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Harold Pollack

Harold Pollack

Posted: January 13, 2010 04:38 PM

The Gruber Scandal

What's Your Reaction:

I recently read Jane Hamsher's lambasting of Jonathan Gruber on this site. I have a different perspective.

I've known Jonathan Gruber for almost 20 years. We've never been to each others' homes or shared a private meal, but our paths have often crossed. We have often disagreed. As an early avowed Obama partisan notably to Jon's left, I tangled with him during the campaign over the individual mandate and other matters. I still disagree with him on various things.

Jonathan supported the key ideas embodied in the Senate bill before the Obama administration did, indeed before there was an Obama administration. Over the entire time I have known him, he has been absolutely consistent--in print, in private and in public--regarding the taxation of health benefits and the impact of such benefits on wages and employment.

His views are shared by the great majority of economists and policy analysts across the political spectrum. As a matter of policy, I disagree with some of the typical resulting positions. I would like to change the proposed "Cadillac tax" to accommodate union concerns, for example. I am a stronger supporter of the public option than he is. In general I would like to see much more generous subsidies than we are likely to see in the final bill.

Ms. Hamsher is right that this contract should have been better-handled. Jonathan was not secretive about this arrangement. He reported it on journal disclosure forms and answered reporters' questions. Without a doubt, everyone involved should have been more proactive and transparent. This imbroglio notwithstanding, everything Jonathan is arguing comes straight from his work and from his writing over many, many years. I'm sure the administration trumpeted his work on employer mandates and tax policy because it is politically congenial. They also trumpeted his work because it influenced their own views of proper public policy. I've been rather reassured that the administration brought him to help crunch the numbers. He has a distinguished track record performing precisely the analyses Congress and the President need done.

I have always found Jonathan to be a person of integrity in my dealings with him, even when we disagree. I will continue to call on him for his candor and expertise. So will many other people who hold very different views. I just wanted my readers to know.

Postscript: I agree with one of my commenters that the assumptions and methods of Gruber's modelling should be open to public view, given the policy importance of the findings and the public financing. I feel the same about CBO's work. It isn't feasible to be completely transparent in real time, but as the dust settles we need to know.

 
 
 
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06:11 PM on 01/14/2010
Pollack: We start with the premise that the entire world proves over and over, that the lowest cost for quality, universal health care is accomplished by Single Payer health care model. Are you just stupid? What makes you think we should ignore the facts, and believe your claim that economists are in agreement with anything Congress is considering as reform? Maybe you can join Palin and the rest on Fox with this stuff.
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Microbiologist
10:15 PM on 01/15/2010
http://www.ncpa.org/sub/dpd/index.php?Article_ID=18103

The criticism of single-payer health care -- primarily as practiced in Canada and Europe -- has been that operations and procedures are long-delayed or denied and health care is rationed to control costs. For example:

In Canada, the average wait for a 65-year-old man to get a hip replacement is six months, according to the Freedom Works Foundation.
The average wait time in a Canadian emergency room is 16 hours and 18 minutes.
Also, the average cancer test and radiation treatment cycles vary between 6 to 8 weeks, according to the foundation.
Meanwhile:

In Great Britain, at any one time, there are about a million people waiting to get into hospitals, according to John C. Goodman, president, CEO and Kellye Wright Fellow of the National Center for Policy Analysis.
Almost 900,000 Canadian patients are on the waiting list at any point in time, according to the Fraser Institute.
In New Zealand, 90,000 people are on the waiting lists, according to government figures.
10:38 PM on 01/13/2010
Yet, I don't see you demand it of him in your piece. Why not?
04:54 PM on 01/13/2010
Well, that settles it for me. Mr Pollack says Gruber is a fine guy and an accomplished scholar and analyst. So, I'm sure that Mr. Pollack would have no objection, in the spirit of the scientific method and public transparency, if Mr. Gruber would write an article in which he shares all of his assumptions about his health care model and presents his simulation data to a larger audience. Mr. Gruber can also explain to us why he has appeared to be so secretive about his funding and his relationship with the Obama Administration. I'm just saying, sometimes being a good guy just isn't enough.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Harold Pollack
05:04 PM on 01/13/2010
I have no objection to your suggestion at all. In fact I have called upon the Congressional Budget Office to lay out its own analyses in the same way.