Is Southern Democracy dead?
Or will the Democratic Party rise again as the ruling regime in this part of the country?
In previous posts, I laid out major challenges for reeling regional Democrats. Now, I want to present my conclusion and five recommendations regarding the future of Southern Democracy.
CONCLUSION
To answer my original, rhetorical question -- Southern Democracy is not dead. But my opinion is that the Democratic Party will not recapture regional hegemony; nor will Democrats assume parity with the Republicans in this region soon. There's not much the Democrats can do to turn the situation around easily and quickly; and some things are outside their control. But there are strategic actions that might help restore them over the long haul as competitive voices and players in this part of the country.
RECOMMENDATIONS
My general observation is that, while forced to muddle for the time being, Southern Democrats must devote serious long-term attention and energy to an alternative future -- still different culturally, more moderate politically, and less burdened with traditional baggage -- for Southern Democracy. However, building an acceptable alternative for the future means more than simple hope and change; it means more than stylistic fervor; it means serious planning, substantive commitment, and successful performance.
Now, here's some specific advice for Southern Democrats:
1. Understand that Southern Democracy is not dead -- but its future is iffy.
Certainly Southern Democrats can help themselves through re-branding, re-organizing, and possibly GOP mistakes; but Democratic revival in this region requires more than conventional strategy and expectant opportunism. Southern Democrats must address some broader, more fundamental questions about their current predicament and appropriate response if they hope to resume a competitive role in Southern politics.
2. Embrace the changing and enduring South.
Perhaps the most important lesson for Southern Democrats to learn, other than the conflicted nature of their regional history, is that the South is both changing and enduring. The South is becoming more like America (in some ways good, in some ways bad); but the South will be a distinctive region (for good or bad) for a long time. And these dynamics place special responsibilities on those who aspire to leadership.
Southern Democrats thus have to learn to deal realistically and practically with the region's attitude toward stubborn legacies of race and poverty; they need to push aggressively but sensitively for cures to endemic problems -- all the while holding on to certain aspects of regional culture, even when others demean that culture.
3. Re-introduce yourself to the middle class.
I also suggest that Southern Democrats start re-introducing themselves to the middle class, with proper compassion for those who want to better their lot and equal allegiance to the taxpayer.
Furthermore, the regional Democratic Party must present and push new policy plans--without crass class demagoguery from both parties at the national level -- for overcoming historical mistakes and making life better for everybody.
Perhaps after a few years of GOP rule, Southern voters will indeed look for alternative vision and leadership; and addressing middle class issues is central to Democratic success.
4. Prepare a popular moderate-to-progressive alternative for if-and-when.
At some time in the coming years, the Southern terrain may indeed shift sufficiently so that the Democratic Party can rejoin the fray of Southern politics in competition with the Republican Party. Realignment over the past few decades has reaped immediate benefits among traditional Southerners for the GOP; but other dynamics in this region -- particularly among younger and in-migrant Southerners -- could favor the Democrats.
For example, I believe that racial attitudes of the past will loosen their grip on citizens of this region. Also, divisive social issues, while important, may cease to distract these new Southerners from their collective interests in such things as good schools and healthy communities. Lastly, I think that voters increasingly will see that stark public retrenchment is no answer to stubborn economic problems.
Southern Democrats thus must prepare a popular, moderate-to-progressive agenda -- practically addressing historic problems of leadership, race, and poverty -- for that New South.
5. Institutionalize future leadership and solutions.
Southern Democrats may also want to develop civic entities supportive of their renewed mission. I'm suggesting the creation of party-sponsored leadership councils, policy commissions, and think tanks -- at both regional and state levels -- to help define real problems and identify positive solutions reflective of Southern culture. These institutions should be sufficiently independent of state party machinery and they should be run by professionals, with primary responsibility for developing future leaders, realistic policy counsel, and reliable research for voters and the news media. They should focus on key elements of progress like education, jobs, housing, healthcare, transportation, and infrastructure.
Democrats cannot win campaigns and govern effectively with the same old arguments and excuses of the past; but fresh new leaders, good ideas, solid research, and popular programs could prove very valuable and constructive for Southern Democracy in the long term.
Sounds like pie-in-the-sky? Maybe. But loyal Democrats have to believe that, in time, Southerners will demand different politics and better governance in this part of the country.
In that better environment somewhere down the road, maybe Southern Democrats -- committed to the middle class and armed with popular ideas -- will not have to worry about juggling policy sentiments and gut-wrenching electoral strategies; perhaps then they will discover anew the passion that fired Southern politics of the past.
Absent such efforts, we may see a drastically diminished Southern Democracy for many years to come.
Author's Note: This is the final post in a series about the future of the Democratic Party in the South.
You will still have the situation where recently Rep. Ortiz LOST his re-election bid to an Anglo, Farenthold, who ran on a tough anti-illegal platform. He lost in a district that is over 70% Hispanic. Now if a Democrat of decades of service cannot win in such a district, your prescription is false. Just how much a majority will have to be Hispanic to ensure a Democratic party victory? Will it have to be 80% or 90%? Even at the most radical, Texas and the rest of the South will never approach 70% other than whites. Also, W Bush got slightly over 40% of the Hispanic vote and won the Catholic vote against Kerry who was Catholic. Simple racial politics does NOT cut it anymore. This is NOT the 60s and 70s!
The South is backward and will stay that way for a very long time.
The South has been backward long before the Civil War.
I love my South. I just don't like that we think we are still fighting the War of Northern Agression.
With few exceptions we are the "Welfare Queens" of the US: this has nothing to do with color.
Drive the back roads of the South as I do and you will see how backward we are. I am a white male. People of color or latino looking should defer.
The only thing that will save the South is education and an infulx of educated people moving here.
Right now education is a non starter, .
Professor I am educated as well as you are. Go back and teach your mamypamby course.
but if we let the old boy network keep dumbing down the curriculum en masse - then, never.
In the South, a TBGOPer will vote for any person with R after the last name, no matter their race. Nikki Haley. Bobbi Jandal. Allen West. A Black rep from SC.
But Southern White Dems do not.
In TX 2002, both candidates for the US sen and Gov lost. Meek in FL in 2010. It ended up costing Dems Gov to Rick Scott and sen to Marco Rubio. That is why in GA, MS, TN, KY, SC, NC, etc where Dems could compete and win, they don't any more.
The people to fix the problem are White Dems. Stop voting against your interests.
Want to win back the South for real? Present a real alternative to the majority of voters there who have as a majority, been squeezed by this economy to the point they can stand no more-- and continually point up the contrast between yourselves and your adversaries. Stand up for working people on specific issues with concrete proposals for the benefit of the working people and win.
It will take time to change the perception of the party as a feckless bunch of not-so-bad-as-the-other-guys, but it could be done--if those who populate the hierarchy of the party in southern states would only give up their decades-long tradition of second-guessing the existential reason the Democratic Party exists.
JFK put the Democratic party on the side of social justice and constitutional equality and the south will never forgive them for that. The south has risen up to support the crazies of the GOP as long as they pledge to tear down federal support to black people, and the GOP has given them everything that they have wanted. The New Deal is in tatters and the Voting Rights Act has been circumvented by voter ID laws. The southern dream of the anti-bellum way of life is once more within their grasp as they again, blindly, lurch toward the disease which is their cherished dream of racism and plantations and the priviledges of wealth.
They also lurch toward what is always invisible to them and that is the wall of disgust that their southern way of life generates in the hearts of all progessive Americans. That disgust will only tolerate so much as demonstrated by the Civil War of the 1860's and the Civil Rights War of the 1960's. If the south wants to see where that wall is today all they have to do is keep pushing.