Hillary Clinton spokesman Philippe Reines turned faux rapper when he thumped out a rhythmic message to the press vehemently denying that there have been any meetings, back room deals, or nervous talk at the White House about dumping Joe Biden and replacing him with Hillary. Reines had to move quickly to squelch the incessant media chatter about a Biden exit for two simple reasons. One it's not going to happen. Even if Hillary hadn't repeatedly and vehemently said it wasn't going to happen, history has shown presidents almost never dump their VPs in the midst of their reelection bid. Only one president in the past seven decades has switched VP's in midstream. That was FDR in 1944 when he dumped VP Henry Wallace under pressure because of Wallace's much too pronounced leftist politics and utterances. Harry Truman got the replacement nod and the rest is history.
The only other VP that bowed out of an administration in midstream was Spiro Agnew in 1973. He was President Nixon and the GOP's sacrificial lamb. He faced a criminal indictment on bribery charges and resigned as part of a plea deal to avoid a prison stint.
Presidents don't change VP's, especially in the middle of a tough reelection battle, for obvious reasons. No incumbent has ever won or lost the White House based on the politics, ideology or personality of their VP. They do not have that kind of power or authority. VP's serve at the pleasure of the president and do his bidding; no more, no less. A switch of VP's in the midst of an election would signal utter desperation, campaign chaos and panic. This would be the near political kiss of death for a president.
The other reason is Biden. He is and will remain on the ticket for precisely the reason that he was picked by President Obama in the first place. He is a hard hitting, policy knowledgeable adviser and point man. The supposed gaffes that he has made are anything but that. They are well-scripted, thought through political set pieces carefully designed to convey a serious and politically enhancing policy stance by Obama. Take the two blurts that got him in supposedly hot water. The first was on gay marriage. Biden was roundly slammed for getting out ahead of Obama in endorsing gay marriage. This supposedly forced Obama to follow suit before he was ready. But gay groups are integral to Obama's reelection drive. They provide enthusiasm, growing vote numbers and major funding. The price for firming up their support was a full throated endorsement of gay marriage. Anything short of that, and that included a further delay on endorsing it, would have been politically risky for the president. Biden just said and did what Obama had to do.
The same is true of Biden's "chains" quip. The slave skewed imagery was simply dramatic reaffirmation of the Obama campaign's center hit piece against Romney -- that a GOP White House will tank the economy and wreak untold economic misery on the poor and minorities. This has and will be repeated incessantly by Obama and every other Democrat all the way up to November 6. It will almost certainly be repeated in even harsher terms than Biden could muster.
Then there's race. It's a volatile minefield that can explode in a presidential election even when it appears not to. This was the case in Obama's White House win in 2008.
A Harvard researcher found that race cost Obama three to five percentage points of the popular vote in the 2008 election. If race had not been a negative factor in the election, Obama's win over GOP presidential foe John McCain would have been a walkover in the popular vote. The even more troubling thing is that the loss of white support came largely from many conservative white Democrats, who simply stayed home rather than vote for Obama. In an AP-Yahoo poll, one-third of white Democrats said they had negative views of blacks. More than 40 percent of them said they would not back Obama.
Biden can play a big role here. He's from a Border State. He is a solid fighter in the trenches and hails from a blue collar background. He can and will be an important bridge to try and keep conservative, blue collar, white Democrats from straying from the fold. He'll keep hammering hard with them that despite their racial reservations about Obama, the threat of a Romney-Ryan hack up of Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security, and labor protections pose a far greater danger. He will not use polite language to make that point, nor will he be expected to.
Biden's active appearances at black and Latino gatherings, his rough language and his policy expertise are a huge plus for Obama in a down and dirty campaign. Any talk about dumping Biden is just that: talk. The likelihood is that even that won't last much longer.
Earl Ofari Hutchinson is an author and political analyst. He is a frequent political commentator on MSNBC and a weekly co-host of the Al Sharpton Show on American Urban Radio Network. He is the author of How Obama Governed: The Year of Crisis and Challenge. He is an associate editor of New America Media. He is the host of the weekly Hutchinson Report on KPFK-Radio and the Pacifica Network.
Follow Earl Ofari Hutchinson on Twitter: www.twitter.com/earlhutchinson
D'oh!!
Hillary would steal the spotlight, something Obama is much too vain to abide.
The incompetence of Obama and Biden have embarrassed everyone and those who voted for them have been stained with no credibility forever...
Give me me the street fighter Give me JOE the Pa street fighter any day vs the whoosy looking Ab champ
Please! Things are bad enough in Pennsylvania politics.
That "Small Wonder" stuff in Delaware is a reference to Biden's I.Q.
And if anyone can remember when he was Senator they know why
Having said that the truth is, the GOP is the party of NO! and that mean NO to
womens rights
educ
elderly asst
veterans
equal pay
immigrant rights
Human rights et/al
especially the poor
@ Mitthood and Ryansalley are not a good match for those of us who have beaten down the shackles and chains and now can speak up Albeit some won't The alley kat and the Mitthood plans are not good for any free thinking man woman or voter who has the RIGHT" to vote
No jobs
No economic development
No recovery
No national sovereignty
If u have the problems u claim listed above make a job .do not worry about the vote that will take care of itself its politriks? EATING ,ROOF AND CLOTHING are what u need to be focused on not the party.That is why there are so many cry babies boo hooing, man cannot help you only you can help u..Stand up wipe your tears and use your head. Quit blaming the system u voted for, put your name on the ballot it u don't like it? jeeezPeace and blessings
Clinton-Biden 2016 anyone?
At least Joe doesn't steal the spotlight.
Would he haved talked like that in front of a Jewish audience
1. At some point blacks got to stop being slaves to the Democrats.
The word's were chosen. Forth GAFF of the week, What city am I in, Ryan is a Congressman, We are in the 21st century. So if a GOP person makes the same comment the media would be on it like white on rice. Media is helping Obamar walk the GAFF'S back.
Supportive of Progressive measures is code for Biden pumping money into the hands of crooked politicians and union bosses.