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James Zogby

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Lesson to GOP: Don't Play With Fire

Posted: 12/31/11 11:39 AM ET

Watching Tea Party radicals triumph over reasoned compromise in the Congress and Republican party candidates drive themselves rightward off the road in an effort to appeal to their increasingly hardline base reminds me of the adage we learned as children: It is dangerous to play with fire, not only because you run the risk of the blaze burning out of control, but also because you, yourself, can become the flame's first victim.

From the beginning, I worried about the consequences of the Republican Party leadership's cavalier exploitation of the animus that spawned the Tea Party. It appears that they thought the racist signs carried at "birther" rallies were cute or believed that they could harness the raw anger and fear of anxious middle class whites and direct it against the president and his programs. They saw the sometimes intense and even violent force of this movement as a sign of an "energized base" that would turn the tide from their humiliating defeats in 2006 and 2008. And so they opted to ride the crest of this wave of discontent and help it grow.

For a time it worked. Tea Party disruptions of Democratic congressional town meetings and incitement about "death panels" and "socialism" inflamed passions against the president's health care reform proposals. Nativist and xenophobic fears were exploited to stymie immigration reform and block efforts to reign-in Bush-era law enforcement excesses. Islamophobia was callously used to frustrate the president's efforts to improve the U.S. standing in the Arab and Muslim worlds, while the uncompromising and outright obstructionist mindset exhibited by the GOP repeatedly brought the government to the brink of bankruptcy in the past three years.

Stoking these embers combined created enough heat to help Republicans block change, frustrate hope, shift the blame for the U.S.'s domestic ills and foreign policy woes to the new President, thus helping the GOP capture Congress in 2010. But in the process of adding fuel to the fires of discontent, in several instances we have also seen instances where the Republican party's leadership have lost control and fallen victim to these same destructive forces that they had cultivated and unleashed. Incumbent Republicans deemed "too moderate" by the mob-like base, were driven out by candidates who would have been laughable, had they not been so frightening. In safe, GOP-leaning states or congressional districts, some of these characters like Renee Ellmers (North Carolina) or Alan Watt (Florida) won, helping to create a Republican majority in an increasingly polarized House of Representatives. But in more competitive states and districts, the likes of Sharron Angle (Nevada), and Christine O'Donnell (Delaware) frightened enough voters providing Democrats with the opportunity to retain seats they might otherwise have lost to more mainstream opponents.

In this year's Republican presidential primary, we can once again see how destructive this unchecked base can be for the GOP. In part because of this problem, thoughtful conservatives like Governors Mitch Daniels (Indiana) and Haley Barbour (Mississippi) declined to run, leaving the contest with what can only be described as a perfectly bizarre field of candidates in the mix.

Thus far polls have shown Republican voters running through or flirting with a string of "frontrunners" who never should have gotten off the ground, and wouldn't have had the chance to, were it not for this crazy GOP base. Think about it: Donald Trump? Michele Bachmann? Rick Perry? Herman Cain? Newt Gingrich? -- Really? Look at their records (either personal and ethical or political) and the positions they have taken (or, in some instances, felt forced to take to remain viable), and look at the volatility of the race as, one by one, the base latches onto a candidate and then in rapid succession, either burns them or casts them off. And after looking at all this, the GOP's problem with this calamitous situation becomes crystal clear.

In an effort to avoid disaster, the Republican Party's leadership is making an effort to mobilize support for former Governor Mitt Romney. But the establishment alone can't close the deal for Romney, whose conversion to conservatism is not convincing to the Tea Party and whose Mormon faith is a deal-breaker for many born-again Christians. And so Romney, who cannot get above 25 percent support from Republican voters, is not assured victory. And should he win the nomination, cannot be assured the support of the party's base.

Add to this, the chaos in Congress where the House Republican leadership is unable to control the rebellious Tea Party-backed caucus and you have a recipe for disaster for the party and the country.

The lesson in all this is clear: The GOP played with fire, and they are getting their hands burned. They unleashed a monster they hoped to turn against Democrats, but it has turned on them first.

 

Follow James Zogby on Twitter: www.twitter.com/AAIUSA

Watching Tea Party radicals triumph over reasoned compromise in the Congress and Republican party candidates drive themselves rightward off the road in an effort to appeal to their increasingly hardli...
Watching Tea Party radicals triumph over reasoned compromise in the Congress and Republican party candidates drive themselves rightward off the road in an effort to appeal to their increasingly hardli...
 
 
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03:28 AM on 01/04/2012
The GOP doesn't expect Romney to win. He's just there to provide a cover for their congressional campaigns. If they can block Democratic control of Congress, they can continue to sabotage the economy, and set themselves up for 2016.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
SmileAndActNice
Utilitarianism, the -ism that works.
04:37 PM on 01/02/2012
I think riding the tiger is a better comparison than playing with fire.

Or perhaps the tail wagging the dog.
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bolduc999
only a fool confuses kindness with weakness
10:25 AM on 01/02/2012
Did you mean Allen West of Florida?
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joedaplumper
Ever see an airplane do thi.............
09:43 AM on 01/02/2012
Just as scarey as the Krell monster in "The Forbidden Planet".
08:40 AM on 01/02/2012
People want to be heard. Mr. Z how about an opinion piece on ows, they seemed very anti semitic and radical, much more than the tp. Also, who is allan wat of florida?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
danneb1024
counting down to foxlessness
09:08 AM on 01/02/2012
Do you just make it up? OWS is people from all parties. Do you think there were no Jews in OWS? Did they ask anyone for a birth certificate?
09:27 AM on 01/02/2012
Dan, there were many jews, most jews are liberal in their ways. That doesnt take away the fact that the left is extremely anti semitic, there was a lot more hate in the ows rallies and that is not made up. Keep the blinders up buddy, your idealism will keep on doing good.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
bklynbob
self-made progressive
07:36 AM on 01/02/2012
So the GOP can't think more than 2 weeks ahead, and despite all the balony about "jobs" during the last mid-term election, use up all their re-gained power to over-reach on nothing but wedge social issues and spreading hatred while genufecting to greed....this is news?
09:27 AM on 01/02/2012
True...I'm still waiting for a jobs package that doesn' include permenent tax cuts for the top 2%!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
skyshoes
06:17 AM on 01/02/2012
When Mittens is given the teapublican nod, Zogby will be hard at work polling the teapublican base and posting faux poll results vs Obama. I see your "work" on all the conservo sites I check up on. Why all the concern Zog? I thought you were an "independent pollster"?

Something stinks here and it isn't just the circus act the republicant primaries are bringing to light.

[disclaimer] The above response is from the results of a personal poll I took on myself... Give or take 1%.
07:47 AM on 01/02/2012
I think your confusing James with John?
09:30 AM on 01/02/2012
Zogby polls are the most reputable polls out there...they may not reflect what you want to hear, but they are unbiased; in that case, please feel free to check out rasmussen and faux entertainment!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
bigfated
No one speaks English and everything's broken...
05:23 AM on 01/02/2012
If Mr. Zogby is correct in his assessment of today's GOP....I say; "Thank God!"
The only possible redemption I see possible for this ragged, out of touch band of misfits would be the death of the party and the formation of a viable, somewhat reasonable new form of republicanism that....at the very least...resembles the GOP that existed before the excesses of the Reagan years, the unworkable "trickle down" theory and
ridiculous fear of the religious zealots.
The GOP claim that they advocate smaller, less intrusive government is appealing, but NEVER has been the way republicans govern, and the continuing efforts of republicans to control and suppress the rights of women and minorities will....and should be....their downfall.
The GOP has become a party of "busy-bodies", snooping into pregnancy and decisions relating to pregnancy as though that were a legitimate function of government.
Minding one's business and staying out of the personal lives of citizens is apparently something republicans cannot abide.
Perhaps when...and if....they learn what the responsibilities of a governing party should be, we will again have a healthy two party system that works.
09:37 AM on 01/02/2012
I love your message - so true!!! How can they be the party of less govt yet tell women what to do with our bodies....sounds like more govt to me!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ariando
Facts and compassion over religio-rubbish.
10:06 AM on 01/02/2012
Good observations.
Here is another: religions or churches that try to intrude on government can also get burned. Not only are these zealots making their own religions look bad, if they get any power and try to make their narrow views the "law of the land" their denomination is likely to lose credibility.
trish333
Tea will be served in 2012. Lemon or sugar?
03:25 AM on 01/02/2012
I've got news for you. This is how it's supposed to work. I have no interest in being controlled by 'party leadership'. The government works for us and we sent those Tea Party candidates to D.C. to remind them of such. As far as I'm concerned, they can start listening or start packing.
07:51 AM on 01/02/2012
The problem is that when people with the least amount of knowledge but who also possess the strongest convictions win the political day, then sadly that society is living in a fool's paradise. That's where the Tea Party would take America.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
RButler
"Who wouldn't love a person who had a pony?"
12:59 AM on 01/02/2012
The tea party republicans is soooooooooooo crazy. They keep saying "government doesn't create jobs" then criticizes Obama for not creating enough jobs yet they prove it true by the republican House doing nuttin' to create jobs although they ran on "jobs, jobs, jobs". Does that all make sense. Of course not. It's republicanism.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ariando
Facts and compassion over religio-rubbish.
10:08 AM on 01/02/2012
Republicans holding themselves accountable? Shirley, you jest?
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
RButler
"Who wouldn't love a person who had a pony?"
12:46 AM on 01/02/2012
It couldn't happen to a 'kinder, gentler' party.
11:50 PM on 01/01/2012
The GOP does not want anyone to look at their track record of failed leadership, rising debt, greed and corruption. They have no integrity. They have no honor. They can never be statesmen or leaders, just reedy business people out to make a buck for themselves and their friends.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
clearasmud
De Tocqueville and Marx were both right
10:20 PM on 01/01/2012
For those of us that love to learn, and willing to pursue knowledge that might even cause a shift in our most basic economic-societal views, there are instances when our readings take us places that we did not expect to go, turned over the cart we had so carefully filled with the knowledge collected, and force us to stop and re-evaluate.

This report/article is one of those paradigm shaping sources of information that is very well documented, and absolutely terrifying.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/presenting-exchange-stabilization-fund-5-parts-real-plunge-protection-team
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ariando
Facts and compassion over religio-rubbish.
10:13 AM on 01/02/2012
Tried to hack my way through the first paragraph and realized the operative words were "vast amounts of popular folkflore." Needs vast amounts of editing, "clear as mud"
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
clearasmud
De Tocqueville and Marx were both right
12:18 PM on 01/02/2012
Well poor baby. I guess for some people reading is a bit tough.
09:34 PM on 01/01/2012
I know we all can't get what we want, but I hope and pray that all parties can reset out relationships with each other and come together fairly for the middle class, working poor the rich and for the betterment of our country. Happy New Year!
08:57 PM on 01/01/2012
Right wing American political parties have always flirted with fascism, at some times fully embracing it. We are in another one of those periods. Obama and the Dems need to stand up to them and quit compromising.