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Dean Jayson

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How Windows 8 Could Save Microsoft's Online Advertising Business

Posted: 11/20/2012 8:57 pm

The press has called the launch of Windows 8 a "defining moment" for Microsoft as it struggles to transition to the new generation of mobile computing. The media, as well as Microsoft shareholders, are closely watching the launch and rightly so. The Windows Division is a cornerstone of Microsoft's business model, responsible for 31 percent of the company's profit in the third quarter. It's assumed that Microsoft must protect the Windows business if it's to survive.

The success of Windows 8 would not only defend the lucrative Windows Division, it could rescue another hugely important division of Microsoft business: online advertising. That business, known as the Online Services Division (OSD) comprised of Bing, MSN network, Atlas and Hotmail, has been a disaster. The division is most notorious for the ill-advised purchase of aQuantive advertising firm, a $6.2 billion blunder Microsoft wrote off this year. That aside, OSD continuously weighs down Microsoft. In the third quarter it operated at a loss of $364 million compared to the Windows Division profit of $1.6 billion. OSD was the only Microsoft division to operate at a loss in the third quarter.

Microsoft's opportunity to turnaround its struggling advertising business lies within the new Windows 8 interface, known as Metro. The Metro interface does away with the old-school Windows icons and replaces them with web-connected "tiles" that dynamically pull in updates for things like weather, news, social and email. These tiles amount to desktop apps that, just like mobile apps, can be ad supported. Google, Netflix and The New York Times are among 9,000 companies that have already built desktop web apps for Windows 8. As the owner of the app store (called Microsoft Windows Store), Microsoft, like Apple, has implemented a 70:30 revenue share with developers. Microsoft hopes it can parlay Windows 8 penetration of the PC market into a position of strength in the online ad market.

For that strategy to pay off, Windows 8 must replace web browsing with dedicated apps. That's exactly what happened in mobile computing and Apple turned that into a healthy business -- reportedly paying out $2.5 billion to developers in 2011. The good news for Microsoft is that the PC app market may turn out to be a bigger business. Time spent with PC accounts for 26 percent of a consumer's time compared to 10 percent for mobile, creating a bigger inventory set.

The app-based interface of Windows 8 is also a key component of Microsoft's strategy to combat Apple and Google in the mobile and tablet market. If consumers download desktop apps for their Windows 8 PCs, they may want them available on other devices, boosting the appeal of Windows 8 phones and tablets. If Windows 8 is a success, Microsoft advertising business could become the company's newest bright spot, instead of its perennial black eye.

 

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The press has called the launch of Windows 8 a "defining moment" for Microsoft as it struggles to transition to the new generation of mobile computing. The media, as well as Microsoft shareholders, ar...
The press has called the launch of Windows 8 a "defining moment" for Microsoft as it struggles to transition to the new generation of mobile computing. The media, as well as Microsoft shareholders, ar...
 
 
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09:58 PM on 01/18/2013
I don't see Windows 8 going anywhere, nor will it take Microsoft anywhere. I do see there argument but already in Ottawa Windows 8 had the fewest users for any test crowd willing to participate of all time. That's pretty bad.
05:21 PM on 11/25/2012
I have no idea whether the Windows 8 will impact Microsoft's advertising business. One thing I do know is devices running Windows 8 are a pretty good value. Recently I priced new devices for my kids in college at BestBuy and ATT.

iPhone $200 (with contract)
iPad $600 (32GB)
MacBookPro $1200 (4GB/500GB)

$2000

Window HTC8X $50 (with contract)
Surface $500 (32GB)
UltraBook $550 (4GB/500GB)

$1100

I know anything I buy is going to be obsolete in a couple of years, so its hard to justify the extra money. I asked them what they needed: Music, games, texting, making calls, email, browsing, word processing, Netflix, Hulu, Skype and Facebook.

Music would be the show stopper, since they use iTunes on their generation one iPhones. It turns out that when you plug a Windows 8 phone into a device running iTunes, you can move the songs to a Windows 8 device. http://www.windowsphone.com/en-us/how-to/wp8/music/copy-my-itunes-music-to-my-phone

I asked what apps they were using and they told me Facebook, Netflix, Hulu and Skype. They all run on Windows 8. And since they are Xbox junkies, using Windows 8 devices actually makes sense.

The price difference is $900 dollars. When you need to buy new devices for two kids in college like me, that's $1800 that can go toward their tuition!

Convince me in rational way to buy Apple stuff, other than Windows 8 sucks.
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Querent
I say the things that have to be said.
04:15 AM on 11/24/2012
Luckily for MS, their customer base has a reservoir of goodwill toward the company, created by the company's strenuous efforts to give them what they want-------

Not.
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NoireLion
1st 505thParachute Infantry Regiment 82nd Airborne
09:13 PM on 11/23/2012
winblows 8 sucks!
03:01 PM on 11/23/2012
It is not a success and I believe Microsoft has fired the guy who made it. Microsoft needs to work on better product integration. Such as using excel with it's other product. simplicity of use and improving outlook while simplifying. Simple changes like stationary better calenders for personal reminders. sending e-mails at certain times. And they all need to work with Windows. Microsoft needs a movie editing/sound and graphics program. It should work with the feeds found on the web.
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Kofender
(speaks in parentheses--but I digress)
08:19 PM on 11/22/2012
The problem MS has with W8 is the apps are, for the most part, brain dead--truly terrible compared to what can be found in the Apple or Google spaces. I used both the Beta version as well as the Pro versions of W8, and the biggest weakness is the apps.

Give it a few more years. By then W8 might be ready for prime time. Right now, it's a bad idea executed poorly. The best I can say about it is it's meh (which I've been saying for months).
10:42 PM on 11/21/2012
Microsoft needs to rethink the whole idea of selling ads as part of the UI. I just ended my long standing paid XBox live account because I didn't want to have to pay for the privilege of having political ads piped into my gaming experience. I can't imagine that tablet owners and especially data-limited phone owners want to either.
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04:02 PM on 11/21/2012
Microsoft's problem remains that it doesn't listen to its customers: it listens to its marketing department, who tells them what they want to believe that the customers want.
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01:11 PM on 11/21/2012
But it isn't successful. I know some people seem to like it, and it seems fine as a tablet OS, but it's not great as a desktop IMO. I don't mind change, though I still miss the stability of Windows 2000, but change for the sake of change is not it. Apple is doing this too, but at least they're going slowly, allowing us to get used to it or even not use it at all. I never use Launchpad in 10.8, but I know some people do, and Mission Control is alright as an evolution of Expose´. I get what MS is trying to do, but this is too much too soon. Probably why one of the most popular apps for it is the one that allows you to get around Metro. It's going to bite them in the rear I think, which is too bad because they might just scrap it all when they really should just develop it more.

I'm sure they'll survive, but this is really not the way to go about this... per usual with them.
12:03 PM on 11/21/2012
Dean Jayson is a true visionary with his finger firmly placed on the pulse of the advertising industry. His insights into media trends and business development are invaluable when looking to invest in technologies of the future.
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11:37 AM on 11/21/2012
"The Windows Division is a cornerstone of Microsoft's business model, responsible for 31 percent of the company's profit in the third quarter. It's assumed that Microsoft must protect the Windows business if it's to survive."

Hyperbole.

MS isn't going anywhere! even if Windows 8 tanks.
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Daniel Stuart Hoffman
01:19 AM on 11/21/2012
Too bad for Microsoft that Windows 8 sucks. I mean really sucks. Like only outdone by Millennium Edition sucks. Like makes Vista look like a great OS sucks.

Or didn't you notice that they fired the guy in charge of developing it about a week after it was released?
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blackwind
Relax, nothing is under control
11:26 PM on 11/20/2012
I've just got a Windows 8 computer last week, and have already deleted most of the start tiles. I watched 50 megabites of my 250 megabite daily allotment get eaten up in just a matter of minutes the other day while I was doing nothing at all. And that was the same day another 100 MB was eaten up by an update download that I couldn't schedule for unmetered hours like I could do with Windows 7.
I can't think of one single thing about 8 that's as good as 7. It gives fewer options and is much more annoying in several different ways.
Next time I'm going to spend the extra money and go with a Mac.
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Bruce388
11:35 AM on 11/21/2012
As a former satellite customer, you have my sympathy.
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NoireLion
1st 505thParachute Infantry Regiment 82nd Airborne
09:17 PM on 11/23/2012
I'm going the other way- and getting LINUX/Android for PC...(Microsoft- officially sucks now- but Apple is a prison- and I wanna be free.)....