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Dr. Josef Olmert

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From Sarkozy to the IAEA -- How Netanyahu Gets Stronger

Posted: 11/09/11 12:43 PM ET

According to a Jewish tradition, righteous people have their work done for them by others. Well, Benjamin Netanyahu is not a righteous person, as there are only 36 such tzadikim [righteous in Hebrews] on the list, but recent events surely seem to do him a great service.

Let's start with Nicolas Sarkozy, Barack Obama and the open microphones in Cannes. For many months there was a buzz in the press, that world leaders -- including some who are pro-Israel -- do not admire, to put it mildly, P.M. Netanyahu's performance, particularly his alleged lack of reliability. Now the genie is out of the bottle, and we know for sure what Sarkozy thinks of Netanyahu -- a liar he called him -- and the limits of President Obama readiness to defend the character of one of the US strongest allies.

Strange are the ways of politics, none more so Israeli and Jewish politics, as this Sarkozy comment -- rather than damaging Netanyahu -- is helping him a lot and galvanizing support for him. No need for too much creative imagination to visualize Netanyahu speaking to his closest circle, telling them "you see, I told you so", code words understood by many Israelis and Jews to indicate that opposition to Israel and its policies reflect a deep-seated bias, double standards and hypocrisy. Clearly, a sense strongly prevalent in Israel and among its supporters worldwide, as it pits "us" against "them", a sentiment well-known to Israel watchers, and one regularly used by right-wing nationalists, who are Netanyahu's political base.

Initial criticisms by American and French Jewish organizations do show that regardless of what some people may say about Netanyahu behind close doors, a public reference for him as "a liar", is offensive and instigates negative reactions. The same sentiment is much on display in Israel, and it comes in the aftermath of the Shalit deal that enhanced Netanyahu's position, judging by public opinion polls.

And then comes the recent report of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), which reads like a blank confirmation of the Israeli narrative about the Iranian nuclear program and its obvious military focus. For years, successive Israeli governments have done their best, sometimes clumsily, to convince world public opinion and leaders that the Iranian nuclear program is military in nature, regardless of all the denials by the Islamic Republic. This was and may still be a tough sale, as it was so easy to dismiss Israel's claims as being "hysterical" and "war-mongering". Even the Bush administration, definitely a pro-Israel one, issued a report some years ago, based on the US national intelligence assessment, which argued that the Iranian program was not for military purposes.

At the time many eyebrows were raised, and not only in Israel, regarding this report, but the damage was done, and the Israeli effort to convince the world suffered a major setback. Now there is a completely new ballgame. For years critics of Israel argued that so long as the IAEA reports do not substantiate Israel's charges, the campaign against Iran has no real merits; but now with this report the question of reliability is firmly placed in the doorstep of all these critics: Is the IAEA to be believed only when it refutes Israeli charges, or also when it seems to be in sync with them?

This is not a question for Netanyahu to answer. He made his position clear from day one of his tenure as P.M. and he proved right. Others have to answer this question, for example Nicolas Sarkozy. He owes Netanyahu an apology, which probably will not come, but he sure has to make a decision and quickly, what can France do more than what it did until now to terminate the dangerous Iranian program?

The same applies to the Obama administration which needs to make its own quick decisions with regards to Iran. All those who argue against the military option are the ones who have to come up now with a credible alternative to this option, one which has not been tried as yet, and it must come quickly and include an element of dealing with the Iranian energy industry.

Netanyahu, backed by growing public support in Israel, is waiting to see how Israel's allies will react. He is not lurking in the wings, he is pretty much in the forefront of the issue. This is so because the burden of the historic decision of what to do falls on him. Any action on his part will require a large measure of public support among his compatriots. He seems to have it now, and for the good of Israel he is expected to do his best not to lose it, as well as to win more international support. The clock is ticking.

 
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Charles Queen
I am a disabled nam vet
01:22 AM on 11/30/2011
They shouldn't worry about it.Ya they have had some minor discretions with turkey,but turkey is also one of the country's in the region that are also against iran having nukes too.Things will work out in the end betwen them
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Gracie fr
02:30 PM on 11/10/2011
Could this be the first step to the unraveling of Iran's nuclear threat...?
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2011/11/on-nuclear-iran-allegations-the-scary-r265-generator-is-just-old-stuff.html
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Gracie fr
02:24 PM on 11/10/2011
Robert Wexler, former Florida congressman and a key Obama ally on Israel/Palestine issues, began by saying he didn't want to spend much time talking about the troubled peace process, about which there was little new to say, but Iran. What followed was a "Oh how it pains me to conclude this" analysis about how the US (not Israel) must launch a military attack on Iran, due to the progress Teheran has made in its nuclear program. Only then, Wexler said, in a line eerily evocative of the the neocons' "road to Jerusalem runs through Baghdad" line of 2002, will Israel feel secure enough to make peace with the Palestinians. Obama faces the choice of going down in history as the president who was on watch while Iran acquired nuclear weapons, or being the one who stopped it. An Iranian bomb would unleash all kinds of unknowable dangers in the Middle East, but the consequences of the US attack on Iran are knowable. Much as it pained him to say this (channeling the classic Israel "shoot and cry" trope) American military action is the most rational course. He closed by calling explicitly for "regime change" in Teheran. Unmistakenly, he wants ,another American war on a Muslim country, consequences be dammed. His position is exactly the same as Richard Perle's......
http://mondoweiss.net/2011/11/wexler-on-the-warpath.html#more-59457
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Sam Bark
It's a MAD world after all...
01:08 AM on 11/11/2011
cracie fr --- be a bit careful with Mondoweiss, they known to be biased to the extreme against Israel..... with no rhyme or reason except hatred to Zionism and everything Israeli
02:12 PM on 11/10/2011
" All those who argue against the military option are the ones who have to come up now with a credible alternative to this option, one which has not been tried as yet, and it must come quickly and include an element of dealing with the Iranian energy industry."

I'm for the military option, but....

The most effective non-military option would be to vastly increase the pressure on Russia to take responsibility for its former and present client states. How about being caught on a live microphone saying "Russia sure is dropping the ball on Iran and Syria", "Yea they're all talk, they said something about Assad meeting a sad fate, what a joke that was", "They sure do suck, I mean punting the ball to us is one thing, punting on first down, and then loudly complaining every time someone in the West even implies we might pick the ball up".

Russia, and China too for that matter, have far mor effective levers to use than we do, unfortunately all that talk about partnership is just that, talk. Public shaming into action is clearly in order.
10:22 AM on 11/10/2011
Much of the hype surrounding the attachtment to the IAEA report (none of the stuff Olmert is talking about is in the actual report) is already dying down as it is revealed to be either totally false or stretched beyond the evidence

Foir example: The claim that about the Russian scientist who they supposedly caught helping Iran make explosives for detonators has been fully debubunked
http://original.antiwar.com/porter/2011/11/09/iaeas-soviet-nuclear-scientist-never-worked-on-weapons/

The actual report says that there has been no diversion of enriched uranium to any military application.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
loOranks
I am the master of my fate; captain of my soul
11:18 AM on 11/10/2011
Not sure you've actually read the report yourself...

Previous reports by the Director General have identified outstanding issues related to possible military dimensions to Iran’s nuclear programme and actions required of Iran to resolve these.31 In particular, the Agency is increasingly concerned about the possible existence in Iran of past or current undisclosed nuclear related activities involving military related organizations, including activities related to the development of a nuclear payload for a missile, about which the Agency continues to receive new information. Examples of these activities were listed in the previous report. The information available to the Agency in connection with these outstanding issues is extensive and comprehensive and has been acquired both from many Member States and through its own efforts. It is also broadly consistent and credible in terms of technical detail, the time frame in which the activities were conducted and the people and organisations involved.

http://www.iaea.org/newscenter/focus/iaeairan/iaea_reports.shtml
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Gracie fr
02:00 PM on 11/10/2011
The Americans are insisting that Tehran is developing enriched uranium for nuclear weapons. Iran denies this is the case. Of course if the Iranians are well along in the fusion process, somebody had to give them centrifuge blueprints and advice. The IAEA report declares it was the Russians, yet..."The report of the Internatio­nal Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) published by a Washington think tank Tuesday repeated the sensationa­l claim previously reported by news media all over the world that a former Soviet nuclear weapons scientist had helped Iran construct a detonation system that could be used for a nuclear weapon. But it turns out that the foreign expert, who is not named in the IAEA report but was identified in news reports as Vyacheslav Danilenko, is not a nuclear weapons scientist but one of the top specialist­s in the world in the production of nanodiamon­ds by explosives­.
Am I mistaken or is this sounding more and more like the Iraq scenario..­..???
09:55 AM on 11/10/2011
AS ISRAEL PREPARES TO ATTACK IRAN’S NUCLEAR RESEARCH SITES - IRAN PREPARES A COUNTER-ATTACK AGAINST ISRAEL’S NUCLEAR WEAPON FACILITIES

IRANIAN NUCLEAR RESEARCH SITES

Arak - Heavy water plant
Bushehr - Nuclear power station
Gachin - Uranium mine
Isfahan - Uranium conversion plant
Natanz - Uranium enrichment plant
Parchin - Nuclear facility
Qom - Uranium enrichment plant

ISRAELI NUCLEAR WEAPON FACILITIES

Dimona - Nuclear research center & plutonium production
Kfar Zekharya - Nuclear missile base and bomb storage
Nahal Soreq - Nuclear weapons production
Yodefat - Nuclear weapons assembly
Eilabun - Tactical nuclear weapons storage

RESULT:
Escalating conflict in the Middle East resulting in possible
nuclear war which could well spill over into Europe

ACTION REQUIRED BY INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY:
The UN Security Council to pass an urgent resolution
designating the entire region to include Iran, Israel, Iraq, Egypt..
Syria and Saudi Arabia, a NUCLEAR WEAPONS FREE ZONE
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tallen
panem et circenses
10:16 AM on 11/10/2011
>>a NUCLEAR WEAPONS FREE ZONE

You don't get it.

Iran already signed the NPT agreeing not to seek nuclear weapons, yet they are doing it anyway.

The UN can declare anything it wants---but Iran will simply ignore those declarations.
12:38 PM on 11/10/2011
The UN Security Council to pass an urgent resolution
designatin­g the entire region . . . a NUCLEAR WEAPONS FREE ZONE"

While they are at it, why don't the declare the region a violence free zone, or a poverty free zone, or a "any kind of bad thing" free zone. I mean, if we are just going to declare away reality, why stop at nukes?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Donell Wickett
Right is wrong
09:37 AM on 11/10/2011
The U.S. doesn't need to do anything regarding Iran. If Israel feels threatened by Iran leveling the playing field when it comes to nuclear weapons then it is Israel's own issue to deal with. Attack Iran at your own peril, we should NOT come to your defense. You may have bought the 600 people in Congress' allegiance but there are 300+ million people in this country who think you should stand on your own.
09:54 AM on 11/10/2011
You should run for congress. Then maybe you will learn the dangers of Iran. Would you want your daughter living in a world with an Iranian nuke?
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Wozzeck
Pearl Bay, Australia
10:43 AM on 11/10/2011
Unfortunately the US public gets most of its information from the same media which helped sell the Iraq War. NPR and PBS were just as guilty as FOX News and CNN. The NY Times and the Office of Special Plans amplified each others' disinformation about WMDs. The media hysteria about Iran developing nuclear power, a right guaranteed by the NPT, is just more of the same.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
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08:04 AM on 11/10/2011
The new head of the IAEA is Japanese known to do the bidding of the U.S. Looks to be another set-up not unlike WMD influenced by the pro Israeli lobby.
08:18 AM on 11/10/2011
f & f tomgee111 . . I'm convinced the whole thing is a set up . . .
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Wozzeck
Pearl Bay, Australia
09:15 AM on 11/10/2011
Check out the Wikileaks cable from the US mission in Vienna:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/julian-borger-global-security-blog/2010/nov/30/iaea-wikileaks
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
sloyd
Return to original Republicanism to save America
07:53 AM on 11/10/2011
"Israel to Experience Complete Annihilation before Attacking Iran"

http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=9007272512
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Wozzeck
Pearl Bay, Australia
10:44 AM on 11/10/2011
The article notes that the"complete annilhation" is predicated on Israel making the first attack.
But don't let that dampen your propaganda effort.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
loOranks
I am the master of my fate; captain of my soul
11:28 AM on 11/10/2011
The bigger the mouth, the weaker the acts.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
sloyd
Return to original Republicanism to save America
07:44 AM on 11/10/2011
"Thousands of Syrian, Palestinian Youths Ready to Blast Israel"

http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=9007272733
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
loOranks
I am the master of my fate; captain of my soul
11:29 AM on 11/10/2011
Well... go ahead and blast... *grabbing popcorn*
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
sloyd
Return to original Republicanism to save America
07:42 AM on 11/10/2011
"Egyptian Cleric Vows to Issue Fatwa against US, Israel if Iran Attacked"

http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=9007272705
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
charlietuna11
08:43 AM on 11/10/2011
there is no doubt that if america plays a role in an IRAN attack, the blow back will make 911 look like a brush fire...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
loOranks
I am the master of my fate; captain of my soul
11:29 AM on 11/10/2011
OMG!!! A fatwa???!??!?!

zzzzzzzzz zzzz zzzzzzzzzzzzzz zzzzzzzzzzz zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
07:40 AM on 11/10/2011
How many times must this story be retold? It is common knowledge in the United States, in Europe, in the Arab World, indeed in the entire world. The international press has been reporting on it since the late 1960s. The historical details of the story are also well known. In 1953, President Dwight Eisenhower gave Israel its first small nuclear reactor at Nahal Sorek; in 1964, the French built for Israel its much larger and major Dimona nuclear reactor in the Naqab (Negev) Desert; in 1965, Israel stole 200 pounds of weapons-grade uranium from the United States through its spies at the Nuclear Materials and Equipment Corporation company in Pennsylvania; in 1968, Israel hijacked a Liberian ship in international waters and stole its 200-ton shipment of yellowcake. Israel has possessed nuclear bombs since the early 1970s. Despite official US denials, Golda Meir, the fourth prime minister of Israel, reportedly prepared to launch 13 nuclear bombs on Syria and Egypt in 1973 and was stopped short of committing this genocidal act when Henry Kissinger gave Israel the most massive weapons airlift in history at the time to reverse the course of the 1973 war (as Time Magazine reported the story). Israel has had an ongoing nuclear weapons collaboration with the South African Apartheid regime for decades, which only ended with the collapse of the regime in 1994.

Since then, experts have estimated that Israel has upwards of 400 nuclear devices.
01:22 PM on 11/10/2011
"Since then, experts have estimated that Israel has upwards of 400 nuclear devices."
And how many of them are aimed at US major cities?
Tony Andrews
Ὁ βίος βραχύς, ἡ δὲ τέχν
05:23 PM on 11/10/2011
How many Iranian missiles, nuclear armed or otherwise, are aimed at major American cities?
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Marcus047
inter arma enim silent leges
11:38 AM on 11/11/2011
"was stopped short of committing this genocidal act"

You mean this act of last-ditch effort to save itself and it's people.
07:33 AM on 11/10/2011
The priority is to end the illegal occupation of Palestine.
08:00 AM on 11/10/2011
f & f bridgetoofar1
09:58 AM on 11/10/2011
with Iranian nukes?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Alexey Braguine
Author of Kingmaker, a novel
06:27 AM on 11/10/2011
This is hilarious! The IAEA report is full of bunkum.
Some people did not bother to check sources.

Here is the HOT scoop. Viachislav Danilenko, the so called nuclear expert supposed to have provided technology on nuclear detonators to Iran.is in reality a Ukranian scientist expert in manufacturing nano diamonds.

So much for reliable intelligence sources. applause, applause and sing the Curveball song.

Detailed info here: http://atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/MK11Ak02.html
09:59 AM on 11/10/2011
Dude,
You have absolutely no idea on how to attain reliable nuclear sources. Dont pretend to.
11:43 AM on 11/10/2011
So tell us where the smoking gun is professor.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Sam Bark
It's a MAD world after all...
12:58 AM on 11/11/2011
alexey -- that is not a 'hot scoop' it is a diversion...... get your sources checked
05:40 AM on 11/10/2011
Ganging up on one person?