The parallels between the present situation and the run-up to the 1929 crash and following depression are depressing.
I recall learning the history of the 1920s in high school during the 1960s. We all were amazed at how everyone bought everything on "the installment plan", how Wall Street wizards created all kinds of funny money investment instruments sold on margin, the lack of government oversight - and how it all came crashing down when it became unsustainable, to be followed by a brutal economic depression that people today simply cannot imagine.
John K. Galbraith wrote an excellent book in 1969 titled "The Great Crash" that clearly explains how it all happened. I have just finished reading it, and it is chilling to recognize all the same symptoms at play today. It seems we are doomed to repeat history. One difference this time: we now have a Federal Reserve that didn't exist then, and this is often given as the reason why another depression is not possible. "It can't happen again".... Trouble is, we boomers have forgotten the lessons we learned in our history classes and failed to pass them on to our children, everyone who was around during the run-up to '29 and learned the bitter lessons firsthand is long gone and deregulation is our current economic God. Finally, an effective Fed presupposes that they know what they're doing.
After the '29 crash, it took a good two years to fall fully into the econonic malaise, and it likely will take a similar protracted period if it happens again. Fasten your seatbelts, we're in for a bumpy ride......




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Posted August 24, 2007 | 06:15 PM (EST)