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Ian Fletcher

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Romney's Emerging Strategy: Blame China

Posted: 10/16/11 05:36 PM ET

I've just seen one of Mitt Romney's new campaign commercials, here, or watch it below.

Romney's emerging economic strategy is clear: blame China. Not only does this get the heat off of GOP-linked (yes, I know) constituencies like Wall Street, it also skewers the administration, which has played appeaser to Beijing.

Some might call this a cynical case of scapegoating. Comparisons to the old red scare and yellow peril will doubtless be forthcoming.

But this raises an interesting question: Is scapegoating still scapegoating when the scapegoat is guilty? The Chinese economic threat is hardly imaginary, unless one still believes in the Pollyanna "free" (as if!) trade economic fantasies of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the Cato Institute, and the Wall Street Journal.

I wrote before about what Romney and the Republican establishment may be up to here: pivoting to economic nationalism as the only rightist economic ideology that is still viable in this country. On some level, I think that this establishment knows that it's either that or be swept away in some leftist deluge, even if not an immediate one.

As I noted in this article and this one, the datapoints on Romney's true intentions are unclear. But the picture does seem to be firming a little, as the more he stays on this trope, the harder it will be to walk away from it if elected.

 
 
 

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I've just seen one of Mitt Romney's new campaign commercials, here, or watch it below. Romney's emerging economic strategy is clear: blame China. Not only does this get the heat off of GOP-linked ...
I've just seen one of Mitt Romney's new campaign commercials, here, or watch it below. Romney's emerging economic strategy is clear: blame China. Not only does this get the heat off of GOP-linked ...
 
 
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02:33 AM on 11/14/2011
East Asia's rise is just a matter of time. Look at Japan, S. Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong. They are all advanced. China is actually the only one that falls behind, and you think that will last long?
02:29 AM on 11/14/2011
It's perfectly true that China manipulates currency, but we do too (as Ron Paul and Jon Huntsman correctly pointed out). We complain that China has taken all the jobs, but it is the US companies who decided to move there. China did not kidnap them.
Steve Jobs said that it is easier to do business in China, and literally all Apple products are made there. Just ask yourself: Do you work as hard as Chinese? Are you as smart as Chinese? Are you as ambitious as Chinese?
Satirist1
All 4 d best in the best of all possible worlds
01:26 PM on 10/18/2011
Irrational Sinophobia commonly used by U.S liberals and conservatives to disguise their insecurities about American slipping global domination. Of course both camps use different talking points. but the anxieties are the same.
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Fred Scarran
12:00 AM on 10/29/2011
The pro-slavery interest speaks.
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Malcolm Hensley
Last of the Reagan Republicans
11:09 AM on 10/18/2011
http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c5700.html

Maybe Candidate Romney has a point $273 billion and climbing!

Funny when you think about it before President Clinton signed all those Free Trade Agreements and gave Permanent Most Favored Trade Status to China our deficit while importing lots of oil was $30-60 billion a year. Now thanks to Unrestricted Free Trade we are down 30+% on our manufacturing jobs and the deficit is 10 times greater at $600 billion a year!

Free Trade is a good deal for the Wall Street Elite it's a bad deal for us mundane Main Street people.

It's destroying the middle class and eliminating opportunities for the poor!

The number speak for themselves!

Anyone who would argue is either a Wall Street Elite Crony, a Wall Street Stooge, or to dumb to read a graph!

Opposing Arguments?
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Malcolm Hensley
Last of the Reagan Republicans
12:38 PM on 10/19/2011
Didn't think so!
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Jeff Forsythe
09:09 AM on 10/18/2011
America has forgotten what its sons and fathers died fighting in Vietnam. Communism, and now its is in bed financially with the the most brutal regime in the World and suffering the consequences of its greedy actions. Since 1949, the Chinese Communist Party has murdered eighty million of its own people and is now attempting the genocide of tens of millions of innocent Falun Gong practitioners.
Thank you for your consideration.
11:34 AM on 10/19/2011
Sympathetic to your point. I don't think when Chesty Puller envisoned this moment when he was fighting the Chinese at the Chosin reservoir 60 years ago. Many of the CEOs of the multi-national corporations are complete ignorant of U.S. and world history. The reality is that the outsourcing practices of the multi-national corporations reward the legacies of some of the worst governments in history. The very reason for cheaper labor costs in many countries overseas is because of the legacy of foreign political incompetence, the cultural revolution in China being a classic case.
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Fred Scarran
12:05 AM on 10/29/2011
Well when the you-know-what hits the fan, the rich should suffer their portion, in proportion.
06:59 AM on 10/18/2011
Romney's China policy is to repeat the ardent anti-communist NIxon reapproachment to China, and Reagan's "Evil Empire" on the Soviet before negotiating with them.
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Malcolm Hensley
Last of the Reagan Republicans
11:12 AM on 10/18/2011
Well they were at lease voicing the thought we have a problem verses sticking there heads in the sand and pretending everything is fine!
Satirist1
All 4 d best in the best of all possible worlds
02:09 AM on 10/18/2011
Conservatives complain about godless Chinese Communists
American liberals complain about lCjina is. BOTH, too socialist and too capitalist
Reality is the two ideological camps simply display American historic lack of tolerance for political alternatives
Combined with latent imperialist American ezclusivism
?
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Malcolm Hensley
Last of the Reagan Republicans
11:15 AM on 10/18/2011
You know you have a point. We should close our borders and keep to ourselves!
Senator Daniel Webster had the right idea, place tariffs on imports build a strong middle class and tell the rest of the world to leave us alone!

It only worked for 160+ years!

And we became the greatest power on the planet with that formula!

Bares repeating if you ask me!
11:48 AM on 10/19/2011
Very good, love it. Webster ended as a Whig, and the Whig platform on tariffs was adopted by the early Republicans (Lincoln was a Whig before he was a Republican). Worked for most of U.S. history. Besides protecting jobs and industry, tariffs added value to the dollar and raised revenue for the government.

The Chinese did go to the extreme at one point and built a wall (Great Wall of China, lol) and burned its fleet. I don't necessarily think we need to close our borders like the Chinese did, but we can if we want to. Too many globalists think the U.S. is too dependent on other countries. We don't need goods from other countries when it damages our economy.
Satirist1
All 4 d best in the best of all possible worlds
01:12 PM on 10/18/2011
Isolationist chimeras still disturbe some Americans incapable of understanding just how interconnected the world is today
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Fred Scarran
03:21 AM on 10/20/2011
Globalist jibber-jabber. *ignore*
04:56 PM on 10/17/2011
Inside, Fletcher has to be happy with this commercial (as am I). The classic Republican economic position included tariffs and protection, which they inherited from the Whig Party (Abraham Lincoln was a Whig before he was a Republican). The shift away from tariffs in the Republican party occurred later in the 20th century. But the data is all there. The U.S. has been far more successful economically with tariffs than without. Maybe Romney's meeting with Trump is paying dividends.

Romney still has a ways to go. The proportional tariff where the tariff is proportional to the trade deficit to a particular country averts trade wars. The goal is balanced trade, which is better than either protectionism or free trade. China's tariff would be higher and Europe's less. It would gain international support as many other countries also face the same challenge of a high trade deficit causing high unemployment, weaker currencies, and higher budget deficits. Other countries, who do not manipulate their currencies, would also support as they would gain trade at the expense of the currency manipulators. As its goal is balanced trade, it is a tariff that is safe for international adoption. We are the world, as the saying goes.
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Malcolm Hensley
Last of the Reagan Republicans
11:17 AM on 10/18/2011
Best idea I've heard all day!
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Fred Scarran
03:21 AM on 10/20/2011
Romney is still against Tariffs.
03:43 PM on 10/17/2011
While currency manipulation may be a issue with China, the main issue is American corporations taking american jobs oversea for the cheap labor. Everyone seem to forget that the main reason we allowed corporations to move jobs overseas was because our american workers could not fulfilled the demand and it was necessary to give overseas workers our excess work. Now, we want to blame China for unemployment here in america, when our corporations are making the products at cheap labor and sending products back to America for sale to American consumers. Chinese workers may be making the products, but it is the American corporation that benefit from the consumer sales, not necessarily, China.
06:54 PM on 10/17/2011
Go back further. The main reason China has cheap labor costs is because of the failure of communism. Were it not for the failure of China's cultural revolution and other ridiculous economic policies, China's labor costs would be far higher. Nominally the CEO's of multinationals say they support free markets, but in practice they reward the failures of communism.
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Fred Scarran
03:24 AM on 10/20/2011
Yes, this is rewarding bad governance: tyranny and corruption. Good job neocons and Libertarians, you really know how to stand by your principles.
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Malcolm Hensley
Last of the Reagan Republicans
11:24 AM on 10/18/2011
Does it matter if it is a partly owned American Corporation making a Product in China or a wholly owned by the Chinese?
If it is partly owned by an American Corporation at lease some of the profits come back to the U.S.

It the best we can expect on a really bad deal!
02:57 PM on 10/17/2011
We cant complain. Wall street demanded better dividends for the shareholders and that meant cutting costs. They sent all the factories to China. This is our fault, we havent demanded our companies pull back our factories. Then again all we care about is the bottom line, cheap steel, cheap everything. Its time to reap a bitter harvest people. You cant complain that you dont have a job when your pensions are invested in the stock market by companies that are trying to replace you with somebody cheaper elsewhere! Self preservation starts in your stock choices.
07:00 PM on 10/17/2011
Naturally Wall Street hadn't read Keynes. In the macro-economic and national sense, cutting labor costs is not only hard-hearted, but ultimately futile. Slashing labor costs across the board reduces demand. There is nothing to gain if you decimate your market.
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Malcolm Hensley
Last of the Reagan Republicans
11:25 AM on 10/18/2011
We can't bring back the factories until we close our borders with tariffs!
01:25 PM on 10/18/2011
No thats like using a sledgehammer to squash a rabbit, totally pointless overkill with a high possibility of missing and hurting yourself. A better solution would be to bring more shareholder responsibility into existence. After all you would be worried about what shares you had if you were directly accountable for what those companies did. It would certainly mix things up!
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ThatsTheTheWayItIs
religion, ideology, partisanship are delusional
02:51 PM on 10/17/2011
Unemployment rate is 9.1% vs 4% in 2007, we did not outsource 5% of our jobs in four years.

The jobs we lost were domestic, based on housing boom: construction, real estate, finance. They did not go to China, they disappeared. Productivity improvements destroy the most jobs. Robots, computers, the Internet, big-box stores. This site and others destroy more media jobs than they create. Nobody delivers or prints the HuffPost, that's thousands of lost jobs. If HP created jobs it would be more expensive than newspapers and would not happen. The Internet and Walmart destroy retail jobs. Productivity is based on job destruction.

China is a scapegoat, as Japan and Mexico were before them. Productivity is to blame.
07:11 PM on 10/17/2011
If you check the graphs, unemployment and recessions are trailing indicators on the trade deficit. That was true in the 70's and '80's and it's true today. As it's a trailing indicator, your time scale is off. If you do your research, you can find scores of companies in most states that were shut down because of outsourcing and free trade. The data is all there. The United States performed far stronger with tariffs than without. The U.S. rose to have the strongest economy in the world with tariffs. Without tariffs, the U.S. has sunk behind China in industrial productivity.

Productivity improvements and automation also destroy jobs, but not to the extent that outsourcing does. It's a different thread entirely. Yes, if you have 100% automation you have created 100% unemployment. That is more a proof for the necessity of economic planning and a lesson on how to manage progress. The Luddites from the 19th century knew this well (the real Luddites who lost their jobs early in the Industrial Revolution).
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ThatsTheTheWayItIs
religion, ideology, partisanship are delusional
08:18 PM on 10/17/2011
Tariffs have decreased continuously over my entire lifetime, they have no connection with US economic well-being. Since Reagan we had the greatest economic growth during the period of highest taxes: after Bush I and Clinton raised taxes, until Bush II lowered them. That's the only connection I see: supply-side doesn't work. There is no evidence that free trade costs jobs.

About half of US trade deficit is oil imports. Drive a 40 mpg hybrid like me, that reduces the trade deficit and keeps more jobs in the US than anything else.

And of course immigrants take more US jobs than anyone - because we won't do them, they don't pay enough. Same with manufacturing jobs, corporations won't pay a living wage. And with health insurance averaging $15K for a family, companies can't afford to pay US workers enough. But there are plenty of starvation jobs, sign up here:

http://takeourjobs.org/
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Malcolm Hensley
Last of the Reagan Republicans
11:37 AM on 10/18/2011
You need to get a real job and quit teaching!

You are a master at twisting numbers! "Productivi­ty improvemen­ts destroy the most jobs."

The housing bubble hid the fact between 2000-2008 we had lost 30+% of our manufacturing jobs.
Here in California we were counting on the high tech jobs to save our economy but those higher paying jobs were exported faster than regular manufacturing jobs!

I work in manufacturing and compete with China everyday - a long 12+hour day 6-7 days a week.

China has rightfully earned its position of Scapegoat!
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CapitalismIsCancer
We live under fascism. RIP America.
10:39 AM on 10/17/2011
Free Trade = Enslaved People
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FearlessLeader
I never lie. And I'm always right.
10:21 AM on 10/17/2011
Does it really matter, from the standpoint of the American worker, if things that could have been manufactured in America, are counterfited in China, or manufactured in China by American companies that moved that production over there? Either is bad for us.
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7thcavman
10:18 AM on 10/17/2011
Romney is taking his strategy out of the Reagan Cold War strategy of the early 80's. His economic development plan? More money for expanding the military...just like Reagan. Need money? Print more (Reaganomics). It's all smoke and mirrors.
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Malcolm Hensley
Last of the Reagan Republicans
11:46 AM on 10/18/2011
Well I can tell you between the Clinton Democrats aka the Kinder Gentler Republicans and Republicans the middle class is getting hammered!

Wish we had some Roosevelt Democrats!

A Roosevelt Democrat knows on an instinctual level unrestricted free trade agreements kill the middle class and eliminate opportunities for the poor.

A Roosevelt Democrat knows on an instinctual level BANKS to BIG to FAIL is a really bad idea!

From a Wall Street perspective Republicans make BIG promises to Wall Street but it's Clinton Democrats that deliver!
12:06 PM on 10/19/2011
Again, agree completely. Besides the Roosevelt Democrats, the early Lincoln Republicans were also better. Just a general point that the classical politicians were better and smarter than their current contemporaries.

Going back further, Andrew Jackson, the founder of the Democratic party, was highly distrustful of Wall Street and the banks. A successful economic run in the economy unfortunately also means extended credit. It's rather like a rubber band when it snaps back, like after the housing crisis or the Depression.

My preference for increasing the bank reserve rate is unproven and untested, but it would have the effect of decreasing debt and finance. After that, it becomes an economic question of how to finance new economic activity and investment. I believe that it is a quantity of money problem (positive) rather than a quantity of debt and loans.
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GeorgeBurnsWasRight
My micro-bio is running on empty.
10:02 AM on 10/17/2011
For decades politicians have been campaigning on bashing China on trade, yet when they get elected they don't do anything. It's been done by both Republican and Democratic politicians who have gotten elected in part on the issue, yet this never produces real action.

Why? First, the corporations who are making money off trading with China have a lot of influence in the US government. Second, the US population is deeply conflicted. They say they don't want China to manufacture everything, yet they mostly buy Chinese goods instead of US goods because they prefer to buy things from the cheapest source more than they prefer to "buy American". Third, politicians often take positions which will gain them support in elections even if they don't plan to actually follow through on supporting these positions after they get elected.
10:36 PM on 10/17/2011
Interesting and mostly true. Tariff protected the U.S. from trade deficits throughout most of its history. Classically speaking, starting in the mid to late 19th century, It was the Republicans who had traditionally supported tariffs while the Democrats supported free trade. The Republican power base was in the industrial North, while the Democratic base was in the South. That has flipped now where the Republicans get more support in the South, while the Democrats get more support in the North. Southern Democrats like Clinton still kept the old free trade ideology. Northern Republicans with protectionist inclinations and mindful of their constituents (moderate Republicans) were knocked out of office. It's more an accident of political history that tariffs have become an orphan and been absent as a platform in both major parties. Some corporations with free trade inclinations took advantage of that vacuum.