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Dorian de Wind

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After the GOP Louisiana Primary, Is the Spark Gone?

Posted: 03/25/2012 6:03 pm

It might just be me, but I sensed a bit of resignation, apathy, even inevitability in the run-up to, during and after Saturday's GOP primary in Louisiana.

None of the usual cable news TV "pre-game shows;" no meaningless exit polling; no meticulous percentage by percentage, precinct by precinct counting and analyses of incoming votes; no dramatic winner projections and no "in-depth" analyses of the results lasting till the wee hours of the morning.

And where were the rousing victory speeches -- Santorum spoke for a few minutes from a tavern somewhere in Wisconsin -- and the lame concession speeches?

Where was the confetti and -- for such a significant, momentum altering landslide victory -- how come no parade down Bourbon Street?

Where were the four GOP presidential aspirants as Louisiana Republicans weighed in, as those "critical" votes were counted?

I know, Louisiana was a shoe-in for Santorum, but we could have at least acted surprised.

I know that the Big Winner, Santorum, after all the huffing and puffing, only netted five more delegates than Romney out of the huge, critical primary, but we could have at least closed one eye.

Are Republicans perhaps finally seeing the inescapable Romney light at the end of the circus-like tunnel?

Are we -- Republicans and Democrats -- perhaps finally succumbing to RPF (Republican Primaries Fatigue)?

Are the inescapable results of the "delegate math" finally beginning to sink in?

Are reality, resignation, inevitability and perhaps despair taking hold?

But miracles do happen.

Perhaps Santorum might be blessed with a transplant of tolerance -- and be able to keep that foot out of his mouth.

Perhaps Gingrich could be infused with a huge dose of humility -- and perhaps his $2.50 gallon of gasoline could catch fire.

Perhaps Ron Paul could get a transfusion of gravitas -- or he could win this primary on the basis of most entertaining candidate.

They are all possible miracles for Republicans.

Of course, the miracle Democrats are hoping for is that Mr. Romney misplaces his Etch A Sketch once he clinches the GOP nomination in Tampa.

 
It might just be me, but I sensed a bit of resignation, apathy, even inevitability in the run-up to, during and after Saturday's GOP primary in Louisiana. None of the usual cable news TV "pre-game sh...
It might just be me, but I sensed a bit of resignation, apathy, even inevitability in the run-up to, during and after Saturday's GOP primary in Louisiana. None of the usual cable news TV "pre-game sh...
 
 
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Stewart J. Lawrence
Veteran policy analyst and news journalist
03:16 AM on 03/26/2012
I don't think the mainstream media has ever really understood the "conservative movement," and as an elite institution itself, tends to broadly conform to elite opinion - in this case, the GOP elite opinion that Romney is the "inevitable" nominee.

Any unbiased review of the exit polling would suggest that Santorum is continuing to damage Romney with broad swaths of the conservative electorate. On the heels of Illinois, Romney should have made Louisiana competitive - but he couldn't.

The challenge I see for the GOP is to try to promote a candidate who among his many faults simply can't win in the South representing a party that has a Faulkner-like attachment to Dixie. Yes, the South will largely vote GOP anyway, but you still have to convince people there - especially in battleground states like North Carolina - to embrace the ticket.

You might solve it by putting a Southerner - some say McDonnell of Virginia - or possibly even Rick Perry. Maybe.

About 42-44% of the GOP electorate - with much higher percentages in key states, not all in the South - is comprised of Christian evangelicals. Santorum is dominating them by a huge margin.

We saw this with Huckabee in 2008, but not to this extent. McCain, once he got rolling - after he'd already squeaked by in South Carolina - was able to win in the South. Romney - it's all goose-eggs. Huge problem, and conservatives know it, even if the media doesn't.
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Dorian de Wind
09:39 AM on 03/26/2012
Thank you for your reasoned comments, Stewart. As I said, miracles are possible, but math is math -- there is no such thing as "bad math", as long as it is good math..
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Dorian de Wind
10:06 AM on 03/26/2012
Thanks for your reasoned comments, Stewart. As I wrote, miracles are possible. However, math does not lend itself to miracles and -- when done correctly -- there's no such things a "bad math" -- only "wishful math."
11:31 PM on 03/25/2012
Ron Paul 2012