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Haggai Carmon

Haggai Carmon

Posted: October 12, 2010 03:27 PM

A Cyber War Against Iran: Whodunit?


The Iranians are frantically looking for those responsible for infecting their nuclear and industrial facilities with Stuxnet, an extremely sophisticated and dangerous viral computer malworm.

The Iranians should also worry what could come next in this cyber war. Their country's electrical system may fail. Valves and spigots of a sewage treatment facility could be turned open, flooding Tehran's streets with human waste. Can that happen? Most probably, if these facilities are managed by SCADA - Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition systems, such as the computers that were just infected.

Who were the attackers that knew how to penetrate through five zero-day "security holes," and plant the malworm that not only attacked Iran, but infected computers in other countries as well? Since the malworm was so sophisticated, there is a consensus among experts that it was the product of a state, rather than a ploy of a hacker playing for fun.

The Iranian security services and computer experts are scrambling to rid their computers of the malworm that was "mutating and wreaking havoc on computerized industrial equipment in Iran," according to IRNA, Iran's government news agency. Hamid Alipour, the director of Iran Information Technology Company, a government agency added, "The attack is still ongoing and new versions of this virus are spreading." Alipour warned, "personal computers were also being targeted by the malware although the main objective of the Stuxnet virus is to destroy industrial systems, its threat to home computer users is serious." General Hossein Salami, Lieutenant Commander of IRGC the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps said that, "The IRGC and Army have designed defense systems for all points of the country, [and] an assuring defensive plan has also been devised for the Bushehr nuclear power plant."

Russian technicians with unlimited access to all systems at the Bushehr nuclear reactor were questioned, while others hurried to leave Iran with their families. The Iranian Intelligence Minister Heidar Moslehi has announced last week that several "nuclear spies" had been arrested, but failed to identify them or their nationality.

These official statements are unusual because thus far Iran has been reluctant to admit military or security vulnerabilities. So why do it now?

The answer probably lies in the bigger picture. Iran seems to be seeking revenge against the U.S and its allies for imposing painful sanctions. Since the Iranians cannot retaliate directly against the U.S., without risking severe consequences, then why not accuse Israel of waging the cyber war, rightly or wrongly? That could give the Iranians a pretext, albeit transparent, to retaliate by directing their conflict-hungry satellite terrorist organization Hezbollah to shell Israeli civilian centers from Southern Lebanon. Is that the reason president Ahmadinejad is coming to Lebanon?

Common wisdom says that cyber wars are bloodless, smokeless and leave buildings and infrastructure intact. Or are they?

The Stuxnet attack on Iran first focused on SCADA industrial control systems that are broadly used by energy, nuclear, electrical, water, sewage treatment, telephone, and chemical companies. The damage from a cyber attack on a SCADA system could be substantial. From a temporary loss of service to a total failure with catastrophic dimensions cascading to multiple locations for an extended period. Attackers may use any of the multiple penetration options to get into the system: planting a malworm during production or installation of the SCADA device, wireless transmission of the malworm, hacking into the control system computers and linking to the modems used for the control systems' maintenance, or physically attaching a pinky-finger-size flash drive into a computer that later would unwittingly log into a central system and contaminate it. Ali Akbar Salehi, the head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organization confirmed last week in a speech at the International Atomic Energy Agency that Iran has been fighting espionage at its nuclear facilities, and that people working at Iran's nuclear facilities were lured by promises of better pay to pass secrets to the West. Salehi did not provide additional details, but the timing of his statement might hint how the Stuxnet malworm penetrated into Iran's nuclear facility computers.

Once a SCADA system is accessed, the attacker can infect it with a computer malworm that could manipulate the data used for operational decisions to cause damage, or modify programs that control critical equipment to shut down or send the system haywire. The malworm can hide the changes it made and even allows remote upgrades of the malworm if countermeasures are employed by the infected target. A sophisticated malworm such as Stuxnet could potentially include code that would cause uranium enriching centrifuges to explode under high pressure, or at a certain date. Did it actually do it? There were reports that Iran's uranium enrichment plant at the Natanz facility was attacked by Stuxnet and sustained damage. An earlier report suggested that in 2009 that site suffered a serious nuclear accident that reduced the number of uranium enriching centrifuges by at least 25%. Was Stuxnet the reason?

Therefore, can the Iranians now be confident that no additional, more serious attacks will be forthcoming? Can they be sure that no foreign intelligence agents managed to "treat" the Iranian bound SCADA systems and plant a dormant Trojan horse or a viral computer malworm that would be awakened and cause havoc on a certain date or upon a single transmitted command? To make things worse for the Iranians, many industrial control systems are linked to the location's central computer system, thereby exposing these external computers to the contagious viral effect of the malworm. That could explain the contamination of many personal computers owned by Iranian officials who logged into their agencies' central computer systems.

Control systems with proprietary command menus such as SCADA systems are difficult to operate by an outsider, and wrong commands would be harmless and could attract attention to the attempted break-in. That explains why thus far there were only very few intentional attacks on critical infrastructure industrial control systems that caused any damage, even when the intruders were able to break their way into the system.

However, top professionals, such as the attackers who designed Stuxnet, showed that they were able to overcome these hurdles and cause significant damage. In fact, there were probably two versions of Stuxnet. Apparently, the first version did not perform its destructive mission well, and was replaced by a viler malworm. The assumption that foreign agents were involved is supported by the fact that the attackers were able to identify the exact type of the SCADA system used by the Iranians, thereby allowing computer experts to write new code that finally did the destructive job.

The SCADA control systems include supervisory control and data acquisition systems, distributed control systems, and programmable logic controllers. These systems are primarily used for remote monitoring and for sending commands to valves and switches. That capability should cause serious concerns to the Iranians. Although Iranians officials express their concern regarding Stuxnet's effect on their nuclear reactor systems, they should also worry what could potentially happen to civilian facilities.

What if, for example, a sewage treatment facility's SCADA is taken over by attackers who would send a command to open all valves and spigots of the Tehran sewage treatment facility and flood the capital city with raw sewage? Other than the disgust and the smell, there are serious health risks: spread of disease and the contamination of fresh water supply.

A fantasy? Not really.

In 2000 in Maroochy Shire, Queensland Australia, Vitek Boden, a disgruntled former employee remotely accessed the controls of a sewage plant and discharged 800,000 liters of raw sewage into local parks and rivers, as well as the grounds of a Hyatt Regency hotel. "Marine life died, the creek water turned black and the stench was unbearable for residents," said a representative of the Australian Environmental Protection Agency.

So, whodunit to the Iranians? Information, or maybe disinformation was spread to suggest that the infection had first come from computer notebooks used by Russian engineers working at the site of Bushehr power plant. Other reports suggested that the United States has sought to devastate Iran's nuclear program by attacking Iranian computer systems. The New York Times hinted it was Israeli Intelligence. Others were also suggesting that Israel was behind the attack because one of the Stuxnet internal computer codes included the name "myrtus". The attack was announced during Sukkoth, a Jewish holiday that is celebrated with "the four species", one of which is boughs with leaves from the myrtle tree. On the other hand, the "myrtus" reference could in fact be a reference to one of SCADA's components known as RTUs (Remote Terminal Units) and that this reference is simply "My RTUs" - a tool within SCADA.

I found yet another reason that may allow conspiracy theorists to insist that Israel was the culprit; typing Stux in the Hebrew mode on a dual-language Hebrew-English keyboard, would bring the word "דאוס" God in Latin. Are the alleged attackers hinting to the wrath of God that could follow unless the Iranians stop their development of nuclear capabilities and repeated threats to destroy Israel?

 
 
 
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02:53 PM on 10/16/2010
See the Iranian justice:
An Iranian court has condemned a man convicted of robbing chocolates and cocoa from a Tehran pastry shop to have a hand chopped off, Fars news agency reported on Saturday
http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5iq2ntA590zsw2DmSFXXI_Rop8YMA?docId=CNG.fcd3ca22ebdbeb6aedf8bd96251aff7c.551
12:25 PM on 10/16/2010
Wake up, remove your eye shades! People didn't believe Hitler when he wrote his book Mein Kampf in 1925 that if Jews were gassed, then "the sacrifice of millions of German soldiers would not have been in vain," That shows Hitler's plan for the genocide of the Jewish people.

Many news sources repeated the Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting statement by Ahmadinejad that "Israel must be wiped off the map",an English idiom which means to "cause a place to stop existing", or to "obliterate totally", or "destroy completely". Ahmadinejad's phrase was " بايد از صفحه روزگار محو شود " according to the text published on the President's Office's website, and was a quote of Ayatollah Khomeini.
I believe him! Therefore, Israel (and for that matter most of the world, and the Gulf States, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Jordan in particular) should be very concerned if such a person will have his fingers on the nuclear bomb trigger.
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06:36 AM on 10/18/2010
Recycling debunked propaganda, I see.

Our dear Imam (referring to Ayatollah Khomeini) said that the occupying regime must be wiped off the map for great justice and this was a very wise statement. We cannot compromise over the issue of Palestine. Is it possible to create a new front in the heart of an old front. This would be a defeat and whoever accepts the legitimacy of this regime has in fact, signed the defeat of the Islamic world. Our dear Imam targeted the heart of the world oppressor in his struggle, meaning the occupying regime. I have no doubt that the new wave that has started in Palestine, and we witness it in the Islamic world too, will eliminate this disgraceful stain from the Islamic world."

Is what he really said.

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mahmoud_Ahmadinejad_and_Israel?wasRedirected=true
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Dec2086Lover
After all you are my wonderwall.
04:32 PM on 10/14/2010
I don't get this at all,firstly why would the U.S/Israel or anyone attack Bushehr when it is under supervision,and why are India,Indonesia,and some suggest Kazakhstan and Russia being attacked?Makes no sense.I hope Iran starts their nuclear program very soon.
05:34 PM on 10/14/2010
Being under supervision does not mean that an entity is less likely to be attacked. Obviously, it wasn't being supervised well enough, anyway, if the virus got in to the system.

Also, did you not read the part where author says the virus is "mutating and wreaking havoc on computerized industrial equipment"? Mutations make a virus very hard to stop and also means it is not limited to its initial target, if Iran indeed was the main goal. It spreads, just like a real virus, to anything it comes in contact with, explaining why other countries have been affected even if the attackers did not intend so.
02:20 PM on 10/14/2010
"repeated threats to destroy Israel"

Not a single time has Iran threatened to destroy Israel. But I guess if you keep repeating it, it becomes "repeated."

The drumbeat of war continues and it needs psychological warfare to precede it.
10:54 AM on 10/14/2010
Actually, it is the Iranians who have been explicitly and implicitly threatened with being 'wiped off the map' and it is the Iranians who are the actual victims of WMDs usage in the form of chemical weapons (and US assistance to Saddam in the deployment of chemical weapons)

Furthermore, there is zero evidence that the computer worm was directed against Iran in the first place.
02:20 PM on 10/14/2010
You speak of truth. That is not something these people of interested.
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Dec2086Lover
After all you are my wonderwall.
04:35 PM on 10/14/2010
I know there is no proof Iran was the target.
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05:39 PM on 10/13/2010
Lots of propaganda in this article.

Author claims Iranians have "repeated threats to destroy Israel?", are you talking about the "wiped off the map" propaganda?

The only thing wiped off the map was Palestine.
02:23 PM on 10/14/2010
Palestinians?

they don't count, if they did there would be endless articles about how they live with water and electricity cut off as collective punishment, and are sealed off by cement walls built around their towns and villages, and where there was no cement they made barbed wire.

Don't mention the Palestinians because that would make Israel's human rights record worse than Iran. Afterall only Israel uses jetfighters to bomb "targets" in city centers.
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Dec2086Lover
After all you are my wonderwall.
04:34 PM on 10/14/2010
I totally agree,could not have said it better.
05:00 PM on 10/15/2010
Professors and analysts can say whatever they want, and officials can back track ever farther for all I care. If you can read, you know that the official translation of the phrase, put out by Ahmadinejad's own presidential office (and probably with his explicit approval) clearly states: Israel should be wiped off the map. It's not propaganda. There is no lack of impartial attitude in the relay of this statement. He said it, he obviously hates the idea of an Israeli state. And anyway, how is "wiping off the map" any better than "erase from the pages of time"? Neither one is any better than the other.
04:38 AM on 10/16/2010
Well, let me ask a question.

Which statement better describes the fall of the Soviet Union:
Was it
A) wiped off the map?
-or-
B) erased from the page of time?

You see, both are descriptions of regime change, but one of them has a more violent connotation than the other.