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Jamal Dajani

Jamal Dajani

Posted: June 17, 2010 12:18 PM

Nuclear Iran: Is There An Option?

What's Your Reaction:

The US treasury has recently expanded its blacklist on Iran to include another state-controlled bank, a shipping line, and more of its elite Revolutionary Guard Corps.

The latest move is the first step by the US in implementing new restrictions adopted by the UN Security Council last week. The Treasury also took a separate step to squeeze Iran's energy sector by identifying some 20 petroleum and petrochemical companies as being under Iranian government control--an action that puts them off limits to U.S. businesses under a general trade embargo.

2010-06-17-irancompressed.jpg

On Wednesday, Iran announced that it will build four new reactors to expand its atomic research. It denies Western allegations that it is seeking atomic weapons, insisting that it only wants to develop the peaceful use of nuclear energy. In a televised speech, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad vowed to force the West to "sit at the negotiating table like a polite child" before agreeing to further talks, adding that Iran will not make "one iota of concessions."

The Obama administration says the goal of the punitive measures is to deter Tehran from its nuclear-enrichment program. Will these sanctions further that goal? Not really.

Lest we forget, the sanctions that were passed at the UN have been watered down during negotiations with Russia and China rendering them practically ineffective. The additional sanctions by the US and the ones planned by the EU have no crippling effect on Iran's economy and do not entail an oil embargo. Sanctions can be effective only if they threaten the regime's survival, and since these sanctions are all based on Iran's nuclear energy program and not human rights, they remain ineffective. The vast majority of Iranians support their government's nuclear-enrichment policies.

Additional sanctions will most likely come at the expense of the poorest and most vulnerable, as they did in Iraq from August 1991 through March 1998.

"[The sanctions] will most probably lead to the suffering of the people of Iran and will play into the hands of people on all sides who do not want dialogue to prevail," according to the Brazilian ambassador to the UN, Maria Luiza Ribeiro Viotti. Brazil, along with Turkey, voted against the draft resolution of the UN Security Council to impose new sanctions against Iran.

Furthermore, the sanctions would allow Tehran to blame outsiders for its economic woes. In fact, the sanctions will do Iran a favor that the Iranian government can't do for itself.

As for making a dent in Iran's import- export traffic of energy products, the sanctions will have little effect. Turkey has indicated that it plans to increase its imports of natural gas from Iran. Also, according to The Wall Street Journal, oil traders and oil industry analysts say Iran will have little trouble finding other gasoline supplies in the Persian Gulf, where a black market in fuel products thrives, even if Washington passes measures that would penalize firms or individuals with business in the U.S. that supply gasoline to Iran.

Capt. Mousa Murad, general manager of the United Arab Emirates' Port of Fujairah, says gasoline sanctions will likely give a lift to a thriving black-market fuel trade in the Gulf. The region has no shortage of suppliers, he says, who will continue to hide gasoline shipments to Iran because "prices will go up two times, three times."

What options does the US have?

Those who are anxious to stop Iran's nuclear program keep reminding us that the "military option is still on the table." For years, the US has tried to stop India and Pakistan from joining the nuclear club and briefly turned off aid to them. Today, it works secretly with Pakistan to secure its arsenal and has signed a treaty with India permitting it to buy nuclear material. The Unites States option might be no option.

 
 
 

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01:12 AM on 06/20/2010
How sure is it that Israel will never use its nuclear weapons ?
10:19 PM on 06/19/2010
Here's what I think about our nuclear policy toward Iran:

http://daisybrain.wordpress.com/2010/05/18/why-i-dont-care-about-iranian-nuclear-plants/
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leonardox1
04:14 AM on 06/18/2010
Sanctions on Cuba did not bring Castro down and would certainly won't bring Ahmadinejad down as well.
10:28 AM on 06/18/2010
no sanctions only make life harder for the people . . . they never hurt the regime . . they are very counterproductive . . dialogue .. . would help ... Turkey and Brazil offered another solution . . very similar to the solution Washington had proposed a few months ago . . . but . . the aipac said no . . so America said no . . .
10:09 PM on 06/20/2010
"We" need to get out of the Middle East. These are not our fights. "We" only bring further chaos and suffering not only to the region but throughout the world. We should fight our fights here at home. That made us great.
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Richard Pearce
Atheistic-agnostic Canadian polymath
01:26 AM on 06/18/2010
Yes, there is an option, one that Iran itself has put forward.

The Middle East Weapons Free Zone.

Every weapons free zone agreement has had a mechanism whereby every party to it agreed to terms that allowed every other party to it to be sure that none of the others were developing WMDs.

Write terms that will allow Israel and the US to be sure that Iran is not going to be able to make a nuclear bomb.

Of course, those terms are also going to have to apply to Israel.

Does that rule that option out for some reason?
10:04 AM on 06/18/2010
the problems are israel and the US .. . .
01:42 PM on 06/18/2010
Israel and the US are to blame for the oppression of the Iranian people? How so? You act like it's only the nuclear issue that the US or the world for that matter objects to. You seem to want to ignore the complete oppression of the Iranian people in your agenda to constantly blame the US and Israel for... what exactly? You, like so many others, care NADA for the young men and women in Iran who are being beaten, tortured, raped and murdered as long as you've got the Israel card to play. You're nothing more than a mouthpiece for the IRI when you attempt to turn the subject from the brutal regime to blaming Israel. Please don't pretend you give a shit about Iran.
11:21 PM on 06/17/2010
"What options does the US have?"

Let's hope our leadership puts a halt to its foolish appeasement policies that promote occupation, siege & blockade in Gaza, warmongering in the region to buttress their best friend.
01:20 PM on 06/18/2010
A pointless comment which has absolutely nothing to do with the issue of Iran.
05:31 PM on 06/18/2010
Ha ha ha!
10:41 PM on 06/17/2010
Unlike Israel, Iran did not invade any foreign country for centuries. Unlike Israel, Iran does not have nuclear weapons and delivery systems (ballistic missiles with nuclear warheads, submarines equipped with nuclear weapons and long-range bombers with nuclear bombs) to strike any place on the surface of the Earth. Unlike Israel, Iran does not occupy other countries territories, does not build ghettos for its minority citizens and does not indiscriminately murder anyone it feels. Unlike Israel, Iran does not push for a war. Unlike Israel, Iran, as a signatory of nuclear nonproliferation treaty, has a right to develop nuclear energy.
However, since US foreign policy is subordinate to Israeli demands, it is Iran that is called terrorist state and subject to sanctions. It is so sad to see such a blunt hypocrisy. I wonder what it takes for Americans to wake up and stop that madness before they are forced into another proxy war for Israel.
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Vlady
Better Late
11:58 PM on 06/17/2010
"Unlike Israel, Iran does not" belong to your enemy club
02:53 PM on 06/23/2010
But Israel is trying very hard to belong to the enemy club and world war starter club.

Killing Americans covering it up, killing humanitarians covering it up, war criminal government, apartheid state, launching stirkes all over the place, sending nuclear subs to start war, etc.

On top of that, the Israeli apologists have such an inflated sense of Israel, they actually think the US would give up Turkey for Israel! Losing Turkey is truly against American interests, but Israel doesn't care about America, only itself!

US should cut off all funding for Israel immediately and bomb Israel's nuclear sites before they Israelis start world war 3.
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MajorKong
If the pilot's good, see, I mean if he's reeeally
10:28 PM on 06/17/2010
As long as our policy towards Iran is regime change (and it is) they have no reason to talk to us.

They're not going to negotiate themselves out of existence.
01:21 PM on 06/18/2010
You've got a point there...lol.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
muck-raker
give me liberty or give me death
06:57 PM on 06/17/2010
Here comes Noam Chomsky and maybe just the best article he has ever written....take particular notice how USA views Israel, Iran, India....this is a real eye opener

http://www.chomsky.info/articles/20091105.htm
07:17 PM on 06/17/2010
Thanks. Concise and to the point.
Hypocritical US helps Israel, India and Pakistan in building their nuclear weapons and defends their refusal to sign the NPT. Our government is still angry with them because they removed the man we put in charge of their country and they want to keep their resources.
I love my country and hate, absolutely hate our foreign policy.
10:05 AM on 06/18/2010
American hypocrisy is the problem . . Iran has done nothing wrong .. .
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Vlady
Better Late
12:00 AM on 06/18/2010
"this is a real eye opener" Try to open your brain to
06:19 PM on 06/17/2010
There is no option. The world will not tolerate a nuclear Iran, sanctions no matter how tough will not work, the only options are appeasement or preemptive war, and we all know what great track records both of those options have.
08:04 PM on 06/21/2010
"the world," or a few western European countries, the US and Israel?
01:22 AM on 06/22/2010
If you think Israel's behavior justifies Iran violating the NPT, which it signed, then surely you also support torture and murder by the US army in the war on terror since the other side doesn't follow the laws of war either.
01:26 AM on 06/22/2010
If you believe Israel's behavior excuse Iran violating the NPT, then you must surely support torture, rendition, and use of NBC weapons in the war on terror since the other side doesn't follow the laws of war either.
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marignymitch
E pluribus unum percent
05:42 PM on 06/17/2010
Nuclear Israel: Is there an option?
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newsjunkie5
10:30 PM on 06/17/2010
There was an option in the sixties.
02:57 PM on 06/23/2010
The US should bomb the Israeli nuclear sites before they start world war 3!
03:24 PM on 06/17/2010
Israel's Gaza flotilla actions with complete disregard to UN resolutions for decades shows as a nuclear power the Israeli government can not be contained with absolute confidence into not using nuclear weapons. There are two options I can think of. 1- remove Israel's nuclear capability, or 2 - build nuclear weapons capability in other countries that can be hostile to Israel like Iran. Turkey also has nuclear weapons capability - so if Israel continues to further alienate Turkey and the U.S. jumps on the Israeli bandwagon, Turks will be pushed to ally themselves with Russia - which is already happening.

The other thing is that you don't need conventional nuclear weapons - dirty bomb capability is already out there and will be mainstream. Containing that risk depends on winning people, not producing generation after generation of jihadists by imposing blockades, causing sufferings beginning from the level of newborn babies, compeletely disregarding and defying international law.
03:03 PM on 06/17/2010
Right-wingers tried to ignore Iran and it didn't work
Democrats tried to talk to Iran and it didn't work

Not much will work with Iran
04:31 PM on 06/17/2010
What "Democrats tried to talk to Iran"?
06:58 PM on 06/17/2010
Come on. Democrats tried to dictate to Iran. And it did not work. Iran signed an agreement identical to the one the US pushed. The US tossed it's toys out of the cot. There is something else going on. I suspect it is that Israel is pulling the strings. . .
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newsjunkie5
01:21 PM on 06/17/2010
The only option is that no country should possess nuclear weapons!
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Richard Pearce
Atheistic-agnostic Canadian polymath
01:09 AM on 06/18/2010
And that is an option Iran fully supports.
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Hass
01:10 PM on 06/17/2010
Umm...here's an "option": why not respect Iran's sovereign right to enrich uranium, just as with Brazil and Argentina? Why buy into the false choice, as framed by the NeoCons, that the only options are either sanctioning Iran or bombing Iran? After all, Iran's nuclear program operates under full IAEA safeguards, and there is zero evidence of a nuclear weapons program. Other countries that had violated their safeguards and actually secretly enriched uranium such as Egypt and S. Korea are not being sanctioned (despite the fact that there are still unexplained traces of weapons-grade uranium in Egypt.) Could it be because the entire nuclear issue is pretextual, just as WMDs in Iraq were pretextual? Iran has made many compromise offers that would have addressed any REAL concern about weapons proliferation, but these have simply been ignored. IAEA Director ElBaradei said so himself:

" I have seen the Iranians ready to accept putting a cap on their enrichment [program] in terms of tens of centrifuges, and then in terms of hundreds of centrifuges. But nobody even tried to engage them on these offers. Now Iran has 5,000 centrifuges."

Why did no one try to engage them? Because hte nuclear issue is pretextual, that's why.
04:32 PM on 06/17/2010
Brazil and Argentina's governments don't talk of wiping countries and peoples off the map.
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Garbaj
What is the Matrix?
05:45 PM on 06/17/2010
you're absolutely correct, some don't just TALK about it; they actually have BLOCKADES & AIR STRIKES to starve and bomb others into submission....!
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Hass
01:12 PM on 06/18/2010
The only country being wiped off the map is PALESTINE.
01:05 PM on 06/17/2010
As a signatory of NPT, Iran has the right to harness nuclear energy. And because there is a continuous threat from Hostile NUCLEAR Israel and NUCLEAR America, Iran has the Right to self defence and build Nuclear weapons. These sanctions clearly shows the power of zionist israeli lobbies across US And european countries. Iran is being punished for the crimes committed by israel. Israel has not yet signed NPT, israel secretly (with the help of america) build nuclear weapons and always threatens to nuke and destroy Iran. If any country deserves sanctions that is Israel. Israeli lobbies also trying vigorously to stop jordan from starting any peaceful nuclear facility for energy. Israel and US wants only they should posses nuclear weapons and none else. Whats the guaranty that america or Israel will not use their nuclear weapon against other non nuclear nations? Zero, NADA! In fact history says the united states used nuclear bomb TWICE on another country. So if anyone should be reducing its nuclear arsenal, it should be america first and then israel. United nations is a puppet of america.
03:46 PM on 06/17/2010
Yes and US seems to be a puppet of Israel.
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Vlady
Better Late
12:08 AM on 06/18/2010
Yes and BP seems to be a puppet of IRS.
01:35 PM on 06/18/2010
I rather think the arguments you make only reinforce my conviction that an Islamic Iran not have nukes. And please note I say an Islamic Iran. I'd have no problem with a democratic Iran enjoying the same rights as the US or Israel. But the fact that Israel DOES have them and haven't used them makes me feel a little safer than an Islamic Iran having them. And all the rhetoric about no "proof" that Iran is seeking them means diddly squat to me. Iran has NOT proved that she isn't either. All I can think is that IF she is and IF she is denying that she is... something terribly terribly bad is going to happen. That "hostile" threat you speak of from the US and Israel certainly exists FROM IRAN as well. I'm sorry but I don't see any Americans OR any Israeli's shouting "marg bar Iran" ANYWHERE. I do agree with the criticism of Israel not signing the NPT... 100%. Israel, much like Iran, is it's own worst enemy. But please spare me the "it's all Israels fault". Israel has absolutely nothing to do with the oppression of the Iranian people by it's own government.
08:12 PM on 06/21/2010
"Iran has NOT proved that she isn't either."

It is a logical impossibility to prove the existence of a negative.

"I'm sorry but I don't see any Americans OR any Israeli's shouting "marg bar Iran" ANYWHERE"

Read the Israeli press, as well as the comments section on any Iran story in the US.