On Saturday, political scientists at the American Political Science Association conference in Washington, D.C. will debut their models for predicting results in the House of Representatives. In this article, I put forth my own model that translates Gallup's final generic ballot result into seats. While the generic ballot has...

The Gallup generic ballot has provided plenty of fodder with election analysts this summer. No clearer was the importance of the Gallup generic ballot to the news cycle than it was on Monday when Gallup showed a 10% Republican advantage. As noted, a 10% Republican lead on Gallup's generic ballot...

CBS News
8/20-24/10; 1082 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CBS News release)

National

Obama Job Approval
48% Approve, 44% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 79 / 17 (chart)
Reps: 17 / 78 (chart)
Inds: 42 / 45...

Public Policy Polling (D)
8/21-22/10; 304 likely Republican Primary voters, 5.6% margin of error
324 likely Democratic primary voters, 5.4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

Florida

2010 Governor: Republican Primary
47% Scott, 40% McCollum (chart)

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
...

Mason-Dixon for the Miami Herald, Fort Lauderdale Sun-Sentinel, Orlando Sentinel, Tampa Tribune, Florida Gannett Newspapers and the Florida NBC television affiliates
8/17-19/10; 500 likely Republican Primary voters, 4.5% margin of error
500 likely Democratic primary voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Mason-Dixon...

Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) for the Sunshine State News
8/9-12/10; 1000 likely Democratic primary voters, 3.1% margin of error
Mode: Automated Phone
(Sunshine State News article)

Florida

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
45% Meek, 30% Greene, 8% Ferre (chart)

Rasmussen
8/11/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Georgia

2010 Senate
55% Isakson (R), 41% Thurmond (D) (trend)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Johnny Isakson: 58 / 34
Michael Thurmond: 48 / 33

Mason-Dixon
8/9-11/10; 625 likely voters, 4% margin of error
400 likely Democratic primary voters, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Mason-Dixon release)

Florida

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
40% Meek, 26% Greene, 5% Ferre, 1% Burkett (chart)

2010 Senate: General Election

Ipsos for the Miami Herald, St. Petersburg Times, BayNews9, and Central Florida News 13
8/6-10/10; 602 registered voters, 4% margin of error
275 registered Republicans, 5.9% margin of error
237 registered Democrats, 6.4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Ipsos Release)

Florida

Mason-Dixon for Las Vegas Review Journal
8/9-11/10; 625 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(LVRJ release)

Nevada

2010 Governor
52% Sandoval (R), 36% Reid (D) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable / Neutral
Brian Sandovakl: 48 / 18 / 30
...

Clarus Research Group
7/26-27/10; 374 registered voters, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Clarus release)

National

2012 President: Republican Primary
26% Romney, 21% Huckabee, 14% Gingrich, 12% Palin, 3% Pawlenty, 3% Alexander, 2% Barbour, 1% Daniels, 1% Thune

Feldman Group (D) for Kendrick Meek
8/9-11/10; 800 likely Democratic primary voters, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kendrick Meek Memo)

Florida

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
38% Meek, 30% Greene (chart)

Public Policy Polling (D)
8/6-9/10; 606 registered voters, 4.0% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

National

2012 President
47% Obama, 44% Huckabee
49% Obama, 43% Palin
49% Obama, 42% Gingrich
47% Obama, 31% Christie
45% Obama, 42% Romney
...

Mason-Dixon for Leadership Florida and the Florida Press Association
8/9-11/10; 400 likely Republican Primary voters, 5% margin of error
625 likely general election voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Tampa Bay Online article)

Florida

2010 Governor: Republican Primary
34% McCollum, 30%...

Rasmussen
8/10/10; 750 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Wisconsin

2010 Senate
47% Johnson (R), 46% Feingold (D) (chart)
48% Feingold (D), 39% Westlake (R) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Russ Feingold: 50 / 47 (chart)

InsiderAdvantage
8/5/10; 514 likely Republican primary voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(InsiderAdvantage release)

Georgia

2010 Governor: Republican Primary
46% Handel, 46% Deal (chart)

The Polling Company (R) for The Susan B. Anthony List
7/31-8/3/10; 502 statewide registered voters, 4.36% margin of error
309 2nd Congressional district registered voters, 5.57% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Murphy campaign release)

Note: The Susan B. Anthony List opposes abortion and...

Rasmussen
8/4/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Michigan

2010 Governor
49% Snyder (R), 37% Bernero (D)

Favorable/Unfavorable
Virg Bernero: 43 / 44
Rick Snyder: 66 / 18

Job Approve/Disapprove
Gov. Granholm: 37 / 61
...

Braun Research for CN2 Politics
8/2-4/10; 802 likely voters, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CN2 Release)

Kentucky

2010 Senate
41% Paul (R), 31% Conway (D) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Jack Conway: 44 / 21
Rand Paul: 50 /...

Feldman Group (D) for Kendrick Meek
8/1-3/10; 800 likely Democratic primary voters, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kendrick Meek Memo)

Florida

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
36% Meek, 35% Greene, 8% Ferre (trend)