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James Zogby

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Three Years After Cairo: Partisan Obstruction Continues to Block Change

Posted: 06/02/2012 11:01 am

One year ago, on the second anniversary of President Obama's historic Cairo University address to the Muslim World, we released the results of our 2011 Arab World polling. The findings were devastating, though not wholly unexpected. What we found was that America's overall favorable ratings across the Arab World were lower in 2011 than they had been in the last year of the Bush Administration.

Domestic opponents of the President rather shamefully leapt for joy, refusing to acknowledge that this collapse of hope for change was in no small measure due to their obstructionism. And they appeared unconcerned with the consequences this loss of trust was having on America's ability to function across the region. More troubling than the precipitous decline in America's standing in the Arab World are the constraints this situation has imposed on the ability of the United States to play a constructive role in regional affairs.

We live in what I call, "The house that Bush built." Both at home and abroad, the impact of the sometimes neglectful and other times reckless policies of the last administration are everywhere in evidence. In the Middle East alone, we witnessed: two failed wars that have been costly beyond measure in lives and treasure; abominable behaviors that sullied our nation's honor (torture, Guantanamo, Abu Ghraib, "black sites," rendition and more); an emboldened hard-line government in Israel, coupled with the collapse of the Palestinian Authority and a failed peace process; an unleashed and aggressive Iran, flexing its muscles throughout the region; and the spread of destabilizing extremist currents.

This was the mess that greeted President Obama when he entered the White House. And what is most galling is not just the fact that his opponents had supported the policies that landed us in this mess in the first place, but that they have continued to oppose the President's every effort to change direction.

They denounced the withdrawal of combat forces from Iraq and now advocate an indeterminate involvement in Afghanistan. They have criticized Obama's condemnation of torture, rebuking him for "apologizing for America." They blocked all efforts to close Guantanamo. They have publicly embraced Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, siding with the intransigent Israeli leader against their own president while, at the same time, attempting to cut off aid to the Palestinians. They have denounced efforts to negotiate with Iran to rein in its nuclear program, advocating a more muscular approach, while publicly supporting Israel's "right" to bomb that country. And they have refused support for programs the president has proposed that would provide needed capacity-building in Arab countries currently undergoing democratic transformations.

These critics have attempted to take advantage of every calamity in order to find fault with the White House. And they have blocked change when it might have been possible, while forcefully advocating that the current administration pursue the failed policies of the past.

It is possible to see this destructive dynamic at work in the partisan debate that has developed in face of the sustained and horrific violence that is now rocking Syria.

Responding quite soberly to the tragic Syrian situation last week, U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations, Susan Rice, made clear that as horrific as the violence has been, it could get worse. She correctly cautioned against an aggressive military approach to the conflict, laying out in detail her concerns, noting, for example, that "funneling more weapons" into Syria risks creating "an all-out civil war and regional war." Speaking for the Administration, Rice made clear the United States' opposition to Assad's rule, but maintained that she continued to believe that, as difficult as it may be to achieve, a diplomatic and negotiated end to the fighting and to the regime was preferable to the consequences of the regional conflagration that might flow from outside parties pouring more gasoline on the flames.

What the Administration also knows is that given the strategic position of Syria, the fragility of the country and its neighbors, and America's low political standing in the region, U.S. involvement in another ground war in the heart of the Middle East is the last thing we and the region need at this time.

The president's opponents, on the other hand, have sought to take advantage of the public's outrage over the atrocities they see occurring in Syria and to irresponsibly use it for political advantage. Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney, for example, criticized the White House last week, terming Obama weak and indecisive. No new policy was proposed, just harsh criticism. Romney's supporters went further, with Senator Lindsey Graham advocating U.S.-led aggressive military action, and Senator John McCain calling on the administration to arm the Syrian opposition and set up a "safe haven" within Syria in which the rebels can operate against the regime. How could this be done without international legitimacy? Exactly how might it play out, when we don't know enough about the rebels we would be arming, their capacity to win or govern or their intentions should they win? How would a U.S.-led assault be received by Arabs, who despite their distaste for the Syrian regime are less trusting of America and are still reeling from Iraq and its aftermath? And what would be the effect of all this on vulnerable populations in Syria, or on Lebanon, Iraq, Jordan or Turkey? These questions, as critical as they are to answer, don't matter to critics whose only goals are to attack.

This push for forceful action by the United States may resonate with some and score political points with others. However, in the real world in which we live, these calls for punishing military blows represent nothing more than the same dangerous reckless adventurism that landed us in the mess we're in.

To be fair, the loss of American standing across the region is not just the fault of domestic opponents. In several instances, the Administration hasn't helped itself. Bowing to political pressure, for example, the president's speeches at the United Nations and AIPAC did grave damage to his standing in the Arab World. And while understandably not wanting to engage in an expansion of war into Yemen and Pakistan, the reliance on drone strikes to assassinate suspected targets has radicalized populations in both countries, while delivering a blow to America's claim to uphold international law.

So here we are, three years after the president's remarkable speech in Cairo. The Arab World is undergoing significant and sometimes destabilizing change, and the promised change in U.S. policy is not yet on the horizon. We are now in the midst of an election year, and so we can expect that the partisan attacks will continue and efforts for real change, if it is to come at all, will most likely have to wait until after November.

 

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One year ago, on the second anniversary of President Obama's historic Cairo University address to the Muslim World, we released the results of our 2011 Arab World polling. The findings were devastatin...
One year ago, on the second anniversary of President Obama's historic Cairo University address to the Muslim World, we released the results of our 2011 Arab World polling. The findings were devastatin...
 
 
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01:01 PM on 07/10/2012
Dr. Zogby,
I wish HP had an "Arab Voices" section. I can't think of a better time.
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08:09 PM on 06/04/2012
Gee, I guess the BHO apology didn't work.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
NTT
Fighting rants with facts
01:27 PM on 06/04/2012
The underlying assumption of this article (and others by this blogger) is that USA (democratic, free, powerful, economically successful even in the current crisis) needs to make special efforts to appease the Arab world (undemocratic, illiberal, underdeveloped). This assumption is simply illogical. It is the Arab world which needs to appease the United States. The Arab world needs America much more than America needs the Arab world. And the Arab countries would do well to try and emulate her. While no country is perfect, USA fares incomparably better in every single aspect.
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12:36 PM on 07/10/2012
i say lets cut off the oil and see who needs who.
lastpost
see biography
08:09 AM on 06/04/2012
"atrocities they see occurring in Syria"
are not balanced by full and frank data coming out of Iraq or Libya. If the intention is to save civilian lives, how many must die to do that? We do not send in military might to separate feuding citizens. We deploy a policing force. The UN must demand of all those that truly abhor wanton lawlessness, including Russian, China, and the Arab League, to provide contingents to separate the protagonists. Who must debate and argue out their own peace settlement for themselves, while the world holds a watching brief.
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Steeple839
A few brave Federales said thy cld hv hd hm anyday
12:34 AM on 06/04/2012
Nice try on the guilt trip, Mr. Zogby. But most Americans really don't have much patience for the Arab world and it's unrelenting cries of victimization. Egypt and Syria will both get chances to determine if they want to enter the modern world or not. I am terribly sorry that this will come with suffering and bloodshed, but that's what it took for us during 1861-1865 to make our path straight as a country. Good luck but please don't come calling for our "aid". That same aid which is viewed also as imperialism/unilateralism/bullying. No thanks, we'll sit this one out.
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stockton jeff
03:59 AM on 06/04/2012
Seems you support continued aid to Israel, a country that not only ethically cleansed 750000 Palestinains but the 80000 Christians that were part of the component. Seems the victimization is what Israel always uses and people like you come a running with cash full of aid for a country that puts their foot at the neck of the indigeous population. One of the main reasons we are hated in the Arab and Muslim world, our double standard with our relations with Israel. They get a free pass and the rest of the Arab world gets the boot.
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Steeple839
A few brave Federales said thy cld hv hd hm anyday
10:20 AM on 06/04/2012
Dont see that I mentioned Israel anywhere in my comments. I'll get more concerned about Arab criticism of Israel once they stop mutilating their women and treating them as cattle. Some tolerance of religious diversity would be nice, as they expect from us. I'm ready for the Arab world to make some reforms, which I don't expect to happen.
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notmisaacm
That which is attributed to malice is often explai
11:14 AM on 06/06/2012
Especially since most of our aid to the Arab world is being siphoned off, away from the poor people who need it. Of course Zogby would never mention this, but a recent Foreign Policy article summarizes how Abbas' family is getting rich off of our aid.

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/06/05/the_brothers_abbas

And people wonder why the Palestinian leadership has no interest in peace. They are getting rich off the status quo. Something Abbas' predecessor Arafat did, and his successor will do.

Like Stteple839, I also don't have much patience with the Arab world.
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11:45 PM on 06/03/2012
Obama is a master of bait and switch. His Cairo speech was as genuine as a used car salesman's pitch.
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
GeorgeBurnsWasRight
My micro-bio is running on empty.
04:29 PM on 06/05/2012
If you don't like Obama's policies, wait til you see what you'll get from a Republican President.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
realitytrumpsbull
Two 'alves of coconut!
10:57 PM on 06/03/2012
Whatever. The opportunity for impeachment came and went, with nary a whimper nor hand raised. Scapegoating Bush, and the Bush administration at this late date, accomplishes....what? As always, people in other countries can't/won't take responsibility for their own affairs, resulting in the unpleasant circumstance that our military, our government, get semi-perpetually sucked into their um, 'stuff', and if they put it up to a public vote in this country tomorrow, I'm thinking there'd generally be a mass exodus and a net annual taxpayer savings in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Other people in other countries need to pick up the slack, and learn to do for themselves. There's no sense in continuing to bankrupt this country and dump more billions, tens, hundreds of billions into the good ol' MIC and investors' pockets to keep financing Global Half-Bakery. Speaking of investments, Mr. Zogby, portfolio, please, let's see the old fingernails, there? Many questions, many questions, including those to be posed to the journalism community at-large...
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stockton jeff
04:06 AM on 06/04/2012
Yes I agree its time for Israel to fend for itself. They are a first world country that brags how strong their economy is. Well then let them foot the bill for their own defense. We pay between 20-25% of Israel's defense budget. This is money the people of Israel don't have to pay out of their pockets. They decided to create their country on the backs of the Palestinians, let them subsidize their own evil without dragging our good name into the mix.
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Cory Gudwin
examine thyself before blaming the system
10:23 AM on 06/04/2012
Israel aid does not exceed $3B. No more than 1.5 % of israels GDP. Nowhere close to 20-25% of their defense budget. Spinning untruths about israel does not help anti-Israel case.
Fortunately, most in the US support Israel and have now dismissed both the Ron Paul campaign and Occupy.
08:58 PM on 06/03/2012
It should be considered treason when our elected officials act deliberately to sabotage our economy and stifle job creation. People are suffering; lives are being ruined and all Republicans can think about is getting Obama out of power. They don't give a damn about the people of this country, regardless of party. It's all about money and power & anyone who doesn't get that is a sucker and fool.
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Aussieposter
And so it begins
08:32 PM on 06/03/2012
Don't get me wrong, I like Obama. When one considers the alternative Obama is the best choice. The Cairo speech gave promise to the hope that U.S. policy would change making the U.S. an honest broker for peace instead of a partisan participant in the Middle-East.

However on the first occasion Obama had to place actions to his words he squibbed it. The U.S. vetoed a U.N. Security Council resolution to condemn the resumption of settlement building that has caused a serious rift between the Israeli government and the Palestinian authority and derailed attempts to kick-start the peace process.

Obama himself stated that Israeli settlements in the West bank were an impediment to peace. What made this action stand out was that the U.S. was alone. 14 of the 15 members of the security council voted for the Resolution.

If the U.S is serious about wanting to improve its standing amongst Arabs it needs to show that when the Arabs are in the right and Israel is in the wrong that the U.S. will stand for the right. At the moment the U.S. stands with Israel right or wrong. Like any child that sees the parent favouring another sibling the Arabs are growing up to resent it. Speeches are good Mr Obama but actions speak louder than words.
04:06 PM on 06/03/2012
George Bush held out hope that democracy was possible in the Arab world, having created their only multicultural, constitutional state in history. That hope, of course, has been dashed but we owe George Bush (termed a "romantic" in Republican circles) for his effort and for acquainting us with reality in the Arab world.

Barack Obama insulted America's allies and comforted America's enemies through his diplomatic "reset." Jimmy Carter lost Iran, it is said; Obama lost the entire Middle East for America.
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digitus impudicus
Appropriate gestures for the marionettes
04:56 PM on 06/03/2012
Last I heard, Mr. Obama was able to capture and kill Osama Bin Ladin as well as many other Al Qaeda leaders, thus effectively protecting Americans, something in which George Bush demonstrated his mediocrity starting with allowing 9/11 to happen on his watch, invading Iraq while neglecting Afghanistan.
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Aussieposter
And so it begins
08:37 PM on 06/03/2012
bluebeyond Wrote; it is said; Obama lost the entire Middle East for America.

There is your problem right there. The believe that the Middle East should be for America.
You have your nation allow other people to have and govern theirs.
10:04 PM on 06/03/2012
As an allies. The only remaining ally is Israel. The least he could do is think before he throws the cat among the pigeons: settlements were not an issue before he stepped in.

If you're concerned about imperialism worry about Iran with proxypolitical parties and Quds forces all over the Middle East.
12:20 PM on 06/03/2012
One problem is that Mr. Obama has continued many of Mr. Bush's policies, namely rendition,drone attacks, support for Arab "kingdoms" and Guantanamo remains open. I am also convinced that like many Americans Arabs have begun to tire of Mr. Obama's speeches.
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sammi 56
10:32 AM on 06/04/2012
You can only speak for yourself - How many Arabs do you know?
11:28 AM on 06/04/2012
Quite a few, mostly Lebanese
07:44 AM on 06/03/2012
I had to edit these lines out as I was told it was too long. You are still a fan of Obama and expect him to win a second term. He is not going to change paths and it will be more of the same or much worse as there are more people to kill, more human rights and liberties to eliminate as he continues to sell us all out to the corporations. I mean let's be serious here, there is still areas of the country and the planet not contaminated by Big Oil and the gas companies. Who needs bears, elk, wolves--Humans for that matter when there is money to be made? Right? Can I get an amen!!!! A vote for Obama is a vote for a complete police state and toxic nightmare. Oh, and a vote for Romney is no better. Those are the choices. Get used to it.
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sammi 56
10:32 AM on 06/04/2012
Obama 2012 !
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07:22 AM on 06/03/2012
Yes, the US is very trouble by this slaughter while shipping arms to Bahrain. After the fiasco the US has caused in the region they have limited influence.
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07:18 AM on 06/03/2012
P.S. to my previous post:

Mr. Netanjahu's views, as they have been expressed over the years, adhere nearly to the dot to those of the late Mr. Yitzhaq Rabin who has been dubbed worldwide as the prince-of-peace. Both Mr. Rabin and Mr. Netanjahu have been Israeli patriot and peace-loving people, who have viewed pragmatically Israel's national and security needs, but within the framework of international law and bilateral agreements.
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07:53 AM on 06/03/2012
More specifically, in his last speech to the Knesset, October 1995, the late Mr. Rabin drew a contour to what an accommodation of peaceful coexistence with the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) would include:

1. Jerusalem will remained united under Israel's sovereignty and will also include the suburbs of Giv'at Zeev and Ma'aleh Adumim

2. All major Jewish settlement blocs will be incorporated into sovereign Israel, including Gush Qatif in the Gaza streep

3. The Jordan Valley must be viewed in the widest sense of the term and it too will remain under Israel's rule

4. The future Palestinian Arab state will not be a regular one in that it will be totally demilitarized, its airspace will be controlled by Israel as will its boundaries and all of its border passes: land, sea and air

This contour is probably the most pragmatic one expressed to date, and it very much meet both Israel's national and security vital interests as well as all relevant elements of international law and bilateral agreements in place. Yet, to date, this plus four additional offers and opportunities presented by Israel have been rejected by the PLO and its heads.

Therefore, why, Mr. Zogby, again, accuse Israel of being hard-line...??

Isn't it time for a degree of introspection on the part of the Arabs...??
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doriath22
Born-again Jacobin. Robespierre had the right idea
08:23 AM on 06/03/2012
Chaim Weizmann an Theodore Herzl are spinning in their graves over what has become of the Zionist experiment. A new Sparta was the furthest thing from their minds
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Aussieposter
And so it begins
08:40 PM on 06/03/2012
I guess you did not notice Mr. Rabin is no longer Prime Minister and the policy has changed
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stockton jeff
04:19 AM on 06/04/2012
Yes old Rabin who killed many innocent Palestinains to get more land for his " Yisrael". Peace? Rabin was the man who tried to low ball the amount of money the families of the dead and and injured parties of the USS Liberty attack. Now there were many times Israel broke international law by machine gunning the life rafts set adrift on the sea when the captian of the Liberty thought he was going to sink. Last time I looked that is against international law
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Sam Bark
It's a MAD world after all...
02:48 AM on 06/03/2012
Wow, Mr. Zogby, it is NOT Israel's fault.....?????????????????? I had to re-read the article twice to discover Israel name tucked somewhere in the middle...... I am sure the next blog will be about Israel's awful misdeeds.
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pcplz
Children, children....think before you speak!!
03:16 PM on 06/03/2012
Hopefully. It is time to stop hiding Israel's misdeeds.
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digitus impudicus
Appropriate gestures for the marionettes
04:58 PM on 06/03/2012
Not a problem for Palestinians--theirs are out in the open for all to see!
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stockton jeff
04:27 AM on 06/04/2012
I know one thing Israel is costing the America tax payer plenty of money along with the political capital we lose in that part of the world enabling a racist aparthied nation that continues to put its foot on the neck of the Palestinians.
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Sam Bark
It's a MAD world after all...
01:15 AM on 06/06/2012
stockton jeff -- blah blah blah.... your claims are preposterous at best if not inane, your tax money is financing US government services you get, please get off your ignorant soapbox and learn the facts. Israel GDP is over $240 billion a year, US aid is hardly 3B and Israel buys weapon and equipment at the US, no cash is given…. On the other hand please count the aid the palis are getting form the USA and EU…Oops facts are too much for you….
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NorthernBorder
05:40 AM on 06/06/2012
I havent received once the answer from any poster
when we do give back the w bank, and we do have a peace agreement, and when katyushas fall on Tel Aviv - will you send posts condemning them?
Please answer. I work and beg for peace - I am interested to know if this will change your idea of Israel?