iPhone app iPad app Android phone app Android tablet app More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Eric Lurio

GET UPDATES FROM Eric Lurio

Harper's "Time Out"

Posted: 12/05/08 05:01 PM ET

They're calling it a time out. When little kids were naughty, or downright unbearable, many a parent would grab little darlings by the arm and sit them on the stairs or in a chair and told to stay put or else they would get a spanking. That, if what the leadership of the Canadian government is to be believed, is what the prorogation of the Canadian parliament is all about.

Grownup Prime Minister Steven Harper has gotten "Acting Mommy" Michaëlle Jean to take those naughty little boys Stéphane Dion, Jack Layton and Gilles Duceppe, and stand them in the corner for a couple of months before letting them go out to play again. Assuming that they've learned their lesson of course.

The Canadian chattering classes have taken this metaphor to heart. Checking out the websites of most of the major Canadian newspapers as well as Maclean's, the national newsmagazine (which has prorogued its print edition for the rest of the year to facilitate Christmas vacation), quite a few columnists have declared the crisis all but over. This is not the case in real life, however, but Harper can take comfort in the fact that his presumptive successor, Stéphane Dion, has seemed to buckle at the knees in the first 24 hours since Harper forced Jean to shut down the playground.

The danger to the nation that has been looming over the heads of every Canadian has gotten worse. The Canadian dollar, commonly known as the "looney" has fallen to 71¢ US from parity last September, and the nation has lost 71 thousand jobs in November, rising the unemployment rate to 6.8%, and if there isn't an auto industry bailout by the US Congress, or so the US auto industry says, GM could collapse by the end of the month. GM has a good percentage of its plants in southern Ontario, that peninsula directly between Detroit and Buffalo, which is where a large percentage of the Canadian population lives. The emergency on the western side of Lake Huron is going to affect the emergency on the east side. If Detroit goes down, so does Windsor. Government action is called for. But Steven Harper has forced the national au pair to shut down the parliament and give the opposition a "time out."
While the Harper government has a great deal of power to do all sorts of things while parliament is temporarily out of business, the stuff that's needed to save the situation has to be done by the national legislature, and unless Harper has assumed dictatorial powers that, while suspected by conspiracy theorists, don't exist, he and his ministers can do precious little all by themselves.

So that's the dilemma, either just sit there and watch the economy go down the tubes, or recall parliament and get immediately clobbered. There's a majority there that's so angry over the prorogation that they're not going to vote for anything Harper proposes, even if it's brilliant and the best possible thing to do. This is a fact and Harper knows it.

On the other hand, the Liberal party is in disarray. The "putsch" has clearly failed for the moment, and the fault has been clearly set at the feet of Dion, who's performance with a badly produced taped speech may have convinced Ms. Jean that sticking with Harper was a legitimate gambit. Dion is seen as a wimp who blew the October election and this crisis, Rae, who was the New Democratic Premier of Ontario in the 90s, has never been forgiven by the NDP for his bad performance in power and for leaving the party to join the Liberals, and the other possible leader, Michael Ignatieff, has been lukewarm on the entire coalition thing and may be even more unacceptable than Rae might be. Then there are those in the Liberal party who don't want NDP leader Jack Layton anywhere near power, and letting the secessionist BQ have a veto on anything makes the "Rest of Canada®" feel really queasy. Thus the government is paralyzed.

What'll happen now is anyone's guess, but it's going to have to happen well before it's scheduled on January 26th.

 
 
 

Follow Eric Lurio on Twitter: www.twitter.com/messy1

They're calling it a time out. When little kids were naughty, or downright unbearable, many a parent would grab little darlings by the arm and sit them on the stairs or in a chair and told to stay put...
They're calling it a time out. When little kids were naughty, or downright unbearable, many a parent would grab little darlings by the arm and sit them on the stairs or in a chair and told to stay put...
 
 
  • Comments
  • 7
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Recency  | 
Popularity
01:41 AM on 12/07/2008
Stephen Harper's as Prime Minister of a minority gov't is to work with enough opposition members to run a majority gov't.He just doesn't learn does he(3 elections in 3 years). He is devisive,arrogant,andjust has to turn the screws. He can,t leave good enough alone. He portrays himself as a bible man but this last week told a few tall tales(the flag one at the coalition signing, that a coalition gov,t is undemocratic,etc.) He has now moved this to a unity issue. He also acuses the coalition of hiding their intent. WellStephen when you run back into the safety of the GG 0n jan.26/2009 to ask for an election make sure you let her and the canadian voters know that you donot want the bloc elected members to have any representation in parliament, and that you do not want them to even be allowed to sit in parliament (apparently).Please now someone from the extreme right attack my patriotism so that i can proudly reply.Conservatives you may have many wonderful ideas,voters, and elected members but you sure lack a leader.Anyway holler,intimidate, and bully to rally around him instead of facing reality.
12:04 PM on 12/06/2008
If Maclean's isn't handy, I suggest the website of the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation (CBC) at www.cbc.ca. Scroll down to the news on TV and go to the page for the nightly news broadcast, The National. There you can play back the most recently aired evening news broadcast for the latest on Parliament and the parties. Canada also has its own "CSPAN," called CPAC (Canadian Public Affairs Channel). When Parliament is in session, you can livestream the webcast from the floor of the House of Commons.
11:58 AM on 12/06/2008
Auto manufacturing cities of Detroit, MI and Windsor, Ontario are closer to Lake St. Clair and Lake Erie, not Lake Huron. Auto manufacturing city of Oshawa, Ontario is on north shore of Lake Ontario. Lake Huron is too far north and west to have much to do with auto assembly.
photo
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
messy
artist, writer, adventurer
09:53 AM on 12/06/2008
Well, they should have voted Harper a majority then. Prorouging parliament was a bad idea, anti-democratic and just dumb. The policies of the government have to be ratified by the national legislature, and two months in which nothing can be done will be disasterous. Besides, unless the Grits fall apart completely, the government will fall on the throne speech whatever Harper does.
09:56 PM on 12/05/2008
You should have mentioned the "link" in your article so everyone in the United States could have a laugh. The final say in shutting down Parliament in Canada, went to a non-elected official, representing the Queen of England.

Yes folks Canada is still a colony of England and Harper proved it. You can be very proud that you do not have to go to the Queen of England to make a decision in the United States. We should have joined with you and tossed them off the continent back in day.
01:21 AM on 12/06/2008
Correction, neither the Governor General nor the people of Canada submit to the Queen of England anymore than Gordon Brown or the British people live at the mercy of the monarchy. Canada is a sovereign parliamentary democracy, and the GG position is an honourary Head of State (Just as Queen Elizabeth is an honourary, not procedural). Gov. Gen. Michaelle Jean is popular for her grace and elegance, not her governance. Her job consists of making Canada look glamourous around the world, reading Throne Speech's, being photographed and fawned over, and living for free at Rideau Hall. The Queen doesn't inform the GG on anything of substance.

But besides that, Harper pulled the plug on parliament because he had to. An impulsive Opposition/"Coalition" take-over would have made legislation even more impossible. The Liberal Party is still headed by a failed, rejected Stephane Dion who is now officially toxic to his party, and no new leader is expected until the spring. The Liberal+New Democrat+Bloc Quebecois Coalition is a partisan protest against Harper. These parties are not united, they wouldn't be able to work together. It would be an unelected coalition led by an unelected lead (Dion). Most Canadians are DISGUSTED by this whole affair, even though it gives us something to talk about.
Canadians are smart, and we've got an economic crisis to solve. This theatre of the absurd in Ottawa just reminds us we're better than our leaders.
04:12 PM on 12/07/2008
Actually, the polls I've seen show that Canadians are pretty evenly divided on the coalition (40% pro, 43% against - Leger Marketing), and in some regions more people would opt for a coalition before an election.

The coalition isn't a "partisan protest". It is part of the mechanisms put in place to ensure our government continues to govern in the event that the ruling party loses the confidence of the House. An election so soon after the last one would only be a costly delay of the inevitable; most Canadians would vote the same today as they did last October, assuming they show up at the polls (recall our record low turnout last time around). Because Harper was unwilling to work with parliamentarians in the spirit of "peace, order and good government", opposition parties' backs were against the wall. Their choices were, 1) roll over and let Harper do what he wants (would Harper have rolled over for Martin?), 2) vote against Harper but fail to form a coalition, thus triggering a useless election, or 3) form a coalition to shift power into the hands of the majority so that work can get done.

It's an unfortunate situation, but one we can (and should) learn from if we can only stop our partisan bickering and take a good look at what's really happening.