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Hoda Osman

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Will the Islamists Win in Egypt Too?

Posted: 10/26/11 03:21 PM ET

"I still think they would get a majority," I insisted. Peter Jennings, the legendary anchor of ABC's World News Tonight who was visiting the Middle East at the time, believed the Muslim Brotherhood would not win if there were free and fair elections in Egypt.

I had covered the Muslim Brotherhood and saw first-hand the impressive range of services they offered people, even under the restrictions and harassments by the Mubarak regime. Jennings was confident that Egyptians would know what's best for them, and he didn't think it was the Muslim Brotherhood.

As we say in Arabic "we agreed to disagree." After all, it was 2000 and the possibility of free and fair elections in Egypt was a dream.

Fast forward to 2011. The year of the Arab Revolutions. Tunisians just had historic elections with an incredible 90% participation. The Islamist Al Nahda Party got the lion's share.

It is becoming clear that Islamist parties cannot be ignored or sidelined anymore. They will play a major role in politics, at least in the near future, and the people of those countries along with the world need to acknowledge it.

I expect that the revolution countries (Tunisia, Egypt and Libya so far) will go through an "Islamist stage" before figuring things out.

As Mona Al Qadiri (@moniraism) rightly pointed out on Twitter, "for the last 30 years living under oppression, disenfranchised people of the Arab world had one place to turn to: religion." Thus the appeal of such Islamist parties. The fact that they are usually well organized also helps.

Experts estimate that the Muslim Brotherhood will get around 30 percent of parliament seats in Egypt. Divisions amongst Islamists, which include the more radical Salafists, might also weaken them.

I believe in respecting the choice of the people. We wanted democracy. Here's the caveat: it comes at a price. You won't always be happy with election results, but you will learn to accept them.

Some of my friends in Egypt are panicking. They imagine their life changing under an Islamist government or president. Enforcing wearing the headscarf is one of the most prominent concerns.

I am not scared of the Islamist. As long as liberties are respected, the representatives -- and the president -- can be as religious as they want without harming the people or the country. I am not scared because if there was a democratic system in place and the Islamists disappoint the people, there would be a way to vote them out.

The Tunisian Al Nahda was quick to assure that it will respect freedoms and cooperate with other political players. In Turkey, the Islamist Justice and Development Party (AKP) managed to work within a secular system. (I am critical of their crackdown on the media, but it has little to do with them being Islamist) It has often been cited as a model for Arab countries.

Now what I am really scared of in Egypt is the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF), which has been in control since Mubarak stepped down in February. SCAF is in charge during this critical time while we try to establish this system and guarantee those freedoms. Its actions have raised eyebrows along with doubts about its commitment to real change.

Pressure on the media has become so blatant that some say it's now worse than under Mubarak. Last week, a popular television presenter Yosri Fouda suspended his show indefinitely in objection to pressure on the media. Military trials of civilians continue. Human Rights Watch says12 thousand civilians have been tried in military courts in the past eight months. The timetable currently proposed by SCAF won't yield a president before 2013. Wendell Stevenson of the New Yorker wrote a an excellent piece explaining the complexities of elections in Egypt.


Elections start on November 28.

Let me end with a confession: I am jealous. I envy Tunisians. They are going at a faster pace and are on a better track than Egypt.

 

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11:02 AM on 10/27/2011
The West has to stop bashing Islam! Each nation must be free to chose the government it wishes without Western intervention. Where is it written that only Western way of life it the one for all? We are just as corrupted as the next one - so who are we to tell them???
01:30 PM on 10/27/2011
Agreed. The US has a government seemingly run by crazed religious zealots... Why cant Egypt?
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
The Knocker
a mind is a terrible thing to waste
02:20 AM on 10/27/2011
"for the last 30 years living under oppression, disenfranchised people of the Arab world had one place to turn to: religion."
There maybe another way of looking at this phenomenon, that is Muslims more and more are getting more familiar with Islam because higher literacy and learning through the internet and less relying on traditions and old fashion mullah.
They then have more become proud of their faith since discovering that what they have taught trough previous generation was mostly alien to Islam.
Also, they have come to realized they greed and materialism of the west has wreak havoc on the middle-class and the environment so its best not to imitate their system of values and morals blindly.
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blackhawk78
08:54 PM on 10/26/2011
Some of my friends in Egypt are panicking. They imagine their life changing under an Islamist government or president. Enforcing wearing the headscarf is one of the most prominent concerns.

You have some very smart friends.
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Heso
02:52 AM on 10/27/2011
Take it from a not following any political party Egyptian (me), it is all fear-mongering and arrogance from both sides the Liberals pact and the Islamists pact to pull Egyptians to their side, Egyptians in general are right in the middle of the political spectrum, each of those 2 main political forces wants to pull Egyptians to their vision of Egypt, what they don't realize is that the majority of Egyptians won't be happy with pure Islamists or pure Liberals, it has to in the middle to gain acceptance of the average Egyptian.

Anyhow, don't expect Egypt to be a true democratic country soon, it has to go through " The Phase" and expect power to fluctuate between different political powers in the coming years, till people decide what they want and stick to it.
11:04 AM on 10/27/2011
If wearing head scarfs is the only worry they have...count your blessings! There are worse things in life.
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MarcEdward
likes all cats more than most people
03:18 PM on 10/26/2011
Great piece.