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Jane Hamsher

Jane Hamsher

Posted: August 17, 2009 11:46 AM

Sorry, Not Enough House Votes To Pass Health Care Bill Without a Public Option

What's Your Reaction:

The headline in The Hill says it loud and clear:

 Obama picks public option fight with liberals

Many people are rightly upset that the White House is sending stronger and stronger signals that they are willing to jettison a public option.  What was once the defining feature of the Obama health care plan has now been dismissed with a bipartisan flourish.  "[I]t's both the right and the left that have become so fixated on this that they forget everything else," he says.

Here's Kent Conrad on Fox News:

The fact of the matter is there are not the votes in the United States Senate for the public option, there never have been, so to continue to chase that rabbit is just a wasted effort.

If Conrad could set aside his "More About Me" world view for a moment and do some second grade math, he'd see that there aren't enough votes for a health care bill without a public option in the House

There are 435 seats on the House.  Of those, 257 are filled by Democrats and 178 by Republicans.  Which means a majority is 218.  The Republicans have vowed to vote against health care, period.  The Democrats can pass health care on their own, but if they lose 40 of their own, they only have 217 votes.

There are 57 Democrats who signed the July 30 letter saying that they "simply cannot vote" for a bill that "at minimum" does not have a public plan (PDF).  There are 7 more not listed on the letter who have pledged to vote against any bill that does not have a robust public plan.  That makes 64 Democrats who won't vote for the "co-ops" that both Kathleen Sibelius and Robert Gibbs say the White House is "open" to.  

Do the math:  257 - 64 = 193.  They need 218 to pass the bill. They don't have the votes.

While everyone else was focused on the Senate, FDL Action has been whipping progressive members of the House to vote against any health care bill that doesn't have a public plan since June 23.

This effort represents the 76% of Americans who want a public plan, and since these members come from heavily Democratic-leaning districts, it undoubtedly reflects the wishes of an even greater percentage of their own constituents:

Member Name PVI District
Corrine Brown D+18 FL-03
Albio Sires D+21 NJ-13
Alcee Hastings D+28 FL-23
Andre Carson D+14 IN-07
Barbara Lee D+37 CA-09
Barney Frank D+14 MA-14
Bennie Thompson D+12 MS-02
Bill Delahunt D+9 MA-10
Bill Pascrell D+12 NJ-08
Bob Filner D+8 CA-51
Carolyn Kilpatrick D+31 MI-13
Carolyn Maloney D+26 NY-14
Chaka Fattah D+38 PA-02
Chellie Pingree D+8 MN-01
Dennis Kucinich D+8 OH-10
Diane Watson D+35 CA-33
Donald Payne D+33 NJ-10
Donna Edwards D+31 MD-04
Earl Blumenauer D+19 OR-03
Ed Towns D+38 NY-10
Eddie Bernice Johnson D+27 TX-30
Elijah Cummings D+25 MD-07
Emanuel Cleaver D+10 MO-05
Eric Massa R+5 NY-29
Pete Stark D+22 CA-13
Grace Napolitano D+18 CA-38
Gwen Moore D+22 WI-04
Hank Johnson D+24 GA-04
Jackie Spier D+23 CA-12
Jerry Nadler D+22 NY-08
Jesse Jackson, Jr. D+36 IL-02
Jim McDermott D+31 WA-07
Jim McGovern D+9 MA-03
John Conyers D+34 MI-14
John Olver D+14 MA-01
John Tierney D+7 MA-06
John Yarmuth D+2 KY-03
Jose Serrano D+41 NY-16
Judy Chu D+15 CA-32
Keith Ellison D_23 MN-05
Laura Richardson D+26 CA-37
Linda Sanchez D+12 CA-39
Lloyd Doggett D+6 TX-25
Lucille Roybal-Alard D+22 CA-34
Luis Gutierrez D+32 IL-04
Lynn Woolsey D+38 CA-06
Marcia Fudge D+32 OH-11
Marcy Kaptur D+10 OH-09
Maurice Hinchey D+6 NY-22
Maxine Waters D+31 CA-35
Mazie Hirono D+14 HI-02
Mel Watts D+16 NC-12
Michael Honda D+15 CA-15
Mike Capuano D+32 MA-08
Nydia Valezquez D+33 NY-12
Peter DeFazio D+2 OR-04
Phil Hare D+3 IL-17
Raul Grijalva D+6 AZ-07
Robert Wexler D+15 FL-19
Rush Holt D+5 NJ-12
Sam Farr D+19 CA-17
Sheila Jackson Lee D+24 TX-18
William Lacy Clay D+27 M0-01
Yvette Clarke D+38 NY-11

This morning, Anthony Weiner on CNBC says that the President will lose 100 votes in the House if a health care bill does not have a public plan, and Gerald Nadler on WNYC likewise says there will not be enough votes without one. These Members of Congress were overwhelmingly elected by Democrats. In voting against any bill that does not have a public plan they are voting their districts.

The White House shouldn't ask them to do otherwise in order to pander for Republican votes they are never going to get.  If Rahm Emanuel wants to beat somebody into voting for something that their district doesn't want, let him go talk to the "centrists" he's been coddling.

Jane Hamsher blogs at firedoglake.com

 

Follow Jane Hamsher on Twitter: www.twitter.com/janehamsher

 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
mindoro33
02:33 AM on 08/23/2009
Public Option is a must.
12:45 AM on 08/23/2009
OMG, there is and has been a Republican Health Care Plan. It isn't discussed on this site because, well, let's just say this site has a pretty narrow view of the real world. I read theirs in a fraction of the time it took me to get through the incomprehensible mess of HR3200 whose main objective is a government power grab and nothing about health care or reform. For people that want an honest debate, they should really do some research for themselves. I found a great deal of information at:
http://www.gop.com/2008Platform/HealthCare.htm

Some of the basics are Portability so my health care belongs to me!

They have a provision to protect providers from frivolous lawsuites

Interstate competition so I can buy the coverage I want from a different state, just like I can with auto and home owner's insurance.

Medicaid idea of allowing real choice insurance plans is a good idea.

Medicare improved with coordinated care.

All in all, I could completely accept "health care reform, as outlined in the Republican Plan. I'm and Independent so I look at both sides of an issue.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
mindoro33
02:34 AM on 08/23/2009
Dream on.
04:12 PM on 08/21/2009
JUST ASKING...
Are people really THAT stupid that we have to alphabetize by first name now?
This turns the entire catorizing and librarian system on its head.
outnow
Ban the bomb
03:25 PM on 08/18/2009
The banks and insurance companies have us and everyone else by the short hairs. Dick Durban said that they own the place.

Insurance companies are not subject to many provisions of the Sherman Anti-trust Act. Banks can be operated as holding companies....(remember Big Brother and the Holding Company - appropriately-named band from the Sixties?).

Americans are willing slaves to monopolies. Neither of these institutions produces a product. The idea of gaming came from England where gentlemen would gamble on any proposition - even the outcome of a proposition to a woman.

Corporate charters were a license to steal for the East India Company, a private imperial organ of the Oligarchy.

Health care has nothing to do with insurance traditionally; now it has everything to do with access. 30 - 40% is skimmed right off the top. Even more is skimmed of the top for medical malpractice coverage.

These are some of the reasons that the American colonists fought a revolution but it turned out to be more of a substitution of aristocracies.

We brought the best from Europe and wanted to leave behind the worst. But after two hundred plus years, we are the Empire controlled by an Oligarchy of corporate insiders who control our government.

There should have been a single-payer discussion. But we will slave to pay insurance companies premiums and interest to banks without even questioning why for most people.
12:50 PM on 08/18/2009
Also try and fix medicare it's loosing money we should be able to fix this before adding on more goverment run health ins that might also loose money.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Patriot86
Compassion is the basis of all morality.
02:28 PM on 08/20/2009
Medicare is not a for profit venture. Thus it is not losing money. Because of the irresponsibility of the for profit insurance industry cost for all have been rising...with 60 million uninsured, I think something has to be done. I have already told all my elected reps not to vote for a bill without a public option because this would be merely a Romeny (GOP Mass gov) style give away to the insurance industry. Everyone has to buy insurance at their inflated rates just like auto insurance. I say no way.
12:27 PM on 08/18/2009
it seems that public option is a sore spot for all involved, the left want it and won't support anything but and the right doesn't want it and won't support anything with it. So where does this leave us?? i say start with thing that both sides agree on first.
1- Insurance across state line
2-No preconditions
3-Mandatory for business ( tax decrease or something like that)
4- No Illegal immingrants to recieve free health Ins ( card of some sort for people with health ins)
5-Increase age that parents can cover children on Family health insurance fro 18 to 25 ( my Idea) This should help with all the young adults with parents to be insured ( optional for parents with young adults)
so what do you think do you think we could agree on these
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
timm0
I'm not top 0.01% - so it must be because I'm lazy
12:46 PM on 08/18/2009
Not a bad effort, but still wasted. You assume that republicans will vote FOR the ideas you list. You misunderstand their approach. They don't want ANY reform at all. Period.

Case in point is the stimulus bill. They demanded less works project spending and more tax breaks. They got what they wanted and then almost unanimously voted against it in both branches. There is no logic from them, only potential political gain by misrepresenting bills and screaming.

Good-faith negotiations require BOTH parties operate in good faith - which is not true with the republicans.
02:02 PM on 08/18/2009
I understand what you are saying but you are talking about two different issues. i for one didn't approve of the stimulus as it was. i would have not put i all that pork and spent the money on things that would be better spent on real projects getting out fast to improve more road ,highways ,bridges, internal water, etc i would have made it more mandatory that the stimulus would have been 75% of this type of spending. i think it's easy to say that only around 10% has gotten out when at this time it would have help better if 40% was out . But these are way different issues i do believe the republican would come on board as long as the health issues where baby steps like 10 things, have dems pick 5 and republicans pick 5 but it has to be with no government option at least on the first health care reform bill, whoever said we had to do it all in one BILL. i would thik the general population would be less worried about this than a hugh bill that's so different than anyone of us are use to.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Patriot86
Compassion is the basis of all morality.
02:30 PM on 08/20/2009
No preconditions means what that people with existing medical issues can buy insurance? How will that work when the industry will merely raise the rates beyond their ability to pay. As for moving beyond their borders-no. The only regulation on insurance is state. Thus this won't work. You will end up paying for policies without sufficient reserves.
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Nutcase
From Nashville, Tennistan.
12:06 PM on 08/18/2009
If there are any regressives on this board, I need one to answer a question.

The majority of regressives were against bailing out the automobile industry. Why? Because they had screwed up and didn't deserve to live, particularly via a taxpayer bailout.

Why do regressives feel that the health insurance industry deserves to live? They have screwed up our healthcare far worse than Chrysler and GM and Ford screwed their industry. We have government subsidized cars as alternatives. It just happens that the government doing the subsidizing is the Japanese.

The healthcare industry would not exist if not for the government's subsidy of allowing most private policies to be on untaxed dollars while Medicare is taxed.

The talk is of healthcare reform. In fact, all they are negotiating are ways of providing the insurance corporations more customers, more income, more profits.

They promised the Congress to work towards universal coverage and no pre-existing condition bars in 1993.

Get rid of the insurance corporations, the true villains, and give us HR 676, Medicare-For-All.
outnow
Ban the bomb
03:28 PM on 08/18/2009
You will get no argument from me. You have hit the nail on the head. Very few have an idea of what you are talking about but I fully understand and agree.
04:43 PM on 08/18/2009
Dont kid yourself. Many know what he's talking about, and if reform is killed, we wont forget.
http://www.commondreams.org/view/2009/08/18-5
11:45 AM on 08/18/2009
It's the left that's killing health care reform legislation. Dems are disorganized, disgruntled, cry babies. If something today is not done yesterday, exactly the way they want it, they throw you under the bus. Do you think getting health care reform would've been easy to pass if someone else occupied the White House? We don't have a super majority in the Senate. So passage of health care reform bill would not be easy. This was going to be hard from the beginning.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Jonatan Cruz
"socialism is not what it used to be ... XD "
12:09 PM on 08/18/2009
Let's be real, there's no left in the US, only right and center.
in Europe the left are the socialist and the right the liberals.
outnow
Ban the bomb
03:35 PM on 08/18/2009
In the US we only have the extreme right wing and the less extreme right wing.

I was in Germany and everyone was fine. People were working literally 24/7 on maintaining infrastructure. The people were fit and educated.

Even thought they were bombed out in WW II, the people picked up the pieces and rebuilt the entire country, including cathedrals and historic buildings. There were no hooligans or gang members on the streets.

Interestingly, there is no minimum wage law there, so calling it socialistic is a relative judgment. But you do not see the senseless violence and killings we see every day in the US.

Losing a war changes some core attitudes, values and beliefs. But the hard-working nature of these people and their refusal to allow low-lifes to junks cars in the front yards is amazing.

Above all, the physicians I met were very happy with the system.
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Nutcase
From Nashville, Tennistan.
12:29 PM on 08/18/2009
Teddy Roosevelt first put national healthcare into the Bullmoose Party platform in 1912. Some of us think it is overdue. The majority of voters supported healthcare reform. They voted for Obama and majorities in both houses of Congress. I think we have a right to complain. We have a right to be disgruntled. It appears to be the administration and the Democratic Party that are disorganized. There is a difference between expressing anger and crying like a baby.

We have not killed healthcare reform legislation. That is because they are not considering healthcare reform legislation. They are talking about a few changes in health insurance. There is a difference. Changing insurance is not healthcare reform. No insurance company has ever cured anyone, though their policies and actions have caused deaths. The only real reform is to jettison the insurance companies.
outnow
Ban the bomb
03:41 PM on 08/18/2009
You don't want an insurance adjuster to determine all of your health care choices - how terribly unAmerican of you! I'm reporting to you to the now-defunct Obama We-tip line.

I thought that bean-counter were our friends. Don't you want rich insurance companies to take 30 - 40% right off the top?

Just like bankers issuing or currency and controlling our monetary policy, insurance companies have taken over the provision of health care. I have never talked to a single physican who wanted insurance companies to call the shots on their relationships with patients or their reimbursement.

Check out the abject failure of so-called legal insurance.
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Estreet1964
Gimmie the beat boys and free my soul....
11:44 AM on 08/18/2009
I can't for the life of me figure out what the political strategy is here.

The administration is simultaneously kow-towing to Republicans whose support he'll NEVER get, and alienating their base which has been energized and ready to fight for this.

And Jane you were dead on in pointing the finger at Rahmbo at the end of your post. He's a nothing but a Washington deal maker whose sole purpose in life is to suck up and make nice to powerful Washington interests for the gratification of his own ego. He needs to be the first to go.
04:24 PM on 08/21/2009
Sure you can figure it out.
Either Obama grows a spine or he becomes Jimmy Carter. He's starting to behave like a battered spouse who can't figure out that THE RETHUGS WILL NEVER be nice to him.
I won't vote for a weakling twice.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
lizr
goofing off here
11:03 AM on 08/18/2009
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This comment is pending approval and won't be displayed until it is approved.

Go Jane! you rock!!!

Progressive caucus, stay strong?

Dont vote for any bill that is not what we asked for! No bailng out of the insurers
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
lizr
goofing off here
11:03 AM on 08/18/2009
Go Jane! you rock!!!

Progressive caucus, stay strong?

Dont vote for any bill that is not what we asked for! No bailng out of the insurers intheirwickedness.
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10:30 AM on 08/18/2009
I only wish it were true that these 100 signers would not vote for a health care bill that doesn't have a public option. But have no fear, enough of the "progressives" who signed that letter will cave in so that Obama will get the health care bill the health insurers paid him, and enough of the other Democrats in Congress, to pass -- one without a public option. It's just like the "supplemental approrpiation" on Vietnam, uh, I mean Afghansitan and Iraq that Bush, uh, I mean Obama, got enough of the "progressives" to vote for so that the criminal supplemental appropriation (the kind Obama and the Dems ran against) passed. The so-called "progressives" are, for the most part, Pavlov's dogs who salivate to the ringing bell of Obama's eloquent speeches and the cash and employment opportunities provided by the health insurers and corporations.

Thug Obama has now escalated Afghanistan into a war of "necessity" -- just an absolute fantasy that the heavily Democratic Congress will now continue to pay for while claiming we can't afford a government option in health care.
10:01 AM on 08/18/2009
Republicans Offer Single-Payer Faith-healing Health Plan

Just as evolutionary science is theory instead of fact, so too is evolutionary medicine. Just as creationism is right-thinking American science, so too is faith-healing the choice for medical care by right-thinking Americans.

Republicans, who have not previously endorsed single-payer health plans, now do so as long as the single-payer is God (the bearded white male version).

"The single-payer faith-healing medical plan will save billions!" according to GOP caucus prayer group.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Jonatan Cruz
"socialism is not what it used to be ... XD "
12:10 PM on 08/18/2009
Tip: only works if you donate and pray to that church.
10:00 AM on 08/18/2009
Look forward to getting a wonderful thank you letter from the GOP:

"Your friends on the right would like to thank you for holding the line against socialized medicine. We look forward to working with you in the future."

It might even have a gift card.
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09:59 AM on 08/18/2009
Don't give up.

I called the White House, my two senators and my congressman.

I suggest that like minded folks do the same regardless of your legislator's current position.

CALL TODAY !
11:03 AM on 08/18/2009
I will, again.
11:22 AM on 08/18/2009
I will, AGAIN, AGAIN and AGAIN. Dems are so quick to give up and cry. Obama is the blame for everything. Where are all the Americans that support a public option? I don't see them on tv. All is see are opponents of health care reform. The media is much to blame for this. They don't debunk lies or rumors. The present tabloid information re health care reform. My question to all Dem's is - do you think the party or country would be better of with Kucinich, Nader, Clinton, Dean, Richardson, Biden or any Dem Presidential candidate. The answer is NO! We knew this wouldn't be easy (well, some of us). Although Dems have a majority in all branches of government, we don't have that much of a majority in the Senate.