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Don Kraus

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Syria: Burning Down the House

Posted: 11/22/11 01:41 PM ET

Syria lives in a very flammable neighborhood, surrounded by Lebanon, Turkey, Iraq, Jordan and Israel. The neighbors are getting very worried that the escalation of violence in Syria could quickly spread to surrounding nations, and are taking steps to prevent this from happening. It's time for the UN Security Council to support this effort and help form a neighborhood fire brigade that can prevent a civil war and protect the Syrian people.

Syria announced it was "in talks" with the Arab League to send civilian and military observers into the country in the hopes of ending the violence that has wracked the country for eight months.

But if experience tells us anything, President Bashar al-Assad's talk is cheap and is just permitting him more time for tactical stalling.

There are many tools available to protect civilians from violence, including establishing a no-fly zone or referring Assad to the International Criminal Court for prosecution for crimes against humanity.

But the best option available to have the greatest immediate impact for the Syrian people would be to back the Arab League's move and establish a UN-authorized and funded observer force that is led by the Arab League and comprised of regional forces.

A peacekeeping operation would have dual functionality: it could protect civilians and prevent a civil war, by working with all sides to establish a process for democratic reforms to take root.

The Arab League's involvement also gives credibility to the operation, avoiding the old "West versus Rest" dichotomy that was seen in the Libyan NATO-led intervention. It is also able to deploy much more rapidly than a UN observer force, which can take months to get on the ground after creating a mandate.

Every attempt at passing a UN Security Council resolution have been thwarted by recalcitrant behavior of Russia and China, including threatening to veto a resolution that was watered down specifically to attract their votes.

But with the Arab League taking the lead for protecting Syrian civilians, Russia and China's continued resistance to respond to the Assad regime could crumble. China has a long history of supporting the wishes of regional organizations like the Arab League, and would likely abstain on a Security Council resolution if the organization led the engagement in Syria. Russia dislikes being portrayed as "the bad guy" and would be pressured to abstain from a veto if China did as well.

The international community has agreed that there is need to protect civilians from genocide, mass atrocities, crimes against humanity and war crimes. This principle, known as the Responsibility to Protect, was described in a speech by Vice President Joe Biden as "the simple but novel concept that...states must shield their populations from atrocity." But the concurrence on the need to act doesn't mean we use a "one size fits all" approach on how we act.

In Libya, a military intervention was utilized as a tool of last resort. Assistance from Arab League neighbors to protect civilians in Syria would also be recognized as another case of enacting the Responsibility to Protect doctrine, making it the responsibility of first Syria's neighbors and then the entire international community working through the UN if Damascus cannot halt the mass atrocities currently inflaming the nation.

In the end, there must be a nonviolent means for Syrians to determine how they want to be governed. At this point, a robust referee role provided by their neighbors seems the best bet to achieve this. The Security Council should engage to help allow this to happen.

If Assad continues to act with impunity and grip on to power until the bitter end, his fate will end like Qaddafi, executed by the mob, denying justice to the Syrian people. It's time he accepted some help from his neighbors.

 
 
 
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09:36 AM on 11/24/2011
As I have feared, UNSC 1973 will be invoked to "prevent" a humanitarian crisis. Good thing the UN did this in Libya. Libyans that were not among the 150,000 that were killed by Nato must be very grateful. Libya HAD the highest standard of living in Africa.
Question the knowledge you are so certain of, If gadaffi was hated how did he walk the streets with so little protection? Could the uprisings requiring intervention be orchestrated?

Libyans had the following benefits
• government-supplied electricity, water, and practically free gasoline;
• interest-free loans from Libya's state-owned bank;
• housing as a human right for everyone;
• newlyweds given $50,000 for their first apartment to help start family life;
• free education and healthcare;
• literacy raised from 25% in 1969 to 83% - higher than in America;
• farmers given free land, equipment, seeds and livestock;
• state subsidies to study abroad and receive specialized medical treatment if not available at home;
• half the cost of new car purchases;
• no state debt or banker occupation;
• average professional salaries paid graduates unable to find employment in their fields until finding jobs;
• sharing a portion of Libya's oil wealth with everyone, credited to personal bank accounts;
mothers giving birth given $5,000;
• one-fourth of Libyans are college graduates;
• Gaddafi's Great Man-Made River system made the desert bloom to supply water to households and for agriculture
09:27 AM on 11/23/2011
This is a humanitarian crisis and Assad needs to be held accountable for it, no matter what it takes. Referring Assad to ICC could be a step toward increasing awareness to the Syrian people's situation. This can also set precedence in Syria, guiding democratic reform for the road ahead, and in turn strengthen and liberate the people of Syria. We read the history books and know what can happen when the crimes of power hungry leaders fester, and concerns for the people are not addressed on an international level.
02:02 AM on 11/23/2011
Most of the countries of the Arab League are US supported dictatorships that has no credibility with the Arab street. lt is time to overthrow the US supported dictatorsh­­­­ips in Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Yemen, Kuwait, GCC, and Bahrain. Wake up America. In the Internet world, tyrannies can run but they can't hide.
09:51 PM on 11/22/2011
You have got to be kidding. Assad is not going to let some foreign force come in and serve as a referee between his regime and the opposition. Such a force would have to fight its way in. If you advocate overthrowing Assad by force, you should say so. But what country is ready to attack Syria at this juncture?
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03:46 PM on 11/22/2011
The UN General Assembly passed a resolution today condemning Syria its violent reaction to pro-democracy demonstrators. http://reut.rs/u0NBBN. Unfortunately, Russia and China voted against the resolution, which is bad news for a stronger Security Council resolution. I might have been too optimistic in my analysis. However, this does not stop the Arab League and others from working to protect Syrians.