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Georges Ugeux

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Europe Is Not a Lost Continent

Posted: 04/14/2012 6:14 pm

Reading most of the pundits and comments about Europe in the United States, there seems to be a fashion: Euro-bashing has become a way for look smart and ridiculing the continent is conventional wisdom.

The dangers of that approach are obvious: turning fashion into conventional wisdom, and ultimately self-fulfilling prophecy. The underlying current of those generalizations is that Europe is like the United States, an aggregate of countries who, under the beautiful flag of the European Union, act as some sort of a federal state. This misconception is doomed to disappoint the United States. Europe is 29 independent countries bound by a challenging common project: integration.

There is no European president (Mr. Herman Van Rompuy is the president of the European Council, one of the five EU entities who has a President). The European Commission is not a Government. The European Parliament is not a final decision maker and each national Parliament has to approve each piece of legislation. Treaties sometimes require in some countries a referendum that proved to be an oxymoron and sometimes a casino. The heads of state and government of the member states are the rainmakers, and saw their power increase during the two financial crisis.

That should be sufficient to make it abundantly clear that the decision process of the European Union and the Eurozone is neither federal nor integrated. The United States know that, if they want to be effective, they need to include this complexity in their handling of the European Union. It makes Europe a multifaceted ally and partner, and attempts to deal with it as if it was one miserably failed whether in foreign policy (the attitude towards Irak, Iran and Afghanistan to name one), in economic decisions or regulatory initiatives. While the G 20 has one seat for the United States, as many as seven presidents or prime ministers represent Europe.

That, however, does not make Europe a lost continent. In a strange way, the European sovereign crisis and its disastrous mismanagement by European political leaders evidenced the need to revise the European decision process in times of crisis and in handling economic and
financial decisions.

Europe suffers from a deficit of trust in the eyes of the United States, and most countries. Canada this week decided not to participate to the European bail-out mechanism, neither should it, or the Chinese for that matter. The International Monetary Fund has been created to handle multilateral support of failing economies.

This week saw a further deterioration of the Eurozone creditworthiness. Italy issued $3.7 billion three-year bonds at 3.89 percent. This represents a 41 percent higher interest rate than on March 15. The inaction that plagued the Greek crisis seems to prevail for Spain and Italy, who are not at the center of the world financial concerns with a global indebtedness representing 10 times Greece.

What is the smart way to look at Europe from an economic and financial viewpoint? As an economic powerhouse that has a difficult and complex decision process, and a weak leadership.

It is Europe's weaknesses that represent opportunities for the United States in its global reach. Acquisitions, partnerships and investments are plentiful and available. European companies are seizing the opportunity to look at the United States as a land of opportunity again.

Realism is the rule of the game: those who are willing to integrate that complexity and rather than exporting the US model, recognize the cultural and institutional complexity of Europe have become very successful throughout the "lost continent."

Europe is not a lost continent, but a set of countries who are dealing with a crisis of confidence stemming from the awareness that its social system needs to be overhauled and modernized. The trade unions refuse to adjust to this new world and continue to ask for increases of salaries, refusing the extension of the age of pension. This social crisis will take years to be resolved because it is the end of the illusions of the current system.

It also happens to be a continent that has with the United States a multiplicity of historical, human, cultural, political, military, economic, financial and social links that create a unique intimacy.

Europe is not a lost continent, but is undertaking a major revolution of its broken system. Underestimating the challenge and joking about it makes no sense. It is a painstaking process, a necessary one, and a land of opportunities. If the U.S. could understand the magnitude of the challenge, a new partnership could be built across the Atlantic.

 

Follow Georges Ugeux on Twitter: www.twitter.com/Ugeux

Reading most of the pundits and comments about Europe in the United States, there seems to be a fashion: Euro-bashing has become a way for look smart and ridiculing the continent is conventional wisdo...
Reading most of the pundits and comments about Europe in the United States, there seems to be a fashion: Euro-bashing has become a way for look smart and ridiculing the continent is conventional wisdo...
 
 
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05:17 AM on 05/11/2012
There is no "broken system" to repair.

Truely "European socialist" countries like Germany, Holland, Sweden etc. are among the strongest economic powerhouses. Simplified, their system consists of welfare based on high taxation revenue. It is the least "European socialist" countries of Europe with lowest taxation that are most like the US (overspending without sufficient tax revenue) that are doing worst. Take e.g. Ireland. A tax paradise from a European perspective. Now bankrupt. Take Greece. Overspent hugely and never collected tax properly at all. Now a smoldering ruin. Simply ordinarily capitalist financial mismagement. A nice example being the ....USA: overspending + insufficient tax revenue.

That countries like Holland etc. now apply cut backs is related to the fact they now have to bail out "failures" like Greece.Our systems have always adapted to the current economic situation. Take e.g. Holland again for the sake of argument. Overspent in the 70ties. Had to apply cut backs as a result in the 80ties. Overspent in the 90ties. Is now apllying cut backs again. Simplified, the issue is "how much will I get at this moment in time" and not "will I get anything at all anymore". It is an adapting, fluctuating system. There is not a single party in Europe, not even right wing, that would even consider getting rid of "European socialism" as it is accepted and even desired by the overwhelming majority of Europeans.

"Our broken European system" only exists in American reviews. Not in our European reality.
08:28 AM on 04/18/2012
The first point he makes is that the EU government There is no European president (Mr. Herman Van Rompuy is the president of the European Council, one of the five EU entities who has a President). The European Commission is not a Government. The European Parliament is not a final decision maker and each national Parliament has to approve each piece of legislation. Treaties sometimes require in some countries a referendum that proved to be an oxymoron and sometimes a casino. The heads of state and government of the member states are the rainmakers, and saw their power increase during the two financial crisis.
Isn't this inability for their own appointments not being able to do anything a clear reason for europe failing? Or is it because Germany is singlehandly holding up the entire EU? I do not know the answers, but I will ask them. I truly believe the EU will fail, and they will blame it on the U.S while still trying to say they are better than the U.S. (Also I have been to Spain, France, and Germany within the last two years before you chastise me about not know how Europe is)
06:16 PM on 04/16/2012
This whole story borders on paradoxes. You say that the EU was not created to be like the USA, but you still talk about it as if Europe is one thing.. which is generalisation. I don't see why the the problems in the European Monetary Union should be considered worse than problems elsewhere. These problems have different causes in different countries, and there is no easy way to solve it.
And making the EU more of like 'country' than just a union doesn't work, because the countries are very different, with different cultures and climates and whatnot, and you can't just generalise everything and make one pretty standard that supposedly fits all. What you can improve is the working together and to make things easier for people living near borders.
01:47 AM on 04/16/2012
The real problem is the BANKING system, corrupt with fiat money! Shame on you Ugeuex!
01:02 AM on 04/16/2012
"Europe is not a lost continent..."

Europe is a continent? On the maps I've seen it looks like the western-most part of Asia.
09:33 PM on 04/15/2012
A fair article, but it still broad brushes Europe to a degree. It doesn't distinguish between southern and northern Europe.

A general misunderstanding most in the US have is that Europe is dithering with its debt crisis. But they are not dithering. Only in the Keynesian's mind are they dithering. Its just that northern Europe disagrees with the Keynesian approach of fiscal stimulus and printing money. They believe it takes time to readjust the imbalances that were created by cheap credit. They recognize that austerity and restructuring to remove impediments to growth will actually cause more pain in the near term, but that Keynesianism only kicks the can down the road, and will result in an even greater crisis a few years later.

High risk loans should have high yields. Interference with the market by the ECB perverts the market, bringing down the yields. This only enables continued profligacy. That action by the ECB has upset many in Germany, especially their economists.

If anyone wants to truly understand where northern Europe is coming from, read up on "ordoliberalism".
05:44 PM on 04/15/2012
Bashing unions and the safety net though bankers caused the crisis is the fashionable trend for pundits.

Blaming the victims was a full time job for lots of PR types in the US. Good to see they found new jobs.
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AlfredE69
Liberty Lovin' Tree Hugger
05:12 PM on 04/15/2012
I was in Paris last week and had no trouble finding it.
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VANDERGRAAFK
Teacher
01:10 AM on 04/15/2012
No, Europe is not a lost continent. And, on the whole, I'd rather be in Europe than in the US. But, the current leaders of Europe seem hell bent on turning the clock back to the 1920s. Defense of the Euro has become akin to defense of the gold standard. Certain countries will find it easy to remain with the Euro zone. Others ought to get out. True, there is no mechanism for leaving the Eurozone. However, there was no mechanism for abandoning the Bretton Woods agreement that ended fixed exchange rates.

Monetary union can only come about on the basis of political unity. Nations will have to completely give up their financial sovereignty to a single financial entity (a federal European commission or superstate) that controls monetary and fiscal policy. Or, Europe remains Europe with a few smart governments and many acceptable governments and a few loony (and fiscally irresponsible) governments.

Accept Europe for its diversity.
03:46 PM on 04/15/2012
"Or, Europe remains Europe with a few smart governments and many acceptable governments and a few loony (and fiscally irresponsible) governments."

It may be perceived so from the outside, but I wouldn't subscribe to that. The European Union was never designed to be a kind of "United States of Europe". EU was, from the beginning, conceived to be a supranational union and not a federation. We are proud to be different and united in the same time. Every passport in the EU shows that we are both citizens of the EU and citizens of our nations.

Of course it leads sometimes to confusion, especially for people migrating across EU. But these are mainly bureaucratic obstacles and we are overcoming them. Our major problem is: we were so optimistic that we enlarged EU too fast. We should have taken much more time to ensure that our member states had a consolidated and steady economy before joining the Union and the eurozone.

Now we experience the first serious crisis. We will not manage it by giving up our identities. If we try so we will lose everything we have been working for during the last 30-40 years. We need to consolidate both our national and our EU policies. Above all, we need to cultivate our different but united identities. I can move to any 'foreign' EU country but I will still be the same equal citizen. Show me one place in this world where this is possible.
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VANDERGRAAFK
Teacher
06:26 PM on 04/15/2012
True as far as it goes. Indeed, it is advantageous to have the ability to work and reside where one chooses within the EC. But the crisis at end does not affect the EC per se, it is a problem within the Eurozone, a currency union that many EC members belong to. Notice I wrote currency union and not monetary union. For therein hangs the tale. What the Eurocrats attempted to do was to achieve a stable currency to which many European countries could belong without requiring monetary unity or fiscal discipline. True, there is/was the 3% rule, which both Germany and France violated in the early 00s. Now, that rule is routinely flouted. Yes, the offending nations could be financially penalized, but the bond markets are exacting more of a price than the Eurozone could demand. (To a cynic, this whole Eurozone can be seen as a clever ruse by the Northern tier countries to enlist the peripheral countries in a prestige laden currency union in order to prevent run ups against the mark, the guilder, etc.)

In short, until the so-called banking elites and their political cronies abandon the idea of currency union without monetary and fiscal unity, European leaders will continue to pursue the failed policies of the past, ones linked with restoring a gold standard. Ron Paul would be proud!
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VANDERGRAAFK
Teacher
01:37 PM on 04/16/2012
Oh my, I conflated the failed European Currency Mechanism with the Euro! How foolish of me! In the event, monetary union (the Euro) is a failure more or less because fiscal union did not occur. That Greek lied about its finances only compounded the problem.

Yet, the failure of the Euro does not mean the European project (the EC) is in danger. Schengen, trade agreements, ease of movement of capital and labor, etc. mean that a large "domestic" market exists and can expand. The Euro responded to but one of the problems of the EC, the need to convert currencies, for tourists and companies. Is that advantage worth the destruction of European economies (Greece, Spain, and Ireland, Portugal) in order to preserve the trade gains accruing to Germany, Holland, etc. because of the drag on the Euro caused by economies on the brink of disaster? It's not so ironic that Jean Claude Trichet, former head of the ECB, also presided over the demise of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism. Until the banking and political elites stop trying to recreate the gold standard when national fiscal and financial systems are not integrated, Europe will continue to piss into the wind.
Genders
Love, Tolerance, Enlightenment
12:55 AM on 04/15/2012
Sweden, German and Holland are doing great. They taxed their rich folks and regulated the banksters.
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deluk
disgusted.
05:51 AM on 04/15/2012
Actually it's not as simple as that, those countries do great for other reasons, Holland mainly because of it's position, next to the worlds busiest shipping channel with the whole of wealthy Europe as a hinterland, Germany because it has a cheap foreign workforce not enjoying the full rights of German citizens.  Sweden was actually the first country to go through a financial crash and learnt some lessons from it, it also has a superb manufacturing sector, for a small country it has many leading brands.
Genders
Love, Tolerance, Enlightenment
01:31 PM on 04/15/2012
They just happen to be the countries with high top income/gain taxes, high union participation and great citizens safety nets. LOL. anything to avoid the truth.

Sweden did have a banking crisis a few years before we did, and they nationalized all the banks, recognized them, and re privatized them with heavy regulation. That's why they are doing well.

The USA became the greatest economy in history with high personal taxes and heavy regulation during Ike's time.
06:16 PM on 05/10/2012
Holland's success has nothing to do with its position. Its economy is just like Germany (serious high quality manufacturing base) and its success lies in its reliable economic system. If one wants to be a "European Socialist" paradise one must have 1) a serious economy and b) a huge tax revenue. Holland has always understood that taxation is the essence of "European socialism".

Greece never did. Answering what countries like Holland, France, Italy, Germany do not manufacture is less difficult than what Greece does manufacture. Do olives and hotels count? Now, although the economic base is clearly not very impressive Greece borrowed, overspent and never collected as much as a nickle in tax. In the latter aspect it is very unlike any truely "European socialist" country, but very much like the US: borrowing, overspending, insufficient tax revenue to cover for expenses.

Basically, truely "European socialist" countries have always been economic powerhouses and still are. It is the least "European socialist" countries that are most like the US that are affected most by the crisis.

Further, Germany is not having anymore of a foreign workforce than any other country. As a matter of fact, many avoid Germany as it does not have minimum wages. An example being the asparagus business. Most Poles drive right through Germany to harvest asparagus in Holland (which does have minimum wages). This has lead to problems in Germany's asparagus business, as nobody was willing to work for their "slavery" wages.
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Georges Ugeux
09:26 AM on 04/15/2012
More than taxing riches, those countries had a model that was maintaining the costs of labor at a level that was preserving the sustainability of their competitiveness. France's based salaries increased 4 times faster than Germany,s and Greece did it 12 times. It casts a light on the "misery" of the Greek austerity.
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12:34 PM on 04/15/2012
Maybe, but places like Sweden offset the lack of rising wages with strong social welfare aimed at the poor and the middle class.
That's the basis of the social democratic system.
A state capable of giving healthcare and free education (including university and university housing) means that their workers need less money to survive.
As such, workers agree to a lower wage keeping businesses competitive.
They also agree to control over striking action, leading to stability in their industries which makes them more competitive.
Businesses, seeing the positive aspects of the social democratic system, then agree to put in a lot of money into benefits, offsetting the costs to the government, increasing stability and decreasing the need for strikes or labour agitation.
They then pay high taxes to keep the system moving. They make less net profit, but are more competitive and stable than more capitalist systems.

At least, that's what I learned in university, and it seems to be proven by the success of the Scandinavian countries. So, at least, there it is about taxing the rich, but its also about more than that. Its about having a literal social contract between workers, businesses, and the government.
schatsie
Wall Street is Worse than Vegas
08:59 PM on 04/15/2012
Greece did what 12 times?