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Earl Ofari Hutchinson

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Cain's Black Voter Fantasy

Posted: 10/19/2011 3:39 pm

GOP Presidential Herman Cain again solemnly told a pack of pesky reporters in New Hampshire recently that he was absolutely confident that in a head to head match-up against President Obama that he could snatch a third of the black vote. The notion that he can get a big chunk of the black vote for the GOP is intriguing. It's intriguing because it has a ring to it that appeals to GOP leaders who have long imagined that if they could get the right black candidate and package their message just right they could draw an appreciable number of black voters. It's a good talking point with GOP hawker Cain out there leading the pack of GOP presidential contenders in some early but meaningless straw polls. Cain, though, is hardly the first to step into fantasy land with the notion that the GOP can grab lots of black votes.

In 2010, a record number of black Republicans ran for Congress. They had the GOP salivating at the prospect of not only putting a slew of black Republicans in Congress but doing it with substantial black votes snatched from the Democrats. Then former Ohio Secretary of State Ken Blackwell excitedly gloated that "This will be the most successful election cycle for African-American Republicans in at least 20 years." It wasn't. The two black GOP candidates that won, Tim Scott in South Carolina and Allen West in Florida registered barely a blip on the chart of black voters and won with white votes in near lockdown GOP leaning districts.

Since Cain has declared his candidacy he has not secured the endorsement of one major black business, civic, or political organization. He has not secured the endorsement of a single nationally known black political leader. That includes well-known, and well-connected, African-American Republicans, Condoleezza Rice and Colin Powell. In fact, he hasn't even gotten the endorsement of Scott or West. His support has been almost exclusively from the noisy, extreme, and disjoined Tea Party acolytes.

Blacks in the past have groused at and bashed the Democrats. But they still overwhelmingly vote for them. The off-the-chart vote blacks gave President Obama is repeatedly cited even by black Republican hopefuls as an aberration in that blacks turned the election into a holy crusade to get one of their own in the White House. It's wrong on two counts. Obama was more than just the fulfillment of a civil rights dream. He had a solid program for change that frontally challenged and promise of reversing the social and economic damage, race baiting, and neglect that characterized three decades of Republican rule in the White House and the sledgehammer attacks on or malign neglect of civil rights leaders and concerns when Republicans were out of the White House.

The rock solid loyalty of blacks to the Democrats is also based on simple pragmatism. The Congressional Black Caucus is Democrats, with the sole exception of West, and so are the leaders of the mainstream civil rights organizations. Despite the shots they take at the Democrats for taking them and their vote for granted, black Democrats and civil rights leaders are still highly respected. Most blacks still look to them to fight the tough battles for healthcare, greater funding for education and jobs, voting rights protections, affirmative action, and against racial discrimination. Civil rights organizations were the only groups that consistently fought back against Reagan, Bush Sr., and W. Bush's draconian cuts in job, education, social service, funding and programs, their retrograde nominees to the Supreme Court appointments that would roll back the civil rights clock, and their peck away at affirmative action, civil rights and civil liberties protections.

The Tea Party has done absolutely nothing to dispel that suspicion. Tea Party leaders loudly protest that blacks should not lambaste them as racists based on the quackery of a few bigots and race-baiters among their ranks. The fact that those bigots and race baiters are there in the first place and with few exception Tea Party leaders have kept their mouths shut about them, let alone not drummed them out of the movement, is damning proof for blacks that their finger wag at big government, taxes and their tout of the Constitution and personal freedoms is just a cover for latent and no so latent bigotry toward one black man, President Obama.

The best assurance that black voters will not move even a fraction of an inch toward the GOP is Cain himself. His shoot-from-the-lip gaffes, jibes, and insults of blacks as "brainwashed," his shrug off of racism as irrelevant, his tout of an economic program that would blatantly increase the already gaping economic disparity between rich and poor, and his outrageous shock jock type quips and demeanor make even the most disinterested, skeptical, and hostile African-Americans toward the Democrats stay firmly planted in the Democratic column. Cain's quip that blacks will back him is the ultimate guarantee that they'll stay there.

Earl Ofari Hutchinson is an author and political analyst. He is a weekly co-host of the Al Sharpton Show on American Urban Radio Network. He is the author of How Obama Governed: The Year of Crisis and Challenge. He is an associate editor of New America Media. He is host of the weekly Hutchinson Report Newsmaker Hour on KTYM Radio Los Angeles streamed on ktym.com podcast on blogtalkradio.com and internet TV broadcast on thehutchinsonreportnews.com

 

Follow Earl Ofari Hutchinson on Twitter: www.twitter.com/earlhutchinson

GOP Presidential Herman Cain again solemnly told a pack of pesky reporters in New Hampshire recently that he was absolutely confident that in a head to head match-up against President Obama that he co...
GOP Presidential Herman Cain again solemnly told a pack of pesky reporters in New Hampshire recently that he was absolutely confident that in a head to head match-up against President Obama that he co...
 
 
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11:58 AM on 10/24/2011
If you think things will get better for black folks under a republican you are DREAMING!!!!!!
The republicans have done everything possible to keep the economy from improving so the President will be blamed. He has tried numerous programs to improve the economy but the republicans continue to block his bills. Cutting the deficit equals CUTTING JOBS. Most of the cuts have been to programs that affect African Americans the most. Do not be fooled.
04:34 PM on 10/21/2011
Booker T. Washington after his Atlanta Convention speech in 1895, stated that blacks were delusional. The attendees at the meeting gave Washington millions of dollars. Thiis was in the face of the start of the Niagara Movement (NAACP). One hundred plus years later we now have Herman Cain calling blacks "brainwashed". New name, same game!
01:35 PM on 10/21/2011
Cain seems to be living in fantasy land lately. He talks rubbish and has the nerve to think that he can secure even one Black vote.
06:42 PM on 10/20/2011
Black unemployment-------is up under Obama

Black poverty------is up under Obama

Black police brutality------is up under Obama

Obama has been a failure, he doesn't address black issues

Why would black people want to vote for Obama again
01:28 PM on 10/21/2011
The state of the economy is not Obama's fault, everyone knows that. Have you forgotten about the Bush Administration? Obama went into office with some much cleaning up to do, even if he is reelected or someone else is in office, the economy will stay stagnant. It's a lot of problems that has to be fixed that can't possibly be done in 4 years.
08:32 AM on 10/22/2011
then why did he promise us in 2008 that he COULD fix it?
11:18 AM on 10/22/2011
Get your facts straight GOP! It IS NOT President Obama's fault. It's Bush's!
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sdixon3171
04:14 PM on 10/20/2011
Cain is the republican's parties/tea parties great black hope, that is going to crash and burn like all the rest they have tried to prop up through the years.
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wkingsolomon77
06:14 PM on 10/20/2011
His 999 needs to go go go
08:32 AM on 10/22/2011
Including Obama
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nix28
Embracing honesty and its ugly step-sister, truth.
01:03 PM on 10/20/2011
I made a comment on another article that didn't get through, but it went along the lines:

"The notion that he can get a big chunk of the black vote for the GOP is intriguing. It's intriguing because it has a ring to it that appeals to GOP leaders who have long imagined that if they could get the right black candidate and package their message just right they could draw an appreciable number of black voters."

To my understanding, Cain is pretty much just a puppet set up to break up the Black voting block so that Obama does not get re-elected. The mistake that the GOP is making is assuming that if they push a Black candidate with conservative views that he'll be able to pull votes just as Obama did, with the mistaken belief that the only reason Blacks voted for Obama was because he was Black.

I'm sure we'll all be amused by how well that DOESN'T play out in 2012.
03:41 PM on 10/20/2011
Why is it that Cain is a puppet because he is Conservative? He definitely hasn't been the republican party poster child. He's more tea partyish, and from what Ive seen, he has clawed his way into the spotlight by not being a typical republican candidate. Isn't it just a bit sterotypical and close-minded to assume that Cain should be a Dem, just because he's black? I don't assume that rich white males are that are democrats are just a plant to trick the white people into voting for them. It's one thing to disagree with the guy because you don't like his ideas, but you shouldn't discount him as brainwashed or not a "real" black person because he doesn't have an Obama 2012 bumber sticker on his car.
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wkingsolomon77
06:13 PM on 10/20/2011
He really is wasting his time. He should run for the president of the AARP
10:51 AM on 10/20/2011
I like that he isn't a career politician­, and that he worked hard and made something of himself, instead of being handed everything in life. I respect that. I also like that he doesn't seem to be a religious nut and I like that he doesn't set of my 'BS" meter everytime he talks, like some of the other candidates that seem just a bit more like actual politician­s. I also like that he is making an effort to go to a fair tax system. I'm a self employed photograph­er, and I make under $30,000 a year most years. I don't feel successful most days, but I taught myself, bought a little equipment (with money I earned) and started a business. I'm lazy and not self confident. Anyone can do what I did, no matter what color or income level you are in. I write a check to the feds every year for around $5000. I hate to think that rich people are getting off without paying their fair share, but I also hate to see "poor" people with nice houses and nice cars, who make more money than me and don't pay federal income tax because the have a kid and a house. Maybe I should have a kid and buy a house I can't afford, so that I can not contribute, too?
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01:29 PM on 10/20/2011
You're joking, right? Cain pegs the 'BS' meter just about every time he opens his mouth. Unless you're all for the electrified fence thinking. As for working hard and making something of himself, is that really special? Don't lots of people do that? This is the United States, after all. The people who took to the streets and the courts so that Cain could even apply to Purdue, they weren't working hard?
The people of Uz Beki Beki Beki Stan, you imagine that they aren't working hard themselves?
01:34 PM on 10/21/2011
I respect your opinion but are you serious that Cain hasn't disturbed you "BS" meter? In my opinion, Cain to way too full of himself. He talks as if he's having a conversation with his friends. I think deep down he knows he's only doing this for show and watch later on, he'll he a book deal.
10:45 AM on 10/20/2011
I'm white and mostly conservati­ve, but the fact that he is black doesn't make any difference either way to me. Contrary to the tone of this article, not all white conservati­ves are racist. I am not, and honestly, most of the people I know don't seem to care wither way what color a persons skin is. I'm not saying that I haven't met white conservati­ve racists, but they definitely aren't the norm, and to propogate that myth is doing people of all colors a great disservice­, because it sets up a whole us verses them thing and probably creates some black democratic racists.
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TjayeInLA
11:37 AM on 10/20/2011
Sorry, but race matters. Its disenginuous to say otherwise. Its not always a racism based on hate, but based on conditioning. Its called the White House and many had their world turned upside down when a Black family moved in. Its just a change they weren't prepared to accept. Something seems wrong about it to them. No real malice; just discomfort.

The pure opposition to to President Obama and the open willingness to change previous positions on issues if he happens to support them, screams "DON'T LET THE BLACK GUY SUCCEED!!!".

You may not see it or care to acknowledge it, but President Obama has (I believe intentionally) quoted Republicans and offered plans, ideas and bills initiated by Republicans that are now opposed by some of the very same Republicans who supported them before he brought them to the floor. They've had Democratic Presidents before and when they (the GOP) were given what they asked for, they'd compromise. With this particular President, when he gives them what they ask for, they decide they don't want it anymore. There is a reason why.

And whether anyone cares to admit or not, we know the reason. It may not derive from hate - but it is what it is.
04:00 PM on 10/20/2011
Maybe it matters to you, but most people I know don't care. I get hassled by my friends and my GF because I strike up conversations with random people. I don't know why I do it, but I do. I think I just like to entertain myself by cracking stupid jokes or something. Who knows? Anyway, I talk to a lot of random strangers, and most people are pretty cool, if you give them a chance. I'm sure that some people really are anti-Obama be case he is black, but most people I know that would like to see him exit as a one term pres really just don't agree with his ideas and his vision for the country.
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wkingsolomon77
06:11 PM on 10/20/2011
It will be hard for them to stop the will of God,Obama =2012.The powers to be know that their time of rule is slowly slipping away.A changing of the guard will take place,out with the old and in with the new.I understand everything you are saying and you are posting correct. But God is still in control
01:39 PM on 10/21/2011
Well I sort of agree with you, I think being conservative doesn't really have to do with race although I know lots of people make it that way. I have a conservative mind but I choose to go with the Independent Party. I don't like some of the things the Republicans or Democrats stand for. But overall, I noticed most people of color are Dems and Caucasian people are usually Republicans.
08:16 AM on 10/20/2011
Mr. Cain is simply delusional if he thinks he has anything close to a substantial Black vote, besides he will not be the GOP nominee, it ain't gonna happen.
01:46 PM on 10/21/2011
Exactly! Wishful thinking on his part.
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f0rTyLeGz
Everything is falling.
03:43 PM on 10/19/2011
The worry about the black vote in my analysis isn't that blacks will vote Republicant... my worry is that they just won't vote in 2012 in the same numbers that they did in '08. Latinos too.
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wkingsolomon77
06:12 PM on 10/20/2011
In time of crisis we know who has our back and our votes will show that.Obama=2012 is the one.
08:39 AM on 10/22/2011
And why should they? Why reward mediocrity. Obama's failure has set black politics back 20 years. He decided that even with so little experience in DC and no experience in business that HE was qualified to fix a country in terrible shape with 2 wars going on. That would be hard for ant president, His inexperience allowed him to believe that Hope! and Change! was all it took to transform Washington into a fairy-tale land of Unity.

When that plan didn't work, there has been no "Plan B" to fall back on and we've had to witness the painful, spineless floundering since then.
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f0rTyLeGz
Everything is falling.
02:38 PM on 10/22/2011
It wasn't that Obama decided, it was the American voters. I know he did a much better job as President than McCain would have done. Can you imagine?

The Republicants have opposed every single piece of legislation that Obama has proposed since day one. They want... YOU want him out... We know the Republicant jobs program is to do nothing. To keep the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy... yeah yeah that's a good idea!
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blknightowl
Independent, in thought and voting
06:40 AM on 10/23/2011
Where were you when Bush was President?

Please explain how Black politics have been set back 20 years?

To have the Congress that the President has, he has performed extremely well. So, I disagree with your assessment.
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Skiwee
Just taking my time...
03:00 PM on 10/19/2011
Notice he said he'd get a third of the black vote, he didn't say he could win the Presidency.....important fact, that!
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blknightowl
Independent, in thought and voting
06:41 AM on 10/23/2011
He won't even get the third. He will not be the nominee for the Republicans either.
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Skiwee
Just taking my time...
02:43 PM on 10/23/2011
That's for sure. But wouldn't it be a treat if he did though? Two black candidates to vote for...I believe the US would explode.