of fiscal prudence. What are their answers to the evidence that the deficit is really a distributional issue between the 99 percent and the rest of us? It would be nice to see some serious discussion of this issue.

 

Follow Dean Baker on Twitter: www.twitter.com/DeanBaker13

FOLLOW BUSINESS
Alan Simpson, the foul-mouthed former senator, is back in the news. He once again launched an obscenity-laden diatribe against those who oppose his plans to cut Social Security and Medicare. Unfortuna...
Alan Simpson, the foul-mouthed former senator, is back in the news. He once again launched an obscenity-laden diatribe against those who oppose his plans to cut Social Security and Medicare. Unfortuna...
 
 
  • Comments
  • 72
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
Page: 1 2 3  Next ›  Last »  (3 total)
03:19 PM on 07/22/2012
Simpson has always been a two-faced sleezeball. Why doesn't the jerk give back his pension and benefits if he wants to reduce the 16T shortfall?

Why should any member of Congress receive any pension or free health care... Maybe they wouldn't then legislate just to keep their power/office. I say term limits and 4-6 months in session per year MAX.. Other countries do it...why not the US? Is it because our elected officials are so excellent????
08:36 AM on 07/04/2012
You said it best, Mr. (I use the term loosely) Simpson is nothing but an elite pompous ass.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Joe Economist
Risk Manager
09:46 AM on 06/07/2012
Thanks for deleting the comments. God forbid anyone have facts around here.
photo
jmpurser
See My micro-bio
10:18 PM on 06/05/2012
No.  Alan Simpson is the barking dog.  The ATTACK DOGS are the elected members of the Democratic and Republican parties.
11:08 AM on 06/05/2012
A win for Dems would be to put Bowles-Simpson up for a vote as a way of taking the lead on deficit reduction then watching the GOP shoot it down because it calls for tax increases.
photo
Shadow Diver
When The Going Gets Weird, The Weird Turn Pro
11:05 AM on 06/05/2012
Alan Simpsons earns $174,000 every year for the rest of his life. That is his severance for being a Senator. My dad's SS check is like $1,200 a month. Unlike Simpson my dad actually worked for a living. It is obvious that people on SS are bankrupting the country.

At what point are US citizens going to demand to end retirement, insurance and incredible wages that our goevernment has so lovingly approved for itself, while telling the rest of us to go to............?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
sillygames
01:16 PM on 06/06/2012
Well, WI just voted for Walker. So, the "working class government workers" lost collective barginning. NO SAY at the table. So, now their health care and pensions will be out of pocket.

But, the big boys at the top will get to keep theirs. That is only fair right ?
12:41 PM on 06/08/2012
Didn't think anyone noticed being you sure don't hear about thier pensions much. Congress would not agree to pay more into thier pensions. They only pay 0.08%. They did agree to raise it to 3% for any newcomers beginning in 2013. I have always wondered why it is that they don't have to contribute much of anything to thier own pensions and they can retire in their 50's? You always hear them pit the public unions against non public unions by saying its not right that they get a pension and the public unions do but why is it they don't say its not right that they get a much higher pension themselves and they draw large salaries and $50,000 and up a year on pensions for the rest of their lives that they didn't pay for. In otherwords they are saying, its not right for a middle class person that only makes $40K to $50K a year to get a pension, its just okay for the well off to get a pension, paid for by our tax dollars!
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
spinotter11
Spinning through life and trying to understand it.
10:56 AM on 06/05/2012
Excellent article. It is as if there are two worlds: reality where the majority of us are being exploited and cheated, and Senator Simpson's fantasy land where we are spoiled minions of the government and need to have our allowance reduced.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ClarcKing
Citizen
10:48 AM on 06/05/2012
Simpson is Obama's sneaky flank attack upon the population. The US citizenry had better work to stabilize the nation. Get rid of the Democrat/Republican, Goldman Sachs platform of political economy.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Azetoth
09:39 AM on 06/05/2012
Let's cut off his taxpayer finded pension and health care. Then make him repay stolen taxpayer dollars. Then see how his tune changes.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
09:00 AM on 06/05/2012
The Simpsons-a three generation family of republicans living on the government teat.
08:43 AM on 06/05/2012
Simpson personifies the cullture of fear. Scare the hell out of the old folks with BS. The man is disgusting and worthy of his poor reputation.
photo
realsurfin
Pardon me, can you help out a fellow American
08:32 AM on 06/05/2012
There will only be true debate when the parties move back to the middle...

This election cycle the 99 percent need to rise up and vote out any and every GOP candidate they can. We need a huge voter turnout... we need to keep the GOP from stealing the electoral college, and the popular vote so they do not get the chance to stack the Supreme Court with one or two appointments. This would prove bad for the Middle class for decades.. if that happens it will make Citizens United seem like a walk in the park...

keep focused 99 percent.. make sure your registered and got proper ID for you district.

GO LIVE! GO VOTE!
01:51 PM on 06/21/2012
I agree. We need to get rid of the GOP and the corporate Democrats that we can. Then we need to replace them with middle class people with brains and decency.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
oldStory
Southern hippy man dreaming on
07:59 AM on 06/05/2012
It is always other people's money to fund wars that get carried off the books, other people's money in pension plans that give magical returns of 8% and huge transaction fees when the market hits the moon and falls back to earth wiping out savings of other people's lives. Other people going off to fight wars as the cheers ring out from car speakers and the gorgeous visuals on the worldwide bandwidths majority owned by five major international companies. Keep your filthy hands off my capital gains! Keep your filthy hands off my medicare, Obama, because of course, this is all his fault!. Right.
photo
ProudConservative
Fiscal conservative, social moderate
07:50 AM on 06/05/2012
Typical liberal solution to a fiscal problem: It's simple, just raise taxes!
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
sharin
severely liberal and proud of it
08:01 AM on 06/05/2012
typical CONservative - you dont have a flipping clue what you are talking about
11:19 AM on 06/05/2012
My thought as well, they just go into kneejerk stock response mode.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Duerksen
...but on the other side, it didn't say nothing.
08:05 AM on 06/05/2012
You are absolutely correct - it is simple! Its the only thing that has ever worked to make a society healthier and its individual people more powerful. Money is political power in this country, and its simply stupid and unAmerican to allow it to congeal in just a few pockets.

What's the rightie solution? - grovel to those you believe to be your betters, based on the size of their stacks of cash, and give them everything they demand.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
usna73
We are all in this together
07:26 AM on 06/05/2012
The only slice of taxpayers who are getting away with murder are those with minimal earned income and vast earnings in capital gains and other unearned income taxed at lower rates. You know, the Mitt Romneys of America who have bought control of the tax code via political contributions so they can declare their gargantuan financial-skimming incomes as long-term capital gains taxed at 15% rather than as earned income taxed at 35% or 39.6% (assuming the Bush-era tax cuts go away as planned at the end of 2012).

The number of people earning millions of dollars in unearned income is more like the top 2/10th of 1%, not the top 1%, many of whom report earned income and pay about 1/3 of all income taxes paid, as noted above.

The straightforward solution to get the top 2/10th of 1% to pay their fair share is to apply the Social Security and Medicare taxes to all unearned income above $250,000.The basic rap against progressive income taxes is that they punish the most productive, and this is certainly an issue when taxes push above a threshold where it makes sense to work less and earn less.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Joe Economist
Risk Manager
09:42 AM on 06/07/2012
So you are suggesting that we divert taxbase away from deficit control to support Social Security. I hope that you aren't surprised that people young enough to be around when it is paid don't think that is a good idea. Or is the idea that we don't really have to repay the debt?
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
usna73
We are all in this together
01:09 PM on 06/07/2012
Neither. Do the math. SS was meant to be a lockbox anyway, it is "off budget." The changes would benefit the young people. Otherwise, it runs out of money before they retire.