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Howard Steven Friedman

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Is Obama Today's Carter? Searching for a Democratic Challenger

Posted: 08/15/11 11:10 AM ET

In the months leading up to the 1980 Democratic nomination, incumbent President Carter was challenged by Ted Kennedy. The Iran Hostage Crisis and poor economy had painted Carter as a weak leader, one with little chance of re-election. Carter eventually won the nomination as Kennedy's presidential profile was mortally wounded by Chappaquiddick and Carter went on to be trounced by Reagan.

Candidate Obama seemingly came out of obscurity a couple of years before the 2008 election and was hailed by many as the next great Democratic presidential candidate. Of course, being a candidate and actually being elected are very different things. Promises are easy but actually achieving meaningful accomplishments is much more difficult.

As I talk with many young Democrats who are exasperated with political issues like the debt ceiling, ongoing wars, lack of Congressional approval for action in Libya, the endless debates to produce a highly flawed healthcare act, the recent credit downgrade, ongoing issues with the economy... it makes one wonder why no one is discussing the possibility of a Democrat challenging the president for the 2012 nomination. Is Obama today's Carter, a president considered by most to be weak yet still nominated simply because of his incumbent status?

Surely Democrat leaders recognize that 2012 is not 2008. President Obama isn't going to energize young voters like he dazzled in 2008 with eloquent speeches after the last few years of seeing him in office. Certainly Democrat leaders understand that the 2012 election is going to come down to which candidate can motivate their base to go to the polls. Pollsters can quickly show that many of those youth who helped push the president into office have moved from enthusiastic idealists to jaded cynics and, we all know, jaded cynics rarely bother showing up to vote.

Perhaps the straw that broke many young backs was the debt ceiling deal. As with a Rorschach test, people's interpretation of the downgrade seems to be very much driven by their predispositions rather than the ink on the page. Democrats like to point to some Republicans for their refusal to budge on any negotiations and their seemingly delight in helping destroy the U.S. credit rating. Critics of Obama point to a lack of leadership and the fact that the debt ceiling discussion did not have to be a last minute deal.

In the end, the debt ceiling deal resulted in the president handing over much of the principles he professed to stand for in exchange for the promise that he won't have to hear about debt ceilings until a magical time: 2013. Even the most rose-colored glasses Obama supporter was disgusted by the "happy coincidence" that this deal delays any further discussions on the topic until Obama believes he'll be comfortably in his second term.

As I spoke with a 22-year-old young friend this morning, he summarized the feelings of many Democrats of his generation by saying, "I wanted to believe Obama was something special, but, in the end he's just a politician. He seemed like the perfect symbol of America 's future. Gives a heck of a speech... but, in the end, doesn't mean a word he says".

With so many of the voters in their 20's and 30's expressing that same sentiment I can't help but wonder why are so many Democrats resigned to nominate an incumbent they don't support? Why aren't other leading Democrats vying for the nomination? Where is today's Ted Kennedy that will challenge a weak incumbent? Are other leading Democrats afraid of his massive political campaign war chest or simply all planning on hiding until 2016?

I never expected Obama to be anything more than another smooth-talking politician and I don't really expect any Democrats to vie for the nomination. I'd like to think that means I am realistic, though lately am wondering if I am really just another jaded cynic.

 
 
 

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
GoDems2012
I've got the POTUS' back!
02:53 PM on 08/25/2011
Who would the Dems run to replace the current Prez? I won't be voting for a challenger until 2016.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
robjh1
That Job Just Isn't Into You!
11:40 PM on 08/15/2011
I TOLD YOU ALL SO!

This say it all: "Candidate Obama seemingly came out of obscurity a couple of years before the 2008 election and was hailed by many as the next great Democratic presidential candidate. Of course, being a candidate and actually being elected are very different things. Promises are easy but actually achieving meaningful accomplishments is much more difficult."

Who created the Obama hype? The media. I can't believe we are here at this point and time and many are having regrets. I for one called it back in 2008. I wrote extensively about the lack of know how then Senator Obama was bringing to the White House. But I like others was shut down. I don't hate saying this but "I TOLD YOU ALL SO!"

That all being said, I want the President to succeed for when he succeed the country succeeds. Question is how will he succeed?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
niumarmion
a temporary being
10:51 PM on 08/15/2011
As a small business man in 1980, I did not know much about Jimmy Carter. I thought Reagan would be good for business and not burden us with over regulation. Now being more familiar with Jimmy Carter's life, it is amazing what he accomplished through the force of his character. Jimmy Carter inherited an inflationary economy caused by the end of Viet Nam. When the Federal Reserve had to push interest rates up to 20% to fight inflation, how could any president win? Carter modernized the military. He got the only peace treaty in the middle east done which lasted more than 30 years. He did not bomb or invade anyone. He was a master at conflict resolution. He was so right about peak natural resources and the environment. Reagan's dismantling of the solar panels at the white house signifies the wrong turn this country took that we have not recovered from yet.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
10:45 PM on 08/15/2011
Obama is republican lite.If I wanted a republican I would vote for the real thing.
I have noone to vote for.I would even vote for Ron Paul before I would vote for Obama.
10:29 PM on 08/15/2011
"Certainly Democrat leaders understand that the 2012 election is going to come down to which candidate can motivate their base to go to the polls"

Well, if Democrats throw the first black man to be elected President under the bus I can think of one large element of their "base" that is not going to be motivated to go to the polls. The lefties are far more likely to vote for Obama than blacks are likely to vote for some other Democrat.

Besides, the Republicans have nobody. I have never voted for a Democrat for any Office, except Joe Lieberman once, and even I cant find anybody in the Republican "field" I feel like voting for.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
GoDems2012
I've got the POTUS' back!
02:55 PM on 08/25/2011
Not just in 2012. In 2016 I will sit out the elections as well if they toss the Prez. aside like yesterday's garbage.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
folkie51
international micro-mini-relations
10:06 PM on 08/15/2011
Before you judge too quickly, you should all read this.:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mark-juergensmeyer/stop-bashing-obama_b_925641.html
09:58 PM on 08/15/2011
Are we not all Americans? Spoken from a true Republican: Obama is MY president. GWB was also MY president. My House is conservative. My Senate is liberal. My judiciary is conservative. This is what makes America great. I will vote for Romney next election if I can, but if Obama wins, he is still the leader of the greatest country in the world and I support him to maintain that for us. Go Obama! Go America! Go! be to the next president! Go WINNING!
10:00 PM on 08/15/2011
Let me add...Rick Perry is the successful TP candidate. Romney is the moderate Republican electable alternative. Who is Michelle Bachmann? Why does the media pretend she is relevant?
10:06 PM on 08/15/2011
Because of her photogenic good looks. No more, no less.
10:31 PM on 08/15/2011
"Who is Michelle Bachmann? Why does the media pretend she is relevant?"

Because taking apart her gaffes is easier and more entertaining than the serious work of analyzing the serious candidates and what their policies would mean for our future.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
folkie51
international micro-mini-relations
10:08 PM on 08/15/2011
Land sakes and golly gee!
10:17 PM on 08/15/2011
do explain. i beg you.
10:20 PM on 08/15/2011
a true conservative loves America more than they hate Obama.
09:45 PM on 08/15/2011
I assume from most of the comments that many still believe that their vote counts for something. Voting nowadays is just a dog and pony show to pacify the populace. Corporate powers, the uber-rich control everything. The ballot box, if it isn't rigged, is essentially meaningless. Our "democracy" is over.
10:03 PM on 08/15/2011
because we let corporate america choose for us. much like liberal PACs and media choose out liberal candidates. they are too many liberal and conservative candidates who go unnoticed due to our stupidity
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
10:27 PM on 08/15/2011
I read this anti-corporate despair mongering or some variant of it hourly when I visit huffy world. I expect it makes for good conversation in the teacher's lounge, but where, exactly do you get this? Do you truly think Perry and Obama are essentially the same? Do you think corporations are powerful enough to control world politics but dumb enough to continue to choose people who caused the net worth of the companies to back up 40-70 percent?
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
noaxe397
09:21 PM on 08/15/2011
Part 2 In the late 70s Carter signed an executive order to remove Nixon era market controls on domestic oil production to combat the OPEC cartel's stranglehold on the world's oil prices. It took a few years to ramp up (and Carter was out of office by then) but the price of crude dropped every year for the first 6 years of the 1980s including a huge 45% drop in 1986 alone to $10/bbl ($20 bbl in today's prices.) The Soviets were the second largest exporters of oil and the price collapse made sustaining their military impossible. The rest is history. So, bringing lasting peace between Arab and Jew; decimating the Soviet Union's economic system and using free market approaches to restoring oil price sanity all the while being a champion for alternative energy. He deserves TWO Nobel Prizes.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
noaxe397
09:16 PM on 08/15/2011
Part 1 Were it not for a failed hydraulic pump in a Sijkorski helicopter 200 miles NW of Tehran there may very well have never been a Reagan Revolution Carter was downhill of all the c@@p Nixon dumped on him, like short term notes to pay for the Vietnam war coming due, the wage and price controls on all or part of the US economy which, combined with the oil price hikes and the disaterous grain sale to the Soviet Union, sent inflation out of control. In fact, inflation was worse in Ford's last year than in ANY of the 4 years of the Carter presidency. From 1964-1992 more jobs were created during the Carter years than any president except LBJ. Carter was into solar power before solar power was cool. AND he was more responsible for the demise of the Soviet Union than Reagan ever was.
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CenaW
Did you know AOL belongs to A L E C
08:22 PM on 08/15/2011
Jimmy Carter was not a weak president. Jimmy Carter was slaugtered by the so called news organizations at the behest of the conservatives, who knew a Republican could not be elected after Nixon/Watergate/Ford, inflation, wage and price controls and the famous Ford WIN button.

Bill Clinton, and his wife Hillary were subjected to the same kind of attacks. Clinton is not mentioned as weak since the attacks can be blamed on his zipper problem.
But the millions spent investigating every breath the Clinton's had taken since birth. . .

Now the same gang of conservatives/ultra-conservatives have President Obama under attack.
From the election, not even waiting for the inauguration to attack.

Constant, baseless attacks.
There will be no Democratic presidency.

Reagan was not a leader. He was called the "teflon president" for a reason.
His mistakes & disasters were blessed and applauded by the same press that destroyed Carter.

It is easy to look like a leader when that is what everyone important calls you and when all you really are is the cheerleader for the conservative agenda

Geo. W. Bush, didn't read his lines as well, all that explaining of what he really said/meant when he spoke.
Applauded and called strong and decisive by every so called news organization in the nation.

Obama is not a weak president, the Democrats in congress are not weak.
That is only what everyone is being told by the so called news and writers like this one.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
folkie51
international micro-mini-relations
10:10 PM on 08/15/2011
and Yet the right wingers want everyone to believe that the press is liberal.
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CenaW
Did you know AOL belongs to A L E C
12:57 AM on 08/16/2011
The most successful and productive lie of the last 50 years.
The press, now MSM news is liberal.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
GoDems2012
I've got the POTUS' back!
03:00 PM on 08/25/2011
That's very true. Now couple that with the fact that unless the Democrats say something that is ratings-worthy, they are ignored by the Press. Take the CBC going around the country during these job fairs. Jobs is the # 1 issue but unless M. Waters says something negative about the TEAP, it barely gets a mention in the news. The same press is now lifting up the worse candidates in the GOP in order to get the ratings they love. Dems must fight harder on domestic issues, but the media is always harder on Democrats than they are on Republicans. If they would start out by putting things in context instead of just spouting context, the public might actually become educated about the true GOP agenda.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
offred
A biocitizen is 3/5 of a corporate citizen
07:59 PM on 08/15/2011
Al Gore/Elizabeth Warren 2012
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
noaxe397
09:21 PM on 08/15/2011
Spitzer/Warren 2012.
chux3863
There's no next time.It's now or never
06:15 PM on 08/15/2011
Do you want what happend to Carter to happen to Obama ? You are playing right into their hands divde and conquer.What we need to do is push for progressive candidates drive the conversation in the right direction.We know what the conservatives have to offer we unfortunately are paying the price now.We need a true progressive movement and take our country back from the teapublicans.End the wars invest in education,infrastructure and turn the focus to JOBS !
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CenaW
Did you know AOL belongs to A L E C
08:24 PM on 08/15/2011
This writer wants to destroy Obama, same as Carter was destroyed and same as Clinton was attacked, until they turned Clinton into the best Republican sinceTeddy Roosevelt.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
noaxe397
09:22 PM on 08/15/2011
Most of TRs progressive agenda was not as a republican but in 1912 when he ran as an independent on the Bull Moose Party ticket.
05:45 PM on 08/15/2011
The real question is: are these guys just lobbying for some 2012 pork. We can't "give the keys to the car" to either the Republicans or to Benedict Arnold without winding up back in the ditch. It's time for dissenters to pick a side based on the interests of the country instead of their own interests.
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CenaW
Did you know AOL belongs to A L E C
08:25 PM on 08/15/2011
That is the real goal of this writer.
A one term Democratic president and a fresh Republican administration.
They will finish the destruction of the democratic republic called U.S.A.
chux3863
There's no next time.It's now or never
08:45 PM on 08/15/2011
Only if we let them
05:22 PM on 08/15/2011
Biden and Hillary are still 'naturals'. If Republicans drive the personal animosity against the 'black guy' to an extreme, he might do well to back off and pass the baton. The winning race (no pun intended) is run by the most effective team. .........Course that would amount to an admission of guilt and might catapult Republican's into power. Not a good thing :-)