Wis. Exit Poll Highlights
— Highlights from results of exit polling Tuesday in the Wisconsin primaries for The Associated Press and television networks. All numbers final:
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SHIFTING WHITE VOTERS
In the Democratic primary, Sen. Barack Obama beat Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton among Wisconsin's mostly white voters, a sign that his campaign has eaten into Clinton's support among groups that have supported her in earlier states. Obama won 54 percent of the white vote to Clinton's 45 percent, and he took 91 percent of the black vote. Obama tied Clinton among women, and he substantially eroded her margin among white women, Clinton's core group. He won 63 percent of white men. Obama held his strong support among young white voters and expanded it among voters under 45, while Clinton held her support among the oldest voters. Obama even got the votes of 52 percent of white voters without a college degree, a group Clinton usually wins.
PARTISANS AND INDEPENDENTS
Obama showed his appeal to independent voters, who had a choice of parties in Wisconsin's open primary. Obama won the votes of 64 percent of self-described independents, and got 53 percent of self-described Democrats compared with 46 percent for Clinton. Nine percent of the voters in the Democratic primary called themselves Republicans, and they came out strongly for Obama.
RALLYING THE BASE
In the Republican primary, John McCain showed stronger support among key Republican groups, a sign that he is slowly making progress in his efforts to unite his party behind him. McCain actually did better among self-described Republicans than he did among independents, an unusual event in recent Republican primaries, although in Wisconsin's open primary many moderate independents may have chosen to vote in the more heavily contested Democratic race. But the trend seen in recent primary states continued when it came to ideology. McCain and Huckabee were close among conservatives, with McCain getting 48 percent of their vote to Huckabee's 44 percent. As he usually does, McCain won overwhelmingly among moderates. While McCain won 55 percent of those who called themselves "somewhat conservative" he lost to Huckabee among the quarter of Republican voters who said they were "very conservative."
EVANGELICAL VOTERS
McCain's problems with the evangelical vote haven't gone away. Twenty-nine percent of voters in the Republican primary were born-again, evangelical Christians, and they voted almost 2-to-1 for Huckabee over McCain. Evangelical voters have been the base of the ordained Baptist minister's support.
THUMBS DOWN ON GLOBALIZATION ...
Wisconsin Democratic primary voters were not big fans of globalization. Seventy-two percent said U.S. trade with other countries takes more jobs from Wisconsin and just 17 percent said it creates more jobs for the state. Nine percent said international trade has no effect on the state either way. But those skeptical about globalization didn't vote much differently in the primary than those who said they think it's a good thing.
... AND PESSIMISM ABOUT THE ECONOMY
Broader economic concerns were apparent. In a similar pattern to earlier primaries, 90 percent of Wisconsin Democrats said the nation's economy is in not good or poor shape.
Wisconsin Republican primary voters felt a bit better about the economy, but still, 59 percent said it was not good or poor.
OPEN PRIMARY TURNOUT
Wisconsin has truly open primaries _ voters choose in the voting booth which party's primary to vote in. The exit poll indicated that, as in earlier open primaries this season, far more voters were participating in the Democratic than the Republican contest. By a 2-to-1 margin, independents opted to vote in the Democratic primary over the Republican. For about one in five Democratic voters, Tuesday was the first time they were voting in a primary.
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Results from exit polling by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International for The Associated Press and television networks. Samples in 35 precincts across Wisconsin. Based on interviews with 1,442 voters in the Democratic primary and 880 voters in the Republican primary, conducted as voters left their polling places. Margin of sampling error plus or minus 4 percentage points for the Democrats, 5 percentage points for the Republicans.
(This version CORRECTS Corrects method statement to note final not preliminary results.)



B | February 19, 2008 11:48 PM EST |
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